• Title/Summary/Keyword: absolute model accuracy

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Evaluation of the Use of Inertial Navigation Systems to Improve the Accuracy of Object Navigation

  • Iasechko, Maksym;Shelukhin, Oleksandr;Maranov, Alexandr;Lukianenko, Serhii;Basarab, Oleksandr;Hutchenko, Oleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.71-75
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    • 2021
  • The article discusses the dead reckoning of the traveled path based on the analysis of the video data stream coming from the optoelectronic surveillance devices; the use of relief data makes it possible to partially compensate for the shortcomings of the first method. Using the overlap of the photo-video data stream, the terrain is restored. Comparison with a digital terrain model allows the location of the aircraft to be determined; the use of digital images of the terrain also allows you to determine the coordinates of the location and orientation by comparing the current view information. This method provides high accuracy in determining the absolute coordinates even in the absence of relief. It also allows you to find the absolute position of the camera, even when its approximate coordinates are not known at all.

Application of Artificial Neural Networks to the prediction of out-of-plane response of infill walls subjected to shake table

  • Onat, Onur;Gul, Muhammet
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.521-535
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    • 2018
  • The main purpose of this paper is to predict missing absolute out-of-plane displacements and failure limits of infill walls by artificial neural network (ANN) models. For this purpose, two shake table experiments are performed. These experiments are conducted on a 1:1 scale one-bay one-story reinforced concrete frame (RCF) with an infill wall. One of the experimental models is composed of unreinforced brick model (URB) enclosures with an RCF and other is composed of an infill wall with bed joint reinforcement (BJR) enclosures with an RCF. An artificial earthquake load is applied with four acceleration levels to the URB model and with five acceleration levels to the BJR model. After a certain acceleration level, the accelerometers are detached from the wall to prevent damage to them. The removal of these instruments results in missing data. The missing absolute maximum out-of-plane displacements are predicted with ANN models. Failure of the infill wall in the out-of-plane direction is also predicted at the 0.79 g acceleration level. An accuracy of 99% is obtained for the available data. In addition, a benchmark analysis with multiple regression is performed. This study validates that the ANN-based procedure estimates missing experimental data more accurately than multiple regression models.

Solar radiation forecasting by time series models (시계열 모형을 활용한 일사량 예측 연구)

  • Suh, Yu Min;Son, Heung-goo;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.785-799
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    • 2018
  • With the development of renewable energy sector, the importance of solar energy is continuously increasing. Solar radiation forecasting is essential to accurately solar power generation forecasting. In this paper, we used time series models (ARIMA, ARIMAX, seasonal ARIMA, seasonal ARIMAX, ARIMA GARCH, ARIMAX-GARCH, seasonal ARIMA-GARCH, seasonal ARIMAX-GARCH). We compared the performance of the models using mean absolute error and root mean square error. According to the performance of the models without exogenous variables, the Seasonal ARIMA-GARCH model showed better performance model considering the problem of heteroscedasticity. However, when the exogenous variables were considered, the ARIMAX model showed the best forecasting accuracy.

Feasibility study of deep learning based radiosensitivity prediction model of National Cancer Institute-60 cell lines using gene expression

  • Kim, Euidam;Chung, Yoonsun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.1439-1448
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    • 2022
  • Background: We investigated the feasibility of in vitro radiosensitivity prediction with gene expression using deep learning. Methods: A microarray gene expression of the National Cancer Institute-60 (NCI-60) panel was acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus. The clonogenic surviving fractions at an absorbed dose of 2 Gy (SF2) from previous publications were used to measure in vitro radiosensitivity. The radiosensitivity prediction model was based on the convolutional neural network. The 6-fold cross-validation (CV) was applied to train and validate the model. Then, the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was applied by using the large-errored samples as a validation set, to determine whether the error was from the high bias of the folded CV. The criteria for correct prediction were defined as an absolute error<0.01 or a relative error<10%. Results: Of the 174 triplicated samples of NCI-60, 171 samples were correctly predicted with the folded CV. Through an additional LOOCV, one more sample was correctly predicted, representing a prediction accuracy of 98.85% (172 out of 174 samples). The average relative error and absolute errors of 172 correctly predicted samples were 1.351±1.875% and 0.00596±0.00638, respectively. Conclusion: We demonstrated the feasibility of a deep learning-based in vitro radiosensitivity prediction using gene expression.

Forecasting with a combined model of ETS and ARIMA

  • Jiu Oh;Byeongchan Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2024
  • This paper considers a combined model of exponential smoothing (ETS) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models that are commonly used to forecast time series data. The combined model is constructed through an innovational state space model based on the level variable instead of the differenced variable, and the identifiability of the model is investigated. We consider the maximum likelihood estimation for the model parameters and suggest the model selection steps. The forecasting performance of the model is evaluated by two real time series data. We consider the three competing models; ETS, ARIMA and the trigonometric Box-Cox autoregressive and moving average trend seasonal (TBATS) models, and compare and evaluate their root mean squared errors and mean absolute percentage errors for accuracy. The results show that the combined model outperforms the competing models.

해석적 사진측정에 있어서 경중률을 고려한 표정해석에 관한 연구

  • 안철호;유복모;염재홍
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 1983
  • The method of least squares is an adequate method of adjustment in various fields of engineering where redundant observations are necessary to obtain accurate values. The Consideration of weight of each Observation can improve the accuracy if the reliabilities of observations vary. The strip coordinates were weighted as inversely proportionate to the rotations $\kappa, \varphi, \omega$ which occur in the computation of model coordinates. The resulting errors in absolute coordinates were compared with the errors unweighted case to investigate the influence of orientation elements on absolute coordinates.

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The Load Forecasting in Summer Considering Day Factor (요일 요인을 고려한 하절기 전력수요 예측)

  • Han, Jung-Hee;Baek, Jong-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.2793-2800
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a quadratic (nonlinear) regression model that forecasts daily demands of electric power in summer. For cost-effective production (and/or procurement) of electric power, forecasting demands of electric power with accuracy is important, especially in summer when temperature is high. In the literature, temperature and daily demands of preceding days are typically employed to construct forecasting models. While, we consider another factor, day of the week, together with temperature and daily demands of preceding days. For validating the proposed model, we demonstrate the forecasting accuracy in terms of MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error) and MPE(Maximum Percentage Error) using field data from KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) in comparison with two forecasting models in the literature. When compared with the two benchmarks, the proposed forecasting model performs far better providing MAPE and MPE not exceeding 3.08% and 8.99%, respectively, in summer from 2005 to 2009.

Development of a Stereotactic Device for Gamma Knife Irradiation of Small Animals

  • Chung, Hyun-Tai;Chung, Young-Seob;Kim, Dong-Gyu;Paek, Sun-Ha;Cho, Keun-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 2008
  • Objective : The authors developed a stereotactic device for irradiation of small animals with Leksell Gamma Knife Model C. Development and verification procedures were described in this article. Methods : The device was designed to satisfy three requirements. The mechanical accuracy in positioning was to be managed within 0.5 mm. The strength of the device and structure were to be compromised to provide enough strength to hold a small animal during irradiation and to interfere the gamma ray beam as little as possible. The device was to be used in combination with the Leksell G-$frame^{(R)}$ and $KOPF^{(R)}$ rat adaptor. The irradiation point was determined by separate imaging sequences such as plain X-ray images. Results : The absolute dose rate with the device in a Leksell Gamma Knife was 3.7% less than the value calculated from Leksell Gamma $Plan^{(R)}$. The dose distributions measured with $GAFCHROMIC^{(R)}$ MD-55 film corresponded to those of Leksell Gamma $Plan^{(R)}$ within acceptable range. The device was used in a series of rat experiments with a 4 mm helmet of Leksell Gamma Knife. Conclusion : A stereotactic device for irradiation of small animals with Leksell Gamma Knife Model C has been developed so that it fulfilled above requirements. Absorbed dose and dose distribution at the center of a Gamma Knife helmet are in acceptable ranges. The device provides enough accuracy for stereotactic irradiation with acceptable practicality.

High Precision Measurement for String Resonator used in FBG Strain Sensors (광섬유 브래그 격자 변형률 센서용 현공진기의 고정밀 측정)

  • 이영균;송인천;정성호;이병하;이선규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.135-139
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes a string resonator that is used for the interrogation system of a Fiber Bragg Grating(FBG) strain sensor. The strain on the fiber piece is calculated from the measured frequency based on that the natural frequency of a string is a function of the applied absolute strain. Existing research considered a fiber as a string, but a fiber is not a string in the strict sense due to its bending stiffness, thus the fiber should be modeled as a beam accompanied with an axial force. In the vibration modeling, the relationship between the strain and the natural frequency is derived, and then the resonance condition is described in terms of both the phase and the mode shape for sustaining resonant motion. Several experiments verify the effectiveness of the proposed model of the fiber. The performance of the string resonator is analyzed by measuring the frequency change according to the applied strains in the dynamic range of 1100$\mu\varepsilon$ referred to the displacement from capacitance sensor. From the experimental results, the implemented string resonator provides the accuracy of $\pm$3$\mu\varepsilon$, the quasi-static resolution of ~0.1$\mu\varepsilon$(rms) which amount to be $\pm$0.17$\mu\textrm{m}$ and ~6nm respectively, in case of fiber length of 56mm. For a dynamic strain, it can provide the accuracy of ~3$\mu\varepsilon$ until the frequency comes to 8Hz. As a consequence, the string resonator proposed for FBG sensor provides the high accuracy and the high resolution in strain measurement, and also it is expecting to be used, for the application, to not only strain but also displacement measuring device.

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Predictive model for the shear strength of concrete beams reinforced with longitudinal FRP bars

  • Alzabeebee, Saif;Dhahir, Moahmmed K.;Keawsawasvong, Suraparb
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.84 no.2
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2022
  • Corrosion of steel reinforcement is considered as the main cause of concrete structures deterioration, especially those under humid environmental conditions. Hence, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) bars are being increasingly used as a replacement for conventional steel owing to their non-corrodible characteristics. However, predicting the shear strength of beams reinforced with FRP bars still challenging due to the lack of robust shear theory. Thus, this paper aims to develop an explicit data driven based model to predict the shear strength of FRP reinforced beams using multi-objective evolutionary polynomial regression analysis (MOGA-EPR) as data driven models learn the behavior from the input data without the need to employee a theory that aid the derivation, and thus they have an enhanced accuracy. This study also evaluates the accuracy of predictive models of shear strength of FRP reinforced concrete beams employed by different design codes by calculating and comparing the values of the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean (𝜇), standard deviation of the mean (𝜎), coefficient of determination (R2), and percentage of prediction within error range of ±20% (a20-index). Experimental database has been developed and employed in the model learning, validation, and accuracy examination. The statistical analysis illustrated the robustness of the developed model with MAE, RMSE, 𝜇, 𝜎, R2, and a20-index of 14.6, 20.8, 1.05, 0.27, 0.85, and 0.61, respectively for training data and 10.4, 14.1, 0.98, 0.25, 0.94, and 0.60, respectively for validation data. Furthermore, the developed model achieved much better predictions than the standard predictive models as it scored lower MAE, RMSE, and 𝜎, and higher R2 and a20-index. The new model can be used in future with confidence in optimized designs as its accuracy is higher than standard predictive models.