• Title/Summary/Keyword: electric power generation mix

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Development of a System Dynamics Model for the Electric Power Generation Mix Forecasting in the Competitive Electricity Market (전원구성비율 예측을 위한 System Dynamics모형 개발)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;나기룡;박문희;최기련
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2003
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. Because the nst of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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A Study on Forecast of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market (전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Jung-Suk;Kwak, Sang-Man;Park, Moon-Hee;Choi, Ki-Ryun
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.269-281
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    • 2004
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

A Study on Forecating of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market (전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;권병훈;나기룡;최기련
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2003.08a
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    • pp.49-81
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    • 2003
  • It is one of the important problems how to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix. The Objective of this study is development of a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment of power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring the electricity industry. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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An application of the analytic hierarchy process to the electric power generation mix (AHP를 이용한 전력공급원 구성비율 설정에 관한 연구)

  • 김형준;김영민
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 1996
  • This article describes an alternative approach for determining Korea's optimal power generation mix through an Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). Five criteria, strategic, economic, technological, environmental, and socio-political criterion, are considered simultaneously, as opposed to the traditional emphasis on economic criterion only. The electric power sources examined here included nuclear power, coal-fired power, and LNG fired power.

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The 2nd Jeju HVDC Construction Feasibility & Reasionable Generation Resource Mix Overview (제주 추가 직류연계선 건설 타당성 및 합리적인 발전원 MIX 전망 검토)

  • Park, Jin-Hong;Moon, Bong-Su;Lee, Ho-Yong;Choi, Jae-Myeong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.121-122
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라의 가장 큰 섬인 제주도는 육지계통과 연결된 직류연계선 및 제주도내 발전기를 이용하여 전력을 공급받고 있다. 정부와 우리 한전은 제주도의 지속적인 전력수요 증가에 능동적으로 대처하고 안정적 전력공급을 위해 2011년 제주 추가 직류연계선과 2013년 LNG 발전소 건설을 제3차 전력수급기본계획에 반영 추진중이다. 이 논문은 제주 추가 직류연계선 및 LNG 발전소 건설 타당성, 사업여건의 변동에 따라 제주도의 전력공급신뢰도와 발전원 MIX 전망을 검토하였다.

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Long-Term Generation Expansion Strategies for the Reduction of $CO_2$ Emission in Korea (지구온난화 가스 배출 감소를 위한 장기 전원개발계획 전략)

  • Kim, K.I.;Park, J.B.;Kim, K.H.;Lee, S.C.;Park, K.S.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07c
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    • pp.1083-1087
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    • 1997
  • Every effort is now being exerted in industrialized and developing countries to reduce emission of greenhouse gases from electric power sector. In this paper, we provide supply-side resource mix strategies in the long-term generation expansion planning under the expected greenhouse gas regulations. Under the environmental regulations, we explore the least-cost generation expansion plan of Korea and determine the composition of future resource mixes. Our analysis is performed on the basis of the revised WASP package which can evaluate emission of carbon dioxide from each power plant. The evaluation process of carbon dioxide emissions, which can consider the efficiency and operating conditions of each generator simultaneously, has been incorporated into the probabilistic production cost simulation module of WASP.

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Least Cost Generation Expansion Planning Methodology and Generation Cost (전원개발계획(電源開發計劃)에서의 비용최소화(費用最小化)와 발전원가(發電原價))

  • Chung, Do-Young;Park, Kyung-Suh;Park, Jong-Bai
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.106-109
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    • 1992
  • This paper Introduces the concept of the generation cost of generating utilities and its calculation methods. Also, the economic evaluation method using generation cost which is called as a screening curve method will be presented along with the benefits and disadvantages of this concept. Next, the least-cost electric utility planning techniques which is used very widely in many countries will be Introduced In comparison with screening curve method. In this aspects, the optimal dynamic mix can be determined as a result. By comparing these two concepts, we will get the concrete concept why the economic evaluation method using generation cost can not be used for the future generation expansion planning.

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Reconfiguration of the Power Mix in Korea with the Introduction of Shale Gas and Analysis of Its Impact on Atmospheric Environment (셰일가스 도입으로 인한 전원믹스 재구성 및 환경 영향 분석)

  • Choi, Narae;Yeo, Minjoo;Kim, Yong Pyo
    • Particle and aerosol research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2014
  • In line with the expected price reduction of natural gas associated with the introduction of shale gas, it is expected that the optimal power mix for the electric power generation be changed. In this study, the reconfigured power mix is estimated with the varying natural gas price by using the Screening Curve Method (SCM). It is found that about 3% and 9% coal in the overall power mix is replaced with natural gas if the natural gas price falls 20% and 40% of the current price, respectively. It is also found that the reconfigured power mixes would provide the reduction of the emissions of air pollutants which are equivalent to 369 and 807 MUS$.

Decomposition Analysis of Carbon Emission in Korea Electricity Industry : Utilizing the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index Method to the Demand and the Supply Side (국내 전력산업의 탄소배출 변화요인 분석 : 로그평균디비지아지수를 이용한 수요와 공급 측면 분석)

  • Kim, Kyunam;Kim, Kangseok;Kim, Yeonbae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.243-282
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we analyze the components and trends of carbon emissions using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition method in Korean electricity industry during the period 1991~2007. In the demand side, carbon emissions are affected by electricity intensity and structural shift and especially electricity intensity is identified as the major factor which has lead carbon emissions decreasing. In the supply side, the result in variations of carbon emission for electric power generation depends on the influences of fossil fuel mix, fuel intensity, generation mix and so on. As a result fuel intensity is the most negative effect on both carbon emission intensity and the amount of carbon emission while the change of generation mix has a positive effect on increasing carbon emissions. And to conclude it needs to make the strategic policies to improve electricity intensity in the demand and to rise emission efficiency as well as to substitute thermal power generation in supply side.

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Calculation of Optimal Fuel Mix Considering Emission Trading on Electricity Market (배출권거래효과를 반영한 적정 전원실비구성비 산출)

  • Kim, Bal-Ho;Kang, Dong-Joo;Kim, Cha-Keun;Kim, Hak-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2009
  • The Kyoto Protocol finally entered into force in 2008. In this respect, it is imperative to explore different options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions for developing countries under the framework of the Kyoto Protocol. One of the main sources of $CO_2$ gas emission is fossil fueled power plants, thereby emission reduction could be achieved by substituting fossil fuel by non-fossil fuel sources on electric power generation sector. This paper presents the method for evaluating the effectiveness of emissions trading by fuel mix change. The cost of Fuel mix is formulated considering the economic effects of emission trading in electricity market. And the optimal fuel mix is proposed under the given emission constraints.