• Title/Summary/Keyword: air demand

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Domestic air demand forecast using cross-validation (교차검증을 이용한 국내선 항공수요예측)

  • Lim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Young-Rok;Choi, Yun-Chul;Kim, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2019
  • The aviation demand forecast field has been actively studied along with the recent growth of the aviation market. In this study, the demand for domestic passenger demand and freight demand was estimated through cross-validation method. As a result, passenger demand is influenced by private consumption growth rate, oil price, and exchange rate. Freight demand is affected by GDP per capita, private consumption growth rate, and oil price. In particular, passenger demand is characterized by temporary external shocks, and freight demand is more affected by economic variables than temporary shocks.

An Experimental Study on Understanding of Production Mechanism of a Mist from Fin-Tube Heat Exchanger (핀-튜브 열교환기에서의 습증기 발생 메커니즘의 파악을 위한 실험적 연구)

  • Park, S.K.;Yoon, S.H.;Kim, K.K.;Kim, M.H.;Oh, C.
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.595-604
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    • 2001
  • As an improvement in the standard of living and economic growth, the demand for air conditioning equipment is increasing rapidly. Nowadays, air conditioning equipments are being used for industry, large building, house and car. There equipments were concentrated on improving heat efficiency of economic aspects while thy design heat exchanger for cooling and heating. These air conditioning equipments using heat exchanger cause a discomfort to user due to generating mist at the beginning of operating. Therefore, the user demand air of high class and quality. In this experimental study, to acquire elementary data for development of heat exchanger which be able to supply air of high quality, that is to say, possess a restraint effect of mist generation. We estimate an effect on cooling plate quality, supply air velocity, supply air temperature, cooled plate temperature and supply air relative humidity which have an influence on outlet air condition of heat exchanger.

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Demand Pattern of the Global Passengers: Sea and Air Transport (글로벌 여객의 해상과 항공운송에 대한 수요패턴)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of exchange rate and economic business activity on the passengers' demand for international transportation. The demand pattern depends upon the transport vehicles that the global passengers take. The global passengers' demand for transportation is modelled as exchange rate, industrial production and seasonal dummy variables. The seasonality is found in both water and air, but the former is far greater than the latter. All series span the period January 1990 to December 2008. The empirical results of this paper reveal that the income elasticity of sea transport is greater than that of air one, all of which are positive. The study also shows that the exchange rate has an significant impact on the demand for air transport, whereas it is insignificant in water transport. The impulse response function indicates that passengers increase steadily before peaking seven to eight months after the shocks to economic business activity and decline very slowly to its pre-shock level. The air passengers also respond negatively to the shocks in exchange rate and the impacts of exchange rate shock seem to decrease relatively slowly, while the water passengers respond positively after six months. The industrial production shocks remain above equilibrium for more than twenty four months, while the exchange rate shocks remain below equilibrium for more than twenty four months. Boosted by improved economic conditions worldwide, international tourism has recovered faster than expected from the impacts of the global financial crisis and economic recession of late 2008 and 2009. These facts suggest that the demand of global water transport has the high possibility of growing steadily and continuously.

The Use of Demand Controlled Ventilation in Multi-Purposed Facility (수요기반 환기량 조절법 (DCV)의 다중이용시설 적용방안)

  • Jeong, Jae-Weon;No, Sang-Tae
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this paper was to show the possibility of demand-controlled ventilation (DCV) using the current Korean ventilation standard for multi-purposed facilites. Two attractive DCV approaches; $CO_2$-DCV and RFID-DCV were applied to DCV simulations for a theoretical public assembly space served by a dedicated outdoor air system (DOAS) with enthalpy recovery device. A numerical model for predicting realtime occupant number, ventilation rate, and $CO_2$ concentration under given conditions was developed using a commercial equation solver program. It was found that the current ventilation standard causes unstable ventilation system control in DCV applications, especially under $CO_2$-DCV. It is because the ventilation rate (per person) used in Korea is the sum of the outdoor air required to remove or dilute air contaminants generated by both occupant and building itself, and not a pure function of occupant numbers. Finally, it makes DCV control unstable when ventilation flow is regulated only by the number of occupants. In order for solving this problem, current Korean ventilation standard was modified as a form of ASHRAE Standard 62.1-2007 showing good applicability to various DCV approaches. It was found that this modification enhances applicability of the current ventilation standard to DCV significantly.

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Development of the Demand Forecasting and Product Recommendation Method to Support the Small and Medium Distribution Companies based on the Product Recategorization (중소유통기업지원을 위한 상품 카테고리 재분류 기반의 수요예측 및 상품추천 방법론 개발)

  • Sangil Lee;Yeong-WoongYu;Dong-Gil Na
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2024
  • Distribution and logistics industries contribute some of the biggest GDP(gross domestic product) in South Korea and the number of related companies are quarter of the total number of industries in the country. The number of retail tech companies are quickly increased due to the acceleration of the online and untact shopping trend. Furthermore, major distribution and logistics companies try to achieve integrated data management with the fulfillment process. In contrast, small and medium distribution companies still lack of the capacity and ability to develop digital innovation and smartization. Therefore, in this paper, a deep learning-based demand forecasting & recommendation model is proposed to improve business competitiveness. The proposed model is developed based on real sales transaction data to predict future demand for each product. The proposed model consists of six deep learning models, which are MLP(multi-layers perception), CNN(convolution neural network), RNN(recurrent neural network), LSTM(long short term memory), Conv1D-BiLSTM(convolution-long short term memory) for demand forecasting and collaborative filtering for the recommendation. Each model provides the best prediction result for each product and recommendation model can recommend best sales product among companies own sales list as well as competitor's item list. The proposed demand forecasting model is expected to improve the competitiveness of the small and medium-sized distribution and logistics industry.

A Study on the Air Travel Demand Forecasting using ARIMA-Intervention Model (Event Intervention이 일본, 중국 항공수요에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seon Tae;Kim, Min Su;Park, Sang Beom;Lee, Joon Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to anticipate the air travel demands over the period of 164 months, from January 1997 to August 2010 using ARIMA-Intervention modeling on the selected sample data. The sample data is composed of the number of the passengers who in the domestic route for Jeju route. In the analysis work of this study, the past events which are assumed to have affected the demands for the air travel routes to Jeju in different periods were used as the intervention variables. The impacts of such variables were reflected in the presupposed demand. The intervention variables used in this study are, respectively, the World Cup event in 2002 (from May to June), 2003 SARS outbreak (from April to May), Tsunami in January 2005, and the influenza outbreak from October to December 2009. The result of the above mentioned analysis revealed that the negative intervention events, like a global outbreak of an epidemic did have negative impact on the air travel demands in a risk aversion by the users of the aviation services. However, in case of the negative intervention events in limited area, where there are possible substituting destinations for the tourists, the impact was positive in terms of the air travel demands for substituting destinations due to the rational expectation of the users as they searched for other options. Also in this study, it was discovered that there is not a binding correlation between a nation wide mega-event, such as the World Cup games in 2002, and the increased air travel demands over a short-term period.

A Study on Improvement of the Air Carrier Pilot's Qualification Check in Korea (조종사 운항자격 심사제도 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Sasik;Choi, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 2014
  • Worldwide, air transport demand of this century is expanding rapidly, and each countries' demand is also increasing. Thus a number of low-cost carriers emerged in existing air transportation business sector and airman qualification check work regarding aviation safety management is increasing too. As the remedy for the result of aviation safety audit by ICAO and FAA in 2001 that governmental activity for aviation safety had been performed by a small number of aviation safety inspectors, airman qualification inspection system implemented by airlines was improved and the government has established the system that authorized airman qualification inspectors check airmen qualification with airlines according to the international trend. This study suggests the need of improvement of airman qualification inspection system that existing inspection system as the means of safety management can be transferred to Operations Safety Inspection(OSI) activity which is compliant with international standards.

Stability Analysis of Compressed Air Storage Caverns in Rockmass (전력생산을 위한 암반내 압축공기저장공동의 안정성분석)

  • 신희순;신중호;최성웅;한일영;김정엽
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2002
  • CAES which is called as a compressed air energy storage was firstly developed at Huntorf, German in 1978. The capacity of that system was 290MW, and it can be treated as a first commercial power plant. CAES has a lot of merits, such as saving the unit price of power generation, averaging the peak demand, improvement of maintenance, enlarging the benefit of dynamic use. According to the literature survey, the unlined rock cavern should be proposed to be a reasonable storing style as a method of compressed air storage in Korea. We decided the hill of the Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources as CAES site. If we construct the underground spaces in this site, the demand for electricity nearby Taejon should be considered. So we could determine the capacity of the power plant as a 350MW, This capacity needs a underground space of 200,000㎥, and we can conclude 4 parallel tunnels 550m deep from the surface through the numerical studies, Design parameters were achieved from 300m depth boring job and image processing job.

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A Seat Allocation Problem for Package Tour Groups in Airlines (항공사 패키지 여행 단체수요의 좌석할당 문제)

  • Song, Yoon-Sook;Lee, Hwi-Young;Yoon, Moon-Gil
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2008
  • This study is focused on the problem of seat allocation for group travel demand in airlines. We first explain the characteristic of group demand and its seat allocation process. The group demand in air travel markets can be classified into two types : incentive and package groups. Allocating seats for group demand depends on the types of group demand and the relationship between airlines and travel agents. In this paper we concentrate on the package group demand and develop an optimization model for seat allocation on the demand to maximize the total revenue. With some assumptions on the demand distribution and the linear approximation technique, we develop a mixed IP model for solving our problem optimally. From the computational experiments, we can find our optimization model can be applied well for real-world application.

Dynamic Parameters Identification of an Air Spring for Vibration Isolation of a Complex Testing System of COG Bonding Process (COG 본딩공정 고속복합 검사 시스템의 방진용 에어 스프링의 동적 파라미터 규명 연구)

  • Lee, Ju-Hong;Kim, Pil-Kee;Seok, Jong-Won;Oh, Byung-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2010
  • Due to the recent quantum leaps forward in bio-, nano-, and information-technologies, the precisionization and miniaturization of mechanical and electrical components are in high demand. The allowable margin for vibration limits for such equipments is becoming stricter. In order to meet this demand, understandings on the characteristics of vibration isolation systems are highly required. Among the components comprising the vibration isolation system, air spring has become a focal point. In order to develop a complex defect tester for COG bonding of display panels, a vibration isolation system composed of air springs for mounting is considered in this study. The dynamic characteristics of the air spring are investigated, which is the most essential ingredient for reducing the vibration problem of the tester to the lowest level. Uncoupled dynamic parameters of the air spring are identified through MTS experiments, followed by suggestion of a model-based approach to obtain the remaining coupled dynamic parameters. Finally, the dynamic behaviors of the air spring are estimated and discussed.