• 제목/요약/키워드: bias and variance

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한국인 성인 남성의 불건강한 식습관과 위암발병에 대한 낙관적 편견 및 자기효능감 간의 관계 연구 (A Study on the Relationships between Unhealthy Dietary Habit, Optimistic Bias about Gastric Cancer Occurrence and Self-efficacy in Korean Adult Men)

  • 이동숙
    • 재활간호학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the relationships of optimistic bias about gastric cancer, self-efficacy of healthy dietary behavior and unhealthy dietary habit in Korean adult men. The subjects were 394 men aged from 20 to 64 who lived in Seoul, Kyonggi Do, Kwang-Ju, Jeonnam Do. Data was collected by questionnaire surveys using convenient sampling. The instruments used for this study were extracted and modified from Lee's(2003). The collected data was analyzed using descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation coefficient, and stepwise multiple regression with SPSS/PC 10.0 version. Unhealthy dietary habit in adult men indicated a significantly negative correlation to optimistic bias about gastric cancer(r=-.159, p=.002) and self-efficacy of healthy dietary behavior(r=-.470, P=.000). The most significant predictors influencing unhealthy dietary habit in adult men were age and self-efficacy of healthy dietary behavior. The variance explained was about 24%. These results suggested that men of young age and lack of self-efficacy of healthy dietary behavior are likely to have unhealthy dietary behavior. Therefore, considering age and facilitating self-efficacy are needed in nursing education and intervention for dietary habit change.

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자극물의 제시방법에 따른 대인지각에서의 편파 (The experimental bias in person perception as results of presentation method of stimulus)

  • 김재숙;김희숙
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.496-504
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was (1) to identify the experimental bias which could appear person perception as results of presentation methods (2) to find out the most desirable method in presentation of stimulus. The research was a quasi experiment and the subjects were 773 male and female undergraduate students. The experimental instruments consisted of a set of stimulus and semantic differential scales of 7- point hi-polar adjectives. The collected data were analyzed by Factor Analysis, ANOVA(analysis of variance), Scheffe's multiple range test. The independent variables were presentation orders and presentation time of stimulus. The results were as follows: First, five factors which were potency, sociality, appearance, evaluation, activity impression dimensions emerged to account for the methods of development of stimulus. Second, the presentation order of stimulus in the combination of four stimuli sets had significant effects on the 3 impressional factors(sociality, appearance, evaluation). The presentation order of stimuli in the combination of eight stimuli set had significant effects on the 3 impressional factors(potency, sociality, appearance) and the presentation order of stimuli in the combination of eight stimuli set showed a significant effect on memorization of stimulus and the results support the recency effect. Third, the presentation time of stimuli had significant effects on the 2 impressional factors(potency, activity). 30 seconds presentation as well as free duration time resulted less experimental bias than 3 seconds presentation.

다중반응표면 최적화를 위한 가중평균제곱오차 (A Weighted Mean Squared Error Approach to Multiple Response Surface Optimization)

  • 정인준;조현우
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.625-633
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    • 2013
  • 본 다중반응표면 최적화는 다수의 반응변수(품질특성치)를 동시에 고려하여, 입력변수의 최적 조건을 찾는 것을 목적으로 한다. 지금까지 다중반응표면 최적화를 위하여 다양한 방법이 제안되어 왔는데, 그 중 평균제곱오차 최소화법은 다수의 반응변수의 평균과 표준편차를 동시에 고려하여 최적화하는 방법이다. 이 방법은 기본적으로 평균과 표준편차가 동일한 가중치를 가지고 있다는 것을 전제로 하고 있다. 그러나 문제의 상황에 따라 평균과 표준편차에 서로 다른 가중치를 부여해야 하는 경우도 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 기존의 평균제곱오차를 확대하여 평균과 표준편차에 서로 다른 가중치도 부여할 수 있도록 가중평균제곱오차 최소화법을 제안하고자 한다.

A Sequential Approach for Estimating the Variance of a Normal Population Using Some Available Prior Information

  • Samawi, Hani M.;Al-Saleh, Mohammad F.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.433-445
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    • 2002
  • Using some available information about the unknown variance $\sigma$$^2$ of a normal distribution with mean $\mu$, a sequential approach is used to estimate $\sigma$$^2$. Two cases have been considered regarding the mean $\mu$ being known or unknown. The mean square error (MSE) of the new estimators are compared to that of the usual estimator of $\sigma$$^2$, namely, the sample variance based on a sample of size equal to the expected sample size. Simulation results indicates that, the new estimator is more efficient than the usual estimator of $\sigma$$^2$whenever the actual value of $\sigma$$^2$ is not too far from the prior information.

Gumbel 분포형을 이용한 위험도에 관한 불확실성 해석 (A Study on Uncertainty of Risk of Failure Based on Gumbel Distribution)

  • 허준행;이동진;신홍준;남우성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권8호
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    • pp.659-668
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    • 2006
  • 수공구조물의 위험도에 관한 불확실성을 검토하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 빈도해석을 통하여 추정되는 설계홍수량의 분산량을 고려한 불확실성 해석을 실시하였다. Gumbel 분포형을 기본 분포형으로 가정하였으며, 모멘트법, 최우도법, 확률가중모멘트법을 이용하여 각 매개변수 추정방법별로 추정된 설계홍수량에 대한 이론적인 분산량을 산정하였다. 이론적으로 유도한 분산량의 특성을 규명하기 위하며 다양한 표본크기와 설계연한, 비초과확률 및 변동계수조건에 대하여 Monte-Carlo 모의를 실시하고 각 매개변수 추정방법별 비교를 실시하였다. 그 결과 확률 가중 모멘트법을 사용한 경우 위험도에 대하여 상대적으로 가장 작은 상대편의 및 상대제곱근오차를 발생시키는 것으로 나타났으며, 최우도법의 경우에는 상대적으로 큰 표본자료에 대해서는 설계연한 및 비초과확률에 관계없이 작은 상대편의 및 상대제곱근오차를 발생시키는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 다양한 변동계수 조건은 상대편의 및 상대제곱근오차의 측면에서 고려하여 볼 때 거의 영향을 주지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

통계적 방법에 근거한 AMSU-A 복사자료의 전처리 및 편향보정 (Pre-processing and Bias Correction for AMSU-A Radiance Data Based on Statistical Methods)

  • 이시혜;김상일;전형욱;김주혜;강전호
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.491-502
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    • 2014
  • As a part of the KIAPS (Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems) Package for Observation Processing (KPOP), we have developed the modules for Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) pre-processing and its bias correction. The KPOP system calculates the airmass bias correction coefficients via the method of multiple linear regression in which the scan-corrected innovation and the thicknesses of 850~300, 200~50, 50~5, and 10~1 hPa are respectively used for dependent and independent variables. Among the four airmass predictors, the multicollinearity has been shown by the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) that quantifies the severity of multicollinearity in a least square regression. To resolve the multicollinearity, we adopted simple linear regression and Principal Component Regression (PCR) to calculate the airmass bias correction coefficients and compared the results with those from the multiple linear regression. The analysis shows that the order of performances is multiple linear, principal component, and simple linear regressions. For bias correction for the AMSU-A channel 4 which is the most sensitive to the lower troposphere, the multiple linear regression with all four airmass predictors is superior to the simple linear regression with one airmass predictor of 850~300 hPa. The results of PCR with 95% accumulated variances accounted for eigenvalues showed the similar results of the multiple linear regression.

Text-independent Speaker Identification by Bagging VQ Classifier

  • Kyung, Youn-Jeong;Park, Bong-Dae;Lee, Hwang-Soo
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • 제20권2E호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we propose the bootstrap and aggregating (bagging) vector quantization (VQ) classifier to improve the performance of the text-independent speaker recognition system. This method generates multiple training data sets by resampling the original training data set, constructs the corresponding VQ classifiers, and then integrates the multiple VQ classifiers into a single classifier by voting. The bagging method has been proven to greatly improve the performance of unstable classifiers. Through two different experiments, this paper shows that the VQ classifier is unstable. In one of these experiments, the bias and variance of a VQ classifier are computed with a waveform database. The variance of the VQ classifier is compared with that of the classification and regression tree (CART) classifier[1]. The variance of the VQ classifier is shown to be as large as that of the CART classifier. The other experiment involves speaker recognition. The speaker recognition rates vary significantly by the minor changes in the training data set. The speaker recognition experiments involving a closed set, text-independent and speaker identification are performed with the TIMIT database to compare the performance of the bagging VQ classifier with that of the conventional VQ classifier. The bagging VQ classifier yields improved performance over the conventional VQ classifier. It also outperforms the conventional VQ classifier in small training data set problems.

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로그정규분포의 엔트로피에 대한 두 모수적 추정량의 비교 (Comparison of Two Parametric Estimators for the Entropy of the Lognormal Distribution)

  • 최병진
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.625-636
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문에서는 로그정규분포의 엔트로피에 대한 모수적 추정량으로 최소분산비편향추정량과 최대가능도추정량을 제시하고 성질을 비교한다. 각 추정량의 분산을 유도해서 일치성을 밝히고 최대가능도 추정량의 편향이 추정에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 델타근사방법을 이용해서 얻은 추정량의 분포를 제시하고 적합도 평가를 통한 유도한 분포의 확증을 위해서 모의실험을 수행한다. 평균제곱오차에 의한 상대적 효율성에 대한 조사를 통해 두 추정량의 성능을 비교한다. 모의실험의 결과에서 최소분산비편향추정량은 최대가능도 추정량보다 더 좋은 효율을 보이는 것으로 나타나며, 특히 표본크기와 분산이 동시에 작아짐에 따라 효율이 점점 높아지게 되어 월등히 나은 성능을 발휘함을 볼 수 있다.

2단 크기비례 계통추출법의 분산추정량 효율성 비교 (Efficiency of Variance Estimators for Two-stage PPS Systematic Sampling)

  • 김영원;김예니;한혜은;곽은선
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 크기비례 계통추출법에서 적용할 수 있는 다양한 분산추정 방법들을 정리하고 각 분산추정 방법들의 통계적 특성에 대해서 논의하였다. 이론적으로 하나의 계통표본을 가지고 비편향 분산추정량을 구하는 것은 불가능 하지만 실제 표본자료 분석에 있어서 어떤 대안이 있을 수 있는지 살펴보고, 다양한 분산추정 방법들의 성질을 상대편향 및 상대평균제곱오차 관점에서 비교해 보았다. 또한 우리나라 가구나 사업체 표본설계에서 흔히 발생하는 2단 크기비례 계통추출 표본에서 적용 가능한 효과적인 분산추정 방법을 알아보기 위해 2008년 사업체근로실태조사 자료의 근로자 평균임금과 2011년 식품원료소비실태조사 자료의 가구당 연평균 쌀 소비량의 분산 추정 문제를 기초로 모의실험을 수행하였다.

인지와 낙관적 편견이 여대생의 산부인과 방문의도에 미치는 영향 (Influence of Cognition and Optimistic Bias on the Intention to Visiting Obstetrics and Gynecology of Women College Students)

  • 추예린;박지연;안희송;배경의
    • 부모자녀건강학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.22-29
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to identify the intention of visiting obstetrics and gynecology of female college students by considering their perception and optimistic bias. Methods: The study included a total of 135 female college students under the age of 25. The data collection period is a descriptive research study conducted online from April 8, 2019 to April 16, 2019. The collected data were analyzed using the correlation of t-test, ANOVA, Pearson's correlation and multiple regression using SPSS 20.0. Results: The degree of intention of behavior for visits to obstetrics and gynecology was $3.10{\pm}1.06points$ on average. Intention of behavior for visits to obstetrics and gynecology had significant variance depending on sexual experience (t=3.09, p<.001). The intention of behavior for visits to obstetrics and gynecology had positive correlations with the cognition of visits to obstetrics and gynecology (r=.422, p<.001), the optimism bias (r=.419, p<.001). Influence factors emerged the optimism bias, cognition and sexual experience with explanatory power of 30.4%. Conclusion: The results of this paper can be used to prepare the basic data for the development of educational programs to promote preventive gynecological visits of female college students. Through this, the preventive screening rate, the quality of reproductive health in women's lives.