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The Advanced Bias Correction Method based on Quantile Mapping for Long-Range Ensemble Climate Prediction for Improved Applicability in the Agriculture Field (농업적 활용성 제고를 위한 분위사상법 기반의 앙상블 장기기후예측자료 보정방법 개선연구)

  • Jo, Sera;Lee, Joonlee;Shim, Kyo Moon;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Hur, Jina;Kim, Yong Seok;Choi, Won Jun;Kang, Mingu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2022
  • The optimization of long-range ensemble climate prediction for rice phenology model with advanced bias correction method is conducted. The daily long-range forecast(6-month) of mean/ minimum/maximum temperature and observation of January to October during 1991-2021 is collected for rice phenology prediction. In this study, the concept of "buffer period" is newly introduced to reduce the problem after bias correction by quantile mapping with constructing the transfer function by month, which evokes the discontinuity at the borders of each month. The four experiments with different lengths of buffer periods(5, 10, 15, 20 days) are implemented, and the best combinations of buffer periods are selected per month and variable. As a result, it is found that root mean square error(RMSE) of temperatures decreases in the range of 4.51 to 15.37%. Furthermore, this improvement of climatic variables quality is linked to the performance of the rice phenology model, thereby reducing RMSE in every rice phenology step at more than 75~100% of Automated Synoptic Observing System stations. Our results indicate the possibility and added values of interdisciplinary study between atmospheric and agriculture sciences.

South Korean Demand for Tourism in North Korea and the Impact of their Expenses on the North Korean Regional Economy (한국인의 북한 관광의사와 북한 지역경제 효과)

  • Kim, Misuk;Seong, Taeyoung;Choi, Eunhee;Choi, Daesik
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2022
  • This study analyses how much Korean visits to North Korea have an impact on the North Korean regional economy. It estimates the demand for North Korean tourism via the borders of North Korea, China, and Russia and South Korean expenses to be spent in North Korea. When asked if they are willing to visit North Korea within the next five years in case the pre-conditions of the visit to North Korea are satisfied, approximately 64.1% of the survey respondents indicated 'yes'. To estimate the demand, this research employed the analysis of purchase intention, popular in marketing, based on their willingness to visit. The annual demand for tourism was 4,136,361 persons. The average estimated expense per person is KRW 1,532,000 and the total annual expense is KRW 6,336.9 billion. Assuming that airfare is excluded from the total expense and the expense is made evenly in each tourist destination, the estimated amount to be spent in North Korea is KRW 2,838.7 billion per annum. The backward linkage effect of this expense on the North Korean regional economy is KRW 7,972.1 billion in total production inducement, KRW 2,619.4 billion in value-added inducement, and approximately 2,890,443 persons in employment inducement. The value-added inducement effect is estimated to be approximately 7.6% of the North Korean nominal GDP in 2020. South Korean tourism is expected to have a significant impact on the North Korean economy. As the demand for North Korean tourism is likely to increase steadily due to the expected increase in overseas travel demand by Koreans, inter-Korean cooperation is needed for the development of North Korean tourism infrastructure if conditions improve.

Water Level Prediction on the Golok River Utilizing Machine Learning Technique to Evaluate Flood Situations

  • Pheeranat Dornpunya;Watanasak Supaking;Hanisah Musor;Oom Thaisawasdi;Wasukree Sae-tia;Theethut Khwankeerati;Watcharaporn Soyjumpa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2023
  • During December 2022, the northeast monsoon, which dominates the south and the Gulf of Thailand, had significant rainfall that impacted the lower southern region, causing flash floods, landslides, blustery winds, and the river exceeding its bank. The Golok River, located in Narathiwat, divides the border between Thailand and Malaysia was also affected by rainfall. In flood management, instruments for measuring precipitation and water level have become important for assessing and forecasting the trend of situations and areas of risk. However, such regions are international borders, so the installed measuring telemetry system cannot measure the rainfall and water level of the entire area. This study aims to predict 72 hours of water level and evaluate the situation as information to support the government in making water management decisions, publicizing them to relevant agencies, and warning citizens during crisis events. This research is applied to machine learning (ML) for water level prediction of the Golok River, Lan Tu Bridge area, Sungai Golok Subdistrict, Su-ngai Golok District, Narathiwat Province, which is one of the major monitored rivers. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, a tree-based ensemble machine learning algorithm, was exploited to predict hourly water levels through the R programming language. Model training and testing were carried out utilizing observed hourly rainfall from the STH010 station and hourly water level data from the X.119A station between 2020 and 2022 as main prediction inputs. Furthermore, this model applies hourly spatial rainfall forecasting data from Weather Research and Forecasting and Regional Ocean Model System models (WRF-ROMs) provided by Hydro-Informatics Institute (HII) as input, allowing the model to predict the hourly water level in the Golok River. The evaluation of the predicted performances using the statistical performance metrics, delivering an R-square of 0.96 can validate the results as robust forecasting outcomes. The result shows that the predicted water level at the X.119A telemetry station (Golok River) is in a steady decline, which relates to the input data of predicted 72-hour rainfall from WRF-ROMs having decreased. In short, the relationship between input and result can be used to evaluate flood situations. Here, the data is contributed to the Operational support to the Special Water Resources Management Operation Center in Southern Thailand for flood preparedness and response to make intelligent decisions on water management during crisis occurrences, as well as to be prepared and prevent loss and harm to citizens.

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Medvedev Administration's New Foreign Policy Line (메드베데프 정부의 새로운 대외정책노선 : 정책기조, 변화의 원인, 수행과정 분석을 중심으로)

  • Jeh, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.31-60
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    • 2011
  • Medvedev administration has adopted new foreign policy line because of Obama administration's 'Reset' policy and Global economic crisis. The objectives of Medvedev's new foreign policy are the creation of a favorable external environment and the efficient use of external resources for Russia's economic modernization. To achieve these goals, Medvedev's government fleshed out such specific action plans as the avoidance of conflicts with other powers, the prevention of conflicts around Russia's borders, the activation of capital investment, and the introduction of advanced technology from the outside. This foreign policy line takes shape in the building of a foundation for strategic cooperation with the United States, the preparation for 'Modernization Alliance' with Europe, the management of cooperation and conflict with China and Japan, and the introduction of a dual strategy of strategic stability and economic integration in relations with post-soviet states. In Russia's new foreign policy line the strengthening of relations with the United States and Europe acquires highest priority. However, this does not mean a return to a 'pro-Western liberal line' in the early 1990s. The ultimate goal of Russia's 'modernization' program still lies in the rebuilding of a powerful Russia in accordance with the multipolar world order that was Putin administration's foreign policy line. In this context, foreign policy change under Medvedev administration could be defined as a 'program change at international level' that signifies a change in the means to achieve goals without changing them.

Development of Site Classification System and Modification of Site Coefficients in Korea Based on Mean Shear Wave Velocity of Soil and Depth to Bedrock (기반암 깊이와 토층 평균 전단파속도를 이용한 국내 지반분류 방법 및 지반 증폭계수 개선)

  • Kim, Dong-Soo;Lee, Sei-Hyun;Yoon, Jong-Ku
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1C
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2008
  • Site response analyses were performed based on equivalent linear technique using the local geologic and dynamic site characteristics, which include soil profiles, shear wave velocity profiles and depth to bedrock for 125 sites collected in Korean Peninsula. From the results of site response analyses, 2-parameters site classification system based on the combination of mean shear wave velocity of soil and depth to bedrock was newly recommended for regions of shallow bedrock depth in Korea. First, as the borders of bedrock depth (H) for site classification were determined as 10m and 20m, the soil sites were divided into 3 classes as $H_1$, $H_2$ and $H_3$ sites. And then, the 3 site classes were subdivided into 7 classes based on the mean shear wave velocity of soil ($V_{s,soil}$). The feasibility of new site classification system was verified and the representative site coefficients ($F_a$ and $F_v$) and design response spectrum were suggested by analyzing uniform trend and dispersion of site coefficients for each site class. The suggested site coefficients and the regression curves present the nonlinear characteristics of soils according to the change of rock outcrop acceleration with uniform trend effectively. From the comparison between the mean values of response spectrum which was acquired from the site response analysis and the suggested design response spectrum, there was a little difference in some of site classes and it was verified to adjust the integration interval to make it more suitable for the site condition in Korea.

An Analysis on the Application of Korean Traditional Music to Film (한국 전통 음악 어법을 활용한 영화 음악의 연구)

  • Chung, Soo-Hyun;Chang, Min-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.247-259
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to develop Korean film music by using Korean traditional music with proper technique. As of 2019, current Korean film music is mostly modeled after Western music. The usage of traditional music instruments is significantly lower than the usage of western instruments and is merely used in Korean historical movies as embedded music. This supports the many views that Korean traditional music seems too difficult to appeal to the general audience in these modern times. Furthermore, there aren't any such cases to apply traditional music techniques to western instruments whereas there have been many occasions where traditional music instruments imitate western instruments with its tones. The suspected reason for this is due to the lack of proper understanding and techniques of traditional music that Korean film composers have utilized, and its limited exposure in popular music. However, traditions are special and unique way to represent the history, culture, lifestyle and characteristic of countries. Therefore, it is our duty to protect our own traditions. As both a Korean, and as a musician, new film music is needed which uses traditional music instruments and its techniques. When film composers create music with better understanding of Korean traditional music, this unique music will be able to transcend borders and spread throughout the world.

An Empirical Analysis of Factors Influencing Seniors' Satisfaction with the Use of Wealth Management Services in Financial Institutions (시니어의 금융기관 자산관리 서비스 이용 만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 실증 분석)

  • Park, Hyun-jung;Kang, Shin-gi
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.221-240
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    • 2023
  • In a recent study conducted in South Korea, a nation grappling with the implications of an increasingly super-aged society, researchers empirically analyzed the factors influencing seniors' satisfaction with financial institutions' wealth management (WM) services. We surveyed 250 seniors who utilized financial institutions' wealth management services. Independent variables such as product(diversity, profitability, stability), employee(expertise, problem-solving ability, customer orientation), physical evidence, process, inheritance service, and trust service were carefully examined. Employing hierarchical regression analysis, we tested hypotheses within an established research model. The findings revealed that variables like product stability and profitability, employee problem-solving ability, customer orientation, process, inheritance service, and trust service significantly positively affected satisfaction with WM services. In contrast, no substantial association was detected between satisfaction and factors like product diversity, employee expertise, or physical evidence. Among the influential factors, the order of impact was determined to be employee customer orientation, problem-solving ability, trust service, product stability, inheritance service, product profitability, and process. This research provided essential insights into the nuanced preferences and needs of seniors concerning wealth management services. The detailed examination of the subject might also shed light on similar challenges faced in the other aging societies. As the global population continues to age, the implications of this study could reach far beyond the borders of South Korea. By understanding these key determinants of satisfaction, financial institutions worldwide can tailor their wealth management services to better meet the unique demands of the senior population.

Analysis of Plant Quarantine Insect Interception Data in South Korea from 2015 to 2022 (2015-2022년 식물검역 해충 검출동향 분석)

  • Seokyoung Son;Ki-Joeng Hong;Heungsik Lee;Hyobin Lee;Na Ra Jeong;Jaehyeon Lee;Sanghyo Park;Inhyeok Han;Hyeongsu Kim;Jaewon Kim;Wonhoon Lee
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.261-266
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    • 2023
  • Interception data pertaining to Coleoptera, Hemiptera, Lepidoptera, Diptera, Thysanoptera, and Hymenoptera collected at the Korean quarantine border were cross-checked with new recorded species in Korea from 2015 to 2022. Overall, 45,084 interceptions belonging to the six orders were detected, and 545 species belonging to the six orders were newly reported in Korea. Of the 545 species, nine species were recorded as being intercepted at the quarantine border. Among the six orders, Coleoptera, Thysanoptera, and Hemiptera showed high numbers of interception; however, Hymenoptera revealed the highest number in new recorded species. These results indicate that recent newly recorded species in Korea are not subject to inspection at Korean borders and that the current quarantine system needs improvement.

Comparative study on the role of the public sector in the health care system -Comparison of the United States and Korea in social risk situations- (의료보장 체계에서의 공공 부분의 역할 비교연구 -사회적 위험 상황 속의 미국과 한국의 비교-)

  • Kim Jong Hwi;Hyun-Seung Park
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to compare the role of the public sector in the U.S. and Korean medical security systems and study response measures in the social risk situation of the COVID-19 virus. The COVID-19 pandemic was a typical case of a 'disaster' that spread across the world across borders in a short period of time and caused serious social welfare losses by increasing the annual number of deaths by approximately 4% in 2020. Threats to health security, such as changes in social order, unpredictable endings, prolonged control of daily life, and deepening inequality, affected the economy, politics, and environment as a whole, and people had to experience anxiety and confusion due to mental and physical stress. Furthermore, developed countries failed to provide help to low-income countries in the face of global disasters. In this situation, the country's disaster management capacity to minimize harm and secure resilience, especially disaster response capacity in the health and medical field, is inevitably very important. Therefore, this study compares how the health insurance system, which is a system to guarantee citizens' right to life, differs from the United States, a liberal health care country, and raises the need to strengthen the role of the public sector.

Field and laboratory investigation of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N6 and H5N8 in Quang Ninh province, Vietnam, 2020 to 2021

  • Trong Duc Tran;Suwicha Kasemsuwan;Manakorn Sukmak;Waraphon Phimpraphai;Tippawon Prarakamawongsa;Long Thanh Pham;Tuyet Bach Hoang;Phuong Thi Nguyen;Thang Minh Nguyen;Minh Van Truong;Tuan Pham Dao;Pawin Padungtod
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.20.1-20.15
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    • 2024
  • Background: Avian influenza (AI) is a contagious disease that causes illness and death in poultry and humans. High pathogenicity AI (HPAI) H5N6 outbreaks commonly occur in Quang Ninh province bordering China. In June 2021, the first HPAI H5N8 outbreak occurred at a Quang Ninh chicken farm. Objectives: This study examined the risk factors associated with HPAI H5N6 and H5N8 outbreaks in Quang Ninh. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in Quang Ninh from Nov 2021 to Jan 2022. The cases were households with susceptible poultry with two or more clinical signs and tested positive by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. The controls were households in the same village as the cases but did not show clinical symptoms of the disease. Logistic regression models were constructed to assess the risk factors associated with HPAI outbreaks at the household level. Results: There were 38 cases with H5N6 clade 2.3.4.4h viruses (n = 35) and H5N8 clade 2.3.4.4b viruses (n = 3). Compared to the 112 controls, raising poultry in uncovered or partially covered ponds (odds ratio [OR], 7.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44-39.27), poultry traders visiting the farm (OR, 8.66; 95% CI, 2.7-27.69), farms with 50-2,000 birds (OR, 3.00; 95% CI, 1.06-8-51), and farms with ≥ 2,000 birds (OR, 11.35; 95% CI, 3.07-41.94) were significantly associated with HPAI outbreaks. Conclusions: Combining biosecurity measures, such as restricting visitor entry and vaccination in farms with more than 50 birds, can enhance the control and prevention of HPAI in Quang Ninh and its spread across borders.