• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Analysis

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Probabilistic Estimation of LMR Fuel Cladding Performance Under Transient Conditions

  • Kwon, Hyoung-Mun;Lee, Dong-Uk;Lee, Byung-Oon;Kim, Young ll;Kim, Yong-Soo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2003
  • The object of this paper is the probabilistic failure analysis on the cladding performance of WPF(Whole Pin Furnace) test fuel pins under transient conditions, and analysis of the KALIMER fuel pin using the preceding analysis. The cumulative damage estimation and Weibull probability estimation of WPF test are performed. The probabilistic method was adapted for these analyses to determine the effective thickness thinning due to eutectic penetration depth. In the results, it is difficult to assume that a brittle layer depth made by eutectic reaction is all of the thickness reduction due to cladding thinning. About 93% cladding thinning of the eutectic penetration depth is favorable as an effective thickness of cladding. And the unreliability of the KALIMER driver fuel pin under the same WPF test condition is lower than that of the WPF pin because of the higher plenum-fuel volume ratio and lower cladding inner radius vs. thickness ratio. KALIMER fuel pin developed from conceptual design has a more stable transient performance for a failure mechanism due to fission gas buildup than the WPF pin.

Comparison of Probability Density Functions for Caculation of Capacity Factors of Wind Turbine Generator (풍력발전기의 설비이용률 계산을 위한 확률밀도함수의 비교)

  • Kang, Taeg-Geun;Huh, Jong-Chul;Jwa, Chong-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07b
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    • pp.1338-1341
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    • 2002
  • The Weibull probability density function and the Rayleigh function are compared by analyzing the relations of the capacity factors which are compared the actual wind speed frequency curve with which are modelled using the probability density functions with different mean wind speeds. For this analysis, the wind speed means of arithmetic, root mean square, cubic mean cuberoot, and standard deviations are computed from the measured wind speed data of a specific site and the coefficients of probability density functions are calculated. The capacity factors for Vestas 850[kW] wind turbine are calculated and analyzed. The results shows that the wind speed frequency curve by Rayleigh function is more close to the actual curve than by Weibull function. The more the wind speed frequency curve is close to the actual one, the more the capacity factors become large values.

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Analysis of reliability test results of low-pass filter assembly (저역필터 어셈블리에 대한 신뢰성시험 결과의 해석)

  • Baik, Jaiwook
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2014
  • Thermal shock tests at two stress levels were performed to see the life (cycles) of LPF ASSY (low pass filter assembly) at normal stress level. In this case Coffin-Manson relationship is generally used to describe the relationship between the temperature difference and the life, together with the Weibull distribution describing the life at each stress level. So for given data Coffin-Manson is fitted to predict the life at normal stress level. However, different types of models are appropriate for this type of test. Hence, a more appropriate model such as General log-linear model which can also incorporate the duration at the highest and lowest temperatures and acceleration time will be introduced.

Failure Data Error according to Characteristics of One-Shot Weapon System and its Solution (일회성 무기체계 특성에 따른 고장 데이터의 오차 및 극복방안)

  • Choi, Yunsuk;Ma, Jungmok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.599-606
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    • 2018
  • Failure data of systems in many field can be erroneous, which influences the reliability analysis of the systems. The general form of failure data is right censored data with accurate time information. But due to its nature of data collection in the military field, failure time of one-shot weapon systems can have errors which are related to the maintenance period. So this paper suggests a model that can reduce the error by utilizing interval censored data as an alternative to right censored data in weibull distribution.

A Study on Sintering and Mechanical Properties of $Si_3N_4$ (질화규소의 소결 및 기계적 성질에 관한 연구)

  • 이회동;이준근
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.361-365
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    • 1984
  • This study has been carried out to sinter silicon nitride with additives and to show the effect of surface finishments on its strength and Weibull modulus which are two most important factors for its applications into structural ceramics. Silicon nitride was sintered with the additions of $Al_2O_3$ and $Y_2O_3$ under pressureless cond-ition. The optimum properties were obtained by sintering at 1, 75$0^{\circ}C$ for 3hrs under $N_2$ atmosphere and the strength showed 6, 500kg/$cm^2$ at room temperature and 3, 300kg/$cm^2$ at 120$0^{\circ}C$. The effects of surface treatment on the strength of sintered $Si_3N_4$ were studied and the results showed that fine surface treatment increased the strength by up to 50% The Weibull analysis showed that its modulus was increased with increasing fineness of surface finishments. It was concluded that the mechanical properties of sintered silicon nitride could be improved by fine surface grinding which implied the brittle-fracture nature of sintered silicon nitride.

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A Study on the life and reliability of helical gear system (헬리컬 기어장치의 수명 및 신뢰성에 관한 연구)

  • 김하수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.265-270
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    • 1997
  • Helical gear system is utilized to transmit motion between parallel shafts. The axial thrust loads on the shafts are existed. On each of the support shafts, at least one of the bearings should be able to support the axial loads. The reliability and life analysis are based on the two-parameter Weibull distribution lives of the component gears and bearings. The computer calculates the system lives and dynamic capacities of the components and their system. The system life is defined as the life of the component or the helical gear system at an output torque at which the probability of survival is ninety percent.

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Evaluation of Fracture Strength of Silicon Die with Surface Condition by Ball Breaker Test (볼브레이커시험에 의한 실리콘 다이의 표면조건에 따른 파단강도 평가)

  • Byeon, Jai-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Heat Treatment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.178-184
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    • 2013
  • The effects of thickness and surface grinding condition on the fracture strength of Si wafer with a thickness under $100{\mu}m$ were investigated. Fracture strength was measured by ball breaker test for about 330 dies (size: $4mm{\times}4mm$) per each wafer. For statistical analysis of the fracture strength, scale factor was determined from Weibull plot. Ball breaker fracture strength was observed to increase with decreasing thickness of silicon die. For the silicon dies of different surface conditions, ball breaker fracture strength was high in the order of polished, ground (#4800), and ground (#320 grit) specimen. Probabilistic fracture strength (i.e., scale factor) increased with decreasing surface roughness of silicon die.

Optimum Design of a Wind Power Generation System through Analysis of Wind Data (풍속자료(風速資料) 분석(分析)에 의한 풍역발전(風力發電)시스템 최적(最適) 설계(設計))

  • Lee, Chul-Hyung;Shin, Dong-Ryul
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 1984
  • In this paper, how to design the wind power generation system is presented. It is shown that the wind system optimization can be achieved by consideration of the four factors; wind statistics, efficiency of conversion of wind energy to electrical energy, average annual energy extracted and load factor. The wind is characterized by a weibull probability function. The Weibull parameter is calculated for the characterizing wind and the primary design specification of ten different sites. Some graphs are presented, which can be used to design a wind system for maximum output of a specified load factor at given site. Two different systems, $V_c=0.4V_R$ and $V_c=0.5V_R$ are discussed, as samples, for investigation of the effects on the system through the variation of cut-in speed.

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Breakdown characteristics with temperature variation on XLPE 6.9kV cable insulator at power plants (발전소 6.9kV급 XLPE 케이블 절연재의 온도에 따른 절연파괴 특성분석)

  • Park, Noh-Joon;Yang, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Ki-Joung;Kong, Tae-Sik;Kim, Hee-Dong;Park, Dae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.79-79
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we present results of the dielectric breakdown test in various 6.9kV power cables used in power plants. The dielectric strength of the different conditioned cables was measured by placing the sliced cable sections in silicone oil bath with needle electrode. The results were analyzed by the Weibull distribution. The shape and scale parameters of the Weibull distribution for each cable sections under test were calculated and evaluated. Collected data base was applied to deterioration trend analysis and lifetime guide was also proposed.

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Statistical Analysis of Degradation Data under a Random Coefficient Rate Model (확률계수 열화율 모형하에서 열화자료의 통계적 분석)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun;Lee, Su-Jin;Cho, You-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2006
  • For highly reliable products, it is difficult to assess the lifetime of the products with traditional life tests. Accordingly, a recent approach is to observe the performance degradation of product during the test rather than regular failure time. This study compares performances of three methods(i.e. the approximation, analytical and numerical methods) to estimate the parameters and quantiles of the lifetime when the time-to-failure distribution follows Weibull and lognormal distributions under a random coefficient degradation rate model. Numerical experiments are also conducted to investigate the effects of model error such as measurements in a random coefficient model.