• Title/Summary/Keyword: catastrophe model

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Dynamic fracture catastrophe model of concrete beam under static load

  • Chen, Zhonggou;Fu, Chuanqing;Ling, Yifeng;Jin, Xianyu
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.517-523
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    • 2020
  • An experimental system on three point bending notched beams was established to study the fracture process of concrete. In this system, the acoustic emission (AE) was used to build the cumulative generation order (AGO) and dynamically track the process of microcrack evolution in concrete. A grey-cusp catastrophe model was built based on AE parameters. The results show that the concrete beams have significant catastrophe characteristic. The developed grey-cusp catastrophe model, based on AGO, can well describe the catastrophe characteristic of concrete fracture process. This study also provides a theoretical and technical support for the application of AE in concrete fracture prediction.

Stationary Distribution for the Mobilities in Catastrophe Rescue Scenario

  • Wang, Yong;Peng, Wei;Dou, Qiang;Gong, Zhenghu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.308-326
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    • 2013
  • Mobility Model has drawn more and more attentions since its critical role in Mobile Wireless Networks performance evaluation. This paper analyzes the mobility patterns in the catastrophe rescue scenario, and proposes the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model to model these characteristics. We mathematically analyze the speed and spatial stationary distributions of the nodes and derive explicit expressions for the one dimensional case. In order to keep the stationary distribution through the entire simulation procedure, we provide strategies to initialize the speed, location and destination of the nodes at the beginning of the simulation. The simulation results verify the derivations and the proposed methods in this paper. This work gives a deep understanding of the properties of the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model and such understanding is necessary to avoid misinterpretation of the simulation results. The conclusions are of practical value for performance analysis of mobile wireless networks, especially for the catastrophe rescue scenario.

A Case Study of Discontinuous Innovation Based on Cusp Catastrophe Model : Implications for Predictive Risk Management (첨점 격변 모형에 기반 한 불연속 혁신의 유형별 사례 연구: 예측적 위기관리 측면)

  • Kim, Sung-Cheol;Shin, Minsoo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.2140-2149
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    • 2013
  • Managing uncertainty or discontinuity in an innovation is still a challenge to most companies. For sustainable corporate survival over the long term, one of the problems caused by discontinuous innovation is the innovator's dilemma. In specific, the dynamics between discontinuous innovation and incumbents inspires the interestof researchers and managers. This paper employs catastrophe theory as a theoretical basis to explain the driving force of new discontinuous change. In other words, we extract the control variables overcoming innovation dilemma by interpreting the dynamics of corporate strategy for discontinuous innovation from the perspective of catastrophe theory. First, we define four types of discontinuity such as technology discontinuity, product discontinuity, business discontinuity, and consumer preference discontinuity. Second, we analyze the dynamics of the competition between companies by interpreting the cases of discontinuous innovation. This analyzing process enables us to identify the control variable which can, in advance, respond to the discontinuous situation.

Hurricane vulnerability model for mid/high-rise residential buildings

  • Pita, Gonzalo L.;Pinelli, Jean-Paul;Gurley, Kurt;Weekes, Johann;Cocke, Steve;Hamid, Shahid
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.449-464
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    • 2016
  • Catastrophe models appraise the natural risk of the built-infrastructure simulating the interaction of its exposure and vulnerability with a hazard. Because of unique configurations and reduced number, mid/high-rise buildings present singular challenges to the assessment of their damage vulnerability. This paper presents a novel approach to estimate the vulnerability of mid/high-rise buildings (MHB) which is used in the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model, a catastrophe model developed for the state of Florida. The MHB vulnerability approach considers the wind pressure hazard exerted over the building's height as well as accompanying rain. The approach assesses separately the damages caused by wind, debris impact, and water intrusion on building models discretized into typical apartment units. Hurricane-induced water intrusion is predicted combining the estimates of impinging rain with breach and pre-existing building defect size estimates. Damage is aggregated apartment-by-apartment and story-by-story, and accounts for vertical water propagation. The approach enables the vulnerability modeling of regular and complex building geometries in the Florida exposure and elsewhere.

Study of stability and evolution indexes of gobs under unloading effect in the deep mines

  • Fu, Jianxin;Song, Wei-Dong;Tan, Yu-Ye
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.439-451
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    • 2018
  • The stress path characteristics of surrounding rock in the formation of gob were analysed and the unloading was solved. Taking Chengchao Iron Mine as the engineering background, the model for analysing the instability of deep gob was established based on the mechanism of stress relief in deep mining. The energy evolution law was investigated by introducing the local energy release rate index (LERR), and the energy criterion of instability of surrounding rock was established based on the cusp catastrophe theory. The results showed that the evolution equation of the local energy release energy of the surrounding rock was quartic function with one unknown and the release rate increased gradually during the mining. The calculation results showed that the gob was stable. The LERR per unit volume of the bottom structure was relatively smaller, which mean the stability was better. The LERR distribution showed that there was main energy release in the horizontal direction and energy concentration in the vertical direction which meet the characteristics of deep mining. In summary, this model could effectively calculate the stability of surrounding rock in the formation of gob. The LERR could reflect the dynamic process of energy release, transfer and dissipation which provided an important reference for the study of the stability of deep mined out area.

Salt and Sand Transport from Aral Sea Basin

  • Lee, Kwi-Joo;Shugan, Igor;Park, Na-Ra;Begmatov, A.;Mamatova, N.T.;Lee, Chung-Hwan
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2005
  • Model for dust and salt transportation from the dried bottom of the Aral Sea is suggested. Theoretical analysis is based on the turbulent diffusion equation for the averaged function of passive impurity concentration. One-layer model of the atmospheric boundary layer is assumed. Impurity precipitation rates are calculated as the functions of the particle size and the distance source of particles. Analytical solutions for the point and two-dimensional sources of impurities are found. Model calculations for salt and sand transport from the Aral Sea basin are made on the basis of 2D source model with a constant intensity.

A Study on Calamity Index Evaluation Based on FRAT - Construction Safety - (FRAT을 이용한 재해평가지수 연구 - 건설업을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Tae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2007
  • The construction industry by its nature retains higher level of danger where the smallest of error may lead to a major catastrophe endangering many workers and public safety as well as provoke social criticism. With the aid of quantitative statistical data on safety-related calamity analyzed till this day, this paper handled in depth the analysis of diseases other than the accidents, and selected new variable indexes that influence the indirect sections of calamity that are mostly concealed and incorporated them in a new model. For the factor selection of new calamity evaluation model, FRAT(Frequency, Recency, Amount, Type of merchandise/service)technique of customer-related management in marketing was applied, and as for the significance of each factor in the weight selection of variables. Consequently, considering the graveness of the FRAT itself through safety management experts, the related researches must be expanded.

Interpreting the Korean Crisis of 2008

  • Kim, Ginil
    • 사회경제평론
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    • no.38
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    • pp.241-259
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    • 2012
  • This paper reviews four different kinds of currency crisis models proposed to explain the Korean crisis of 1997 to examine which model is more relevant to explain the Korean crisis of 2008. According to the author's investigation, the 'Frenkel-Neftci' cycle is more relevant model to interpret the Korean crisis of 2008. In 2008, spreads opened due to, first, high interest rate policy by the Korean government aimed to suppress real estate price increase, and, second, the expectation about exchange rate appreciation, and thirdly stock market returns after recovering the crisis. Then the international capital market catastrophe due to the subprime crises produced the sudden change of expectation of the market participants. Huge capital outflows resulted from the credit crunch in the international capital markets, and the possibility of exchange rate depreciation by the Korean government to promote exports in the course of the global recession.

Oxygen Vacancy Effects of Two-Dimensional Electron Gas in SrTiO3/KNbO3 Hetero Structure

  • Choi, Woo-Sung;Kang, Min-Gyu;Do, Young-Ho;Jung, Woo-Suk;Ju, Byeong-Kwon;Yoon, Seok-Jin;Yoo, Kwang-Soo;Kang, Chong-Yun
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.244-248
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    • 2013
  • The discovery of a two-dimensional electron gas (2DEG) in $LaAlO_3$ (LAO)/$SrTiO_3$ (STO) heterostructure has stimulated intense research activity. We suggest a new structure model based on $KNbO_3$ (KNO) material. The KNO thin films were grown on $TiO_2$-terminated STO substrates as a p-type structure ($NbO_2/KO/TiO_2$) to form a two-dimensional hole gas (2DHG). The STO thin films were grown on KNO/$TiO_2$-terminated STO substrates as an n-type structure to form a 2DEG. Oxygen pressure during the deposition of the KNO and STO thin films was changed so as to determine the effect of oxygen vacancies on 2DEGs. Our results showed conducting behavior in the n-type structure and insulating properties in the p-type structure. When both the KNO and STO thin films were deposited on a $TiO_2$-terminated STO substrate at a low oxygen pressure, the conductivity was found to be higher than that at higher oxygen pressures. Furthermore, the heterostructure formed at various oxygen pressures resulted in structures with different current values. An STO/KNO heterostructure was also grown on the STO substrate, without using the buffered oxide etchant (BOE) treatment, so as to confirm the effects of the polar catastrophe mechanism. An STO/KNO heterostructure grown on an STO substrate without BOE treatment did not exhibit conductivity. Therefore, we expect that the mechanics of 2DEGs in the STO/KNO heterostructures are governed by the oxygen vacancy mechanism and the polar catastrophe mechanism.

Regulatory Mechanism of Radiation-induced Cancer Cell Death by the Change of Cell Cycle (세포주기 변화에 타른 방사선 유도 암세포 사망의 조절기전)

  • Jeong Soo-Jin;Jeong Min-Ho;Jang Ji-Yeon;Jo Wol-Soon;Nam Byung-Hyouk;Jeong Min-Za;Lim Young-Jin;Jang Byung Gon;Youn Seon-Min;Lee Hyung Sik;Hur Won Joo;Yang Kwang Mo
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.306-314
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    • 2003
  • Purpose : In our Previous study, we have shown the main cel1 death pattern Induced by irradiation or protein tyrosine kinase (PTK) inhibitors in K562 human myeiogenous leukemic cell line. Death of the cells treated with irradiation alone was characterized by mitotic catastrophe and typical radiation-induced apoptosis was accelerated by herblmycin A (HMA). Both types of cell death were inhibited by genistein. In this study, we investigated the effects of HMA and genistein on cell cycle regulation and its correlation with the alterations of radiation-induced cell death. Materials and Methods: K562 cells In exponential growth phase were used for this study. The cells were Irradiated with 10 Gy using 6 MeV Linac (200-300 cGy/min). Immediately after irradiation, cells were treated with 250 nM of HMA or 25 $\mu$N of genistein. The distributions of cell cycle, the expressions of cell cycle-related protein, the activities of cyclin-dependent kinase, and the yield of senescence and differentiation were analyzed. Results: X-irradiated cells were arrested In the G2 phase of the cell cycle but unlike the p53-positive cells, they were not able to sustain the cell cycle arrest. An accumulation of cells in G2 phase of first ceil-cycle post-treatment and an increase of cyclin Bl were correlated with spontaneous, premature, chromosome condensation and mitotic catastrophe. HMA induced rapid G2 checkpoint abrogation and concomitant p53-independent Gl accumulation. HMA-induced cell cycle modifications correlated with the increase of CDK2 kinase activity, the decrease of the expressions of cyclins I and A and of CDK2 kinase activity, and the enhancement of radiation-induced apoptosis. Genistein maintained cells that were arrested in the G2-phase, decreased the expressions of cyclin Bl and cdc25c and cdc25C kinase activity, increased the expression of pl6, and sustained senescence and megakaryocytic differentiation. Conclusion: The effects of HMA and genistein on the radiation-induced cell death of KS62 cells were closely related to the cell cycle regulatory activities. In this study, we present a unique and reproducible model in which for investigating the mechanisms of various, radiation-induced, cancer cell death patterns. Further evaluation by using this model will provide a potent target for a new strategy of radiotherapy.