• 제목/요약/키워드: electric power generation mix

검색결과 17건 처리시간 0.038초

전원구성비율 예측을 위한 System Dynamics모형 개발 (Development of a System Dynamics Model for the Electric Power Generation Mix Forecasting in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;나기룡;박문희;최기련
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2003
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. Because the nst of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Forecast of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;박문희;최기련
    • 산업공학
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.269-281
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    • 2004
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Forecating of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;권병훈;나기룡;최기련
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2003년도 하계학술대회발표논문집
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    • pp.49-81
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    • 2003
  • It is one of the important problems how to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix. The Objective of this study is development of a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment of power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring the electricity industry. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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AHP를 이용한 전력공급원 구성비율 설정에 관한 연구 (An application of the analytic hierarchy process to the electric power generation mix)

  • 김형준;김영민
    • 경영과학
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 1996
  • This article describes an alternative approach for determining Korea's optimal power generation mix through an Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). Five criteria, strategic, economic, technological, environmental, and socio-political criterion, are considered simultaneously, as opposed to the traditional emphasis on economic criterion only. The electric power sources examined here included nuclear power, coal-fired power, and LNG fired power.

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제주 추가 직류연계선 건설 타당성 및 합리적인 발전원 MIX 전망 검토 (The 2nd Jeju HVDC Construction Feasibility & Reasionable Generation Resource Mix Overview)

  • 박진홍;문봉수;이호용;최재명
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.121-122
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라의 가장 큰 섬인 제주도는 육지계통과 연결된 직류연계선 및 제주도내 발전기를 이용하여 전력을 공급받고 있다. 정부와 우리 한전은 제주도의 지속적인 전력수요 증가에 능동적으로 대처하고 안정적 전력공급을 위해 2011년 제주 추가 직류연계선과 2013년 LNG 발전소 건설을 제3차 전력수급기본계획에 반영 추진중이다. 이 논문은 제주 추가 직류연계선 및 LNG 발전소 건설 타당성, 사업여건의 변동에 따라 제주도의 전력공급신뢰도와 발전원 MIX 전망을 검토하였다.

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지구온난화 가스 배출 감소를 위한 장기 전원개발계획 전략 (Long-Term Generation Expansion Strategies for the Reduction of $CO_2$ Emission in Korea)

  • 김광인;박종배;김교흥;이상철;박권식
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.1083-1087
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    • 1997
  • Every effort is now being exerted in industrialized and developing countries to reduce emission of greenhouse gases from electric power sector. In this paper, we provide supply-side resource mix strategies in the long-term generation expansion planning under the expected greenhouse gas regulations. Under the environmental regulations, we explore the least-cost generation expansion plan of Korea and determine the composition of future resource mixes. Our analysis is performed on the basis of the revised WASP package which can evaluate emission of carbon dioxide from each power plant. The evaluation process of carbon dioxide emissions, which can consider the efficiency and operating conditions of each generator simultaneously, has been incorporated into the probabilistic production cost simulation module of WASP.

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전원개발계획(電源開發計劃)에서의 비용최소화(費用最小化)와 발전원가(發電原價) (Least Cost Generation Expansion Planning Methodology and Generation Cost)

  • 정도영;박경서;박종배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1992년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.106-109
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    • 1992
  • This paper Introduces the concept of the generation cost of generating utilities and its calculation methods. Also, the economic evaluation method using generation cost which is called as a screening curve method will be presented along with the benefits and disadvantages of this concept. Next, the least-cost electric utility planning techniques which is used very widely in many countries will be Introduced In comparison with screening curve method. In this aspects, the optimal dynamic mix can be determined as a result. By comparing these two concepts, we will get the concrete concept why the economic evaluation method using generation cost can not be used for the future generation expansion planning.

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셰일가스 도입으로 인한 전원믹스 재구성 및 환경 영향 분석 (Reconfiguration of the Power Mix in Korea with the Introduction of Shale Gas and Analysis of Its Impact on Atmospheric Environment)

  • 최나래;여민주;김용표
    • 한국입자에어로졸학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2014
  • In line with the expected price reduction of natural gas associated with the introduction of shale gas, it is expected that the optimal power mix for the electric power generation be changed. In this study, the reconfigured power mix is estimated with the varying natural gas price by using the Screening Curve Method (SCM). It is found that about 3% and 9% coal in the overall power mix is replaced with natural gas if the natural gas price falls 20% and 40% of the current price, respectively. It is also found that the reconfigured power mixes would provide the reduction of the emissions of air pollutants which are equivalent to 369 and 807 MUS$.

국내 전력산업의 탄소배출 변화요인 분석 : 로그평균디비지아지수를 이용한 수요와 공급 측면 분석 (Decomposition Analysis of Carbon Emission in Korea Electricity Industry : Utilizing the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index Method to the Demand and the Supply Side)

  • 김규남;김강석;김연배
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.243-282
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 1991년~2007년간 우리나라 전력산업의 탄소배출에 미치는 요인들과 영향의 정도를 전력 수요측면과 공급측면으로 나누어 요인분해분석을 수행하였다. 전력수요측면에서는 전력사용의 효율성 향상이 배출 감소에 주된 영향을 미치는 반면, 전력을 소비하는 산업의 구조 변화는 오히려 배출을 증가시키는데 기여했음을 확인하였다. 공급측면에서는 탄소배출에 미치는 주요 요인으로 연료혼합, 화력발전효율, 발전구조의 변화 등이 있었으며 분석 결과 전력수요의 증가와 화력발전의 구조 변화가 탄소배출을 증가시키는 주요한 요인으로 작용한 반면 연료효율성은 향상되어 배출을 감소시키는 역할을 한 것으로 나타났다. 이로써 전력산업의 온실가스 감축을 위해 수요차원에서는 전력사용의 효율성을 향상시키고 공급차원에서는 화력발전을 대체하면서 발전 및 배출 효율성을 향상시킬 수 있는 정책이 마련되어야 한다는 것을 알 수 있었다.

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배출권거래효과를 반영한 적정 전원실비구성비 산출 (Calculation of Optimal Fuel Mix Considering Emission Trading on Electricity Market)

  • 김발호;강동주;김차근;김학만
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2009
  • 교토 프로토콜이 2008년 발효됨에 따라, 온실가스를 감소시키기 위한 다양한 옵션들이 검토되고 있다. 그 중 전력산업의 발전부문은 온실가스를 배출하는 주요 원인으로서, 향후 온실가스 배출감소를 위한 노력이 요구되고 있다. 발전부문에서 석탄화력 부문은 특히 배출가스가 많은 발전원으로서 저렴한 발전원가로 인해 현재의 전원구성에서 차지하는 비중이 높은데, 배출가스 부문에 대한 규제가 강화되고, 이러한 요소가 비용화 될수록 타 발전원으로의 점진적인 대체가 요구된다. 본 논문은 전원구성 변화에 의한 배출권거래의 경제적 효과를 분석하고, 이러한 배출권 제약조건을 고려한 최적 전원구성을 산출하는 방법을 제안하고자 한다.