• Title/Summary/Keyword: a conditional probability

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CHARACTERIZATIONS OF PARETO, WEIBULL AND POWER FUNCTION DISTRIBUTIONS BASED ON GENERALIZED ORDER STATISTICS

  • Ahsanullah, Mohammad;Hamedani, G.G.
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 2016
  • Characterizations of probability distributions by different regression conditions on generalized order statistics has attracted the attention of many researchers. We present here, characterization of Pareto and Weibull distributions based on the conditional expectation of generalized order statistics extending the characterization results reported by Jin and Lee (2014). We also present a characterization of the power function distribution based on the conditional expectation of lower generalized order statistics.

Speech Enhancement Based on Minima Controlled Recursive Averaging Technique Incorporating Conditional MAP (조건 사후 최대 확률 기반 최소값 제어 재귀평균기법을 이용한 음성향상)

  • Kum, Jong-Mo;Park, Yun-Sik;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose a novel approach to improve the performance of minima controlled recursive averaging (MCRA) which is based on the conditional maximum a posteriori criterion. A crucial component of a practical speech enhancement system is the estimation of the noise power spectrum. One state-of-the-art approach is the minima controlled recursive averaging (MCRA) technique. The noise estimate in the MCRA technique is obtained by averaging past spectral power values based on a smoothing parameter that is adjusted by the signal presence probability in frequency subbands. We improve the MCRA using the speech presence probability which is the a posteriori probability conditioned on both the current observation the speech presence or absence of the previous frame. With the performance criteria of the ITU-T P.862 perceptual evaluation of speech quality (PESQ) and subjective evaluation of speech quality, we show that the proposed algorithm yields better results compared to the conventional MCRA-based scheme.

Nonlinear Approximations Using Modified Mixture Density Networks (변형된 혼합 밀도 네트워크를 이용한 비선형 근사)

  • Cho, Won-Hee;Park, Joo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.847-851
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    • 2004
  • In the original mixture density network(MDN), which was introduced by Bishop and Nabney, the parameters of the conditional probability density function are represented by the output vector of a single multi-layer perceptron. Among the recent modification of the MDNs, there is the so-called modified mixture density network, in which each of the priors, conditional means, and covariances is represented via an independent multi-layer perceptron. In this paper, we consider a further simplification of the modified MDN, in which the conditional means are linear with respect to the input variable together with the development of the MATLAB program for the simplification. In this paper, we first briefly review the original mixture density network, then we also review the modified mixture density network in which independent multi-layer perceptrons play an important role in the learning for the parameters of the conditional probability, and finally present a further modification so that the conditional means are linear in the input. The applicability of the presented method is shown via an illustrative simulation example.

Multi-Valued Decision Making for Transitional Stochastic Event: Determination of Sleep Stages through EEG Record

  • Nakamura, Masatoshi;Sugi, Takenaop;Morota, Yukinao;Tachibana, Naoko;Shibasaki, Hiroshi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.493-493
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    • 2000
  • Multi-valued decision making for transitional stochastic events was newly derived based on conditional probability of database. The two values (on-off) decision making method without transition had been proposed by one of the author in a previous work for a purpose of realizing human on-off decision making. The current method is an extension of the previous on-off decision making. By combining the conditional probability and the transitional probability, the closed form of the algorithm for the multi-valued transitional decision making was derived. The proposed multi-valued decision making was successfully applied to the determination of the five levels of the vigilance of a subject during the EEG recording; awake stage, drowsy stage and sleeping stages (stage 1, stage 2/3, REM (rapid eye movement)). The method for determining the vigilance level can be directly usable for the two purposes; selection of awake EEG segments for automatic EEG interpretation, and determination of sleep stages through sleep EEG. The proposed multi-valued decision making with a mathematical background of the probability can be applicable widely, in industries and in medical fields for purposes of the multi-valued decision making.

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Semantic analysis of the independency concepts in the probability (확률에서 독립성 개념의 의미 분석)

  • Yoo, Yoon-Jae
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2009
  • The article discusses the independence concept occurring in the learning of probability. The author does not distinguishes the independence in the events from the independence in the trials. Instead, the author suggests the physico-empirical independence and the logico-mathematical independence to distinguish between the two concepts.

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Conditional Event Matching Prediction of Nonlinear Phenomena of Insulator Pollution in Coastal Substations Based on Actual Database

  • Nakamura, Masatoshi;Goto, Satoru;Katafuchi, Tatsuro;Taniguchi, Takashi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.157-160
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    • 1999
  • A prediction method of conditional event matching pre-diction (EMP) for a purpose of predicting nonlinear phenomena of insulator pollution was proposed in this paper. The EMP was used if the conditional probability for increase of insulator pollution exceeded a threshold value. A performance of the EMP was strongly related to selection of database of events and a closeness function. By use of the prediction of the insulator pollution based on the conditional EMP, reliable decision making for the washing timing of the polluted insulators was e-valuated based on actual data in Kasatsu substation, Japan.

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Forecasting volatility via conditional autoregressive value at risk model based on support vector quantile regression

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.589-596
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    • 2011
  • The conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR) model is useful for risk management, which does not require the assumption that the conditional distribution does not vary over time but the volatility does. But it does not provide volatility forecasts, which are needed for several important applications such as option pricing and portfolio management. For a variety of probability distributions, it is known that there is a constant relationship between the standard deviation and the distance between symmetric quantiles in the tails of the distribution. This inspires us to use a support vector quantile regression (SVQR) for volatility forecasts with the distance between CAViaR forecasts of symmetric quantiles. Simulated example and real example are provided to indicate the usefulness of proposed forecasting method for volatility.

The Development and Didactic Mediation of the Correlation Concept (상관개념의 발달과 교수학적 중재에 관한 소고)

  • Nam, Joo-Hyun;Lee, Young-Ha
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.315-334
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the implications on when and how the correlation concept can be taught. we investigate the development time and method of the concept in a statistical perspective those initially have discussed in psychology by Piaget. We first reviewed the 1958 research by Inhelder and Piaget. It was the first one which researched the development of the correlation and has become the foundation of psychological perspective. According to them, the correlation concept needs proportional and probability concept ahead of its development and argued on the coefficient of correlation based on formal and logical position. However, from a statistical perspective, the correlation concept is a part of the distribution concept. So, the level of the correlation concept grows from the comparison of conditional distributions to the conditional probability distribution where the proportional concept and probability concept are applied. As reviewed through the literature, we found that 11-12 years old students in early formal operation stage reasoned about correlation through the comparison of conditional distributions. In our study, we argue that we need to consider the possibility of beginning didactic mediation for correlation concept earlier and the method approaching it in a distribution perspective.

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A Probabilistic Interpretation of the KL Spectrum

  • Seongbaek Yi;Park, Byoung-Seon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2000
  • A spectrum minimizing the frequency-domain Kullback-Leibler information number has been proposed and used to modify a spectrum estimate. Some numerical examples have illustrated the KL spectrum estimate is superior to the initial estimate, i.e., the autocovariances obtained by the inverse Fourier transformation of the KL spectrum estimate are closer to the sample autocovariances of the given observations than those of the initial spectrum estimate. Also, it has been shown that a Gaussian autoregressive process associated with the KL spectrum is the closest in the timedomain Kullback-Leibler sense to a Gaussian white noise process subject to given autocovariance constraints. In this paper a corresponding conditional probability theorem is presented, which gives another rationale to the KL spectrum.

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