• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate system

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Assessment of Future River Environment considering Climate Change and Basin Runoff Characteristics (기후변화와 유역유출특성을 고려한 미래하천환경 평가)

  • Ahn, Jung Min;Im, Toe Hyo;Lee, In Jung;Cheon, Se Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.269-283
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated the environmental impact based on watershed characteristics and climate change using RCP climate change scenarios provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Future dam inflow was estimated by the SWAT model. Dam safety evaluation and downstream duration curve analysis was performed using HEC-ResSim model. Trends of water quality was analyzed through seasonal-Kendall Test using existing water quality observation data. Release discharge and tributary runoff derived SWAT and HEC-ResSim models applied to Qual2E and the future change in water quality trends were analyzed. Integrated environmental review watershed following techniques will be able to obtain the river environment management system and environmental issues such as climate change, new guidelines for preemptively response will be provided.

Prediction of Landslides Occurrence Probability under Climate Change using MaxEnt Model (MaxEnt 모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 산사태 발생가능성 예측)

  • Kim, Hogul;Lee, Dong-Kun;Mo, Yongwon;Kil, Sungho;Park, Chan;Lee, Soojae
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2013
  • Occurrence of landslides has been increasing due to extreme weather events(e.g. heavy rainfall, torrential rains) by climate change. Pyeongchang, Korea had seriously been damaged by landslides caused by a typhoon, Ewiniar in 2006. Moreover, the frequency and intensity of landslides are increasing in summer due to torrential rain. Therefore, risk assessment and adaptation measure is urgently needed to build resilience. To support landslide adaptation measures, this study predicted landslides occurrence using MaxEnt model and suggested susceptibility map of landslides. Precipitation data of RCP 8.5 Climate change scenarios were used to analyze an impact of increase in rainfall in the future. In 2050 and 2090, the probability of landslides occurrence was predicted to increase. These were due to an increase in heavy rainfall and cumulative rainfall. As a result of analysis, factors that has major impact on landslide appeared to be climate factors, prediction accuracy of the model was very high(92%). In the future Pyeongchang will have serious rainfall compare to 2006 and more intense landslides area expected to increase. This study will help to establish adaptation measure against landslides due to heavy rainfall.

The Impact of the Oceanic Biological Pump on Atmospheric CO2 and Its Link to Climate Change (해양 생물 펌프가 대기 중 이산화탄소에 미치는 영향 그리고 기후 변동과의 연관성)

  • Kwon, Eun Young;Cho, Yang-Ki
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.266-276
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    • 2013
  • The ocean is the largest reservoir of carbon in the climate system. Atmospheric $CO_2$ is efficiently transferred to the deep ocean by a process called the biological carbon pump: photosynthetic fixation of $CO_2$ at the sea surface and remineralization of sinking organic carbon at depths are main causes for the vertical contrast of carbon in the ocean. The sequestered carbon to the deep ocean returns to the sea surface by ocean circulation. Part of the upwelled $CO_2$ leaks into the atmosphere through air-sea gas exchange. It has been suggested that the air-sea partitioning of carbon has varied in concert with the glacial-interglacial climate variations, due partly to changes in ocean circulation. In this review paper, we briefly summarize key concepts of the oceanic carbon pump. We also discuss the response of the air-sea carbon partitioning to change in ocean circulation in the context of the glacial-interglacial climate change.

Analysis of Flood Control Capacity of Agricultural Reservoir Based on SSP Climate Change Scenario (SSP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 농업용 저수지 홍수조절능력 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Kwak, Jihye;Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang Min;Lee, Sunghack;Lee, Jae Nam;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.5
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the flood control capacity of the agricultural reservoir based on state-of-the-art climate change scenario - SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). 18 agricultural reservoirs were selected as the study sites, and future rainfall data based on SSP scenario provided by CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6) was applied to analyze the impact of climate change. The frequency analysis module, the rainfall-runoff module, the reservoir operation module, and their linkage system were built and applied to simulate probable rainfall, maximum inflow, maximum outflow, and maximum water level of the reservoirs. And the maximum values were compared with the design values, such as design flood of reservoirs, design flood of direct downstream, and top of dam elevation, respectively. According to whether or not the maximum values exceed each design value, cases were divided into eight categories; I-O-H, I-O, I-H, I, O-H, O, H, X. Probable rainfall (200-yr frequency, 12-h duration) for observed data (1973~2020) was a maximum of 445.2 mm and increased to 619.1~1,359.7 mm in the future (2011~2100). For the present, 61.1% of the reservoirs corresponded to I-O, which means the reservoirs have sufficient capacity to discharge large inflow; however, there is a risk of overflowing downstream due to excessive outflow. For the future, six reservoirs (Idong, Baekgok, Yedang, Tapjung, Naju, Jangsung) were changed from I-O to I-O-H, which means inflow increases beyond the discharge capacity due to climate change, and there is a risk of collapse due to dam overflow.

A Study on the Direction of Urban Planning for Coping with Climate Change focusing on Urban Metabolism (도시 메타볼리즘 중심의 기후변화대응 도시 계획 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sung Hee;Kim, Jong Kon
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.279-290
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to suggest the direction of urban planning for coping with climate change focusing on urban metabolism. The study consists of two main parts: literature review and case study. The cases are selected for mixed-use housing estate in Europe, which established the plans for energy saving and efficient use of resources and waste. The case study was carried out in accordance with the framework, which had four aspects that are 'to minimize energy input,' 'to use renewable energy sources,' 'to recycle waste,' and 'to reuse natural resources.' As a result, in all the cases, analysis showed that the circular metabolism system was built for energy, waste and water resources and that the plan satisfying all the aspects of the framework was established. Moreover, main planning elements are different reflecting resource conditions for each case. In conclusion, in order to achieve urban metabolism, it will be necessary to analyze various conditions including the surrounding environment of the region and to introduce planning elements that can maximize the regional potential.

A Study on Development of Climate Change Adaptation in Ecosystem Sector - Focused on Policy and Research Base in Major Countries - (생태분야 기후변화 적응의 흐름과 발전방향 - 국내외 정책 및 연구기반을 중심으로 -)

  • Yeo, Inae;Hong, Seungbum;Park, Eunjin
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2019
  • This study aims at deriving the implications for adaptation policy and research target regarding climate change risk assessment in ecosystem sector in Korea. The common ground of exemplary cases of "world leaders" in terms of adaptation policies and researches was that they emphasize nationwide study on climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem in target of establishing scientific evidence-bases and reducing uncertainty for their national adaptation policies and plans. In light of this trend, Korean government should settle down more successful adaptation structure by leading adaptation system in further national policy-settings to observe UNFCCC and CBD integratedly and effectively, considering the economic value of adaptation in policy, and strengthening scientific research programs and technology developments. Moreover, risks assessment based on diagnoses and analysis on the risk factors (hazard, exposure, and vulnerability) for climate change in nationwide habitats and species and consolidations with subsequent adaptation strategies could make adaptations in ecosystem sector more effective and successful.

Evaluation of Furrow Mulching Methods for Controlling Non-Point Source Pollution Load from a Sloped Upland (경사밭 고랑멀칭 방법에 따른 비점오염 저감효과 평가)

  • Yeob, So-Jin;Kim, Min-Kyeong;Kim, Myung-Hyun;Bang, Jeong-Hwan;Choi, Soon-Kun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.3
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2022
  • South Korea's agricultural nitrogen balance and phosphorus balance rank first and second, respectively, among OECD countries, and proper nutrient management is required to preserve the water quality of rivers and lakes. This study evaluates the effects of furrow mulching on the reduction of non-point source pollution (NPS) load from a sloped upland. The study site was Wanju-gun, Jeollabuk-do, and the survey period was from 2018 to 2019. The slope of the testbed was 13%, and the soil type was sandy loam. The cropping system consisted of maize-autumn Chinese cabbage rotation. The testbed was composed of bare soil (bare), control (Cont.), furrow vegetation mulching (FVM), and furrow nonwoven fabric mulching (FFM) plots. Runoff was collected for each rainfall event with a 1/100 sampler, and the NPS load was calculated by measuring the concentrations of SS, T-N, and T-P. The NPS load was then analyzed for the entire monitoring and crop cultivation periods. During the monitoring period, the effect of reducing the NPS load was 1.5%~44.5% for FVM and 13.1%~55.2% for FFM. During the crop cultivation period, it was 1.2%~80.5% for FVM and 27.0%~65.1% for FFM, indicating that FFM was more effective than FVM. As the NPS load was fairly high during the crop conversion period, an appropriate management method needs to be implemented during this period.

Strategic Review of Germany's LULUCF Policy Development Process: Implications for Korea (독일의 LULUCF 정책 분석을 통한 국내 정책 및 전략에의 시사점)

  • Lee, Woojin;Kim, Leehyung;Lee, Ruda
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.102-114
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    • 2022
  • Global climate change can be solved only through international cooperation. Climate change can be caused by natural and anthropogenic causes. An important policy responding on the climate change is to reduce the emission of climate change-affecting substances caused by anthropogenic causes. This research was conducted to suggest the direction of Korea's LULUCF(Land Use-Land Use Change and Forestry) policy by comparing Germany's LULUCF policy, which is considered as a good case for establishing the EU's greenhouse gas reduction response policy. Germany's LULUCF policy concerns with various sectors for synergy effects, while Korea's LULUCF policy is biased towards the forest sector. Although Korea's LULUCF policy focuses on forests, basic research is still insufficient and the linkage with existing environmental policies is low. Therefore, Korea's LULUCF policy needs more expansion into many different sectors such as agricultural, environmental, and other fields.

Fatigue wind load spectrum construction based on integration of turbulent wind model and measured data for long-span metal roof

  • Liman Yang;Cong Ye;Xu Yang;Xueyao Yang;Jian-ge Kou
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2023
  • Aiming at the problem that fatigue characteristics of metal roof rely on local physical tests and lacks the cyclic load sequence matching with regional climate, this paper proposed a method of constructing the fatigue load spectrum based on integration of wind load model, measured data of long-span metal roof and climate statistical data. According to the turbulence characteristics of wind, the wind load model is established from the aspects of turbulence intensity, power spectral density and wind pressure coefficient. Considering the influence of roof configuration on wind pressure distribution, the parameters are modified through fusing the measured data with least squares method to approximate the actual wind pressure load of the roof system. Furthermore, with regards to the wind climate characteristics of building location, Weibull model is adopted to analyze the regional meteorological data to obtain the probability density distribution of wind velocity used for calculating wind load, so as to establish the cyclic wind load sequence with the attributes of regional climate and building configuration. Finally, taking a workshop's metal roof as an example, the wind load spectrum is constructed according to this method, and the fatigue simulation and residual life prediction are implemented based on the experimental data. The forecasting result is lightly higher than the design standards, consistent with general principles of its conservative safety design scale, which shows that the presented method is validated for the fatigue characteristics study and health assessment of metal roof.

Effect of Climate Change Characteristics on Operation of Water Purification Plant (정수장 운영에 영향을 미치는 기후변화 요인 분석)

  • Youjung Jang;Hyeonwoo Choi;Seojun Lee;Jaeyoung Choi;Hyeonsoo Choi;Heekyong Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2024
  • Climate change has a broad impact on the entire water environment, and this impact is growing. Climate adaptation in water supply systems often involves quantity and quality control, but there has been a lack of research examining the impacts of climatic factors on water supply productivity and operation conditions. Therefore, the present study focused on, first, building a database of climatic factors and water purification operating conditions, and then identifying the correlations between factors to reveal their impacts. News big data was analyzed with keywords of climatic factors and water supply systems in either nationwide or region-wide analyses. Metropolitan area exhibited more issues with cold waves whereas there were more issues with drought in the Southern Chungcheong area. A survey was conducted to seek experts' opinions on the climatic impacts leading to these effects. Pre-chlorination due to drought, high-turbidity of intake water due to rainfall, an increase of toxins in intake water due to heat waves, and low water temperature due to cold waves were expected. Pearson correlation analysis was conducted based on meteorological data and the operating data of a water purification plant. Heavy rain resulted in 13 days of high turbidity, and the subsequent low turbidity conditions required 3 days of high coagulant dosage. This insight is expected to help inform the design of operation manuals for waterworks in response to climate change.