• Title/Summary/Keyword: approximate cost estimation

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Studies for Reliability-corrected Cost Estimation Methodology of Launch Vehicle Development (신뢰성 보정된 발사체 개발비용 추정방안 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Rae;Yoo, Dong-Seo;Chang, Young-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.364-374
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to perform the reliability-corrected development cost estimation of the launch vehicle at the conceptual design phase. In order to estimate the launch vehicle development cost, the estimation method based on the independent variable such as the rocket performance and dry mass has been mainly implemented up to now. This approach has made the approximate cost estimation possible, however, the cost variation according to the reliability requirement could not be reflected. In this paper, the cost estimation methodology that introduces the reliability factor in addition to the performance and mass in the TRANSCOST model is presented in order to improve the limitation of current cost estimation method. The development cost of KSLV(Korea Space Launch Vehicle)-II is estimated on the basis of this newly implemented concept with reliability as an added parameter.

Development of Approximate Cost Estimate Model for Aqueduct Bridges Restoration - Focusing on Comparison between Regression Analysis and Case-Based Reasoning - (수로교 개보수를 위한 개략공사비 산정 모델 개발 - 회귀분석과 사례기반추론의 비교를 중심으로 -)

  • Jeon, Geon Yeong;Cho, Jae Yong;Huh, Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1693-1705
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    • 2013
  • To restore old aqueduct in Korea which is a irrigation bridge to supply water in paddy field area, it is needed to estimate approximate costs of restoration because the basic design for estimation of construction costs is often ruled out in current system. In this paper, estimating models of construction costs were developed on the basis of performance data for restoration of RC aqueduct bridges since 2003. The regression analysis (RA) model and case-based reasoning (CBR) model for the estimation of construction costs were developed respectively. Error rate of simple RA model was lower than that of multiple RA model. CBR model using genetic algorithm (GA) has been applied in the estimation of construction costs. In the model three factors like attribute weight, attribute deviation and rank of case similarity were optimized. Especially, error rate of estimated construction costs decreased since limit ranges of the attribute weights were applied. The results showed that error rates between RA model and CBR models were inconsiderable statistically. It is expected that the proposed estimating method of approximate costs of aqueduct restoration will be utilized to support quick decision making in phased rehabilitation project.

Development of a model for an equation for estimating construction costs based on the resource-based cost estimating system for TBM (TBM 공법의 자원기반 적산 방식에 의한 개산 공사비 예측 식 모델 개발)

  • Han, Seung-Hee;Park, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1474-1480
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    • 2013
  • This study attempted to estimate construction costs in accordance with the resource-based cost estimation (unit cost price) system by diameter for TBM method, and analyzed the direct cost and the total cost. Based on such figures, this study performed a regression analysis and proposed a model for an equation for estimating construction costs. model for the resource-based cost estimation (unit cost price) system classified by diameter for TBM method proposed by this study can be effectively applied to business planning, preliminary investigation, feasibility study, construction cost estimations in the early design stages.

Two-Level Scheme for Selection of Degrees of freedom by Energy Estimation Combined with Sequential Elimination (주자유도 선정을 위한 2단계 축소기법의 제안과 축소시스템 구성에 관한 연구)

  • 김현기;조맹효
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2004
  • A number of approximate techniques have been developed to calculate the eigenvalues in a reduced manner. These schemes approximate the lower eigenvalues that represent the global behavior of the structures. In general, sequential elimination has been widely used with reliability. But it takes excessively large amount of time to construct a reduced system. The present study proposes two-level condensation scheme(TLCS). In the first step, the candidate elements are selected by element-level energy estimation. In the second step, master degrees of freedom are selected by sequential elimination from the candidate degrees of freedom linked to the selected elements in the first step. Numerical examples demonstrate that the proposed method saves computational cost effectively and provides a reduced system which predicts the accurate eigenvalues of global system.

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Practical fatigue/cost assessment of steel overhead sign support structures subjected to wind load

  • van de Lindt, John W.;Ahlborn, Theresa M.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.343-356
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    • 2005
  • Overhead sign support structures number in the tens of thousands throughout the trunk-line roadways in the United States. A recent two-phase study sponsored by the National Cooperative Highway Research Program resulted in the most significant changes to the AASHTO design specifications for sign support structures to date. The driving factor for these substantial changes was fatigue related cracks and some recent failures. This paper presents the method and results of a subsequent study sponsored by the Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT) to develop a relative performance-based procedure to rank overhead sign support structures around the United States based on a linear combination of their expected fatigue life and an approximate measure of cost. This was accomplished by coupling a random vibrations approach with six degree-of-freedom linear dynamic models for fatigue life estimation. Approximate cost was modeled as the product of the steel weight and a constructability factor. An objective function was developed and used to rank selected steel sign support structures from around the country with the goal of maximizing the objective function. Although a purely relative approach, the ranking procedure was found to be efficient and provided the decision support necessary to MDOT.

Motion estimation method using multiple linear regression model (다중선형회귀모델을 이용한 움직임 추정방법)

  • 김학수;임원택;이재철;이규원;박규택
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.34S no.10
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 1997
  • Given the small bit allocation for motion information in very low bit-rate coding, motion estimation using the block matching algorithm(BMA) fails to maintain an acceptable level of prediction errors. The reson is that the motion model, or spatial transformation, assumed in block matching cannot approximate the motion in the real world precisely with a small number of parameters. In order to overcome the drawback of the conventional block matching algorithm, several triangle-based methods which utilize triangular patches insead of blocks have been proposed. To estimate the motions of image sequences, these methods usually have been based on the combination of optical flow equation, affine transform, and iteration. But the compuataional cost of these methods is expensive. This paper presents a fast motion estimation algorithm using a multiple linear regression model to solve the defects of the BMA and the triange-based methods. After describing the basic 2-D triangle-based method, the details of the proposed multiple linear regression model are presented along with the motion estimation results from one standard video sequence, representative of MPEG-4 class A data. The simulationresuls show that in the proposed method, the average PSNR is improved about 1.24 dB in comparison with the BMA method, and the computational cost is reduced about 25% in comparison with the 2-D triangle-based method.

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An approximate fitting for mixture of multivariate skew normal distribution via EM algorithm (EM 알고리즘에 의한 다변량 치우친 정규분포 혼합모형의 근사적 적합)

  • Kim, Seung-Gu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.513-523
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    • 2016
  • Fitting a mixture of multivariate skew normal distribution (MSNMix) with multiple skewness parameter vectors via EM algorithm often requires a highly expensive computational cost to calculate the moments and probabilities of multivariate truncated normal distribution in E-step. Subsequently, it is common to fit an asymmetric data set with MSNMix with a simple skewness parameter vector since it allows us to compute them in E-step in an univariate manner that guarantees a cheap computational cost. However, the adaptation of a simple skewness parameter is unrealistic in many situations. This paper proposes an approximate estimation for the MSNMix with multiple skewness parameter vectors that also allows us to treat them in an univariate manner. We additionally provide some experiments to show its effectiveness.

Analysis of the Life Cycle Cost for the Ballasted Track and the Concrete Track Structures (자갈도상과 콘크리트도상 궤도구조의 생애주기비용 분석)

  • Baek, Jae-Wook;Song, Yoo-Seob;Park, Tae-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2006.11b
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    • pp.1299-1305
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the objective is an evaluation of economics using Life Cycle Cost(LCC) analysis for the ballasted track and the concrete track. However, since the absence of reliable data on maintenance activities, the degree of a reliability about the results of the LCC analysis is insufficient yet. In order to remedy the problems, we surveyed a professional research group for an approximate estimation which can be represented a degree of maintenance through a application of examples. Hereby we found that it is possible to expect the retrenchment of cost using preventive maintenance management. Moreover we proposed appropriate and economical restrictions between track structures.

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An Empirical Analysis on the Presumption of Public Apartment's Construction Cost in Housing Land Development Project (택지개발사업의 공공주택건설공사비 추정의 실증적 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2011
  • Providers haven't recently had a flexible construction cost estimation system to meet various needs of consumers about public housing. So the subject of this study is to estimate construction cost reasonably in early project stage of public housing and then develop reliable means which is able to support construction cost management and establish a adequate funding investment plan as a provider. In this study, Regression analysis was performed by the case on 20 public apartment complex which were designed from the first half of 2007 to the first half of 2008. A total construction cost of construction, civil engineering, machinery, elevator, land scape, electricity and communication work was used as one sample for increasing explanation and representativeness of the case. In addition, The total construction cost which is devided into design, contract and completion cost was variously analysed for increasing relevance of model and actual utilization. The result of estimation model based on a total construction cost set up completion and design cost showed that error rate is within 2%, which is a excellent result. The estimation model of the construction cost developed by this study is expected to estimate approximate construction cost which is adjacent real construction cost in early stage of the project by using some data.

Development of the Approximate Cost Estimating Model Using Statistical Inference for PSC Box Girder Bridge Constructed by the Incremental Launching Method (통계적 기법을 활용한 ILM압출공법 교량 상부공사 개략공사비 산정모델 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Bum;Cho, Ji-Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.781-790
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    • 2013
  • This research focuses on development of the conceptual cost estimation models for I.L.M box girder bridge. The current conceptual cost estimation for public construction projects is dependent on governmental average unit price references which has been regarded as inaccurate and unreliable by many experts. Therefore, there have been strong demands for developing a better way of conceptual cost estimating methods. This research has proposed three different conceptual cost estimating method for a P.S.C. girder bridge built with the I.L.M method. Model (I) attempts to seek the proper breakdown of standard works that are accountable for more than 95 percentage in total cost and calculates the amount of standard work's materials from the standard section and volume of I.L.M box girder bridge. Model (II) utilizes a correlation analysis (coefficient over 0.6 or more) between breakdown of standard works and input data that would be considered available information in preliminary design phase. Model(III) obtains conceptual estimating through multiple-regression analysis between the breakdown of standard works and all of input data related to them. In order to validate the clustering of coverage in the preliminary design phase, the variation of I.L.M cost coverage from multiple-regression analysis[model(III)] has been investigated which result in between -3.76% and 11.79%, comparing with AACE(Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering) which informs its variation between -5% and +15% in the design phase. The model proposed from this research are envisioned to be improved to a great distinct if reliable cost date for P.S.C. girder bridges can be continually collected with reasonable accuracies.