• 제목/요약/키워드: catastrophe model

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.027초

Dynamic fracture catastrophe model of concrete beam under static load

  • Chen, Zhonggou;Fu, Chuanqing;Ling, Yifeng;Jin, Xianyu
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.517-523
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    • 2020
  • An experimental system on three point bending notched beams was established to study the fracture process of concrete. In this system, the acoustic emission (AE) was used to build the cumulative generation order (AGO) and dynamically track the process of microcrack evolution in concrete. A grey-cusp catastrophe model was built based on AE parameters. The results show that the concrete beams have significant catastrophe characteristic. The developed grey-cusp catastrophe model, based on AGO, can well describe the catastrophe characteristic of concrete fracture process. This study also provides a theoretical and technical support for the application of AE in concrete fracture prediction.

Stationary Distribution for the Mobilities in Catastrophe Rescue Scenario

  • Wang, Yong;Peng, Wei;Dou, Qiang;Gong, Zhenghu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.308-326
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    • 2013
  • Mobility Model has drawn more and more attentions since its critical role in Mobile Wireless Networks performance evaluation. This paper analyzes the mobility patterns in the catastrophe rescue scenario, and proposes the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model to model these characteristics. We mathematically analyze the speed and spatial stationary distributions of the nodes and derive explicit expressions for the one dimensional case. In order to keep the stationary distribution through the entire simulation procedure, we provide strategies to initialize the speed, location and destination of the nodes at the beginning of the simulation. The simulation results verify the derivations and the proposed methods in this paper. This work gives a deep understanding of the properties of the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model and such understanding is necessary to avoid misinterpretation of the simulation results. The conclusions are of practical value for performance analysis of mobile wireless networks, especially for the catastrophe rescue scenario.

첨점 격변 모형에 기반 한 불연속 혁신의 유형별 사례 연구: 예측적 위기관리 측면 (A Case Study of Discontinuous Innovation Based on Cusp Catastrophe Model : Implications for Predictive Risk Management)

  • 김성철;신민수
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.2140-2149
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    • 2013
  • 혁신에서 불확실성이나 불연속을 경영한다는 것은 대부분의 기업에게 어려운 과제이다. 기업의 지속 가능한 장기적인 생존을 위해 불연속 혁신이 내포하고 있는 문제 중 하나는 혁신가의 딜레마이다. 특히 불연속 혁신과 기존 사업자간의 동태적인 상황은 연구자들과 기업 경영자들에게 큰 관심사항이다. 본 논문은 불연속 혁신이라는 현상을 설명하는 이론적 배경으로 격변이론을 도입한다. 즉, 불연속 혁신에 대한 기업전략의 동태적인 현상을 격변이론의 틀에서 해석함으로써 혁신딜레마를 극복하는 제어인자를 도출한다. 이를 위해 본 논문은 불연속 혁신의 네 가지 유형으로 기술 불연속, 제품 불연속, 사업 불연속, 그리고 소비자 선호도 불연속을 정의하고, 각각의 유형별로 불연속 혁신 실사례를 격변이론의 관점에서 해석함으로써 불연속 혁신을 중심으로 한 기업간 경쟁의 동태적인 상황을 분석하였다. 이러한 분석 과정은 기업 간 경쟁 속에서 예측이 떨어지는 불연속적인 상황에 미리 대처할 수 있는 제어인자를 발굴할 수 있도록 해준다.

Hurricane vulnerability model for mid/high-rise residential buildings

  • Pita, Gonzalo L.;Pinelli, Jean-Paul;Gurley, Kurt;Weekes, Johann;Cocke, Steve;Hamid, Shahid
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.449-464
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    • 2016
  • Catastrophe models appraise the natural risk of the built-infrastructure simulating the interaction of its exposure and vulnerability with a hazard. Because of unique configurations and reduced number, mid/high-rise buildings present singular challenges to the assessment of their damage vulnerability. This paper presents a novel approach to estimate the vulnerability of mid/high-rise buildings (MHB) which is used in the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model, a catastrophe model developed for the state of Florida. The MHB vulnerability approach considers the wind pressure hazard exerted over the building's height as well as accompanying rain. The approach assesses separately the damages caused by wind, debris impact, and water intrusion on building models discretized into typical apartment units. Hurricane-induced water intrusion is predicted combining the estimates of impinging rain with breach and pre-existing building defect size estimates. Damage is aggregated apartment-by-apartment and story-by-story, and accounts for vertical water propagation. The approach enables the vulnerability modeling of regular and complex building geometries in the Florida exposure and elsewhere.

Study of stability and evolution indexes of gobs under unloading effect in the deep mines

  • Fu, Jianxin;Song, Wei-Dong;Tan, Yu-Ye
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.439-451
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    • 2018
  • The stress path characteristics of surrounding rock in the formation of gob were analysed and the unloading was solved. Taking Chengchao Iron Mine as the engineering background, the model for analysing the instability of deep gob was established based on the mechanism of stress relief in deep mining. The energy evolution law was investigated by introducing the local energy release rate index (LERR), and the energy criterion of instability of surrounding rock was established based on the cusp catastrophe theory. The results showed that the evolution equation of the local energy release energy of the surrounding rock was quartic function with one unknown and the release rate increased gradually during the mining. The calculation results showed that the gob was stable. The LERR per unit volume of the bottom structure was relatively smaller, which mean the stability was better. The LERR distribution showed that there was main energy release in the horizontal direction and energy concentration in the vertical direction which meet the characteristics of deep mining. In summary, this model could effectively calculate the stability of surrounding rock in the formation of gob. The LERR could reflect the dynamic process of energy release, transfer and dissipation which provided an important reference for the study of the stability of deep mined out area.

Salt and Sand Transport from Aral Sea Basin

  • 이귀주
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2005
  • Model for dust and salt transportation from the dried bottom of the Aral Sea is suggested. Theoretical analysis is based on the turbulent diffusion equation for the averaged function of passive impurity concentration. One-layer model of the atmospheric boundary layer is assumed. Impurity precipitation rates are calculated as the functions of the particle size and the distance source of particles. Analytical solutions for the point and two-dimensional sources of impurities are found. Model calculations for salt and sand transport from the Aral Sea basin are made on the basis of 2D source model with a constant intensity.

FRAT을 이용한 재해평가지수 연구 - 건설업을 중심으로 - (A Study on Calamity Index Evaluation Based on FRAT - Construction Safety -)

  • 박재현
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2007
  • The construction industry by its nature retains higher level of danger where the smallest of error may lead to a major catastrophe endangering many workers and public safety as well as provoke social criticism. With the aid of quantitative statistical data on safety-related calamity analyzed till this day, this paper handled in depth the analysis of diseases other than the accidents, and selected new variable indexes that influence the indirect sections of calamity that are mostly concealed and incorporated them in a new model. For the factor selection of new calamity evaluation model, FRAT(Frequency, Recency, Amount, Type of merchandise/service)technique of customer-related management in marketing was applied, and as for the significance of each factor in the weight selection of variables. Consequently, considering the graveness of the FRAT itself through safety management experts, the related researches must be expanded.

Interpreting the Korean Crisis of 2008

  • Kim, Ginil
    • 사회경제평론
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    • 제38호
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    • pp.241-259
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    • 2012
  • This paper reviews four different kinds of currency crisis models proposed to explain the Korean crisis of 1997 to examine which model is more relevant to explain the Korean crisis of 2008. According to the author's investigation, the 'Frenkel-Neftci' cycle is more relevant model to interpret the Korean crisis of 2008. In 2008, spreads opened due to, first, high interest rate policy by the Korean government aimed to suppress real estate price increase, and, second, the expectation about exchange rate appreciation, and thirdly stock market returns after recovering the crisis. Then the international capital market catastrophe due to the subprime crises produced the sudden change of expectation of the market participants. Huge capital outflows resulted from the credit crunch in the international capital markets, and the possibility of exchange rate depreciation by the Korean government to promote exports in the course of the global recession.

Oxygen Vacancy Effects of Two-Dimensional Electron Gas in SrTiO3/KNbO3 Hetero Structure

  • Choi, Woo-Sung;Kang, Min-Gyu;Do, Young-Ho;Jung, Woo-Suk;Ju, Byeong-Kwon;Yoon, Seok-Jin;Yoo, Kwang-Soo;Kang, Chong-Yun
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.244-248
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    • 2013
  • The discovery of a two-dimensional electron gas (2DEG) in $LaAlO_3$ (LAO)/$SrTiO_3$ (STO) heterostructure has stimulated intense research activity. We suggest a new structure model based on $KNbO_3$ (KNO) material. The KNO thin films were grown on $TiO_2$-terminated STO substrates as a p-type structure ($NbO_2/KO/TiO_2$) to form a two-dimensional hole gas (2DHG). The STO thin films were grown on KNO/$TiO_2$-terminated STO substrates as an n-type structure to form a 2DEG. Oxygen pressure during the deposition of the KNO and STO thin films was changed so as to determine the effect of oxygen vacancies on 2DEGs. Our results showed conducting behavior in the n-type structure and insulating properties in the p-type structure. When both the KNO and STO thin films were deposited on a $TiO_2$-terminated STO substrate at a low oxygen pressure, the conductivity was found to be higher than that at higher oxygen pressures. Furthermore, the heterostructure formed at various oxygen pressures resulted in structures with different current values. An STO/KNO heterostructure was also grown on the STO substrate, without using the buffered oxide etchant (BOE) treatment, so as to confirm the effects of the polar catastrophe mechanism. An STO/KNO heterostructure grown on an STO substrate without BOE treatment did not exhibit conductivity. Therefore, we expect that the mechanics of 2DEGs in the STO/KNO heterostructures are governed by the oxygen vacancy mechanism and the polar catastrophe mechanism.

세포주기 변화에 타른 방사선 유도 암세포 사망의 조절기전 (Regulatory Mechanism of Radiation-induced Cancer Cell Death by the Change of Cell Cycle)

  • 정수진;정민호;장지연;조월순;남병혁;정민자;임영진;장병곤;윤선민;이헝식;허원주;양광모
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.306-314
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    • 2003
  • 목적: K562 세포의 방사선에 의한 세포 사망은 mitotic catastrophe 현상이 위주로 나타나지만 herbimycin A (HMA)에 의하여 apoptosis 반응이 촉진되는 반면 genisteln에 의하여 두 가지 형태의 세포사망이 모두 억제된다. 본 연구에서는 HMA와 genistein에 의한 K562세포의 방사선 유도 세포주기 조절 변화와 세포 사망 양상의 연관성을 조사하였다. 대상 및 방법: 지수증식기의 KS62 세포에 6 MV 선형가속기(Clinac 1,m C, Varian)를 이용하여 200~300 cGy/min의 선량률로 10 Gy를 균일하게 조사하였다. HMA와 genistein은 각각 250 nM와 25$\mu$M농도로 방사선 조사 후 즉시 투여하였다. 실험에서는 세포주기, 오절인자의 발현 및 활성, 노화 및 분화정도 등에 있어서의 시간에 따른 변화를 조사하였다. 결과: 방사선 단독조사에서 KS62세포는 G2기의 정체를 보였으나 정상적인 053을 가지는 세포와는 달리 지속적인 세포주기의 정체를 보이지 않았다. G2정체가 유지되는 동안 cyclin Bl의 점진적인 증가를 관찰할 수 있었으며, 이는 염색체의 복제가 완료되지 않은 상태에서 M기로 진행하여 미성숙한 염색체 응축과 mitotic catastrophe 현상이 나타나는 것과 일치한다. 방사선 조사와 함께 HMA를 투여한 경우에는 G2정체가 빠르게 해소되었으며 동시에 Gl기에서 세포가 정체되는 양상을 보였다. 세포주기 조절인자 cdc2 kinase 활성 증가와 cyclln I와 A 발현 및 CDK2 활성의 감소 등의 현상으로 설명되며, 이는 apoptosis의 증가와 연관성을 갖는다. 반면 genistein의 경우에는 cyclin Bl과 떨cfsc 발현 및 cdc2활성이 모두 감소하는 등 G2정체를 계속 유지하였다. 이와 함께 방사선에 의한 노화와 megakaryocyte로의 분화도 지속되는 것을 관찰할 수 있었다. 결론: HMA와 genistein에 의한 KS62세포의 방사선 유도 세포사망의 변화는 세포주기 조절과 밀접하게 연관되어 있음을 확인하였다. 이는 다양한 방사선 유도 세포사망의 기전을 이해하는 데 독창적인 모델을 제공하며, 방사선을 이용한 암 치료법의 개발에 새로운 표적을 제공할 수 있을 것이다.