• Title/Summary/Keyword: bias and mean squared error

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Selection of Data-adaptive Polynomial Order in Local Polynomial Nonparametric Regression

  • Jo, Jae-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 1997
  • A data-adaptive order selection procedure is proposed for local polynomial nonparametric regression. For each given polynomial order, bias and variance are estimated and the adaptive polynomial order that has the smallest estimated mean squared error is selected locally at each location point. To estimate mean squared error, empirical bias estimate of Ruppert (1995) and local polynomial variance estimate of Ruppert, Wand, Wand, Holst and Hossjer (1995) are used. Since the proposed method does not require fitting polynomial model of order higher than the model order, it is simpler than the order selection method proposed by Fan and Gijbels (1995b).

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Estimation for scale parameter of type-I extreme value distribution

  • Choi, Byungjin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2015
  • In a various range of applications including hydrology, the type-I extreme value distribution has been extensively used as a probabilistic model for analyzing extreme events. In this paper, we introduce methods for estimating the scale parameter of the type-I extreme value distribution. A simulation study is performed to compare the estimators in terms of mean-squared error and bias, and the obtained results are provided.

A Weighted Mean Squared Error Approach to Multiple Response Surface Optimization (다중반응표면 최적화를 위한 가중평균제곱오차)

  • Jeong, In-Jun;Cho, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.625-633
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    • 2013
  • Multiple response surface optimization (MRSO) aims at finding a setting of input variables which simultaneously optimizes multiple responses. The minimization of mean squared error (MSE), which consists of the squared bias and variance terms, is an effective way to consider the location and dispersion effects of the responses in MRSO. This approach basically assumes that both the terms have an equal weight. However, they need to be weighted differently depending on a problem situation, for example, in case that they are not of the same importance. This paper proposes to use the weighted MSE (WMSE) criterion instead of the MSE criterion in MRSO to consider an unequal weight situation.

A Weighted Mean Squared Error Approach Based on the Tchebycheff Metric in Multiresponse Optimization (Tchebycheff Metric 기반 가중평균제곱오차 최소화법을 활용한 다중반응표면 최적화)

  • Jeong, In-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2015
  • Multiresponse optimization (MRO) seeks to find the setting of input variables, which optimizes the multiple responses simultaneously. The approach of weighted mean squared error (WMSE) minimization for MRO imposes a different weight on the squared bias and variance, which are the two components of the mean squared error (MSE). To date, a weighted sum-based method has been proposed for WMSE minimization. On the other hand, this method has a limitation in that it cannot find the most preferred solution located in a nonconvex region in objective function space. This paper proposes a Tchebycheff metric-based method to overcome the limitations of the weighted sum-based method.

ESTIMATING VARIOUS MEASURES IN NORMAL POPULATION THROUGH A SINGLE CLASS OF ESTIMATORS

  • Sharad Saxena;Housila P. Singh
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.323-337
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    • 2004
  • This article coined a general class of estimators for various measures in normal population when some' a priori' or guessed value of standard deviation a is available in addition to sample information. The class of estimators is primarily defined for a function of standard deviation. An unbiased estimator and the minimum mean squared error estimator are worked out and the suggested class of estimators is compared with these classical estimators. Numerical computations in terms of percent relative efficiency and absolute relative bias established the merits of the proposed class of estimators especially for small samples. Simulation study confirms the excellence of the proposed class of estimators. The beauty of this article lies in estimation of various measures like standard deviation, variance, Fisher information, precision of sample mean, process capability index $C_{p}$, fourth moment about mean, mean deviation about mean etc. as particular cases of the proposed class of estimators.

Prediction of Power Consumptions Based on Gated Recurrent Unit for Internet of Energy (에너지 인터넷을 위한 GRU기반 전력사용량 예측)

  • Lee, Dong-gu;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Sim, Is-sac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Sooh-wan;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2019
  • Recently, accurate prediction of power consumption based on machine learning techniques in Internet of Energy (IoE) has been actively studied using the large amount of electricity data acquired from advanced metering infrastructure (AMI). In this paper, we propose a deep learning model based on Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) as an artificial intelligence (AI) network that can effectively perform pattern recognition of time series data such as the power consumption, and analyze performance of the prediction based on real household power usage data. In the performance analysis, performance comparison between the proposed GRU-based learning model and the conventional learning model of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is described. In the simulation results, mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), forecast skill score, normalized root mean square error (RMSE), and normalized mean bias error (NMBE) are used as performance evaluation indexes, and we confirm that the performance of the prediction of the proposed GRU-based learning model is greatly improved.

Ratio-Cum-Product Estimators of Population Mean Using Known Population Parameters of Auxiliary Variates

  • Tailor, Rajesh;Parmar, Rajesh;Kim, Jong-Min;Tailor, Ritesh
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 2011
  • This paper suggests two ratio-cum-product estimators of finite population mean using known coefficient of variation and co-efficient of kurtosis of auxiliary characters. The bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimators with large sample approximation are derived. It has been shown that the estimators suggested by Upadhyaya and Singh (1999) are particular case of the suggested estimators. Almost ratio-cum product estimators of suggested estimators have also been obtained using Jackknife technique given by Quenouille (1956). An empirical study is also carried out to demonstrate the performance of the suggested estimators.

Estimation of the Lorenz Curve of the Pareto Distribution

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.285-292
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we propose the several estimators of the Lorenz curve in the Pareto distribution and obtain the bias and the mean squared error for each estimator. We compare the proposed estimators with the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in terms of the mean squared error (MSE) through Monte Carlo methods and discuss the results.

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Efficient Use of Auxiliary Variables in Estimating Finite Population Variance in Two-Phase Sampling

  • Singh, Housila P.;Singh, Sarjinder;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.165-181
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents some chain ratio-type estimators for estimating finite population variance using two auxiliary variables in two phase sampling set up. The expressions for biases and mean squared errors of the suggested c1asses of estimators are given. Asymptotic optimum estimators(AOE's) in each class are identified with their approximate mean squared error formulae. The theoretical and empirical properties of the suggested classes of estimators are investigated. In the simulation study, we took a real dataset related to pulmonary disease available on the CD with the book by Rosner, (2005).

Estimation of the Population Mean in Presence of Non-Response

  • Kumar, Sunil;Bhougal, Sandeep
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.537-548
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    • 2011
  • In this paper following Singh et al. (2008), we propose a modified ratio-product type exponential estimator to estimate the finite population mean $\={Y}$ of the study variable y in presence of non-response in different situations viz. (i) population mean $\={X}$ is known, and (ii) population mean $\={X}$ is unknown. The expressions of biases and mean squared error of the proposed estimators have been obtained under large sample approximation using single as well as double sampling. Some realistic conditions have been obtained under which the proposed estimator is more efficient than usual unbiased estimators, ratio estimators, product estimators and exponential ratio and product estimators reported by Rao (1986) and Singh et al. (2010) are found to be more efficient in many situations.