• Title/Summary/Keyword: climatic variable

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Developing a Mathematical Model For Wheat Yield Prediction Using Landsat ETM+ Data

  • Ghar, M. Aboel;Shalaby, A.;Tateishi, R.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.207-209
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    • 2003
  • Quantifying crop production is one of the most important applications of remote sensing in which the temporal and up-to-date data can play very important role in avoiding any immediate insufficiency in agricultural production. A combination of climatic data and biophysical parameters derived from Landsat7 ETM+ was used to develop a mathematical model for wheat yield forecast in different geographically wide Wheat growing districts in Egypt. Leaf Area Index (LAI) and fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (fAPAR) with temperature were used in the modeling. The model includes three sub-models representing the correlation between the reported yield and each individual variable. Simulation results using district statistics showed high accuracy of the derived correlations to estimate wheat production with a percentage standard error (%S.E.) of 1.5% in El- Qualyobia district and average (%S.E.) of 7% for the whole wheat areas.

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Development of a Site Index Equation for Pinus koraiensis Based on Environmental Factors and Estimation of Productive Areas for Reforestation (환경요인에 의한 잣나무의 지위지수 추정식 개발과 적지 판정)

  • Shin Man-Yong;Jung Il-Bin;Koo Kyo-Sang;Won Heong-Gyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2006
  • Site index is an essential tool to estimate forest productivity. Generally, a site index equation is developed and used from the relationship between stand age and dominant tree heights. However, there is a limit to the use of the site index equation in the application of variable ages, environmental influence, and estimation of site index for the unstocked forest. Therefore, it has been attempted to develop a new site index equation based on various environmental factors including site, climate, and topographical variables. This study was conducted to develop a site index equation based on the relationship between site index and environmental factors for the species of Pinus koraiensis in Yangpyung-Gun, Gyunggi Province. The influence of climatic factors (temperature and solar irradiation ratio), topographical factors (elevation, slope, ratio of slope to valley and aspect) and soil profiles (soil depth by layer and soil consistency) on site index were evaluated by multiple regression analysis. Five environmental factors were selected in the final site index equation for Pinus koraiensis. The site index equation developed in this study was also verified by three evaluation statistics: model's estimation bias, model's precision, and mean square error of measurement. Based on the site index equation, the number of productive areas for Pinus koraiensis were estimated by applying GIS technique to digitized forest maps. In addition, the distribution of productive areas was compared with the areas of current distribution of Pinus koraiensis. It is expected that the results obtained in this study could provide valuable information about the amount and distribution of productive areas for Pinus koraiensis reforestation.

Research on Selecting Influential Climatic Factors and Optimal Timing Exploration for a Rice Production Forecast Model Using Weather Data

  • Jin-Kyeong Seo;Da-Jeong Choi;Juryon Paik
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2023
  • Various studies to enhance the accuracy of rice production forecasting are focused on improving the accuracy of the models. In contrast, there is a relative lack of research regarding the data itself, which the prediction models are applied to. When applying the same dependent variable and prediction model to two different sets of rice production data composed of distinct features, discrepancies in results can occur. It is challenging to determine which dataset yields superior results under such circumstances. To address this issue, by identifying potential influential features within the data before applying the prediction model and centering the modeling around these, it is possible to achieve stable prediction results regardless of the composition of the data. In this study, we propose a method to adjust the composition of the data's features in order to select optimal base variables, aiding in achieving stable and consistent predictions for rice production. This method makes use of the Korea Meteorological Administration's ASOS data. The findings of this study are expected to make a substantial contribution towards enhancing the utility of performance evaluations in future research endeavors.

Potential Changes in the Distribution of Seven Agricultural Indicator Plant Species in Response to Climate Change at Agroecosystem in South Korea (농업생태계 기후변화 지표식물 7종의 분포 특성과 기후변화에 따른 영향 예측)

  • Hyung-Kyu, Nam;Song, Young-Ju;Kwon, Soon-Ik;Eo, Jinu;Kim, Myung-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2018
  • This study was carried out to predict the current and future potential distribution and to identify the factors affecting potential distribution of 7 plants(Lamium amplexicaule L., Trigonotis peduncularis(Trevir.) Benth. ex Hemsl, Capsella bursa-pastoris (L.) L. W. Medicus, Taraxacum officinale Weber, Veronica persica Poir., Conyza sumatrensis E. Walker, Hypochaeris radicata L.) selected as indicators for climate change in agricultural ecosystem. We collected presence/absence data of 7 indicator plants at 108 sites in South Korea and applied the Maxent model. According to future climate scenario, the distribution area of C. bursa-pastoris(L.) L. W. Medicus, T. officinale Weber, and V. persica Poir. was expected to be reduced, but the distribution range was to be maintained. The distribution areas and range of the C. sumatrensis E. Walker and H. radicata L. were expected to be increased. The distribution area and range of T. peduncularis (Trevir.) Benth. Ex Hemsl. and L. amplexicalue L. were rapidly decreased. Non-climatic factors such as land cover and altitude were the most important environmental variable for T. officinale Weber, C. bursa-pastoris(L.) L.W.Medicus, V. persica Poir., T. peduncularis (Trevir.) Benth. Ex Hemsl., and L. amplexicalue L.. Climatic factors were the most important environmental variable for C. sumatrensis E. Walker and H. radicata L.. It is expected that the future potential distribution of 7 indicator plants response to climate change will be used to monitor and to establish the management plan.

Analysis of Future Trends for Refractory Dissolved Organic Carbon in the Nakdong River Basin using Elasticity Theory (탄성도 이론을 이용한 낙동강유역 난분해성 용존 유기탄소 미래 추세 분석)

  • Park, Yoonkyung;Choi, Daegyu;Lee, Jae Woon;Kang, Limseok;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.476-488
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    • 2013
  • Refractory Dissolved Organic Carbon (RDOC) is becoming more important index on management of water quality, water regulation as well as ecosystem management. We analyzed trends of RDOC using elasticity in the Nakdong river basin. If climate elasticity of streamflow is positive, change of streamflow can be defined by the proportional change in a climatic variable such as precipitation and temperature. Elasticity of streamflow to precipitation and elasticity of RDOC to precipitation were estimated in the present, and we also analyzed the variation of elasticity in the future using climate change scenarios, RCP 8.5/ 4.5. Mean streamflow elasticity is 1.655, and mean RDOC elasticity is 1.983. RDOC is more sensitive to precipitation change than streamflow. The variation of RDOC is directly proportion to precipitation in all scenarios, but the Load of RDOC is dependent on precipitation as well as others. There is a need for additional correlation analysis between RDOC and other factors for accurate prediction.

Analysis of mean Transition Time and Its Uncertainty Between the Stable Modes of Water Balance Model (물수지 방정식의 안정상태간의 평균 천이시간 및 불확실성에 관한 연구)

  • 이재수
    • Water for future
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 1994
  • The surface hydrology of large land areas is susceptible to several preferred stable states with transitions between stable states induced y stochastic fluctuation. This comes about due to the close coupling of land surface and atmospheric interaction. An interesting and important issue is the duration of residence in each mode. Mean transtion times between the stable modes are analyzed for different model parameters or climatic types. In an example situation of this differential equation exhibits a bimodal probability distribution of soil moisture states. Uncertainty analysis regarding the model parameters is performed using a Monte-Carlo simulation method. The method developed in this research may reveal some important characteristics of soil moisture or precipitation over a large area, in particular, those relating to abrupt changes in soil moisture or precipitation having extremely variable duration.

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Projected Climate Change Impact on Surface Water Temperature in Korea (기후변화에 따른 지표수의 수온 영향평가)

  • Ahn, Jong Ho;Han, Dae Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2010
  • Global human activities associated with the use of fossil fuels have aggravated climate change, increasing air temperature. Consequently, climate change has the potential to alter surface water temperature with significant impacts on biogeochemical cycling and ecosystems in natural water body. In this study, we examined temporal trends on historical records of surface water temperature, and investigated the air temperature/water temperature relationship and the potential water temperature change from an air temperature scenario developed with regional climate model. Although the temporal trends of water temperature are highly variable site-by-site, surface water temperature was highly dependent on air temperature, and has increased significantly in some sub-watersheds over the last two decades. The results presented here demonstrate that water temperature changes are expected to be slightly higher in river system than reservoir systems and more significant during winter than summer for both river and reservoir system. Projected change of surface water temperature will likely increase $1.06^{\circ}C$ for rivers and $0.95^{\circ}C$ for reservoirs during the period 2008 to 2050. Given the potential climatic changes, every $1^{\circ}C$ increase in water temperature could cause dissolved oxygen levels to fall every 0.206 ppm.

A study for corrosion products of Ancient iron objects (고대 철기유물의 부식 생성물에 관한 연구)

  • Kand, Dai-Ill;Takayasu. A.Koezuka;Tosiya Matsui
    • 보존과학연구
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    • s.16
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    • pp.59-111
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    • 1995
  • Chemical composion and crystal form of Corrosion products found on archaeological iron objects were analyzed using X-ray fluorescence analysis, micro-X-ray powder diffraction analysis and ion chromatographic technique. The nature and behavior of the corrosion products were studied in order to aid in the conservation and restoration of burial iron objects. Twenty-two samples analyzed in this study were collected from iron object found in Korea and Japan. The corrosion products of iron objects from burial mounds contain $\alpha$-FeOOH, $\beta$-FeOOH, $\gamma$-FeOOH, $Fe_3O_4$and amorphous iron hydroxides. The content of $\alpha$-HeOOH is the greatest. Because, Ageing for long period should change the amorphous iron hydroxides is considerably less than that in usual atmospheric corrosion products. The concentration of chlorine and sulfine is remarkably variable ($Cl^-$ : 100- 30,000ppm, $SO_4^-2$ : 20-10,000ppm),but the reasons are unclear. The presence of generally high concentrations of chlorine and sulfine the corrosion products of iron objects seem to be influenced by the marine climatic condition. The presence of high chlorine and sulfine concentrations in the corrosion products of iron objects seem to be influenced by the marine burial environments.

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Effect of Climate Change on the Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea (기후변화가 잣나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lim, Jong Hwan;Chun, Jung Hwa;Park, Ko Eun;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.3
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climate change on the tree-ring growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. koraiensis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, five clusters were identified. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated by cluster. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) by cluster were estimated to analyze the effect of climatic conditions on the growth of the species. Tree-ring growth estimation equations by cluster were developed by using the product of yearly TEI and PEI as independent variable. The tree-ring growth estimation equations were applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth by cluster of P. koraiensis from 2011 to 2100. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. koraiensis and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climate change.

Diversity and Occurrence Frequency of Ectomycorrhizal Fruiting Bodies by Planting Sites (식재지별 외생균근성 버섯의 다양성 및 발생 빈도 비교)

  • Chung, Jin-Chul;Oh, Kwang-In;Jang, Seog-Ki;Jang, Kyu-Kwan
    • The Korean Journal of Mycology
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to investigate the diversity and occurrence frequency of ectomycorrhizal fruit bodies by planting sites from June 2000 to October 2001. A total of 3 classes 3 subclasses 8 orders 22 families 41 genera and 72 species (including two varieties) including saprophytic and ectomycorrhizal fungi was investigated. The mushrooms are classified into 9 families 21 genera and 48 species in Agaricales, 5 families 11 genera and 13 species in Aphllophorales, 3 families 3 genera and 4 species in Heterobasidiomycetes and 5 families 6 genus and 7 species in Gasteromycetdae. A total of 7 families 11 genera 30 species (2,451 ea.) of ectomycorrhizal mushroom was investigated. The occurrence frequency of mushrooms was 1,225, 179 and 130 times for Laccaria vinaceoavellanea, Amanita longistriata and Laccaria amethystea, respectively. The mushroom occurrence of ectomycorrhizal fungi was closely related to climatic conditions such as high air temperature, relative humidity and lots of rainfall from July to August. Diversity and distribution of ectomycorrhizal fungi by plots were very different because of variable local environments and different host plants in experimental plots. Laccaria vinaceoavellanea has showed very low host range of plant specificity because of mushroom occurrence in only Quercus sp. and Amanita longistriata, Russula bella and Inocybe sp. have showed wide host range of plant specificity because of mushroom occurrence in coniferous and broadleaved trees. The environment which has a favorable influence of mushroom occurrence was soil pH, organic matter and T/N ratio of soil enviromental and humidity of climatic environment.