• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident analysis model

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An Analysis of Relationship between Unsafe Acts and Human Errors of Workers for Construction Accident Prevention (건설사고 예방을 위한 근로자의 불안전한 행동과 휴먼에러와의 관계 분석)

  • Min, Kwangho;Cha, Yongwoon;Han, Sangwon;Hyun, Changtaek
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2019
  • Construction industry is becoming more advanced, but safety accidents are not decreasing and unsafe act (UA) and human errors (HE) are the main causes of safety accidents. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the relationships between unsafe acts and human errors for construction accident prevents. Specifically, the Correlation Analysis is used to quantify 24 combinations of the relationship between the UA and HE. Then, the Kano Model, and Timko Satisfied Coefficient was utilized to find 6 combinations for construction accident prevention plans. As the result of Timko Satisfied Coefficient, an interview was conducted with three safety managers and 6 safety prevention plan is proposed. Through these results, it is expected that the combination of 24 accidents will be basic data of safety management. Especially, the proposed safety prevention plans considering the characteristics of 6 combinations with high correlation can contribute to prevention of safety accidents at the construction site.

Development of Probabilistic Risk Analysis Model on Railroad System - Its Application to Tunnel Fire Risk Analysis (철도시스템의 확률론적 위험평가 모델 개발 연구 - 터널화재 위험도 평가에의 적용)

  • Kwak Sang Log;Wang Jong Bae;Hong Seon Ho;Kim Sang Am
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.265-270
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    • 2003
  • Though the probability of tunnel fire accident is very low, but critical fatalities are expected when it occurred. In this study the effect of critical safety parameters on tunnel fire accident are examined using probabilistic technique. Fire detection time, smoke spread velocity, passenger escape velocity, flash-over time, and emergency service arrival time are considered. In order to estimate the uncertainties of input parameters Monte Carlo simulation are used, and fatalities for each assumed accident scenarios are obtained as results. For the efficiency of iterative calculation PRA(Probabilistic Risk Analysis) code is developed in this study. As a result fire detection have large effect.

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Cost and Benefit Analysis for Safety Management Cost by FMEA/HAZOP at Governor Station (가스 공급기지에서 FMEA/HAZOP에 의한 안전관리 비용-편익분석)

  • 장서일;이헌창;조지훈;오신규;김태옥
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2001
  • Cost-benefit analysis was investigated to propose the analysis method of the effect of investment and the optimum investment level of safety management cost for preventing gas accident in the B governor station. From five classifications of safety management costs consisting of cost items with similar characters and potential accident costs calculated by risk assessments(FMEA/HAZOP), we found that the order of the benefit(the reduction cost of the potential accident cost) was the instrument increase and repair cost > the safety checking and inspection cost > the labor and training cost > the safety equipment and corresponding cost > the research and development cost. As the benefit was increased with increasing the investment cost, the effect of investment was increased with decreasing the Investment cost. As a result, the optimum safety management cost was estimated and the investment level was analyzed by the model of optimum investment level.

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Analysis of risk factors of the fisherman's in coastal purse seine fishery using the accident compensation insurance proceeds payment data of NFFC (수협 어선원 재해보상보험 자료를 이용한 연안선망어업 위험요인 분석)

  • CHOI, Kyu-Suk;LEE, Chun-Woo;PARK, Su-bong;JANG, Yong-Suk;LEE, Yoo-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.340-346
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the risk factors of coastal purse seine fisherman were analyzed through a survey of fishery workers of coastal purse seine fishery and the accident compensation insurance data of the fisheries workers of the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives (NFFC). The classified fishing operation accident data was analyzed through 4M (Man, Machine, Media, Management) model of the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and the accident prevention measures were presented using Harvey's 3E (Engineering, Education, Enforcement) model. The rate of accidents on coastal purse seinens each year was 75.8‰, 36.7‰ and 74.8‰ from 2015 to 2017. The accident frequency resulting from slipping was the highest, and the risk of a contact with gear was low. When comparing each insurance data, the average value of the contact with gear accident was the highest. This research result is expected to be important data in identifying and preventing safety hazards of coastal purse seiner fisherman in the future.

The Analysis of Risk according to Traffic Accident Types by Novice and Experienced Drivers in Korea (초보 및 일반운전자의 교통사고유형별 위험도 비교분석)

  • Kim, Gi-Yong;Jang, Myeong-Sun;O, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2009
  • To analyze the risk according to accident types by novice and experienced drivers, it is used the accidents data which occurred for 2 years(2005~2006) in Korea. It is defined that novice driver is a people who is not passed 1 year after getting a driving licence and experienced driver is a people who is passed 1 year in this study. It is used a risk model to compare and analyze about the risk between two groups. The risk model is developed to apply together two variables which is accidents frequency and severity. Then it is used a conceptual weight to find that proper rate between accident frequency and fatal accident frequency. It is found a weight($\omega=0.6$) to suitable value to apply a risk model. The results showed that collision with obstacles, angle collision($90^{\circ}$) types to novice driver group have bigger risk than experienced driver group.

Effects on the Accident Reduction of Red Light Camera Using Empirical Bayes Method (경험적 베이즈 방법을 이용한 무인신호위반단속장비의 사고감소 효과)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the effects on the accident reduction according to the installation of RLC (red light cameras). The objective is to analyze the effects on the accident reduction using EB (Empirical Bayes) method. In pursuing the above, the study uses the 728 accident data occurred at the 28 intersections which RLC are installed. The main results are as follows. First, the effects of accident reduction were analyzed to be 20.74% by simple before-after study method. Second, the safety performance functions (SPF) were developed by the Poisson and negative binominal regression models, and since the over-dispersion parameter was close to zero, Poisson model was evaluated to be more appropriate than the negative binominal model. Also, the Poisson model was analyzed to be statistically significant because its ${\rho}^2$ value was 0.409. Finally, the results of analysis using an EB method showed that the accidents were reduced by range from 3.89 to 29.23%.

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A Convergence Study on Impact Analysis of Automotive Side Door by the Class of Vehicle (차종별 차량 옆문의 충돌 해석에 관한 융합 연구)

  • Oh, Bum-Suk;Cho, Jae-Ung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.173-177
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the side doors of mid-size sedan vehicles of models A and B which are currently prone to rollover accidents are compared with each other by the structural analyses. As a result of the structural analysis, both models showed the maximum deformation at the point of overturning or impact load, and the model A of the two models was able to withstand greater impact load compared to the model B. In addition, the maximum stress happened at the door edge, and model B was 2.5 times more stressed than model A. In the accident of a crash, model A, which has the smaller maximum stress, is able to withstand greater impact loads than model B. Since model B has a larger deformation than model A, it is considered to be more dangerous than model A in the side impact accident. By applying the impact analysis of automotive side door by the class of vehicle, the study result at this paper is considered to be favorable as the convergent research material which can apply the aesthetic design.

A study on the factor analysis by grade for highway traffic accident (고속도로 교통사고 심각도 등급별 요인분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hye-Ryung;Kum, Ki-Jung;Son, Seung-Neo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2011
  • With respect to the trend of highway traffic accident, highway accident is in decline, whileas, the fatality is on an increasing trend. Thus, many efforts to decrease highway traffic accidents and improve the safety, are required. In particular, in case of highway, the management standard by grade for accident black spot is designated. Thus, investing the effect factors by grade for highway traffic accident is required in detail. Thus, in this study, the factors affecting the traffic accidents among the environmental factors based on the graded data for the accident black spot in the applicable section targeting the Seoul-Pusan Express Highway, were reviewed; accident forecasting model which would analyze the characteristics of the accidents for determining the accident grade, was developed. As a result of establishing a model by using Quantification Theory of Type II, considering the characteristics of the dependent and independent variables based on the geometric structure, 'the fixed variable' among the variables relating to the accident, for the variables influencing over the accident grade, 'the type of vans, a chassis and people', 'the trailers, special vehicles and chassis people' and 'the negligence of watching and cloudy weather' were analyzed as common factors, in case of 'horizontal alignment', 'longitudinal slope' and, 'barricade' respectively.

Development of Bicycle Accident Prediction Model and Suggestion of Countermeasures on Bicycle Accidents (자전거 사고예측모형 개발 및 개선방안 제시에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Sung-Dae;Kim, Yoon-Mi;Kim, Jae-Gon;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1135-1146
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    • 2015
  • This thesis aims to improve the safety of bicycle traffic for activating the use of bicycle, main means of non-powered and non-carbon transportation in order to cope with worldwide crisis such as climate change and energy depletion and to implement sustainable traffic system. In this regard, I analyzed the problem of bicycle roads currently installed and operated, and developed the bicycle accident forecasting model. Following are the processes for this. First, this study presented the current status of bicycle road in Korea as well as accident data, collect the data on bicycle traffic accidents generated throughout the country for recent 3 years (2009~2011) and analyzed the features of bicycle traffic accidents based on the data. Second, this study selected the variable affecting the number of bicycle accidents through accident feature analysis of bicycle accidents at Jeollanam-do, and developed accident forecast model using the multiple regression analysis of 'SPSS Statistics 21'. At this time, the number of accidents due to extension per road types (crossing, crosswalk, other single road) was used. To verify the accident forecast model deduced, this study used the data on bicycle accident generated in Gwangju, 2011, and compared the prediction value with actual number of accidents. As a result, it was found out that reliability of accident forecast model was secured through reconciling with actual number of cases except certain data. Third, this study carried out field survey on the bicycle road as well as questionnaire on satisfaction of bicycle road and use of bicycle for analysis of bicycle road problems, and presented safety improvement measures for the problems deduced as well as bicycle activation plans. This study is considered to serve as the fundamental data for planning and reorganizing of bicycle road in the future, and expected to improve safety of bicycle users and to promote activation of bicycle use as the means of transportation.