• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.13-21
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• 2011

This paper studies the analysis of multivariate nonstationary time series with seasonality. Three types of multivariate time series models are considered: seasonal cointegration model, nonseasonal cointegration model with seasonal dummies, and vector autoregressive model in seasonal differences that are compared for forecasting performances using Korean macro-economic time series data. The cointegration models produce smaller forecast errors in short horizons; however, when longer forecasting periods are considered the vector autoregressive model appears preferable.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.1137-1149
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• 2014

Since the bifurcating autoregressive (BAR) model was developed by Cowan and Staudte (1986) to analyze cell lineage data, a lot of research has been directed to BAR and its generalizations. Based mainly on the author's works, this paper is concerned with a contemporary review on the BAR in terms of an overview and perspectives. Specifically, bifurcating structure is extended to multi-cast tree and to branching tree structure. The AR(1) time series model of Cowan and Staudte (1986) is generalized to tree structured random processes. Branching correlations between individuals sharing the same parent are introduced and discussed. Various methods for estimating parameters and related asymptotics are also reviewed. Consequently, the paper aims to give a contemporary overview on the BAR model, providing some perspectives to the future works in this area.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.315-327
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• 2021

The Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models have drawn considerable attention in recent econometrics literature because of their capability to model the spatial spill overs in a feasible way. While considering the Bayesian analysis of these models, one may face the problem of lack of robustness with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The generalized Bayes estimators provide a viable alternative to incorporate prior belief and are more robust with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The present paper considers the SAR model with a set of linear restrictions binding the regression coefficients and derives restricted generalized Bayes estimator for the coefficients vector. The minimaxity of the restricted generalized Bayes estimator has been established. Using a simulation study, it has been demonstrated that the estimator dominates the restricted least squares as well as restricted Stein rule estimators.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.65-78
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• 1992

In this paper, we obtain the natural estimators of the coefficient parameters and propose strongly consistent estimators of the parameter in the autoregressive model of order three with non-negative innovations. It is shown that the natural estimators are also strongly consistent for the parameters. We also compare the proposed estimators with the natural estimators and the least square estimators via Monte Carlo simulation studies.

• Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.41 no.6
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• pp.1071-1086
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• 2004

This paper is concerned with the strong consistency of the estimators of the autocovariance function and the spectral density function for the autoregressive process in the case where only an amplitude modulated process with missing data is observed. These results will give a simple and practical sufficient condition for the strong consistency of those estimators. Finally, some examples are given to illustrate the application of main result.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.207-214
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• 1999

Optimal estimating functions for a class of autoregressive models with GARCH(1,1) error are discussed. The asymptotic properties of the estimator as the solution of the optimal estimating equation are investigated for the models. We have also some simulation results which suggest that the proposed optimal estimators have smaller sample variances than those of the Conditional least-squares estimators under the heavy-tailed error distributions.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.189-195
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• 1998

In this paper, we are concerned with the problem of testing the randomness of the coefficients in a first order autoregressive model. A consistent test based on prediction error is suggested. It is shown that under the null hypothesis, the test statistic is asymptotically normal.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.13 no.12
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• pp.120-128
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• 1996

An attempt is made to characterize and synthesize engineered surfaces. The proposed method is not only an analytical tool to characterize but also to generate/synthesize three-dimensional surfaces. The developed method expresses important engineered surface characteristics such as the autocorrelation or power spectrum density functions in terms of the two-dimensional autoregressive coefficients.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.103-115
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• 2007

In this paper we studied the small sample asymptotic inference for the autoregressive coefficient in AR(1) model. Based on saddlepoint approximations to the distribution of quadratic forms, we suggest a new approximation to the distribution of the estimators of the noncircular autoregressive coefficients. Simulation results show that the suggested methods are very accurate even in the small sample sizes and extreme tail area.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.157-169
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• 2016

We compare four methods to estimate a regression coefficient under linear regression models with serially correlated errors. We assume that regression errors are generated with nonlinear autoregressive models. The four methods are: ordinary least square estimator, general least square estimator, parametric regression error correction method, and nonparametric regression error correction method. We also discuss some properties of nonlinear autoregressive models by presenting numerical studies with typical examples. Our numerical study suggests that no method dominates; however, the nonparametric regression error correction method works quite well.