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http://dx.doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2013.33.2.781

Development of the Approximate Cost Estimating Model Using Statistical Inference for PSC Box Girder Bridge Constructed by the Incremental Launching Method  

Kim, Sang-Bum (Dongguk University, Civil and Environmental Engineering)
Cho, Ji-Hoon (Dongguk University, Civil and Environmental Engineering)
Publication Information
KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research / v.33, no.2, 2013 , pp. 781-790 More about this Journal
Abstract
This research focuses on development of the conceptual cost estimation models for I.L.M box girder bridge. The current conceptual cost estimation for public construction projects is dependent on governmental average unit price references which has been regarded as inaccurate and unreliable by many experts. Therefore, there have been strong demands for developing a better way of conceptual cost estimating methods. This research has proposed three different conceptual cost estimating method for a P.S.C. girder bridge built with the I.L.M method. Model (I) attempts to seek the proper breakdown of standard works that are accountable for more than 95 percentage in total cost and calculates the amount of standard work's materials from the standard section and volume of I.L.M box girder bridge. Model (II) utilizes a correlation analysis (coefficient over 0.6 or more) between breakdown of standard works and input data that would be considered available information in preliminary design phase. Model(III) obtains conceptual estimating through multiple-regression analysis between the breakdown of standard works and all of input data related to them. In order to validate the clustering of coverage in the preliminary design phase, the variation of I.L.M cost coverage from multiple-regression analysis[model(III)] has been investigated which result in between -3.76% and 11.79%, comparing with AACE(Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering) which informs its variation between -5% and +15% in the design phase. The model proposed from this research are envisioned to be improved to a great distinct if reliable cost date for P.S.C. girder bridges can be continually collected with reasonable accuracies.
Keywords
Cost Estimation Model; Incremental Launching Method(ILM); Breakdown of Standard Work; Correlation Analysis; Multiple-Regression Analysis;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
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