• Title/Summary/Keyword: bootstrap confidence intervals

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Empirical Bayes Interval Estimation by a Sample Reuse Method

  • Cho, Kil-Ho;Choi, Dal-Woo;Chae, Hyeon-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 1997
  • We construct the empirical Bayes(EB) confidence intervals that attain a specified level of EB coverage for the unknown scale parameter in the Weibull distribution with the known shape parameter under the type II censored data. Our general approach is to use an EB bootstrap samples introduced by Larid and Louis(1987). Also, we compare the coverage probability and the expected interval length for these bootstrap intervals with those of the naive intervals through Monte Carlo simulation.

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Conditional bootstrap confidence intervals for classification error rate when a block of observations is missing

  • Chung, Hie-Choon;Han, Chien-Pai
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, it will be assumed that there are two distinct populations which are multivariate normal with equal covariance matrix. We also assume that the two populations are equally likely and the costs of misclassification are equal. The classification rule depends on the situation whether the training samples include missing values or not. We consider the conditional bootstrap confidence intervals for classification error rate when a block of observation is missing.

A Comparison of Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Proportions (모비율 차이의 신뢰구간들에 대한 비교연구)

  • 정형철;전명식;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.377-393
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    • 2003
  • Several confidence interval estimates for the difference of two binomial proportions were introduced. Bootstrap confidence interval is also suggested. We examined the over estimation property of approximate intervals and under estimation trend of exact intervals for the difference of proportions. We compared these confidence intervals based on the average coverage probability, expected width and skewness measure. Particularly actual coverage probability were calculated by using the prior distribution of parameters. Monte Carlo simulation for small sample size is conducted. Some interesting contour plots of average coverage probability and marginal plots for several interval estimates are presented.

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for the INAR(p) Process

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, You-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.343-358
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    • 2006
  • The distributional properties of forecasts in an integer-valued time series model have not been discovered yet mainly because of the complexity arising from the binomial thinning operator. We propose two bootstrap methods to obtain nonparametric prediction intervals for an integer-valued autoregressive model : one accommodates the variation of estimating parameters and the other does not. Contrary to the results of the continuous ARMA model, we show that the latter is better than the former in forecasting the future values of the integer-valued autoregressive model.

Change-Point Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Regions in Weibull Distribution

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.359-370
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    • 1999
  • We considered a change-point hazard rate model generalizing constant hazard rate model. This type of model is very popular in the sense that the Weibull and exponential distributions formulating survival time data are the special cases of it. Maximum likelihood estimation and the asymptotic properties such as the consistency and its limiting distribution of the change-point estimator were discussed. A parametric bootstrap method for finding confidence intervals of the unknown change-point was also suggested and the proposed method is explained through a practical example.

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Boostrap confidence interval for mean time between failures of a repairable system (수리 가능한 시스템의 평균고장간격시간에 대한 붓스트랩 신뢰구간)

  • 김대경;안미경;박동호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 1998
  • Recently, it is of great interest among engineers and reliability scientists to consider a statistical model to describe the failure times of various types of repairable systems. The main subject we deal with in this paper is the power law process which is proved to be a useful model to describe the reliability growth of the repairable system. In particular, we derive the bootstrap confidence intervals of the mean time between two successive failures of a repairable system using the time truncated data. We also compare our bootstrap confindence intervals with Crow's (1982) confidence interval.

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Application of Bootstrap and Bayesian Methods for Estimating Confidence Intervals on Biological Reference Points in Fisheries Management (부트스트랩과 베이지안 방법으로 추정한 수산자원관리에서의 생물학적 기준점의 신뢰구간)

  • Jung, Suk-Geun;Choi, Il-Su;Chang, Dae-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2008
  • To evaluate uncertainty and risk in biological reference points, we applied a bootstrapping method and a Bayesian procedure to estimate the related confidence intervals. Here we provide an example of the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of turban shell, Batillus cornutus, estimated by the Schaefer and Fox models. Fitting the time series of catch and effort from 1968 to 2006 showed that the Fox model performs better than the Schaefer model. The estimated MSY and its bootstrap percentile confidence interval (CI) at ${\alpha}=0.05$ were 1,680 (1,420-1,950) tons for the Fox model and 2,170 (1,860-2,500) tons for the Schaefer model. The CIs estimated by the Bayesian approach gave similar ranges: 1,710 (1,450-2,000) tons for the Fox model and 2,230 (1,760-2,930) tons for the Schaefer model. Because uncertainty in effort and catch data is believed to be greater for earlier years, we evaluated the influence of sequentially excluding old data points by varying the first year of the time series from 1968 to 1992 to run 'backward' bootstrap resampling. The results showed that the means and upper 2.5% confidence limit (CL) of MSY varied greatly depending on the first year chosen whereas the lower 2.5% CL was robust against the arbitrary selection of data, especially for the Schaefer model. We demonstrated that the bootstrap and Bayesian approach could be useful in precautionary fisheries management, and we advise that the lower 2.5% CL derived by the Fox model is robust and a better biological reference point for the turban shells of Jeju Island.

Bootstrap control limits of process control charts for correlative process data

  • Suzuki Hideo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.174-179
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    • 1998
  • This research explores the application of the bootstrap methods to the construction of control limits for the x charts and the EWMA charts based on single observations with stationary autoregressive processes. The subsample means-based control chars in the presence autocorrelation are also considered. We use a technique for inferring confidence intervals using bootstrap, the percentile method. Simulation studies are conducted to compare the performance of the bootstrap method and that of standard method for constructing control charts under several conditions.

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Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Quantiles of Right Censored Data

  • Na, Jong-Hwa;Park, Hyo-Il;Jang, Young-Mi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we consider the bootstrap method to the interval estimation of the difference of quantiles of right censored data. We showed the validity of bootstrap method and compare with others with real data example. In simulation various resampling schemes for right censored data are also considered.

Resampling Technique for Simulation Output Analysis

  • Kim, Yun-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 1992
  • To estimate the probability of long delay in a queuing system using discrete-event simulation is studied. We contrast the coverage, half-width, and stability of confidence intervals constructed using two methods: batch means and new resampling technique; binary bootstrap. The binary bootstrap is an extension of the conventional bootstrap that resamples runs rather than data values. Empirical comparisons using known results for the M/M/1 and D/M/10 queues show the binary bootstrap superior to batch means for this problem.

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