• Title/Summary/Keyword: decision tree and system analysis

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Sensitivity analysis of failure correlation between structures, systems, and components on system risk

  • Seunghyun Eem ;Shinyoung Kwag ;In-Kil Choi ;Daegi Hahm
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.981-988
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    • 2023
  • A seismic event caused an accident at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, which further resulted in simultaneous accidents at several units. Consequently, this incident has aroused great interest in the safety of nuclear power plants worldwide. A reasonable safety evaluation of such an external event should appropriately consider the correlation between SSCs (structures, systems, and components) and the probability of failure. However, a probabilistic safety assessment in current nuclear industries is performed conservatively, assuming that the failure correlation between SSCs is independent or completely dependent. This is an extreme assumption; a reasonable risk can be calculated, or risk-based decision-making can be conducted only when the appropriate failure correlation between SSCs is considered. Thus, this study analyzed the effect of the failure correlation of SSCs on the safety of the system to realize rational safety assessment and decision-making. Consequently, the impact on the system differs according to the size of the failure probability of the SSCs and the AND and OR conditions.

A Personalized Recommender based on Collaborative Filtering and Association Rule Mining

  • Kim Jae Kyeong;Suh Ji Hae;Cho Yoon Ho;Ahn Do Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.312-319
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    • 2002
  • A recommendation system tracks past action of a group of users to make a recommendation to individual members of the group. The computer-mediated marking and commerce have grown rapidly nowadays so the concerns about various recommendation procedure are increasing. We introduce a recommendation methodology by which Korean department store suggests products and services to their customers. The suggested methodology is based on decision tree, product taxonomy, and association rule mining. Decision tree is to select target customers, who have high purchase possibility of recommended products. Product taxonomy and association rule mining are used to select proper products. The validity of our recommendation methodology is discussed with the analysis of a real Korean department store.

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Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.2_2
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

An application of datamining approach to CQI using the discharge summary (퇴원요약 데이터베이스를 이용한 데이터마이닝 기법의 CQI 활동에의 황용 방안)

  • 선미옥;채영문;이해종;이선희;강성홍;호승희
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.289-299
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    • 2000
  • This study provides an application of datamining approach to CQI(Continuous Quality Improvement) using the discharge summary. First, we found a process variation in hospital infection rate by SPC (Statistical Process Control) technique. Second, importance of factors influencing hospital infection was inferred through the decision tree analysis which is a classification method in data-mining approach. The most important factor was surgery followed by comorbidity and length of operation. Comorbidity was further divided into age and principal diagnosis and the length of operation was further divided into age and chief complaint. 24 rules of hospital infection were generated by the decision tree analysis. Of these, 9 rules with predictive prover greater than 50% were suggested as guidelines for hospital infection control. The optimum range of target group in hospital infection control were Identified through the information gain summary. Association rule, which is another kind of datamining method, was performed to analyze the relationship between principal diagnosis and comorbidity. The confidence score, which measures the decree of association, between urinary tract infection and causal bacillus was the highest, followed by the score between postoperative wound disruption find postoperative wound infection. This study demonstrated how datamining approach could be used to provide information to support prospective surveillance of hospital infection. The datamining technique can also be applied to various areas fur CQI using other hospital databases.

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Automatic Facial Expression Recognition using Tree Structures for Human Computer Interaction (HCI를 위한 트리 구조 기반의 자동 얼굴 표정 인식)

  • Shin, Yun-Hee;Ju, Jin-Sun;Kim, Eun-Yi;Kurata, Takeshi;Jain, Anil K.;Park, Se-Hyun;Jung, Kee-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we propose an automatic facial expressions recognition system to analyze facial expressions (happiness, disgust, surprise and neutral) using tree structures based on heuristic rules. The facial region is first obtained using skin-color model and connected-component analysis (CCs). Thereafter the origins of user's eyes are localized using neural network (NN)-based texture classifier, then the facial features using some heuristics are localized. After detection of facial features, the facial expression recognition are performed using decision tree. To assess the validity of the proposed system, we tested the proposed system using 180 facial image in the MMI, JAFFE, VAK DB. The results show that our system have the accuracy of 93%.

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The Classification of Metabolic Type Using Tissue Mineral Analysis (모발분석 결과를 이용한 대사형의 분류)

  • 한근식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2004
  • We have sent the 1000 hair samples to USA and received the results from USA because the programs for the interpretation of Tissue Mineral Analysis (TMA) result is not opened yet in Korea. Therefore, the study will analyze the relationship between the hair for Korean and minerals and make a classification system. To achieve the goal, first of all, we coded the results of patients and classified the analyzed results which are the interrelationship between the minerals and dietary situation and the heavy metals and diseases through the statistical methods. Finally we classified 8 metabolic type using decision tree classifier.

Selection of Input Nodes in Artificial Neural Network for Bankruptcy Prediction by Link Weight Analysis Approach (연결강도분석접근법에 의한 부도예측용 인공신경망 모형의 입력노드 선정에 관한 연구)

  • 이응규;손동우
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2001
  • Link weight analysis approach is suggested as a heuristic for selection of input nodes in artificial neural network for bankruptcy prediction. That is to analyze each input node\\\\`s link weight-absolute value of link weight between an input node and a hidden node in a well-trained neural network model. Prediction accuracy of three methods in this approach, -weak-linked-neurons elimination method, strong-linked-neurons selection method and integrated link weight model-is compared with that of decision tree and multivariate discrimination analysis. In result, the methods suggested in this study show higher accuracy than decision tree and multivariate discrimination analysis. Especially an integrated model has much higher accuracy than any individual models.

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Application of Random Forest Algorithm for the Decision Support System of Medical Diagnosis with the Selection of Significant Clinical Test (의료진단 및 중요 검사 항목 결정 지원 시스템을 위한 랜덤 포레스트 알고리즘 적용)

  • Yun, Tae-Gyun;Yi, Gwan-Su
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.1058-1062
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    • 2008
  • In clinical decision support system(CDSS), unlike rule-based expert method, appropriate data-driven machine learning method can easily provide the information of individual feature(clinical test) for disease classification. However, currently developed methods focus on the improvement of the classification accuracy for diagnosis. With the analysis of feature importance in classification, one may infer the novel clinical test sets which highly differentiate the specific diseases or disease states. In this background, we introduce a novel CDSS that integrate a classifier and feature selection module together. Random forest algorithm is applied for the classifier and the feature importance measure. The system selects the significant clinical tests discriminating the diseases by examining the classification error during backward elimination of the features. The superior performance of random forest algorithm in clinical classification was assessed against artificial neural network and decision tree algorithm by using breast cancer, diabetes and heart disease data in UCI Machine Learning Repository. The test with the same data sets shows that the proposed system can successfully select the significant clinical test set for each disease.

Deciding the Optimal Shutdown Time Incorporating the Accident Forecasting Model (원자력 발전소 사고 예측 모형과 병합한 최적 운행중지 결정 모형)

  • Yang, Hee Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the continuing operation of nuclear power plants has become a major controversial issue in Korea. Whether to continue to operate nuclear power plants is a matter to be determined considering many factors including social and political factors as well as economic factors. But in this paper we concentrate only on the economic factors to make an optimum decision on operating nuclear power plants. Decisions should be based on forecasts of plant accident risks and large and small accident data from power plants. We outline the structure of a decision model that incorporate accident risks. We formulate to decide whether to shutdown permanently, shutdown temporarily for maintenance, or to operate one period of time and then periodically repeat the analysis and decision process with additional information about new costs and risks. The forecasting model to predict nuclear power plant accidents is incorporated for an improved decision making. First, we build a one-period decision model and extend this theory to a multi-period model. In this paper we utilize influence diagrams as well as decision trees for modeling. And bayesian statistical approach is utilized. Many of the parameter values in this model may be set fairly subjective by decision makers. Once the parameter values have been determined, the model will be able to present the optimal decision according to that value.

A Study on Factors of Elderly Residential Care Service Utilization for using Decision Tree Regression (의사결정분석을 이용한 우리나라 노인의 요양시설서비스 이용 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Jeong-Gi
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.60 no.3
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    • pp.129-150
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    • 2008
  • This study examined the factors affecting service utilization of elderly residential care among long term care services recipients during long term care insurance pilot project period in Korea. Help-seeking Behavior model developed by Andersen and Newman(1973) was used to analyze the factors affecting their utilization residential care service among 1,939 long term care services recipients. Frequency and Decision Tree Regression analysis on SPSS 13.0 used. Analyses show strong significant factor is service preference(predisposing factors), and then significant factors are enabling factors such as co-residence type, household income. According to this results, need factors such as cognition disorder, problem behavior, ADL and IADL disabilities are affecting utilization behavior of elderly residential care services. These findings provide implications and suggestions about how long term care service system would be settled in Korea. And these finding provide information about target-efficient long term care continuum system to policy makers and helping professionals.

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