• Title/Summary/Keyword: conditional expectation

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Axial Shape Index Calculation for the 3-Level Excore Detector

  • Kim, Han-Gon;Kim, Yong-Hee;Kim, Byung-Sop;Lee, Sang-Hee;Cho, Sung-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.97-102
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    • 1997
  • A new method based on the alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm is developed to calculate axial shape index (ASI) for the 3-level excore detector. The ACE algorithm, a type of non-parametric regression algorithms, yields an optimal relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. In this study, the simple correlation between ASI and excore detector signals is developed using the Younggwang nuclear power plant unit 3 (YGN-3) data without any preprocessing on the relationships between independent variables and dependent variable. The numerical results show that simple correlations exist between the three excore signals and ASI of the core. The accuracy of the new method is much better than those of the current CPC and COLSS algorithms.

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Multivariate CTE for copula distributions

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Kim, Jae Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.421-433
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    • 2017
  • The CTE (conditional tail expectation) is a useful risk management measure for a diversified investment portfolio that can be generally estimated by using a transformed univariate distribution. Hong et al. (2016) proposed a multivariate CTE based on multivariate quantile vectors, and explored its characteristics for multivariate normal distributions. Since most real financial data is not distributed symmetrically, it is problematic to apply the CTE to normal distributions. In order to obtain a multivariate CTE for various kinds of joint distributions, distribution fitting methods using copula functions are proposed in this work. Among the many copula functions, the Clayton, Frank, and Gumbel functions are considered, and the multivariate CTEs are obtained by using their generator functions and parameters. These CTEs are compared with CTEs obtained using other distribution functions. The characteristics of the multivariate CTEs are discussed, as are the properties of the distribution functions and their corresponding accuracy. Finally, conclusions are derived and presented with illustrative examples.

REMARKS ON A PAPER OF LEE AND LIM

  • Hamedani, G.G.;Slattery, M.C.
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.475-477
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    • 2014
  • Lee and Lim (2009) state three characterizations of Loamax, exponential and power function distributions, the proofs of which, are based on the solutions of certain second order non-linear differential equations. For these characterizations, they make the following statement : "Therefore there exists a unique solution of the differential equation that satisfies the given initial conditions". Although the general solution of their first differential equation is easily obtainable, they do not obtain the general solutions of the other two differential equations to ensure their claim via initial conditions. In this very short report, we present the general solutions of these equations and show that the particular solutions satisfying the initial conditions are uniquely determined to be Lomax, exponential and power function distributions respectively.

ECM and GLR Based Multiuser Detection with I-CSI

  • Maio Antonio De;Episcopo Roberto;Lops Marco
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2005
  • This paper deals with the problem of multiuser detection over a direct-sequence code-division multiple access (DS-CDMA) channel with incomplete channel state informations (I-CSI). We devise and assess two novel recursive detectors based on the expectation conditional maximization (ECM) algorithm and the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) principle, respectively. Both receivers entail an affordable computational complexity. Moreover, the performance assessment, conducted via Monte Carlo techniques, shows that they achieve satisfactory performance levels and outperform linear detectors.

A new extension of Lindley distribution: modified validation test, characterizations and different methods of estimation

  • Ibrahim, Mohamed;Yadav, Abhimanyu Singh;Yousof, Haitham M.;Goual, Hafida;Hamedani, G.G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.473-495
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, a new extension of Lindley distribution has been introduced. Certain characterizations based on truncated moments, hazard and reverse hazard function, conditional expectation of the proposed distribution are presented. Besides, these characterizations, other statistical/mathematical properties of the proposed model are also discussed. The estimation of the parameters is performed through different classical methods of estimation. Bayes estimation is computed under gamma informative prior under the squared error loss function. The performances of all estimation methods are studied via Monte Carlo simulations in mean square error sense. The potential of the proposed model is analyzed through two data sets. A modified goodness-of-fit test using the Nikulin-Rao-Robson statistic test is investigated via two examples and is observed that the new extension might be used as an alternative lifetime model.

Influence diagnostics for skew-t censored linear regression models

  • Marcos S Oliveira;Daniela CR Oliveira;Victor H Lachos
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.605-629
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes some diagnostics procedures for the skew-t linear regression model with censored response. The skew-t distribution is an attractive family of asymmetrical heavy-tailed densities that includes the normal, skew-normal and student's-t distributions as special cases. Inspired by the power and wide applicability of the EM-type algorithm, local and global influence analysis, based on the conditional expectation of the complete-data log-likelihood function are developed, following Zhu and Lee's approach. For the local influence analysis, four specific perturbation schemes are discussed. Two real data sets, from education and economics, which are right and left censoring, respectively, are analyzed in order to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed methodology.

Comparison of Estimation Methods in NONMEM 7.2: Application to a Real Clinical Trial Dataset (실제 임상 데이터를 이용한 NONMEM 7.2에 도입된 추정법 비교 연구)

  • Yun, Hwi-Yeol;Chae, Jung-Woo;Kwon, Kwang-Il
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.137-141
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This study compared the performance of new NONMEM estimation methods using a population analysis dataset collected from a clinical study that consisted of 40 individuals and 567 observations after a single oral dose of glimepiride. Method: The NONMEM 7.2 estimation methods tested were first-order conditional estimation with interaction (FOCEI), importance sampling (IMP), importance sampling assisted by mode a posteriori (IMPMAP), iterative two stage (ITS), stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM), and Markov chain Monte Carlo Bayesian (BAYES) using a two-compartment open model. Results: The parameters estimated by IMP, IMPMAP, ITS, SAEM, and BAYES were similar to those estimated using FOCEI, and the objective function value (OFV) for diagnosing the model criteria was significantly decreased in FOCEI, IMPMAP, SAEM, and BAYES in comparison with IMP. Parameter precision in terms of the estimated standard error was estimated precisely with FOCEI, IMP, IMPMAP, and BAYES. The run time for the model analysis was shortest with BAYES. Conclusion: In conclusion, the new estimation methods in NONMEM 7.2 performed similarly in terms of parameter estimation, but the results in terms of parameter precision and model run times using BAYES were most suitable for analyzing this dataset.

Semi-Supervised Recursive Learning of Discriminative Mixture Models for Time-Series Classification

  • Kim, Minyoung
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.186-199
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    • 2013
  • We pose pattern classification as a density estimation problem where we consider mixtures of generative models under partially labeled data setups. Unlike traditional approaches that estimate density everywhere in data space, we focus on the density along the decision boundary that can yield more discriminative models with superior classification performance. We extend our earlier work on the recursive estimation method for discriminative mixture models to semi-supervised learning setups where some of the data points lack class labels. Our model exploits the mixture structure in the functional gradient framework: it searches for the base mixture component model in a greedy fashion, maximizing the conditional class likelihoods for the labeled data and at the same time minimizing the uncertainty of class label prediction for unlabeled data points. The objective can be effectively imposed as individual mixture component learning on weighted data, hence our mixture learning typically becomes highly efficient for popular base generative models like Gaussians or hidden Markov models. Moreover, apart from the expectation-maximization algorithm, the proposed recursive estimation has several advantages including the lack of need for a pre-determined mixture order and robustness to the choice of initial parameters. We demonstrate the benefits of the proposed approach on a comprehensive set of evaluations consisting of diverse time-series classification problems in semi-supervised scenarios.

The Comparison of Imputation Methods in Space Time Series Data with Missing Values (공간시계열모형의 결측치 추정방법 비교)

  • Lee, Sung-Duck;Kim, Duck-Ki
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.263-273
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    • 2010
  • Missing values in time series can be treated as unknown parameters and estimated by maximum likelihood or as random variables and predicted by the conditional expectation of the unknown values given the data. The purpose of this study is to impute missing values which are regarded as the maximum likelihood estimator and random variable in incomplete data and to compare with two methods using ARMA and STAR model. For illustration, the Mumps data reported from the national capital region monthly over the years 2001~2009 are used, and estimate precision of missing values and forecast precision of future data are compared with two methods.

Teaching Statistics through World Cup Soccer Examples (월드컵 축구 예제를 통한 통계교육)

  • Kim, Hyuk-Joo;Kim, Young-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1201-1208
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    • 2010
  • In teaching probability and statistics classes, we should increase efforts to develop examples that enhance teaching methodology in delivering more meaningful knowledge to students. Sports is one field that provides a variety of examples and World Cup Soccer events are a treasure house of many interesting problems. Teaching, using examples from this field, is an effective way to enhance the interest of students in probability and statistics because World Cup Soccer is a matter of national interest. In this paper, we have suggested several examples pertaining to counting the number of cases and computing probabilities. These examples are related to many issues such as possible scenarios in the preliminary round, victory points necessary for each participant to advance to the second round, and the issue of grouping teams. Based on a simulation using a statistical model, we have proposed a logical method for computing the probabilities of proceeding to the second round and winning the championship for each participant in the 2010 South Africa World Cup.