• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.107-134
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• 2016

Accelerated ageing with low fertility is one of the most critical problems in Korea. Because of ageing via low fertility, Korea will face a serious demographic cliff. This research primarily focus on the analyzing the dynamics of the marginal ageing state and decreasing population especially in Eup and Myeon region. This study based on the system dynamics approaches for finding causal loop structure of marginal ageing and critical mass of population disappearing. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the Eups and Myons of Gun. Second, marginal aging speed in Eup/Myeon areas is causing an population disappearing in the near future. Third, critical mass of population disappearing will begin when the rate of marginal aging is exceed 82% after 2023.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제40권1호
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• pp.1-30
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• 2018

Ongoing demographic changes have brought about a substantial shift in the size and age composition of the population, which are having a significant impact on the global economy. Despite potentially grave consequences, demographic changes usually do not take center stage in many macroeconomic policy discussions or debates. This paper illustrates how demographic variables move over time and analyzes how they influence macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, savings and investment, and fiscal balances, from an empirical perspective. Based on empirical findings-particularly regarding inflation-we discuss their implications on macroeconomic policies, including monetary policy. We also highlight the need to consider the interactions between population dynamics and macroeconomic variables in macroeconomic policy decisions.

• 성인간호학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.464-472
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• 2013

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify aging anxiety and influencing factors of middle-aged adults. Methods: Descriptive correlation design was used. Three hundred and three middle-aged adults participated in the study and completed the questionnaires in the period from September 11 to October 15 of 2011. The data was analyzed using independent t-test, one-way ANOVA, Scheff$\acute{e}$ test, Pearson correlation coefficients, and hierarchial multiple regression analysis. Results: Aging anxiety of middle-aged adults was higher than a moderate level. Socio-demographic variables such as age, religion, education, economic level, perceived health status and experience of living with older adults influenced significantly on aging anxiety. In contrast, general self-efficacy, aging knowledge and attitude toward older adults were negatively correlated with aging anxiety. Hierarchial multiple regression analysis incorporating these variables showed an explanation rate of aging anxiety at 21%. And religion, perceived health status, attitude toward older adults, and general self-efficacy were statistically significant among variables that influence on aging anxiety. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that senior preparation programs that can enhance self-efficacy, induce positive attitude on older adults and promote health should be implemented to reduce aging anxiety of middle-aged adults.

• 디자인학연구
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.117-130
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• 2006

This paper analyzed the current status of universal design in the Republic of Korea (Korea) and Japan. In the case of Japan, the aged society or the super aged society has been preparing from 1985 when the aging rate was 10%. Japan's activity to prepare it became promoted during 1990's when per capita Gross National Income (GNI) was $$20,000{\sim}40,000$. In Korea, the preparation for the aging society such as physical environment, barrier free buildings or traffic systems, economic support and investigation or survey is not yet sufficient. Korea must start preparation for an aged society, possibly and quickly. And it needs to prepare until 2026, when the aging rate will be 20%. To prepare a barrier free and an aged society must consider both aging and economic status.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2005

This study explored the elements, types, and determining factors of successful aging for the Korean elderly. In order to examine the expectations of the Korean elderly, a sample of 377 elderly aged 65 and over living in Seoul and Kyunggi areas was selected and interviewed. The elements of successful aging that the Korean elderly pointed out in the interviews were: 'peaceful and comfortable life', 'self-maintenance,' 'secure social support,' and 'ostentation.' The expected elements of successful aging were further classified into three types of successful aging: 'idealized expectation.' 'self-centered expectation,' 'balanced self-other expectation.' The elderly groups sorted by the types exhibited significant differences in terms of demographic characteristics, self-evaluated economic status, and self-evaluated health status. The variables that affected the expectations were age, level of education, marital status, gender, and self-evaluated health condition. However, further analysis revealed that the factors that affected the expectation for successful aging were different for male and female elderly. The results suggest that the successful aging of Korean elderly should be understood in the context of Korean society and culture. The results could be used to better understand varied and unique life of Korean elderly, as well as in establishing a basis of intervention that meets the specific demands of the Korean elderly.

• STI Policy Review
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.14-26
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• 2013

The $1^{st}$ National Plan for Aging Society with Low Fertility, which the Korean government announced in 2006, caused the gradual increase of R&D investment in order to prepare for an aging society in Korea. This study explores if the directions and strategies of R&D projects related to aging are suitable to improve the quality of life for elderly people and establish a sustainable aging society by analyzing the features of R&D investment from 2004 to 2010. The results show that most R&D projects conducted by departments focus on the development of assistive devices for the elderly to support everyday lives. The Korean government's R&D policy to prepare for an aging society is based on the narrow interpretation of Quality of Life (QoL) in an aging society that tries to resolve the socioeconomic problems of the elderly; however, the policies have ignored the independence of active elderly individuals and the social integration of the young and elderly generations. The research shows that a paradigm shift is required from a 'Senior' to 'Aging Society' because almost 1/3 of the Korean population is over 65 years old and the expansion of the research embraces from assistive technologies for the elderly to the design of social infrastructure such as transportation, education and work.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.36-52
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• 2009

인구변화는 농촌사회변화를 가장 잘 보여주는 지표이며 농촌 개발정책의 수립과정에서 반드시 고려해야 할 요소이다. 본 논문에서는 먼저 고령군의 전체적인 인구감소와 고령화과정을 우리나라 농촌지역과 비교 검토한 다음 고령군 각 읍 면 별로 세분해서 인구변화의 차이점과 유사점을 분석하고자 한다. 다른 농촌지역과 마찬가지로, 고령군도 지난 40년 동안 인구감소와 고령화를 경험하였고, 전체적으로 고령군은 인구구조상 우리나라 일반농촌 내지 낙후지역의 평균적인 유형으로 분류될 수 있다. 그러나 같은 군내에서도 읍 면 별로 인구변화는 다양하게 진행된다. 인구지표에 따라 고령군의 8개 읍과 면을 분류한 결과 고령읍과 같은 '인구정체 형' 다산면과 같은 '인구증가 형', 성산면 개진면 쌍림면과 같은 '인구완감 형', 덕곡면 운수면 우곡면과 같은 '인구급감 형'의 4개 유형을 확인할 수 있었다. 이와 같이 동일한 군내에서도 읍 면에 따라 정주여건이 다르기 때문에 그에 따라 차별화된 농촌개발정책을 수립하는 것이 중요하다.

• 산업진흥연구
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.79-86
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• 2021

인구구조의 변화로 저출산·고령화 문제는 심각한 생산가능 인구감소로 이어져 외국인력 도입의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 본 연구는 인구구조 변화가 본격적으로 시작되는 저출산고령화 시대에 생산가능 인구를 확충하기 위해서는 외국인력의 도입이 가장 유효하다고 보며, 이를 위해 이주노동자 도입에 대한 법제도적인 개선방안을 마련하고자 하였다. 연구 결과, 첫째, 이주노동자 법제도의 통일과 정비가 이루어져야 한다. 「출입국관리법」과 「노동법」이 협조관계를 구축할 수 있도록 관리기관의 신설이나 일원화가 필요하다. 둘째, 「출입국관리법」을 개정하여 이주노동자들이 취업할 수 있는 길이 용이해져야 한다. 고용허가제와 국적취득에 대한 긍정적 검토가 필요하다. 셋째, 이주노동자에 대한 형평성 및 차별이 없어야 한다. 상호호혜의 원칙하에서 사용자와 이주노동자가 평등하게 차별 받지 않도록 해야 한다. 넷째, 이주노동자의 법제도에서 사회보험제도를 추가하여야 한다. 따라서 4대 사회보험을 비롯한 각종 보험제도에서 이주노동자들이 차별 받지 않도록 법제도의 정비가 이루어져야 한다. 결론적으로 인구구조의 변화로 저출산·고령화 문제는 심각한 사회문제화되어 있으며, 이로 인한 생산가능인구의 감소는 우려할 만한 수준에 도달해 있다. 이주노동자의 취업 및 근무 환경의 중요성은 높아지고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 관련 법제도적 문제점은 상존해 있으며, 이주노동자에 대한 법제도적 개선방안이 필요하다.

• 한국보건간호학회지
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.5-18
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• 2017

Purpose: This study was conducted to suggest a method for financial projection of health insurance expenditures that reflects future changes in demographic structure. Methods: Using data associated with the number of patients and health insurance cost per patient, generalized linear models (GLM) were fitted with demographic explanatory variables. Models were constructed separately for individual medical departments, types of medical service, and types of public health insurance. Goodness-of-fit of most of the applied GLM models was quite satisfactory. By combining estimates of frequency and severity from the constructed models and results of the population projection, total annual health insurance expenditures were projected through year 2060. Results: Expenditures for medical departments associated with diseases that are more frequent in elderly peoples are expected to increase steeply, leading to considerable increases in overall health insurance expenditures. The suggested method can contribute to improvement of the accuracy of financial projection. Conclusion: The overall demands for medical service, medical personnel, and relevant facilities in the future are expected to increase as the proportion of elderly people increases. Application of a more reasonable estimation method reflecting changes in demographic structure will help develop health policies relevant to above mentioned resources.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제13권12호
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• pp.738-747
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• 2013

본 연구의 목적은 베이비붐 세대의 노후준비도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 알아보고 이를 바탕으로 베이비붐 세대의 노후생활 준비 향상을 위한 기초 자료를 제공하고자 한다. 연구결과 인구사회학적 특성에서는 성별, 연령, 건강상태, 월평균소득이 그리고 노후태도, 노후불안이 노후준비도에 유의미한 영향력이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 즉 남자보다는 여자가, 연령이 높을수록, 건강상태가 좋을수록, 월평균소득이 높을수록 그리고 노후태도가 높을수록, 노후불안이 낮을수록 노후준비도가 높게 나타났다. 이러한 연구결과를 근거로 정책제언을 하면, 첫째, 인구사회학적 특성에 따라 세대별 욕구와 특성에 맞는 노후준비 서비스가 개발되어야 한다. 둘째, 노후태도를 높일 수 있는 의식변화와 단계별 노후생활 준비교육이 필요하다. 셋째, 노후불안을 낮출 수 있는 다양한 정신건강 프로그램이 개발 보급되어야 한다.