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http://dx.doi.org/10.12653/jecd.2020.27.2.0075

Locational Characteristics and Shrinking Prediction of Rice Paddy Fields in South Korea  

Kim, Hyun-Joong (Department of Geography & Anthropology Development, Louisiana State University)
Chung, IL-Hoon (Department of Urban Information Engineering, Anyang University)
Publication Information
Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development / v.27, no.2, 2020 , pp. 75-87 More about this Journal
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to investigate the location characteristics of the rice paddy fields and to predict shrinking areas of them. The study area is in South Korea nationwide, and a 300×300m raster level is adopted as a spatial analysis unit. The binary logit model and spatial simulation model are employed for the analyses. As a result, population, industry, climate and nature, and accessibility play a significant role in determining rice paddy fields' locations. It is predicted that the shrinking rate will be high in Gangwon-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and Gyeongsangnam-do until 2027. The hot spots are intensively shaped in the inland of Gangwon-do, eastern parts of Gyeonggi-do, and the borders of Gyeongsangnam-do and Jeollabuk-do between Charyeong and Sobaek mountain ranges. Using Gimcheon-si as an example, the study suggests fundamental policy implications for taking advantage of the simulation results from the lens of local agriculture. Several policy measures are proposed for improving management strategies for the rice paddy fields in the long run.
Keywords
rice paddy fields; farmland abandonment; binary logit model; cell-based simulation model; geostatistics;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 5  (Citation Analysis)
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