• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimate cost

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The Multi-Period Opportunity Cost Model to Evaluate an Option Value based on a Deferral Option (연기옵션을 고려한 옵션가치의 일반적 기회비용 모델)

  • Kim, Gyu-Tai
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.184-192
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    • 2005
  • In recent research there has been intense interest in understanding how real option valuation (ROV) approaches might usefully complement conventional discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques. However, investment decision makers in a real world have been worried about adopting the ROV approaches mainly because of difficulty in technically understanding the theory of the ROV approaches as indicated by many researchers. With this difficulty in mind, we propose the opportunity cost model as another discrete-time model to value a deferral option. The main advantage of observing a real options value in terms of the opportunity cost concept is to provide a technique for practitioners to estimate a wide range of real options values without sticking to a financial option modelling. The fundamental ground for developing the opportunity cost model proposed in this paper lies in the work of dissecting the structure of the real options value into three categories: capital gain, expected opportunity loss, and expected opportunity gain. At the end of the paper, we will present a short illustrative example to demonstrate the applicability of the model.

Analysis of Actual Labor and Productivity for Based Work Crew Standard of Cement Liquid Watertight Construction (시멘트 액체방수 공사의 작업조 기반 품셈을 위한 생산량 및 노무량 분석)

  • Ha, Gee-Joo;Choi, Min-Kwon;Yi, Dong-Ryul;Ha, Min-Su;Ha, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Oe-Gun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2009.05b
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    • pp.171-174
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    • 2009
  • The standard estimation system, used to estimate the predetermined cost of construction work, is measured by the standard and typical construction methods and field conditions. And the standard estimation system is applied to basic data for the measuring of construction cost, such as the consumed quantity of material, labor hours, and machinery cost. However it does not reflect sufficiently for the diversity and reality of constructions work Therefore, this study is recognized the necessity of new cost estimation models for the rational construction cost estimation. To improve estimation technique and construction ability, it was analyzed labor hours, production volume based on the work crew in construction work.

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A Trend Analysis of Small Type House Construction Cost in Multi-Family Housing (공동주택 소형평형 공사비 트렌트 분석)

  • Park, Wonyoung;Cha, Yongwoon;Park, Taeil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.261-262
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    • 2021
  • Increasing construction costs are required due to increasing the supply of small type houses with changes in multi-family housing trends. However, a sharp rise in the construction cost of small type houses can raise the sale price, threatening the stability of national housing. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the change in the construction cost of small type houses from the basic construction cost of the sale price ceiling system and suggest an improvement plan.

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Method of Quantity Data Analysis for Building Construction Cost Estimation : Focusing on Finish Work of Public Apartment Project (공사비 예측을 위한 수량기반 데이터 분석방법 : 공공 아파트 수장공사 중심으로)

  • Ji, Sae-Hyun;Park, Moon-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Seong, Ki-Hoon;Yoon, You-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2008
  • Construction projects have unique characteristics that these may be carried out by contractors thus, cost should be estimated before execution. The importance of cost estimation and cost check has become increasingly emphasized in all phases of construction project that would be performed numerously. It is needed that owner have to estimate reasonable budget, and contractor should predict the bid price. However, there are lack of standard cost estimation method before quantity takeoff, cost analysis method, and cost database thus, the method of area cost, such as square foot method, is as used as ever in Korea. Therefore, this research suggested standard cost database structure CUBE, and analysis method of item quantity per one household categorized by area type. Whereafter, database of all item quantity of finish work has been built with 90 building cost data, and validated it's availability. In this respect, the suggested method and the findings from this research are expected to help enhancing the efficiency and productivity of cost estimation in Korea.

Development of DL-MCS Hybrid Expert System for Automatic Estimation of Apartment Remodeling (공동주택 리모델링 자동견적을 위한 DL-MCS Hybrid Expert System 개발)

  • Kim, Jun;Cha, Heesung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2020
  • Social movements to improve the performance of buildings through remodeling of aging apartment houses are being captured. To this end, the remodeling construction cost analysis, structural analysis, and political institutional review have been conducted to suggest ways to activate the remodeling. However, although the method of analyzing construction cost for remodeling apartment houses is currently being proposed for research purposes, there are limitations in practical application possibilities. Specifically, In order to be used practically, it is applicable to cases that have already been completed or in progress, but cases that will occur in the future are also used for construction cost analysis, so the sustainability of the analysis method is lacking. For the purpose of this, we would like to suggest an automated estimating method. For the sustainability of construction cost estimates, Deep-Learning was introduced in the estimating procedure. Specifically, a method for automatically finding the relationship between design elements, work types, and cost increase factors that can occur in apartment remodeling was presented. In addition, Monte Carlo Simulation was included in the estimation procedure to compensate for the lack of uncertainty, which is the inherent limitation of the Deep Learning-based estimation. In order to present higher accuracy as cases are accumulated, a method of calculating higher accuracy by comparing the estimate result with the existing accumulated data was also suggested. In order to validate the sustainability of the automated estimates proposed in this study, 13 cases of learning procedures and an additional 2 cases of cumulative procedures were performed. As a result, a new construction cost estimating procedure was automatically presented that reflects the characteristics of the two additional projects. In this study, the method of estimate estimate was used using 15 cases, If the cases are accumulated and reflected, the effect of this study is expected to increase.

Reexamination of Patient's Cost-sharing System for Oriental Medical Services in the Korean National Health Insurance (한방의료의 건강보험 적정 본인부담률 추계)

  • Kim, Jin-Hyun;Yoo, Wang-Keun;Seo, Dong-Min
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • This study is designed to estimate an appropriate level of patient's cost-sharing for oriental medical services in the Korean National Health Insurance. The findings of this study can be summarized as follows: 1) The current co-payment system for oriental medical services does not reflect its cost structure in clinical practice due to inconsistency of cost-sharing plan in the NHI. 2) Both oriental medical institutions and their patients, as a result, are at a relative disadvantage in financial burden, compared with other services. 3) The substantial proportion of patients' cost-sharing depends on the amount of co-payment and the range of medical cost that a flat rate is applied to. 4) The extension of the range doesn't make any substantial decrease in patient's cost-sharing. 5) The fixed amount of co-payment is more sensitive than a range to total variations of patient's cost-sharing. Based on the above, the budget impacts of a new co-payment system were estimated for each co-insurance rate, according to given scenarios. The results range from -59 billion Won (-8.5%) to 16 billion Won(2.3%).

Cost Analysis for Assessment of Reconstruction Projects (재건축사업의 진단평가를 위한 비용분석)

  • Kwon Dong-Chan;Lee Chan-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.477-480
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    • 2003
  • The objective procedure and criterion needs to efficiently perform the safety assessment and improve reliability for results of the cost analysis. There are many studies about cost analysis of safety assessment, but the these studies have problems such as non-quantification of criterions and methods. The purpose of this study to suggest the procedure and criterion for successful cost analysis and quantify cost factors. First, in the cost analysis of the housing reconstruction that is presented this study, determinate the life-cycle and the discount rate, then estimate reconstruction cost and remodeling cost. Finally, compare the annual equivalent LCC of two costs for decision malting to reconstruction or remodeling.

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A Evaluation System Integrating Cost-Cross Effects of Big Scale R&D Projects (R&D프로젝트군의 우선순위 결정을 위한 비용 - 상호효과 통합평가시스템)

  • Kwon, Cheol-Shin;Lee, Soon-Cheon;Park, Jooh-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.163-175
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    • 2007
  • [ $ulcorner$ ]Cost-Effectiveness Analysis$\lrcorner$ has been wifely used to evaluate economic efficiency of R&D projects, but most of cost-effectiveness evaluation systems have some problems such as systematic method for setting and evaluating cost factors, estimation of single effect on each R&D project, and estimation of cross effects among R&D projects. To solve these problems, we have designed a new evaluation indicator called a $ulcorner$Cost-Cross Effect Integration Indicator$lrcorner$ including cross effects developed in this research. The major research findings are summarized as follows : (1) $ulcorner$Coist Estimation Model$lrcorner$, which estimates the cost factors divided into two classes of assembly product and system product and then integrates the total cost values, has been designed. (2) A new method for estimating parameters of cross effects among R&D projects has been developed. (3) $ulcorner$Cross Effects Estimation Model$lrcorner$ to estimate multi-effects and cross effects by completion time among several projects has been designed. (4) $ulcorner$Integration Estimation Indicator$lrcorner$ for setting priority on a project group has been extracted by combination of total cost value and total effect value.

Forecasting and Prolonging Method of Optimum Economic Life for Office Buildings using Life Cycle Cost (LCC분석에 의한 오피스건축물의 최적경제수명추정분석 및 장수명화에 관한 연구)

  • Yang Bong-Seog;Jeong Hee-Cheol;Kim Kyung-Rai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.2 no.4 s.8
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate and analyze the optimum economic life of office buildings in consideration of their LCC (Life Cycle Cost), and thereby, explore the ways to manage the outlived office buildings economically. In estimating the economic life, initial investment cost and maintenance cost are taken into due consideration. For this study, those office buildings in Yeouido and Mapo region were sampled. The surveyed details were reduced to unit area to calculate a unit value, and then, their optimum economic life was estimated using LCC. Five alternatives for management of outlived office buildings were compared in terms of reconstruction or rehabilitation cost.

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Magnitude of Patient's Cost-sharing for Hospital Services in the National Health Insurance in Korea (의료보험 환자가 병원진료시 부담하는 본인부담 크기)

  • 김창엽;이진석;강길원;김용익
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the magnitude of patient's actual cost-sharing for hospital services in the National Health Insurance which has been estimated with only a few hospitals or limited number of patients. Also we aimed at analysis of factors influencing the magnitude. Sources of analyzed data were two databases. 1997 medical benefits record of the National Federation of Medical Insurance and 1997 Statistics for Hospital Management from the Korea Institute of Health Services Management(KIHM). We merged two databases and related records for 224 hospitals. based on the identification details of each hospital. The average percent of patients' cost-sharing was 51.7% of total hospital revenues from the insurance. with 40.3% of revenue in inpatient and 67.4% in outpatient. respectively. The contributing hospital factors to the magnitude of cost-sharing were size of hospitals. teaching status. location. number of employed physicians. etc. Larger and university hospital. urban location. and with more physicians were positively correlated with higher level of cost-sharing. Additionally, the higher the expenses of inpatient's treatment was, the higher the size of patient's cost-sharing was. These findings suggest that present level of patients' cost-sharing is quitely high and it is urgent to reduce the patient's cost-sharing to the reasonable level. It would be necessary to extend the coverage of insurance benefits and to develop policies focusing on larger hospitals and inpatient services.

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