• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.7-18
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• 2002

To activate public transportation service, Bucheon City built Bus Information System based on Beacon type, and operates it for no.22 line. This research analyzes an effect of BIS operations, and mainly it analyzes far reliability evaluation of bus arrival time information and passenger satisfaction about BIS. As results of reliability evaluation of arrival time information service, it is proven to be practically inappropriate to use as arrival time data because it is not only travel time between each bus stop but also previous travel time history data. In order to improve this matter, neural network model was evaluated as the most outstanding one as result of experiment in applying current arrival time Prediction model. This research cannot help limiting for evaluation of operation effect in Bucheon City because there is no Bus Information System based on GPS type in Korea. For the future ITS model city, in the case of building ITS model city based on GPS type, it is possible to compare two systems relatively. In addition to that, fur the consideration of reliability of bus arrival time information, it is required to develop Predictable model and research factors that affect to bus operation.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.76-85
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• 2007

A reliability acceptance sampling plan (RASP) consists of a set of life test procedures and rules for eitheraccepting or rejecting a collection of items based on the sampled lifetime data. Most of the existing RASPs areconcerned with the case where test items are available at the same time. However, as in the early stage ofproduct development, it may be difficult to secure test items at the same time. In such a case, it is inevitable toconduct a life test using sequentially supplied samples.In this paper, it is assumed that test items are sequentially supplied, the lifetimes of test items follow anexponential disthbution, failures are monitored continuously, arrival times of test items are known, and thenumber of test items at each arrival time is given. Under these assumptions, RASPs are developed by deter-mining the test completion time and the critical value for the maximum likelihood estimator of the mean lifetimesuch that the producer and consumer risks are satisfied. Then, the developed plans are compared to thetraditional Type-I censored RASPs in terms of the test completion time. Computational results indicate that thetest completion time of the developed RASP is shorter than that of the traditional Type-I censored plan in mostcases considered. It is also found that the superiority of the developed RASP becomes more prominent as theinter-arrival times of test items increase and/or the total number of test items gets larger.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.597-604
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• 2014

In this study, we investigate to show the limitations of current bus arrival time estimation model based on each bus route, and to propose a bus arrival time estimation model based on a bus stop to overcome these limitations. Using the characteristic of bus arrival time calculated on travel time between two bus stops, we develop a model to estimate bus arrival times with the data of all buses traveling the same section regardless of bus route numbers. In the proposed model, an estimated arrival time is calculated by weighted moving average method, and verification between observed value and estimated time is performed on the basis of RMSE. Error was reduced by up to 20% compared to the existing models and the data update period was reduced by more than half that is related to the accuracy of bus arrival time information. We expect to solve the following problems with the suggested method: sudden increase or decrease in arrival time of the bus, the difference of the expected arrival times at the same stop between two or more buses having different route numbers, and impossibility of offering information of a bus if the bus is not operated with the designated schedule.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.374-390
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• 2015

This research shows the relationship between the number of trains and the probability of trains with arrival delay and suggests way to estimate the benefits of improved punctuality in a bottleneck section of the Gyeongbu Line. The arrival delays of high-speed and conventional trains were estimated using the train operation data of KORAIL. Linear regression models for the probability of trains with arrival delay by train type are presented in this paper. The probabilities of trains with arrival delay were more affected by the number of conventional trains than by the number of high-speed rail trains. For the empirical analysis, a project for increasing the capacity in the Seoul~Geumcheongu office section was tested. The benefits of the improved punctuality were estimated to be 4.2~4.5 billion Korean won every year. This research has some limitations but it can help evaluate more precisely the feasibility of the project of increasing the capacity in bottleneck sections.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.21 no.8
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• pp.57-64
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• 2016

Initial prevention activities and rapid propagation conditions is the most important to prevent diffusion of water pollution. If water pollutants flow into streams river or main stresm located in environmental conservation area or water intake facilities, we must predict immediately arrival time and the diffusion concentration to the proactive. National Institute of Environmental Research developed water pollution incident response prediction system linking dam and movable weir. the system is mathematical model which is updated daily. Therefore it can quickly predict the arrival time and the diffusion concentration when there are accident of oil spills and hazardous chemicals. Also we equipped with mathematical model and toxicity model of EFDC(Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code) to calculate the arrival time and the diffusion concentration. However these systems offer the services of an offline manner than real-time control services. we have ensured the reliability of data collection and have developed a real-time water quality measurement data transmission device by using the data linkage utilizing a mode bus communication and a commercial SCADA system, in particular, we implemented to be able to do real-time water quality prediction through information infrastructure of the water quality integrated management business created by utilizing the construction of the real-time prediction system that utilizes the data collected, the Open map, the visual representation using charts API and development of integrated management system development based on web maps.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.5 no.3 s.11
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• pp.1-12
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• 2006

Nowdays ITS is being installed in each local autonomous entity, and BIS installation and operation is prior to other ITS sub systems for the public service. The methods of positioning md wireless communication in BIS are DSRC+DSRC, GPS+wireless communication, Beacon+Beacon, which are chosen and operated as the local features. Before this study, the before and after survey of BIS' quality have only been done without performance evaluation of BIS. So the method of BIS' evaluation have been established including performance test in this paper. And the evaluation of some BIS' reliability and efficiency have been done using the reliability of arriving data and the wireless communication response rates after choosing typical BIS' sub system.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.112-123
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• 2017

The accurate forecasting of the public transportation's transit and arrival time has become increasingly important as more people use buses and subways instead of personal vehicles under the government's public transportation promotion policy. Using bus management system (BMS) data, which provide information on the real-time bus location, operation interval, and operation history, it is now possible to analyze the bus schedule reliability. However, the punctuality should always be considered together with the operation safety. Therefore, this study suggests a new methodology to secure both reliability and safety using the BMS data. Unlike other studies, we calculated the bus travel time between two bus stops by dividing the total travel length into 6 sections using 5 different measuring points. In addition, the optimal travel time for each bus route was proposed by analyzing the mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation of the each section's measurement. This will ensure the reliability, safety and mobility of the bus operation.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.353-357
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• 2008

One objective in developing the next generation of wireless communication systems is to increase data rates and reliability. A promising way to achieve this is to combine multiple-input and multiple-output signal processing with a space-time coding scheme, which offers higher coding and diversity gains and improves the spectrum efficiency and reliability of a wireless communication system. It is noted, however, that time delay differences and phase differences among different channels increase symbol interference and degrade system performance. In this letter, we investigate phase differences and their effects on multiple-input and multiple-output systems, and propose a compensation algorithm for the Rayleigh fading model to minimize their effects.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.680-683
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• 2006

One objective in developing the next generation of wireless communication systems is to increase data rates and reliability. A promising way to achieve this is to combine multiple-input and multiple-output signal processing with a space-time coding scheme, which offers higher coding and diversity gains and improves the spectrum efficiency and reliability of a wireless communication system. It is noted, however, that time delay differences and phase differences among different channels increase symbol interference and degrade system performance. In this letter, we investigate phase differences and their effects on multiple-input and multiple-output systems, and propose a compensation algorithm for the Rayleigh fading model to minimize their effects.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.578-585
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• 2012

CNS/ATM(Communication Navigation Surveillance/Air Traffic Management) was adopted as a standard navigation system of 21st century. Therefore, ICAO(International Civil Aviation Organization) members are developing the technology and infrastructure of CNS/ATM. ADS-B(Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast) system and Multilateration system are being implemented in the surveillance field of CNS/ATM. Multilateration system is installed in order to complement radar system and to surveil blind areas. Also, Multilateration system using TDOA(Time Difference Of Arrival) is more accurate than radar. In this paper, we applied an IMM(Interacting Multiple Model) filter which is widely used in radar systems to the Multilateration data in order to improve the reliability of the Multilateration data. Comparisons with the original Multilateration data and the Multilateration data with the IMM filter show that the ADS-B data with the IMM filter provides a better performance: 38.37% near the airport, 20.86% around 10 miles of the airport.