• 제목/요약/키워드: causality analysis

검색결과 456건 처리시간 0.024초

서민주거안정정책이 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (Study on the Price of Housing depending on the Ordinary housing stability policy)

  • 고필송;고봉성
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.280-287
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    • 2011
  • 연구의 목적은 서민주거안정정책이 주택가격에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것이다. 이에 대한 실증분석을 실시한 결과 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 첫째, 그랜저인과관계를 검증한 결과 전 지역의 주택시장은 서민주거안정정책에 영향을 주고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 충격반응은 전 지역에서 부(-)의 반응을 보이며, 서민주거안정정책은 주택시장안정에 어느 정도 기여한 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 로짓회귀분석결과 서민주거안정정책은 노무현 정부의 강남지역을 제외하고 주택시장안정에 상당한 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다.

인지지도분석을 통한 정보보호 산업 활성화전략 (Revitalization Strategy of Information Security Industry Using Cognitive Map Analysis)

  • 이중만;조일구;임명환
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.177-194
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed President Park's speeches and the government's industry policy in the field of information security using cognitive map. The relationship analysis between policy tool variables and policy goal variables was employed to derive revitalization strategy of information security. This paper found that entrepreneurship revitalization has very strong causality with expansion of domestic market and global market. But, on the other hand, HR development has very weak causality with job creation and future growth driver because the labor market in the information security industry is poor and its transfer rate to other industry is very high. This study showed that this cognitive map could be characterized by a scarcity of feedback loops and a strong emphasis on the positive loops in the structure of virtuous circle. In this paper, we also constructed a comprehensive cognitive map on the policy vision of information security, showing that there are a risk of cyber threat, an opportunity of new fusion security market, information security reinforcing circle, global economic circle, and domestic market circle.

은행대출과 주택가격 간의 상호작용 (The Interaction between Bank Lending and Housing Prices in Korea)

  • 정준호
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.631-646
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 1990년대 초반과 2000년대 후반 기간 동안을 대상으로 공적분 장기 분석과 시계열 단기 회귀분석을 통해 은행대출과 주택가격 간의 인과성 패턴을 경험적으로 분석한다. 은행대출과 주택가격 간의 동시적인 상관관계가 크지만, 실증 분석 결과는 신용 증가와 은행대출 간의 강력한 상호작용은 주택가격의 변동에 따른 은행대출의 변화에 기인한다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 또한, 2000년대 초 중반에 도입된 LTV와 DTI와 같은 거시 건전성 규제는 금융시장과 부동산시장의 안정화에 크게 기여한 것으로 나타나고 있다.

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한국의 국방비지출과 경제변수의 인과관계 분석 (A Causality Analysis of Korean Defense Expenditure and Economic Variables)

  • 김종문
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.135-152
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    • 2004
  • Ever since Benoit's(1973, 1978) study, the relationship between defense spending and economic growth has been the subject of extensive empirical works. While a number of studies have reported that higher defense expenditure stimulate economic growth, many other studies have reported that an increase in military burden may hinder economic growth. To the extent that countries differ substantially in socioeconomic structures, the effects of defense spending cannot be generalized across countries. In this paper, Granger causality tests are performed between Korean defense expenditure and economic growth, consumption, investment, inflation and unemployment rate during the period from 1970 to 2002. The results show that Korean defense expenditure did not affect economic growth and unemployment rate. However, Korean defense expenditure caused consumption and inflation to decrease and investment to increase. On the other hand Korean defense expenditure was not Granger-caused by economic growth, consumption, investment, inflation and unemployment rate. In conclusion, the opportunity cost of Korean defense expenditure seemed to be relatively moderate considering Korean security environment. Even if it was not statistically significant, Korean defense burden at least did not bother economic growth.

루이스 칸의 '건축의 본질'에 관한 연구 (Ⅰ) - 이론과 작품에 나타난 건축본질의 플라톤적 특성의 분석을 중심으로 - (A Critical Study on Louis I. Kahn's 'Architectural Essence' (Ⅰ) - focused on the analysis of Platonic character in Kahn's architectural theory and works -)

  • 권태일
    • 건축역사연구
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2009
  • Louis I. Kahn is cleary one of 20th century great architects. The character of his philosophy of architecture can be condensed as simple words; Architectural Essence, because the very nature of his work based on historicity is so fundamental. Some contemporary architects and architectural critics regard it as a symbol of Post-Modern Architecture era expressing relative multiplicity or an expression of Heideggerian existentialism, but others do as the attribute of fundamentalist like absolute Plato's Idea. Comparing the former, studies of the latter theme have been executed superficially and somewhat biasedly for last decades. In the context, this paper attempt to reanalyze Kahn's idea of 'Architectural Essence' with the deep view of Platonist focused on the concept of binary opposition and causality.

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단순 비선형 모델을 이용한 자동차 충격흡수기의 동특성 모델링 기법 연구 (Dynamic Modeling of Automotive Shock Absorbers Using Simple Nonlinear Models)

  • 한형석;서정원;노규석;허승진;김기훈
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.156-162
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    • 2003
  • The shock absorber is a part having a direct influence on the ride comfort, stability and dynamic load prediction of a vehicle. Thus, a rationally modeled shock absorber should be required in the dynamic analysis of vehicles. This thesis presents a modified model, based on Worden's hyperbolic tangent function, in order to fit experimental data on the velocity-damping force of a shock absorber. The hyperbolic tangent function correctly indicates the characteristics of a shock absorber, and has the advantage of containing physical causality. To evaluate the method, comparative evaluations of the linear model, the 5th polynomial model and Worden's model were carried out. The function presented in this paper is not only simple but also makes it possible to estimate the function coefficients easily and visually. In addition, it has the advantage of containing physical causality. Lastly, it effectively models the damping force of a shock absorber.

Hyperbolic tangent를 이용한 충격 흡수기 감쇠력 모델 연구 (Damping Force Modeling of Shock Absorbers Using Hyperbolic tangent)

  • 서정원;한형석;노규석;허승진;김기훈
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1479-1482
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    • 2003
  • The shock absorber is a part having a direct influence on the ride comfort, stability and dynamic load prediction of a vehicle. Thus, a rationally modeled shock absorber should be required in the dynamic analysis of vehicles. This thesis presents a modified model, based on Worden's hyperbolic tangent function, in order to fit experimental data on the velocity-damping force of a shock absorber. The hyperbolic tangent function correctly indicates the characteristics of a shock absorber. and has the advantage of containing physical causality. To evaluate the method, comparative evaluations of the linear model. the 5th polynomial model and Worden's model were carried out. The function presented in this paper is not only simple but also makes it possible to estimate the function coefficients easily and visually. In addition, it has the advantage of containing physical causality. Lastly, it effectively models the damping force of a shock absorber.

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한국의 환율과 경제성장과의 인과관계 (A Study On Causal Relationship between Exchange Rate and Economic Growth in Korea)

  • 최봉호
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.329-347
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationship between the exchange rate and economic growth, and to induce policy implications. In order to test whether time series data is stationary and the model is fitness or not, we put in operation unit root test, cointegration test. And we apply Granger causality based on an error correction model. The results indicate that uni-dierctional causality between exchange rate and economic growth is detected. Exchange rate impacts on economic growth, but economic growth don't impact on exchange rate. The analysis of impulse reaction function shows that the impulse of exchange rate impacts on Korean economic growth in negative direction. We can infer policy suggestion as follows: The fluctuation of exchange rate much affects economic growth, thus we must make a stable policy of exchange rate to continue economic growth.

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An Empirical Investigation on the Interactions of Foreign Investments, Stock Returns and Foreign Exchange Rates

  • Kim, Yoon-Tae;Lee, Kyu-Seok;Shin, Dong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2002
  • Foreign investors'shares and their influences on the Korean stock market have never been larger and greater before since the market was completely open to foreign investors in 1992 Quantitatively and qualitatively as well, as a result, changes in the patterns of foreign investments have caused enormous effects on the interactions of major macroeconomic indices of the Korean economy. This paper is intended to investigate the causal relations of the four variables, foreigners'buy-sell ratios, stock returns, ₩/$ exchange rates and $\yen$/$ exchange rates, over the two time periods of the pre-IMF (1996.1.1-1997.8.15) and the post-IMF (1997.8.16-2000.6.15) based on the daily data of the variables. Granger Causality Test, Forecast Error Variance Decomposition(FEVD) using VAR model and Impulse Response Function were implemented for the empirical analysis.

사회복지에 대한 거시경제 판단지수의 예측 가능성에 관한 소고(小考) (The Analysis on Social Happiness and Macroeconomics Variables)

  • 김종권
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2009년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.387-397
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    • 2009
  • In these OECD countries, left-wingers Government focus on unemployment, but right-wingers Government cares more about inflation. It is that inflation and unemployment don't have differential effects across rich and poor and the happiness levels of these two groups are unaffected by identity of the Government in power. The poor people choose to left-wingers Government, but rich people prefer to right-wingers Government. I estimate whether above opinion is correct or not. Especially I check how my results change when I control for aggregate economy activity and government consumption, two variables that could be correlated with inflation and unemployment and affect each Government's happiness differentially. This paper, and I believe much of the happiness literature, can be understood as an application of experienced utility, a conception that emphasis the pleasures derived from private consumption and sentiment of it. In Granger Causality test, private consumption sentiment index related with industrial production interactively in Korea. The business cycles affect on private consumption sentiment index.

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