• Title/Summary/Keyword: bayesian statistics

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The Bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model: a complete classical and Bayesian analysis

  • Fachini-Gomes, Juliana B.;Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.523-544
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    • 2018
  • Bivariate distributions play a fundamental role in survival and reliability studies. We consider a regression model for bivariate survival times under right-censored based on the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull (Cordeiro et al., Journal of the Franklin Institute, 347, 1399-1429, 2010) distribution to model the dependence of bivariate survival data. We describe some structural properties of the marginal distributions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian procedure are adopted to estimate the model parameters. We use diagnostic measures based on the local influence and Bayesian case influence diagnostics to detect influential observations in the new model. We also show that the estimates in the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model are robust to deal with the presence of outliers in the data. In addition, we use some measures of goodness-of-fit to evaluate the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model. The methodology is illustrated by means of a real lifetime data set for kidney patients.

A Comparison Study of Bayesian Methods for a Threshold Autoregressive Model with Regime-Switching (국면전환 임계 자기회귀 분석을 위한 베이지안 방법 비교연구)

  • Roh, Taeyoung;Jo, Seongil;Lee, Ryounghwa
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1049-1068
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    • 2014
  • Autoregressive models are used to analyze an univariate time series data; however, these methods can be inappropriate when a structural break appears in a time series since they assume that a trend is consistent. Threshold autoregressive models (popular regime-switching models) have been proposed to address this problem. Recently, the models have been extended to two regime-switching models with delay parameter. We discuss two regime-switching threshold autoregressive models from a Bayesian point of view. For a Bayesian analysis, we consider a parametric threshold autoregressive model and a nonparametric threshold autoregressive model using Dirichlet process prior. The posterior distributions are derived and the posterior inferences is performed via Markov chain Monte Carlo method and based on two Bayesian threshold autoregressive models. We present a simulation study to compare the performance of the models. We also apply models to gross domestic product data of U.S.A and South Korea.

Bayesian and Empirical Bayesian Prediction Analysis for Future Observation

  • Jeong Hwan Ko
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.465-471
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    • 1997
  • This paper deals with the problems of obtaining some Bayesian and empirical Bayesian Predictive densities and prediction intervals of a future observation $X_{(\tau+\gamma)}$ in the Rayleigh distribution. Using an inverse gamma prior distribution, some prodictive densities and prodiction intervals are proposed and studied. Also the behaviors of the proposed results are examined via numerical examples.

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Bayesian Estimation of Multinomial and Poisson Parameters Under Starshaped Restriction

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 1997
  • Bayesian estimation of multinomial and Poisson parameters under starshped restriction is considered. Most Bayesian estimations in order restricted statistical inference require the high-dimensional integration which is very difficult to evaluate. Monte Carlo integration and Gibbs sampling are among alternative methods. The Bayesian estimation considered in this paper requires only evaluation of incomplete beta functions which are extensively tabulated.

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Empirical Bayesian Multiple Comparisons with the Best

  • Kim, Woo-Chul;Hwang, Hyung-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.108-117
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    • 1991
  • A parametric empirical Bayes procedure is proposed and studied to compare treatments simultaneously with the best. Minimum Bayes risk lower bounds are derived for an additive loss function, and their relationship with Bayesian simultaneous confidence lower bounds is given. For the proposed empirical Bayes procedure, the nominal confidence level both in Bayesian sense and in frequentist's sense is shown to be controlled asymptotically. For practical implementation, a measure of significance similar to f-value is suggested with an illustrative example.

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Gibbs Sampling for Double Seasonal Autoregressive Models

  • Amin, Ayman A.;Ismail, Mohamed A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.557-573
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we develop a Bayesian inference for a multiplicative double seasonal autoregressive (DSAR) model by implementing a fast, easy and accurate Gibbs sampling algorithm. We apply the Gibbs sampling to approximate empirically the marginal posterior distributions after showing that the conditional posterior distribution of the model parameters and the variance are multivariate normal and inverse gamma, respectively. The proposed Bayesian methodology is illustrated using simulated examples and real-world time series data.

Bayesian Multiple Comparisons for the Ratio of the Failure Rates in Two Components System

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Cho, Kil-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.647-655
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we consider multiple comparisons for the ratio of the failure rates in two components system that the lifetimes of the components have independent exponential distributions. Also we suggest Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure based on fractional Bayes factor when noninformative priors are applied for the parameters. Finally, we give numerical examples to illustrate our procedure.

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Bayesian One-Sided Testing for the Ratio of Poisson Means

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.619-631
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    • 2006
  • When X and Y have independent Poisson distributions, we develop a Bayesian one-sided testing procedures for the ratio of two Poisson means. We propose the objective Bayesian one-sided testing procedures for the ratio of two Poisson means based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor. Some real examples are provided.

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ON BAYESIAN ESTIMATION AND PROPERTIES OF THE MARGINAL DISTRIBUTION OF A TRUNCATED BIVARIATE t-DISTRIBUTION

  • KIM HEA-JUNG;KIM Ju SUNG
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.245-261
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    • 2005
  • The marginal distribution of X is considered when (X, Y) has a truncated bivariate t-distribution. This paper mainly focuses on the marginal nontruncated distribution of X where Y is truncated below at its mean and its observations are not available. Several properties and applications of this distribution, including relationship with Azzalini's skew-normal distribution, are obtained. To circumvent inferential problem arises from adopting the frequentist's approach, a Bayesian method utilizing a data augmentation method is suggested. Illustrative examples demonstrate the performance of the method.

Bayesian Multiple Change-point Estimation in Normal with EMC

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Cheon, Soo-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.621-633
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we estimate multiple change-points when the data follow the normal distributions in the Bayesian way. Evolutionary Monte Carlo (EMC) algorithm is applied into general Bayesian model with variable-dimension parameters and shows its usefulness and efficiency as a promising tool especially for computational issues. The method is applied to the humidity data of Seoul and the final model is determined based on BIC.