• 제목/요약/키워드: absolute model accuracy

검색결과 252건 처리시간 0.029초

Evaluation of the Use of Inertial Navigation Systems to Improve the Accuracy of Object Navigation

  • Iasechko, Maksym;Shelukhin, Oleksandr;Maranov, Alexandr;Lukianenko, Serhii;Basarab, Oleksandr;Hutchenko, Oleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.71-75
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    • 2021
  • The article discusses the dead reckoning of the traveled path based on the analysis of the video data stream coming from the optoelectronic surveillance devices; the use of relief data makes it possible to partially compensate for the shortcomings of the first method. Using the overlap of the photo-video data stream, the terrain is restored. Comparison with a digital terrain model allows the location of the aircraft to be determined; the use of digital images of the terrain also allows you to determine the coordinates of the location and orientation by comparing the current view information. This method provides high accuracy in determining the absolute coordinates even in the absence of relief. It also allows you to find the absolute position of the camera, even when its approximate coordinates are not known at all.

Application of Artificial Neural Networks to the prediction of out-of-plane response of infill walls subjected to shake table

  • Onat, Onur;Gul, Muhammet
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.521-535
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    • 2018
  • The main purpose of this paper is to predict missing absolute out-of-plane displacements and failure limits of infill walls by artificial neural network (ANN) models. For this purpose, two shake table experiments are performed. These experiments are conducted on a 1:1 scale one-bay one-story reinforced concrete frame (RCF) with an infill wall. One of the experimental models is composed of unreinforced brick model (URB) enclosures with an RCF and other is composed of an infill wall with bed joint reinforcement (BJR) enclosures with an RCF. An artificial earthquake load is applied with four acceleration levels to the URB model and with five acceleration levels to the BJR model. After a certain acceleration level, the accelerometers are detached from the wall to prevent damage to them. The removal of these instruments results in missing data. The missing absolute maximum out-of-plane displacements are predicted with ANN models. Failure of the infill wall in the out-of-plane direction is also predicted at the 0.79 g acceleration level. An accuracy of 99% is obtained for the available data. In addition, a benchmark analysis with multiple regression is performed. This study validates that the ANN-based procedure estimates missing experimental data more accurately than multiple regression models.

시계열 모형을 활용한 일사량 예측 연구 (Solar radiation forecasting by time series models)

  • 서유민;손흥구;김삼용
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.785-799
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    • 2018
  • 신재생에너지 산업이 발전함에 따라 태양광 발전에 대한 중요성이 확대되고 있다. 태양광 발전량을 정확히 예측하기 위해서는 일사량 예측이 필수적이다. 본 논문에서는 태양광 패널이 존재하는 청주와 광주 지역을 선정하여 기상포털에서 제공하는 시간별 기상 데이터를 수집하여 연구하였다. 일사량 예측을 위하여 시계열 모형인 ARIMA, ARIMAX, seasonal ARIMA, seasonal ARIMAX, ARIMA-GARCH, ARIMAX-GARCH, seasonal ARIMA-GARCH, seasonal ARIMAX-GARCH 모형을 비교하였다. 본 연구에서는 모형의 예측 성능을 비교하고자 mean absolute error와 root mean square error를 사용하였다. 모형들의 예측 성능 비교 결과 일사량만 고려하였을 때는 이분산 문제를 고려한 seasonal ARIMA-GARCH 모형이 우수한 성능을 나타냈고, 외생변수를 활용한 ARIMAX 모형으로 일사량 예측을 한 경우가 가장 좋은 예측력을 나타냈다.

Feasibility study of deep learning based radiosensitivity prediction model of National Cancer Institute-60 cell lines using gene expression

  • Kim, Euidam;Chung, Yoonsun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.1439-1448
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    • 2022
  • Background: We investigated the feasibility of in vitro radiosensitivity prediction with gene expression using deep learning. Methods: A microarray gene expression of the National Cancer Institute-60 (NCI-60) panel was acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus. The clonogenic surviving fractions at an absorbed dose of 2 Gy (SF2) from previous publications were used to measure in vitro radiosensitivity. The radiosensitivity prediction model was based on the convolutional neural network. The 6-fold cross-validation (CV) was applied to train and validate the model. Then, the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was applied by using the large-errored samples as a validation set, to determine whether the error was from the high bias of the folded CV. The criteria for correct prediction were defined as an absolute error<0.01 or a relative error<10%. Results: Of the 174 triplicated samples of NCI-60, 171 samples were correctly predicted with the folded CV. Through an additional LOOCV, one more sample was correctly predicted, representing a prediction accuracy of 98.85% (172 out of 174 samples). The average relative error and absolute errors of 172 correctly predicted samples were 1.351±1.875% and 0.00596±0.00638, respectively. Conclusion: We demonstrated the feasibility of a deep learning-based in vitro radiosensitivity prediction using gene expression.

Forecasting with a combined model of ETS and ARIMA

  • Jiu Oh;Byeongchan Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2024
  • This paper considers a combined model of exponential smoothing (ETS) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models that are commonly used to forecast time series data. The combined model is constructed through an innovational state space model based on the level variable instead of the differenced variable, and the identifiability of the model is investigated. We consider the maximum likelihood estimation for the model parameters and suggest the model selection steps. The forecasting performance of the model is evaluated by two real time series data. We consider the three competing models; ETS, ARIMA and the trigonometric Box-Cox autoregressive and moving average trend seasonal (TBATS) models, and compare and evaluate their root mean squared errors and mean absolute percentage errors for accuracy. The results show that the combined model outperforms the competing models.

해석적 사진측정에 있어서 경중률을 고려한 표정해석에 관한 연구

  • 안철호;유복모;염재홍
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 1983
  • 공학의 여러 분야에 있어서 잉여측정값은 최소제곱법으로 조정할 경우 관측값의 경중률을 고려하여 정도를 높일 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 스트림좌표를 Sequential 방법으로 형성하고 상호표정시 나타나는 회전각 $\kappa,\varphi,\omega$의 크기에 반비례하여 각 모델에 경중률을 부여하였다. 이 경우 경중률을 고려한 절대표정의 결과에 관하여 경중률을 고려하지 않은 경우와 비교분석 하였으며 절대표정에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 고찰하였다.

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요일 요인을 고려한 하절기 전력수요 예측 (The Load Forecasting in Summer Considering Day Factor)

  • 한정희;백종관
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제11권8호
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    • pp.2793-2800
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    • 2010
  • 이 논문에서는 여름철 일일 전력수요 총량을 예측하는 회귀모형을 개발한다. 경제적인 전력 생산계획을 수립하기위해 예측 오차율을 낮추는 것은 매우 중요하다. 전력수요가 크게 증가하는 여름철 전력수요를 예측하기위해 기존 연구에서는 외기온도 및 직전일 전력수요를 고려하였으나, 이 논문에서는 기존 연구에서 제시한 예측 오차율을 개선하기 위해 전력수요의 요일별 특성을 추가적으로 고려한 회귀모형을 개발한다. 이 논문에서는 여름철 전력수요의 요일별 패턴은 최고차항의 계수가 음수인 2차 함수 형태를 나타냄을 확인하였다. 즉, 2005년부터 2009년까지 5년간의 여름철 전력수요 패턴을 살펴본 결과 전력수요 총량은 일요일에 가장 낮고 월요일부터 증가하다가 수요일이나 목요일부터 다시 감소하는 패턴을 보인다. 이 논문에서 제안하는 여름철 전력수요 예측 회귀모형의 타당성을 검증하기 위해 2005년부터 2009년까지 실제 전력수요 데이터를 바탕으로 여름철 전력수요 총량을 예측한 결과, 평균 오차율(MAPE: Mean Absolute Percentage Error)과 최대 오차율(MPE: Maximum Percentage Error)이 각각 3.08%와 8.99%를 넘지 않는 수준임을 확인하였다. 또한 기존 연구에서 제시한 방법과 비교하여도 평균 오차율과 최대 오차율 모두 기존 연구에서 제시한 오차율보다 우수함을 확인하였다.

Development of a Stereotactic Device for Gamma Knife Irradiation of Small Animals

  • Chung, Hyun-Tai;Chung, Young-Seob;Kim, Dong-Gyu;Paek, Sun-Ha;Cho, Keun-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 2008
  • Objective : The authors developed a stereotactic device for irradiation of small animals with Leksell Gamma Knife Model C. Development and verification procedures were described in this article. Methods : The device was designed to satisfy three requirements. The mechanical accuracy in positioning was to be managed within 0.5 mm. The strength of the device and structure were to be compromised to provide enough strength to hold a small animal during irradiation and to interfere the gamma ray beam as little as possible. The device was to be used in combination with the Leksell G-$frame^{(R)}$ and $KOPF^{(R)}$ rat adaptor. The irradiation point was determined by separate imaging sequences such as plain X-ray images. Results : The absolute dose rate with the device in a Leksell Gamma Knife was 3.7% less than the value calculated from Leksell Gamma $Plan^{(R)}$. The dose distributions measured with $GAFCHROMIC^{(R)}$ MD-55 film corresponded to those of Leksell Gamma $Plan^{(R)}$ within acceptable range. The device was used in a series of rat experiments with a 4 mm helmet of Leksell Gamma Knife. Conclusion : A stereotactic device for irradiation of small animals with Leksell Gamma Knife Model C has been developed so that it fulfilled above requirements. Absorbed dose and dose distribution at the center of a Gamma Knife helmet are in acceptable ranges. The device provides enough accuracy for stereotactic irradiation with acceptable practicality.

광섬유 브래그 격자 변형률 센서용 현공진기의 고정밀 측정 (High Precision Measurement for String Resonator used in FBG Strain Sensors)

  • 이영균;송인천;정성호;이병하;이선규
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.135-139
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes a string resonator that is used for the interrogation system of a Fiber Bragg Grating(FBG) strain sensor. The strain on the fiber piece is calculated from the measured frequency based on that the natural frequency of a string is a function of the applied absolute strain. Existing research considered a fiber as a string, but a fiber is not a string in the strict sense due to its bending stiffness, thus the fiber should be modeled as a beam accompanied with an axial force. In the vibration modeling, the relationship between the strain and the natural frequency is derived, and then the resonance condition is described in terms of both the phase and the mode shape for sustaining resonant motion. Several experiments verify the effectiveness of the proposed model of the fiber. The performance of the string resonator is analyzed by measuring the frequency change according to the applied strains in the dynamic range of 1100$\mu\varepsilon$ referred to the displacement from capacitance sensor. From the experimental results, the implemented string resonator provides the accuracy of $\pm$3$\mu\varepsilon$, the quasi-static resolution of ~0.1$\mu\varepsilon$(rms) which amount to be $\pm$0.17$\mu\textrm{m}$ and ~6nm respectively, in case of fiber length of 56mm. For a dynamic strain, it can provide the accuracy of ~3$\mu\varepsilon$ until the frequency comes to 8Hz. As a consequence, the string resonator proposed for FBG sensor provides the high accuracy and the high resolution in strain measurement, and also it is expecting to be used, for the application, to not only strain but also displacement measuring device.

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Predictive model for the shear strength of concrete beams reinforced with longitudinal FRP bars

  • Alzabeebee, Saif;Dhahir, Moahmmed K.;Keawsawasvong, Suraparb
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제84권2호
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2022
  • Corrosion of steel reinforcement is considered as the main cause of concrete structures deterioration, especially those under humid environmental conditions. Hence, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) bars are being increasingly used as a replacement for conventional steel owing to their non-corrodible characteristics. However, predicting the shear strength of beams reinforced with FRP bars still challenging due to the lack of robust shear theory. Thus, this paper aims to develop an explicit data driven based model to predict the shear strength of FRP reinforced beams using multi-objective evolutionary polynomial regression analysis (MOGA-EPR) as data driven models learn the behavior from the input data without the need to employee a theory that aid the derivation, and thus they have an enhanced accuracy. This study also evaluates the accuracy of predictive models of shear strength of FRP reinforced concrete beams employed by different design codes by calculating and comparing the values of the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean (𝜇), standard deviation of the mean (𝜎), coefficient of determination (R2), and percentage of prediction within error range of ±20% (a20-index). Experimental database has been developed and employed in the model learning, validation, and accuracy examination. The statistical analysis illustrated the robustness of the developed model with MAE, RMSE, 𝜇, 𝜎, R2, and a20-index of 14.6, 20.8, 1.05, 0.27, 0.85, and 0.61, respectively for training data and 10.4, 14.1, 0.98, 0.25, 0.94, and 0.60, respectively for validation data. Furthermore, the developed model achieved much better predictions than the standard predictive models as it scored lower MAE, RMSE, and 𝜎, and higher R2 and a20-index. The new model can be used in future with confidence in optimized designs as its accuracy is higher than standard predictive models.