• Title/Summary/Keyword: change analysis

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A Family of Tests for Trend Change in Mean Residual Life with Known Change Point

  • Na, Myung-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.789-798
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    • 2000
  • The mean residual function is the expected remaining life of an item at age x. The problem of trend change in the mean residual life is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper, we develop a family of test statistics for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend. The asymptotic normality of the test statistics is established. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to study the performance of our test statistics.

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The Change Point Analysis in Time Series Models

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2005
  • We consider the problem of testing for parameter changes in time series models based on a cusum test. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance in time series models, a general parameter case has not been discussed in the literature. Therefore, here we develop a cusum test for parameter change in a more general framework. As an example, we consider the change of the parameters in an RCA(1) model and that of the autocovariances of a linear process. We also consider the variance change test for unstable models with unit roots and GARCH models.

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The analysis of customers patterns selecting transportation modes in accordance with weather change (기상요인 변화에 따른 고객의 교통수단 이용행태 분석)

  • Park, Eun-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.746-755
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    • 2009
  • This study will analyze the data of Kyongbu & Honam Line whether how much the weather change has an effect on the change of transportation modes and check the pattern of customer's behavior and investigate the influence on the changing transportation modes. Especially, this study will confine to the rainfall and snowfall out of various weather causes, and the questionnaire investigation is used to know the sensitivity of customer's patterns selecting transportation modes in accordance with weather change, and the research result will be used to make a marketing strategy & efficient train operation.

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A NEW UDB-MRL TEST FOR WITH UNKNOWN

  • Na, Myung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2002
  • The problem of trend change in the mean residual life is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper, a new test statistic for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend is developed. It is assumed that neither the change point nor the proportion at which the trend change occurs is known. The asymptotic null distribution of test statistic is established and asymptotic critical values of the asymptotic null distribution is obtained. Monte Carlo simulation is used to compare the proposed test with previously known tests.

ANALYZING CAUSES OF CHANGE ORDERS IN KOREA ROAD PROJECTS

  • Kang-Wook Lee;Wooyong Jung;Seung Heon Han;Byeong-Heon Yoon
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1283-1287
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    • 2009
  • The Korean government implemented 259 road projects from 2004 to 2007, valued at $18.4 billion. Change orders of these road projects occurred 8,973 times and, subsequently, caused significant increases in the cost of the projects, approximately up to $4.2 billion (22.8% of the initial budget). These significant problems of huge change orders require a more workable control system for budget management whereas the effectiveness of the government's control is still not satisfied. However, previous approaches and studies mostly limited their analyses to simply classifying the causes of the change orders. This paper investigates the real frequency and cost impacts incurred by each cause of a change order, primarily based on 218 road projects in Korea. The paper then identifies the attributes of change orders through a survey of 204 project participants in that those sources were inevitable or avoided if properly managed. The causes of the change orders are further analyzed with analysis of variance (ANOVA) in connection with contract volume, bid award rate, the contractor's capacity to perform, and the design company's capacity. This study found that if the contract volume is smaller, then the possibility of change orders is higher. Interestingly, if the bid award rate is less than 67.5%, it signifies the highest rate of change orders. In addition, the contractors whose construction ability is assessed as the top-ranked group showed the lowest change order rates. With these results, this paper provides the preventive guidelines for reducing the likelihood of change orders.

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Development and Analysis for Micro Actuator Using Buckling Membrane and Phase Change (좌굴과 상변화를 이용한 Micro Actuator의 개발 및 해석)

  • Song, Kwi-Eun;Kim, Jeong-Sik;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Lee, Yoon-Pyol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.638-645
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    • 2004
  • A new micro actuation concept is introduced and studied in this paper. This idea is based on the thermo-pneumatic actuation principle. In order to improve the performance of a conventional thermo-pneumatic actuator, the idea of bistable buckling is added. By using a membrane which has the bistable buckling characteristics, the working pressure difference can be increased and as a result the work output can be increased. The analysis model for each phenomenon, bistable buckling and phase change, are suggested and the each model is verified with experimental data. From the comparison of the theoretical prediction with the experimental results, it can be concluded that these models are useful for such micro actuator analysis.

An Analysis for Urban Change using Satellite Images (위성영상을 이용한 도시의 변화량 분석)

  • Hwang Eui-Jin;Shin Ke-Jong;Choi Seok-Keun;Lee Jae-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.159-163
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    • 2006
  • The domestic Remote Sensing field uses mainly Landsat TM image that is used to the monitoring of the wide area. In this study, it is analyzed the land cover change of rural and urban area by time series using satellite images and is proposed the vision for a urban balanced development. It execute an analysis for urban change which is a fundamental data of city planning through the integration of the spatial analysis technique of GIS and Remote Sensing using satellite data

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Analysis of Driver's Travel Behavior by Traffic Imformation (교통정보가 운전자의 운행행태에 미치는 영향 분석 - 자가운전자를 중심으로 -)

  • Lim, Chae-Moon;Koo, Kyung-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2002
  • The propose of this study is to analysis driver's behavior of traveler information. This research made an attempt to explore driver's route change behavior in the en-route stage. Model were developed for each analysis with LIMDEP software which was developed by Willams H Greene. Commuters' transportation change in before trip stage are affected by their income, travel time, and incident information and constant of this model showed their reluctance of change mode. This was resulted from the inappropriateness of traffic information to general commuters which is the main target of traffic information.

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The Environmental Change of Korea based on the Isopollen Map during the Holocene

  • Yoon, Soon-Ock
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 2008
  • Vegetation change reconstructed by pollen analysis is effective to clarify natural conditions such as climate and soil as well as intensity of human activity. Pollen analysis in Korea is difficult to obtain peaty soil sedimented by low relief geomorphollogically and formation age is usually confined to obtain information during young Holocene as well as little absolute age data. Isopollen map was constructed in order to analyze the change of vegetation environment time-spatially during Holocene based on the 30 data with age dated from 78 results from pollen analysis in Korea. The indicatives for vegetation environment were the main trees in Korea such as Alnus, Pinus, Quercus and AP/NAP during the periods of 6,000 y.BP, 4,000 y.BP, 3,000 y.BP, 2,000 y.BP, 1,000 y.BP. As a result, the regional time-spatial patterns of vegetation distribution appeared clearly on the isopollen map. The dominant vegetation stage was repeated in the different pattern e.g. the dominance between Alnus and Quercus at West Coast and between Pinus and Quercus at East Coast competitively.

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Profiling Female College Students' Apparel Buying Decision-Making Styles (여대생들의 의류구매 의사결정 스타일 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 정혜영
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.468-484
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    • 2004
  • The purposes of this study were (1) to segment female college students' apparel shoppers into unique apparel buying decision-making style groups; and (2) to profile for each segment in terms of personal characteristics (material values, change seeking tendency and prestige sensitivity) and fashion information sources. Data were collected through questionnaires from convenient sample of 290 female college students. As a result of cluster analysis and univariate analysis of variance, distinctive consumer decision-making style groups of consumers were identified; Value-maximizing Recreational Shoppers, Brand-Maximizing Emotional Shoppers, and Apathetic Shoppers. These three groups were compared as to the effect of personal characteristics variables and fashion information sources through univariate analysis of variance and chi-square statistics. The result showed that personal characteristics (material values, change seeking tendency and prestige sensitivity) and fashion-information sources do influence the consumer decision-making styles and that these three groups were unique in their decision-making characteristics showing that consumer decision-making styles can be a good segmentation base for apparel market.

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