• 제목/요약/키워드: box-cox model

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Applying Hedonic Price Model to Analyzing Non-market Characteristic of Personal Computer (헤도닉 가격모형을 이용한 개인컴퓨터의 비시장 속성에 대한 가치추정)

  • 신승식;곽승준;유승훈
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.85-101
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to test whether prices of personal computers reflect their varying degrees of non-marketable characteristics including after-sales service. This purpose is carried out using the hedonic price model. In this paper, we estimated 74 functional forms of hedonic price model using the quadratic Box-Cox transformation function and selected one based on the three criteria: expected signs, the statistical significance of estimated coefficients, and goodness of fit in terms of root-mean-square-percentage-error. In this study, we found hat as the after-sales service level increases the price of the personal computer increases. This result is consistent with the hypothesis that the less after-sales service offered with a personal computer, the less consumers are willing to pay for the personal computer, when all else remain constant. This finding shows that since the market works indirectly to influence pricing, the need to rely on consumer protection legislation to guarantee after-sales service is lessened. This study also found that after-sales service supported by each personal computer producer is not a free service, thus produces have a profit incentive for providing after-sales service.

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Prodiction of Walleye Pollock , Theragra Chalcogramma , Landings in Korea by Time Series Analysis : AIC (시계열분석을 이용한 한국 명태어업의 어획량 예측 : AIC)

  • Park, Hae-Hoon;Yoon, Gab-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 1996
  • Forecasts of monthly landings of walleye pollock, Theragra chalcogramma, in Korea were carried out by the seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARlMA) model. The Box - Cox transformation on the walleye pollock catch data handles nonstationary variance. The equation of Box - Cox transformation was Y'=($Y^0.31$_ 1)/0.31. The model identification was determined by minimum AIC(Akaike Information Criteria). And the seasonal ARlMA model is presented (1- O.583B)(1- $B^1$)(l- $B^12$)$Z_t$ =(l- O.912B)(1- O.732$B^12$)et where: $Z_t$=value at month t ; $B^p$ is a backward shift operator, that is, $B^p$$Z_t$=$Z_t$-P; and et= error term at month t, which is to forecast 24 months ahead the walleye pollock landings in Korea. Monthly forecasts of the walleye pollock landings for 1993~ 1994, which were compared with the actual landings, had an absolute percentage error(APE) range of 20.2-226.1 %. Thtal observed annual landings in 1993 and 1994 were 16, 61OM/T and 1O, 748M/T respectively, while the model predicted 10, 7 48M/T and 8, 203M/T(APE 37.0% and 23.7%, respectively).

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BINARY RANDOM POWER APPROACH TO MODELING ASYMMETRIC CONDITIONAL HETEROSCEDASTICITY

  • KIM S.;HWANG S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2005
  • A class of asymmetric ARCH processes is proposed via binary random power transformations. This class accommodates traditional nonlinear models such as threshold ARCH (Rabemanjara and Zacoian (1993)) and Box-Cox type ARCH models(Higgins and Bera (1992)). Stationarity condition of the model is addressed. Iterative least squares(ILS) and pseudo maximum like-lihood(PML) methods are discussed for estimating parameters and related algorithms are presented. Illustrative analysis for Korea Stock Prices Index (KOSPI) data is conducted.

A Study on the Measurement Methods of Economic Depreciation (경제적 감가상각 측정방법에 관한 연구)

  • 조진형;김성집
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.39
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    • pp.285-292
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    • 1996
  • In the case of existence of second-hand market, some methods for economic depreciation measurement have been developed. Among them, we consider two method. Those are Box -Cox model by Halten and Wykoff and Ratio method of T-factor by Iowa State University. Here, we suggest a new measurement method of economic depreciation based on the above two methods. According to the new method, we can get the failure rate of a equipment under the appropriate assumption. Then we can measure the economic depreciation more simply.

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On Asymmeticity for Power Transformed TARCH Model

  • Kim, Sahm-Yong;Lee, Sung-Duck;Jeong, Ae-Ran
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.271-281
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    • 2005
  • Zokian(1993) and Li and Li(1996) developed TARCH(Threshold ARCH) model, considering the asymmetries in volatility. The models are based on Engle(1982)'s ARCH model and Bollerslev(1986)'s GARCH model. However, two TARCH models can be expressed a common model through Box Cox Power transformation, which was used by Higgins and Bera(1992) for developing NARCH(nonlinear ARCH) model. This article shows the PTARCH(Power transformation TARCH) model is necessary in some condition, and it checks the fact that PTARCH model has better performance comparing estimates and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) with those of Zakoian's TARCH model and Li and Li's TARCH model. PTARCH model would give contribution in asymmetric study as well as heteroscedastic study.

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Forecasting with a combined model of ETS and ARIMA

  • Jiu Oh;Byeongchan Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2024
  • This paper considers a combined model of exponential smoothing (ETS) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models that are commonly used to forecast time series data. The combined model is constructed through an innovational state space model based on the level variable instead of the differenced variable, and the identifiability of the model is investigated. We consider the maximum likelihood estimation for the model parameters and suggest the model selection steps. The forecasting performance of the model is evaluated by two real time series data. We consider the three competing models; ETS, ARIMA and the trigonometric Box-Cox autoregressive and moving average trend seasonal (TBATS) models, and compare and evaluate their root mean squared errors and mean absolute percentage errors for accuracy. The results show that the combined model outperforms the competing models.

A study on electricity demand forecasting based on time series clustering in smart grid (스마트 그리드에서의 시계열 군집분석을 통한 전력수요 예측 연구)

  • Sohn, Hueng-Goo;Jung, Sang-Wook;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.193-203
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    • 2016
  • This paper forecasts electricity demand as a critical element of a demand management system in Smart Grid environment. We present a prediction method of using a combination of predictive values by time series clustering. Periodogram-based normalized clustering, predictive analysis clustering and dynamic time warping (DTW) clustering are proposed for time series clustering methods. Double Seasonal Holt-Winters (DSHW), Trigonometric, Box-Cox transform, ARMA errors, Trend and Seasonal components (TBATS), Fractional ARIMA (FARIMA) are used for demand forecasting based on clustering. Results show that the time series clustering method provides a better performances than the method using total amount of electricity demand in terms of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).

Study on the Social Value of Public Transport Comfort in Financial Investment Projects (재정투자사업의 쾌적성에 대한 사회적 가치 연구 : 광역버스의 차내 혼잡을 중심으로)

  • Heo Eun Jin;Kim Sung Soo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.52-64
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    • 2023
  • This paper concentrated on estimating the travel time value of individual regional bus passengers in various in-vehicle crowding conditions. In the analysis model, the traffic-selection data of individual transportation passengers based on smart-card data were used. Variables which reflect the level of in-vehicle crowding and the variables of in-vehicle travel time that reflect the level of in-vehicle crowding were included in the model using Box-Cox transformation. The result of this paper indicates that the travel time value experienced by individual users would increase as the in-vehicle crowding level increases. The smart card data used in this paper is considered to have significant implications in terms of conducting more sophisticated and realistic qualitative research to reflect the values of variables for in-vehicle traffic hours and in-vehicle crowding levels, which previously had limitations in observation and quantification. It is expected that the effects of improvement measures for reducing congestion on regional buses can be considered quantitatively by applying the estimation results of crowding multiplier.

Test of Linearity in Panel Regression Model (패널회귀모형에서 선형성검정)

  • 송석헌;최충돈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.351-364
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    • 2003
  • This paper derives Lagrange multiplier tests based on Double-Length Artificial Regression and Outer-Product Gradient for testing linear and log-linear panel regressions against Box-Cox alternatives. The proposed DLR based LM tests are easy to implement in an error component model. From the Monte Carlo study, the DLR based LM tests are recommended for testing functiona forms.

The Study for Process Capability Analysis of Software Failure Interval Time (소프트웨어 고장 간격 시간에 대한 공정능력분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2007
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. From the subdivision of this analysis, new attemp needs the side of the quality control. In this paper, we discuss process capability analysis using process capability indexs. Because of software failure interval time is pattern of nonnegative value, instead of capability analysis of suppose to normal distribution, capability analysis of process distribution using to Box-Cox transformation is attermpted. The used software failure time data for capability analysis of process is SS3, the result of analysis listed on this chapter 4 and 5. The practical use is presented.

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