• 제목/요약/키워드: classified predicting

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오차간의 상관관계를 이용하는 체계명중률 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Delivery Accuracy Using the Correlation between Errors)

  • 김현수;김건인;강환일
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.299-303
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    • 2018
  • 일반적으로 대공화기의 체계 명중률을 예측할 때 오차를 각각 고정편기, 가변편기 및 랜덤오차로 분류한 후 가변편기와 랜덤오차는 각 오차의 값의 제곱의 합의 제곱근으로 나타내고 고정편기의 경우는 오차의 합으로 나타낸다. 이때 각 오차의 단위 값의 변화에 관한 고각방향과 방위각 방향의 변위를 나타내는 변수가 가중치로 작용한다. 그리고 이 오차들을 이용하여 정규분포식의 적분을 통하여 체계 명중률을 예측한다. 본 논문에서는 오차의 상관관계를 고려하여 체계 명중률을 예측하는 방법을 제시한다. 본 접근법이 정밀한 체계 명중률을 예측하는데 도움이 된다는 것을 보인다.

Prediction Model for the Risk of Scapular Winging in Young Women Based on the Decision Tree

  • Gwak, Gyeong-tae;Ahn, Sun-hee;Kim, Jun-hee;Weon, Young-soo;Kwon, Oh-yun
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2020
  • Background: Scapular winging (SW) could be caused by tightness or weakness of the periscapular muscles. Although data mining techniques are useful in classifying or predicting risk of musculoskeletal disorder, predictive models for risk of musculoskeletal disorder using the results of clinical test or quantitative data are scarce. Objects: This study aimed to (1) investigate the difference between young women with and without SW, (2) establish a predictive model for presence of SW, and (3) determine the cutoff value of each variable for predicting the risk of SW using the decision tree method. Methods: Fifty young female subjects participated in this study. To classify the presence of SW as the outcome variable, scapular protractor strength, elbow flexor strength, shoulder internal rotation, and whether the scapula is in the dominant or nondominant side were determined. Results: The classification tree selected scapular protractor strength, shoulder internal rotation range of motion, and whether the scapula is in the dominant or nondominant side as predictor variables. The classification tree model correctly classified 78.79% (p = 0.02) of the training data set. The accuracy obtained by the classification tree on the test data set was 82.35% (p = 0.04). Conclusion: The classification tree showed acceptable accuracy (82.35%) and high specificity (95.65%) but low sensitivity (54.55%). Based on the predictive model in this study, we suggested that 20% of body weight in scapular protractor strength is a meaningful cutoff value for presence of SW.

Which Emphasizing Factors Are Most Predictive of Hematoma Expansion in Spot Sign Positive Intracerebral Hemorrhage?

  • Kim, So Hyun;Jung, Hyun Ho;Whang, Kum;Kim, Jong Yun;Pyen, Jin Su;Oh, Ji Woong
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제56권2호
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    • pp.86-90
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    • 2014
  • Objective : The spot sign is related with the risk of hematoma expansion in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). However, not all spot sign positive patients undergo hematoma expansion. Thus, the present study investigates the specific factors enhancing the spot sign positivity in predicting hematoma expansion. Methods : We retrospectively studied 316 consecutive patients who presented between March 2009 to March 2011 with primary ICH and whose initial computed tomography brain angiography (CTA) was performed at our Emergency Department. Of these patients, 47 primary ICH patients presented spot signs in their CTA. We classified these 47 patients into two groups based on the presence of hematoma expansion then analyzed them with the following factors : gender, age, initial systolic blood pressure, history of anti-platelet therapy, volume and location of hematoma, time interval from symptom onset to initial CTA, spot sign number, axial dimension, and Hounsfield Unit (HU) of spot signs. Results : Of the 47 spot sign positive patients, hematoma expansion occurred in 26 patients (55.3%) while the remaining 21 (44.7%) showed no expansion. The time intervals from symptom onset to initial CTA were $2.42{\pm}1.24$ hours and $3.69{\pm}2.57$ hours for expansion and no expansion, respectively (p=0.031). The HU of spot signs were $192.12{\pm}45.97$ and $151.10{\pm}25.14$ for expansion and no expansion, respectively (p=0.001). Conclusions : The conditions of shorter time from symptom onset to initial CTA and higher HU of spot signs are the emphasizing factors for predicting hematoma expansion in spot sign positive patients.

요골 맥파를 이용한 사상체질 판별 (Determination of Sasang Constitution from Artery Pulse Waves)

  • 조재경
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.359-365
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    • 2020
  • 한방병원에 건강검진을 목적으로 내원한 732명의 피험자를 대상으로 사상체질감별설문지 검사를 통하여 한의사가 감별한 사상체질 결과와 맥진기를 사용하여 촌, 관, 척 부위의 요골 맥파를 측정한 자료를 입수하였다. 입수한 맥파 자료로부터 맥파의 폭, 피크의 크기와 개수를 특징 변수로 추출했다. 특징 변수들 중 타당도와 신뢰도가 높은 것들을 판별변수로 선정했다. 5겹 교차 검증법을 적용하여, 맥파 자료를 사상체질을 알려주는 훈련 표본과 사상체질을 알려주지 않는 예측 표본으로 구분했다. 훈련 표본에 대해서 판별분석을 수행하여 판별 함수를 구한 후, 이것을 예측 표본에 적용하여 사상체질을 예측했다. 예측한 사상체질과 설문지 검사로 알고 있는 사상체질을 비교하여 사상체질 분류 정확도를 계산했다. 사상체질 분류 정확도는 나이별, 성별 보정 전에는 태음인: 73.6 %, 소음인: 68.4 %, 소양인: 74.2 %이었으며, 전체 분류 정확도는 72.5 %이었다. 한국 인구를 기반으로 한 성별, 나이별 가중치를 적용하여 보정을 한 후의 사상체질 분류 정확도는 태음인(70.4 %), 소음인(84.2 %), 소양인(67.7 %)이었으며, 전체 분류 정확도는 73.8 %이었다.

뇌졸중 후 우울에 영향을 미치는 요인 (Predicting Factors of Post-Stroke Depression)

  • 김인자;서문자;김금순;조남옥;최희정
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.147-162
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    • 2000
  • Predicting factors of post-stroke depression were investigated. The subjects were 254 stroke patients who had been discharged and visited regularly the outpatient clinic for follow up care. The influencing factors were classified into five categories : demographic, disease-related, current state, social support, and illness intrusiveness. Sex, age, job, and educational level were defined as the demographic factor. The disease-related factors included stroke type, illness duration, attack frequency, and NIH score. ADL, cognitive function, and social activity were considered as the current state factors. The social support was measured as the perceived amount of social support. Illness intrusiveness means the perceived illness induced life style disruptions. Demographic, disease-related, current state, and social support were hypothesized to directly and indirectly affect post-stroke depression through illness intrusiveness. The illness intrusiveness was hypothesized to directly affect post-stroke depression. The hierarchial multiple regression was used to identify significant factors. The result showed that this model explained 43.3% of variance of post-stroke depression. And the prevalence of post-stroke depression was 38.8%. Among the demographic factors, job was identified as a main contributor to indirectly increase the post-stroke depression. Among the disease-related factors, stroke type, attack frequency, and NIH score were found to indirectly affect the post-stroke depression. Among the current state factors, ADL and social activity indirectly affected the post-stroke depression through illness intrusiveness. Social support and illness intrusiveness were identified to directly affect the post-stroke depression. This study has proved the factors likely to be implicated in the development of post-stroke depression. Based upon these results, it is recommended that the nurses who take care of post-stroke patients consider the risk factors such as social support, illness intrusiveness et al. Also programs which decrease the illness intrusiveness and increase the social support to reduce post-stoke depression recommended to be developed.

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신호교차로 대기행렬 예측을 위한 인공신경망의 학습자료 구성분석 (Training Sample of Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting Signalized Intersection Queue Length)

  • 한종학;김성호;최병국
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 도시부도로 신호교차로의 대기행렬을 단기(one cycle ahead)예측함에 있어 단일검지체계에 기반을 둔 한 지점의 시계열적 패턴을 갖는 검지자료(detection data)를 학습자료로 구성할 경우와 통합차량검지체계하에 기반을 둔 시공간적 상관관계를 갖는 검지자료를 학습자료로 이용할 경우를 가정하여 이에 대한 인공신경망의 학습능력과 예측능력을 비교하였다. 연구결과는 도시부도로 신호교차로상에서 차량군(platoon)의 이동에 따라 발생되는 시공간적인 상관관계를 갖는 교통류변수 $\ulcorner$상류유입교통량(k-1)->통행시간(k-1)->대기행렬(k)->유출교통량(k)->대기행렬(k+1)$\lrcorner$를 인공신경망의 학습자료로 구성할 경우, 교통류 패턴의 학습능력이 뛰어난 것으로 밝혀졌다.

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부식제 음독 환자에서 초기 내시경 소견의 중증도에 따른 임상 소견 및 예후 비교 (Comparison of Clinical Characteristics and Prognosis by Initial Endoscopic Severity in Caustic Injury)

  • 이상민;최우익;김성진;진상찬
    • 대한임상독성학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: We investigated comparison of clinical characteristics and prognosis by initial endoscopic severity in caustic injury and then discussed predisposing factors which can be helpful in predicting the prognosis and determining the treatment. Methods: This study was a retrospective review of medical records from patients over the age of 15, who underwent initial endoscopy for caustic injury from April 2007 through November 2014. Patients were classified according to two groups based on the initial endoscopic finding by Zargar's classification: patients with grade 0, I, IIa at esophagus (low risk group) and patients with grade IIb, IIIa, IIIb at esophagus (high risk group). The two groups were then compared. Results: A total of 55 patients were included (low risk group [n=44] vs. high risk group [n=11]). Old age (p<0.001), large amount of ingestion (p<0.05), oropharyngeal symptoms (p<0.01), high SOFA score (p<0.001), high WBC count (p<0.05), low base excess (p<0.01), and HCO3 (p<0.05) were statistically significant factors in the high risk group. A poor prognosis was observed for hospital stay (p<0.001), ICU admission (p<0.001), mortality (p<0.01), and stricture (p<0.001) in the high risk group. Conclusion: Clinical characteristics including age, amount of ingestion, oropharyngeal symptoms, SOFA score, WBC count, base excess, and $HCO_3$ can be helpful in the decision to undergo initial endoscopy and risk assessment by initial endoscopic severity can be helpful in predicting prognosis and determining the treatment plan.

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남성근로자의 대사증후군 유병에 영향을 미치는 직업군 및 생활습관 위험인자: 후향적 코호트 조사연구 (Influence of Occupational Type and Lifestyle Risk Factors on Prevalence of Metabolic Syndrome among Male Workers: A Retrospective Cohort Study)

  • 강소희;황선영
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.180-190
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: This study examined the influence of occupational type and lifestyle habits on the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) among Korean male workers. Methods: Through secondary analysis of their four-year health examination data, 3,892 subjects were divided into four subgroups according to the presence of MetS now and four years ago. Results: Nineteen percent (n=739) suffered from MetS and these 739 subjects were classified into following occupations: 7.1% were office workers, 17.6% were non-office workers, and 42.2% were drivers. Multiple logistic regression analyses showed that when the data adjusted for age, the predicting factors on the prevalence of MetS were heavy drinking (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.09~1.64) and the occupation of non-office workers (OR 2.99, 95% CI 2.13~4.18) and drivers (OR 7.97, 95% CI 4.89~10.83) among workers without MetS four years ago. Among workers already with a history of MetS, the predicting factors were less exercise (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.02~2.35) and drivers (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.03~2.94). Conclusion: Heavy drinking and less exercise and drivers were reported as influencing factors on the prevalence of MetS by this sample. The findings suggest that employers need to provide their employees with screening and management program for those at risk of MetS.

Prognostic Significance of Nestin Expression in pT1 High-Grade Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma Patients Treated with Intravesical BCG

  • Sen, Volkan;Bozkurt, Ozan;Demir, Omer;Tuna, Burcin;Yorukoglu, Kutsal;Ellidokuz, Hulya;Mungan, Ugur
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권24호
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    • pp.10813-10817
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    • 2015
  • Background: Possible roles of nestin expression in terms of predicting intravesical BCG therapy response in T1 high grade bladder cancer patients were investigated. Materials and Methods: T1 high grade bladder cancer patients who were treated with intravesical BCG between 1990-2009 were included. Immunohistochemical staining for nestin expression was performed. Nestin(+) and nestin(-) patients were compared in terms of recurrence and progression rates. Results: Sixty-three patients were included and median follow-up time was twenty-five months. After staining; 33 patients (52.4%) were classified as nestin (+) and 30 (47.6%) as (-). Nestin (+) patients were more likely to recur compared to nestin (-) patients (60.6% vs. 30%, p<0.05). Progression rates were also higher in nestin (+) patients, although this result did not reach statistical significance (15.2 % vs. 10 %, p=0.710). Conclusions: Nestin expression, which seems effective in predicting recurrence, appears to have a potential role in the urothelial carcinoma tumorigenesis. Patients with high grade bladder cancer and positive nestin expression need close follow-up and might be informed about more tendency to recur. Further comprehensive studies including larger patient cohorts may clarify the role of nestin in bladder cancer.

고속충격을 받는 Carbon/Epoxy 복합재 적층판의 충격체 질량손실을 고려한 흡수에너지 예측 (The Absorbed Energy of Carbon/Epoxy Composite Laminates Subjected to High-velocity impact in Considering the Loss of Projectile Mass)

  • 조현준;김인걸;이석제;김영아;우경식
    • Composites Research
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.349-354
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 Carbon/Epoxy 복합재 적층판에 대하여 실사격 실험을 수행하였으며, 복합재 적층판의 흡수에너지를 예측하기 위한 개선된 방법을 제시하였다. 고속충격실험 과정에서 충격체의 질량손실을 고속카메라를 통하여 거시적으로 확인하였으며, 따라서 이를 고려하여 복합재 적층판의 흡수에너지를 계산하였다. 고속충격을 받는 복합재 적층판의 흡수에너지를 예측하기 위한 모델을 제시하였으며, 복합재 적층판의 흡수에너지는 크게 정적에너지와 동적에너지로 분류하였다. 정적에너지 계산은 섬유의 파손과 정적 탄성에너지와 관련 있는 준정적 관통실험식을 통해 구한 관통에너지를 사용하였다. 동적에너지는 변형되는 시편의 운동에너지와 손실된 파편 질량들의 운동에너지로 나뉠 수 있다. 최종적으로 충격체 질량손실을 고려하여 예측된 흡수에너지와 실험결과를 비교/분석하였다.