• Title/Summary/Keyword: accuracy analysis

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Influence analysis of Internet buzz to corporate performance : Individual stock price prediction using sentiment analysis of online news (온라인 언급이 기업 성과에 미치는 영향 분석 : 뉴스 감성분석을 통한 기업별 주가 예측)

  • Jeong, Ji Seon;Kim, Dong Sung;Kim, Jong Woo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2015
  • Due to the development of internet technology and the rapid increase of internet data, various studies are actively conducted on how to use and analyze internet data for various purposes. In particular, in recent years, a number of studies have been performed on the applications of text mining techniques in order to overcome the limitations of the current application of structured data. Especially, there are various studies on sentimental analysis to score opinions based on the distribution of polarity such as positivity or negativity of vocabularies or sentences of the texts in documents. As a part of such studies, this study tries to predict ups and downs of stock prices of companies by performing sentimental analysis on news contexts of the particular companies in the Internet. A variety of news on companies is produced online by different economic agents, and it is diffused quickly and accessed easily in the Internet. So, based on inefficient market hypothesis, we can expect that news information of an individual company can be used to predict the fluctuations of stock prices of the company if we apply proper data analysis techniques. However, as the areas of corporate management activity are different, an analysis considering characteristics of each company is required in the analysis of text data based on machine-learning. In addition, since the news including positive or negative information on certain companies have various impacts on other companies or industry fields, an analysis for the prediction of the stock price of each company is necessary. Therefore, this study attempted to predict changes in the stock prices of the individual companies that applied a sentimental analysis of the online news data. Accordingly, this study chose top company in KOSPI 200 as the subjects of the analysis, and collected and analyzed online news data by each company produced for two years on a representative domestic search portal service, Naver. In addition, considering the differences in the meanings of vocabularies for each of the certain economic subjects, it aims to improve performance by building up a lexicon for each individual company and applying that to an analysis. As a result of the analysis, the accuracy of the prediction by each company are different, and the prediction accurate rate turned out to be 56% on average. Comparing the accuracy of the prediction of stock prices on industry sectors, 'energy/chemical', 'consumer goods for living' and 'consumer discretionary' showed a relatively higher accuracy of the prediction of stock prices than other industries, while it was found that the sectors such as 'information technology' and 'shipbuilding/transportation' industry had lower accuracy of prediction. The number of the representative companies in each industry collected was five each, so it is somewhat difficult to generalize, but it could be confirmed that there was a difference in the accuracy of the prediction of stock prices depending on industry sectors. In addition, at the individual company level, the companies such as 'Kangwon Land', 'KT & G' and 'SK Innovation' showed a relatively higher prediction accuracy as compared to other companies, while it showed that the companies such as 'Young Poong', 'LG', 'Samsung Life Insurance', and 'Doosan' had a low prediction accuracy of less than 50%. In this paper, we performed an analysis of the share price performance relative to the prediction of individual companies through the vocabulary of pre-built company to take advantage of the online news information. In this paper, we aim to improve performance of the stock prices prediction, applying online news information, through the stock price prediction of individual companies. Based on this, in the future, it will be possible to find ways to increase the stock price prediction accuracy by complementing the problem of unnecessary words that are added to the sentiment dictionary.

Efficacy of pushover analysis methodologies: A critical evaluation

  • Dutta, Sekhar Chandra;Chakroborty, Suvonkar;Raychaudhuri, Anusrita
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.265-276
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    • 2009
  • Various Pushover analysis methodologies have evolved as an easy as well as designers-friendly alternative of nonlinear dynamic analysis for estimation of the inelastic demands of structures under seismic loading for performance based design. In fact, the established nonlinear dynamic analysis to assess the same, demands considerable analytical and computational background and rigor as well as intuitive insight into inelastic behavior for judging suitability of the results and its interpretation and hence may not be used in design office for frequent practice. In this context, the simple and viable alternative of Pushover analysis methodologies can be accepted if its efficacy is thoroughly judged over all possible varieties of the problems. Though this burning issue has invited some research efforts in this direction, still a complete picture evolving very clear guidelines for use of these alternate methodologies require much more detailed studies, providing idea about how the accuracy is influenced due to various combinations of basic parameters regulating inelastic dynamic response of the structures. The limited study presented in the paper aims to achieve this end to the extent possible. The study intends to identify the range of applicability of the technique and compares the efficacy of various alternative Pushover analysis schemes to general class of problems. Thus, the paper may prove useful in judicial use of Pushover analysis methodologies for performance based design with reasonable accuracy and relative ease.

A Study of the Three-Dimension Acoustic Field Analysis using the Type-M CIP Method (M형 CIP법을 이용한 3차원 음장해석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chai-Bong;Oh, Sung-Qwan
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.220-224
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    • 2009
  • The authors have investigated the acoustic field analysis using the Constrained Interpolation Profile(CIP) Method recently proposed by Yabe. The present study has examined the calculation accuracy of the three-dimensional (3-D) acoustic field analysis using the type-M CIP method. In this paper we show phase error of type-M CIP method and the dependence on the wave-propagation direction in the type-M CIP acoustic field analysis, and then demonstrate that it is effective for acoustic field analysis, compared with the FDTD and the exact solution. We show the dependency on the propagation angle in the CIP acoustic field analysis.

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Grain Size Analysis Using Morphological Properties of Grains (입자의 형태적 특성을 활용한 퇴적물 입도분석)

  • Choi, Kwang Hee
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2020
  • Grain size analysis is the most basic procedure for identifying the origin, transport and sedimentation processes of sediments, and is widely used in geomorphology and sedimentology. Traditionally, grain size was determined by a sieve-pippette method, but the use of automated analyzers is increasing in recent years. These analyzers have many advantages over traditional techniques, but the measurement results are not always the same. It is still difficult to solve the pretreatment problem such as incomplete diffusion and residual organic matter, and inappropriate results may be obtained. This study compared image-based grain size analysis and sieve analysis to verify its statistical reliability, and conducted experiments to enhance the measurement accuracy using shape parameters. The results showed that the image-based analysis overestimated the grain size of sand dunes by about 7% compared to the sieve analysis, but the two measurements were not statistically different. In addition, by using shape parameters, such as aspect ratio, sphericity, and convexity, improved statistics were obtained compared to the original data. Using the morphological properties of the individual grains is a complementary method to the incomplete pretreatment of the grain size analysis process, and at the same time, it will contribute to improving the accuracy and reliability of the results.

Impact Analysis of Overestimation Sources on the Accuracy of the Worst Case Timing Analysis for RISC Processors (RISC 프로세서를 대상으로 한 최악 실행시간 분석의 정확도에 대한 과예측 원인별 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Gwan;Min, Sang-Ryeol;Ha, Ran;Kim, Jong-Sang
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 1999
  • 실시간 태스크의 최악 실행시간을 예측할 때 과예측이 발생하는 원인은, 첫째 프로그램의 동적인 최악 실행 행태를 정적으로 분석하는 것이 근본적으로 어렵기 때문이며, 둘째 최근의 RISC 형태 프로세서에 포함되어 있는 파이프라인 실행 구조와 캐쉬 등이 그러한 정적 분석을 더욱 어렵게 만들기 때문이다. 그런데 기존의 연구에서는 각각의 과예측 원인을 해결하기 위한 방법에 대해서만 언급하고 있을 뿐 분석의 정확도에서 각 원인이 차지하는 비중에 대해서는 언급하고 있지 않다. 이에 본 연구에서는 최악 실행시간 예측시 과예측을 유발하는 원인들, 즉 분석 요소들의 영향을 정량적으로 조사함으로써 기존의 최악 실행시간 분석 기법들이 보완해야 할 방향을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 실험이 특정 분석 기법에 의존하지 않도록 하기 위하여 시뮬레이션 방법에 기반한다. 이를 위해 분석 요소별 스위치가 포함된 MIPS R3000 프로세서를 위한 시뮬레이터를 구현하였는데, 각 스위치는 해당 분석 요소에 대한 분석의 정확도 수준을 결정한다. 모든 스위치 조합에 대해서 시뮬레이션을 반복 수행한 다음 분산 분석을 수행하여 어떤 분석 요소가 가장 큰 영향을 끼치는지 고찰한다.Abstract Existing analysis techniques for estimating the worst case execution time (WCET) of real-time tasks still suffer from significant overestimation due to two types of overestimation sources. First, it is unavoidably difficult to predict dynamic behavior of programs statically. Second, pipelined execution and caching found in recent RISC-style processors even more complicate such a prediction. Although these overestimation sources have been attacked in many existing analysis techniques, we cannot find in the literature any description about questions like which one is most important. Thus, in this paper, we quantitatively analyze the impacts of overestimation sources on the accuracy of the worst case timing analysis. Using the results, we can identify dominant overestimation sources that should be analyzed more accurately to get tighter WCET estimations. To make our method independent of any existing analysis techniques, we use simulation based methodology. We have implemented a MIPS R3000 simulator equipped with several switches, each of which determines the accuracy level of the timing analysis for the corresponding overestimation source. After repeating simulation for all of the switch combinations, we perform the variance analysis and study which factor has the largest impact on the accuracy of the predicted WCETs.

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF HOVERING UH-60A ROTOR BLADE (UH-60A 로터 블레이드의 정지비행 성능해석)

  • Park, Y.M.;Choi, I.H.;Chang, B.H.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.45-49
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    • 2008
  • The present paper describes the results of performance analysis for UH-60A rotor blade in hover. For the numerical simulations, commercial CFD software, FLUENT was used with Spalart-Allmaras turbulence model. The flow solver was based on node based scheme and second order spatial accuracy options was used for simulations. For the enhancement of wake capturing capability, high resolution grid was used around tip vortex region. Granting that somewhat over-prediction of thrust was observed near blade tip region, performance was well correlated with experimental data within 3% accuracy in the operating region. Finally it was shown that the present flow solver can be used as a preliminary performance analysis tool for hovering helicopter rotor blades.

A Study on the Error Detection of Attached Cadastral Maps using GIS (GIS를 이용한 연속지적도 오류검증 방안)

  • Jung, Gu-Ha;Jun, Chul-Min;Koh, Jun-Hwan;Park, Yu-Ri
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2007
  • This study proposed a procedure to improve the error defection of attached cadastral maps using digital map data. In addition, this study also provided the direction for the accuracy improvement of attached cadastral maps by comparing analysis methods. - such as centroid, Lee Sallee shape index, and area index. The analysis is performed as follows. First, by using centroid measurement, the center point of cadastral maps and attached cadastral maps are compared. Secondly by using Lee Sallee shape measurement, the location accuracy of range area is investigated. Thirdly, by using area measurement, the range area within allowable error scope is verified. Based on analysis, the discrepancy between cadastral maps and the attacked cadastral maps are detected as follows; 98.2% from Lee Sallee shape index, 41.8% from centroid, 15.4% from area index in the whole error.

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Adjustment of Precise Triangulation Nets by Matrix Analysis (Matrix해석에 의한 엄밀3각망의 조정)

  • 이계학
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 1988
  • The objective of this work is to study the sue of precise triangulation nets by matrix analysis in adjusting coordinates. Results of this work show that matrix analysis has many advantages, namely in terms of accuracy and efficiency. In addition to this, comparison of adjusted vlues by two different methods, a Rigorous Method and an Approximate Method, show that differences in adjusted coordinates are 1-2 mm within the mean square error. This proves that the Approximate Method has sufficient accuracy in the practical application.

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Lode Location Management Using RSSI Regression Analysis in Wireless Sensor Network (RSSI의 회귀 분석을 이용한 무선센서노드의 위치관리)

  • Yang, Hyun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.1935-1940
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    • 2009
  • One of the key technical challenges of wireless sensor network (WSN) is location management of sensor nodes. Typical node location management methods use GPS, ultrasonic sensors or RSSI. In this paper we propose a new location management method which adopts regression analysis of RSSI measurement to improve the accuracy of sensor node position estimation. We also evaluated the performance of proposed method by comparing the experimental results with existing scheme. According to the results, our proposed method, LM-RAR, shows better accuracy than existing location management scheme using RSSI and Friis' equation.

Analysis of the Combined Positioning Accuracy using GPS and GLONASS Navigation Satellites

  • Choi, Byung-Kyu;Roh, Kyoung-Min;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2013
  • In this study, positioning results that combined the code observation information of GPS and GLONASS navigation satellites were analyzed. Especially, the distribution of GLONASS satellites observed in Korea and the combined GPS/GLONASS positioning results were presented. The GNSS data received at two reference stations (GRAS in Europe and KOHG in Goheung, Korea) during a day were processed, and the mean value and root mean square (RMS) value of the position error were calculated. The analysis results indicated that the combined GPS/GLONASS positioning did not show significantly improved performance compared to the GPS-only positioning. This could be due to the inter-system hardware bias for GPS/GLONASS receivers, the selection of transformation parameters between reference coordinate systems, the selection of a confidence level for error analysis, or the number of visible satellites at a specific time.