• Title/Summary/Keyword: binary-logit analysis

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Locational Characteristics and Shrinking Prediction of Rice Paddy Fields in South Korea (우리나라 논의 지리적 입지특성과 축소지역 예측)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Chung, IL-Hoon
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the location characteristics of the rice paddy fields and to predict shrinking areas of them. The study area is in South Korea nationwide, and a 300×300m raster level is adopted as a spatial analysis unit. The binary logit model and spatial simulation model are employed for the analyses. As a result, population, industry, climate and nature, and accessibility play a significant role in determining rice paddy fields' locations. It is predicted that the shrinking rate will be high in Gangwon-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and Gyeongsangnam-do until 2027. The hot spots are intensively shaped in the inland of Gangwon-do, eastern parts of Gyeonggi-do, and the borders of Gyeongsangnam-do and Jeollabuk-do between Charyeong and Sobaek mountain ranges. Using Gimcheon-si as an example, the study suggests fundamental policy implications for taking advantage of the simulation results from the lens of local agriculture. Several policy measures are proposed for improving management strategies for the rice paddy fields in the long run.

An Analysis of the Transformation of Over-depopulated Rural Villages (농촌 과소화마을의 변화 분석)

  • Park, Jen-Woo;Lee, Taeho;An, Donghwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2018
  • The main purpose of this study is to explore the factors that affect the transformation of over-depopulated rural villages. Specifically, we investigated the reasons of the rapid decrease in the number of over-populated rural villages shown by recent census data in spite of the continuing decrease of population in rural area. We used a binary-logit model and the Census of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries data(2010, 2015). The main results are summarized as followed: First, the over-depopulated rural villages with strong agronomic base are more likely to exit from over-depopulation. Second, returners from urban to rural have a positive impacts on the revival of over-depopulated rural areas. Thirds, improving the basic services accessibility of rural residents is also critical for keeping rural community more sustainable. These findings can be used to make effective strategies to revive the depopulated rural villages.

Bayesian Analysis of Binary Non-homogeneous Markov Chain with Two Different Time Dependent Structures

  • Sung, Min-Je
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2006
  • We use the hierarchical Bayesian approach to describe the transition probabilities of a binary nonhomogeneous Markov chain. The Markov chain is used for describing the transition behavior of emotionally disturbed children in a treatment program. The effects of covariates on transition probabilities are assessed using a logit link function. To describe the time evolution of transition probabilities, we consider two modeling strategies. The first strategy is based on the concept of exchangeabiligy, whereas the second one is based on a first order Markov property. The deviance information criterion (DIC) measure is used to compare models with two different time dependent structures. The inferences are made using the Markov chain Monte Carlo technique. The developed methodology is applied to some real data.

Determinants of Ready-to-Cook Seafood Consumption by Food-related Lifestyle (식생활 라이프스타일에 따른 수산물 즉석조리식품 소비 결정요인 분석)

  • Kyung-Jun Cho;Heon-Dong Lee
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.051-069
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the determinants that affect the purchase of ready-to-cook seafood products using the "Consumer Attitude Survey on Processed Foods" from 2018 to 2021. Dietary lifestyle, food awareness and preference survey questions were categorized, and factors affecting the purchase probability of ready-to-cook seafood were identified through a binomial logit model. The main research findings are as follows. First, consumers had higher preference for quality, safety, and new taste factors than health and price factors when purchasing HMR (Home Meal Replacement). Second, through binomial logit model analysis, the probability of purchasing ready-to-cook seafood products was low in the group pursuing taste and economy. On the other hand, the purchase probability was high in the group seeking convenience. Third, the purchase probability of ready-to-cook seafood products was higher in households with two or more persons than in single-person households. These results suggest that differentiated product development and marketing strategies should be needed for each consumer groups in the seafood convenience food market.

The regular physical activity impact on the individuals involved euphoria and determinants of engagement (규칙적 체육활동 참여가 개인의 행복감에 미치는 영향과 참여유도 결정요인)

  • Kim, Mi-Ok;Huh, Ji-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.667-675
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the effects of regular participation in physical activity on personal happiness by analyzing the "2014 National Leisure Sports Participation Survey". By using cross-tabulation and the binary logit model, it is found that there is a positive correlation between those two variables. The effect of positive affect on happiness index was found to be influenced by age, education level, occupation, income, marital status, appear. The results of the analysis of the relationship between the presence of sports facilities and the participation of regular physical activity using crosstab analysis and the analysis of physical activity showed positive relationship between two variables. Hence, it is expected that providing more opportunities to participate in sports programs can lead the public to more regular participation in physical activity.

Market Segmented Analysis of Electric Vehicle Purchasing Behavior in Seoul (서울시 전기차 구매행태에 대한 시장분할 분석)

  • HAHN, Jin-Seok;LEE, Jang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we analyzed the electric vehicle (EV) purchasing behavior with market segmentation in Seoul using the binary logit model. For the model estimation, the experimental design of SP survey generated 24 scenarios with purchase price, charging station availability, and driving range of EVs. The results of market segmentation analysis indicated that the owners of subcompact and compact size cars were primarily affected by the purchasing price while those of mid and full size cars were more sensitive to the charging station availability. By housing type, the charging station availability was the most important factor for the residents of apartment while the purchase price was the most important factor to choose the EVs. These results presented that the EV supply strategy of the automobile manufacturer should be diversified according to the marketing target and the expansion of the public charging infrastructure should be the top priority in the government policy.

Outpatient Antibiotic Prescription Patterns for Respiratory Tract Infections of Infants (소아 호흡기감염 외래환자에 대한 항생제 처방양상)

  • Kim, Yejee;Lee, Suehyung;Park, Sylvia;Na, Hyen Oh;Tchoe, Byongho
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.323-332
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    • 2015
  • Background: Antibiotic resistance has been becoming serious challenge to human beings. Overuse of antibiotics, especially, for infants is concerned, but studies are very few for the prescribing pattern of antibiotic use for infants. This study analyzes prescribing patterns of antibiotics in outpatients of preschool children with acute respiratory tract infections in South Korea. Methods: Data are used from 2011 Health Insurance Review & Assessment Services-pediatric patients sample. Inclusion criteria is outpatient children (0 to 5 years) with top five frequent diseases. Prescription rates are analyzed by types of disease, provider, specialty, region, and ages. Binary or multinomial logit models are used to analyze determinants of providers' prescription pattern. Results: The main findings are as follows. First, distributions of prescription rates are shown as L-shape or M-shape depending on the types of disease. Second, the prescription variation is so large among providers, where providers are polarized as a group with low prescription rates and the other group with high prescription rates, though the shapes are shown diversified across types of disease. Third, prescription rates appear to be lower in pediatrics and higher in ENT (ear-nose-throat). Fourth, broad spectrum antibiotics are widely used among children. Finally, the logit analysis shows similar results with descriptive statistics, but partly different results across types of disease. Conclusion: Antibiotics for respiratory tract infections of infants are used excessively with a large variation among providers, and especially broad spectrum antibiotics are used. The prescription guideline for antibiotics should be provided for each specific disease to reduce antibiotic resistance in the future.

Discriminant Factors Influencing the Community Integration of Immigrant Women on Marriage: Comparison of Regional Traits (도시화 정도에 따른 결혼이주여성의 지역사회통합에 미치는 차별적 영향 분석: 특별·광역시 지역과 도지역 거주자의 비교)

  • Kim, Kyung-Bum;Park, Cheol-Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.214-222
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the role of individualistic, family, and social characteristics of immigrant women on marriage on community integration. It is focused on exploring how the immigrant women on marriages' residential district differentiate community integration. The study adopts a questionnaire method in research of immigrant women on marriage in all parts of Korea. Data are collected from 163(Metropolitan Government & City), 182(Provincial Government) immigrant women on marriage for empirical analysis respectively. Technique used in analyzing data is Binary Logit Model primarily. In conclusion, on the results of test, it turned out to be strong significant influence on provincial regions than the metropolitan city regions statistically excepting family, and social characteristics.

Disaggregate Demand Forecasting and Estimation of the Optimal Price for UTIS Service (무선교통정보수집제공시스템(UTIS) 서비스의 이용 수요 예측 및 이용료 적정 수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Seok-Yong;Jung, Hun-Young;Ko, Sang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2008
  • This study reports UTIS(Urban Traffic Information System), which has been generalized in developed countries through brisk research and development and is being promoted for introduction by National Police Agency and Road Traffic Authority to reduce the astronomical amount of social expenses including traffic congestion expenses. Also this study investigates the proper charges for using by the preestimate of demand and contentment according to methods of payment after the service is introduced. The results of this study are as follows. First, demand forecast model is constructed by Binary Logit Model. Second, forecast models of using aspects of UTIS service according to methods of payment are established by Ordered Probit Model. Third, the proper charges for using of UTIS service according to methods of payment are presented to the supplier in the aspects of users. For this, preferences by using aspects and methods of payment are captured. And unit elasticity of coefficient of utilization is understood through responsiveness analysis according to methods of payment.

The Factors Affecting Retirement Adjustment by Elapsed Time from Middle-Aged & Advanced-Aged Retiree's Retirement (중고령 은퇴자들의 은퇴 후 경과기간별 은퇴생활적응의 영향요인)

  • Kim, Ji-Kyung;Song, Hyun-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.83-101
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    • 2010
  • Using the first wave of KLoSA(Korean Longitudinal study of Aging) beta version, this study analyzed factors affecting retirement adjustment by elapsed time from retiree's retirement through Binary Logit and Multinomial Logit Analysis. Participants were 1,780 retiree. The main results of this study were as follows : First, The retiree's education(-), health status(-), region(+), dwelling type(-), monthly household income(-), employment type before retirement(+), retirement reason(+), and the elapsed time from retirement(-) were affected whether they satisfied with pre-retirement or not. Second, The gender(-), age(-), and the region(+) were affected whether they satisfied with life after retirement or not. Third, The gender(-), age(-), education(+), heath status(+), dwelling type(+), monthly household income(+), retirement reason(-), and the elapsed time from retirement(+) were affected on their satisfaction after retirement compared to pre-retirement. Last, The different factors affected the life satisfaction after retirement by elapsed time from retirement.