• 제목/요약/키워드: WATERSHED

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Development of Naïve-Bayes classification and multiple linear regression model to predict agricultural reservoir storage rate based on weather forecast data (기상예보자료 기반의 농업용저수지 저수율 전망을 위한 나이브 베이즈 분류 및 다중선형 회귀모형 개발)

  • Kim, Jin Uk;Jung, Chung Gil;Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제51권10호
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    • pp.839-852
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to predict monthly agricultural reservoir storage by developing weather data-based Multiple Linear Regression Model (MLRM) with precipitation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, and average wind speed. Using Naïve-Bayes classification, total 1,559 nationwide reservoirs were classified into 30 clusters based on geomorphological specification (effective storage volume, irrigation area, watershed area, latitude, longitude and frequency of drought). For each cluster, the monthly MLRM was derived using 13 years (2002~2014) meteorological data by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) and reservoir storage rate data by KRC (Korea Rural Community). The MLRM for reservoir storage rate showed the determination coefficient ($R^2$) of 0.76, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.73, and root mean square error (RMSE) of 8.33% respectively. The MLRM was evaluated for 2 years (2015~2016) using 3 months weather forecast data of GloSea5 (GS5) by KMA. The Reservoir Drought Index (RDI) that was represented by present and normal year reservoir storage rate showed that the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) average hit rate was 0.80 using observed data and 0.73 using GS5 data in the MLRM. Using the results of this study, future reservoir storage rates can be predicted and used as decision-making data on stable future agricultural water supply.

Assessment of future stream flow and water quality of Man-gyeong river watershed based on extreme climate change scenarios and inter-basin water transfer change using SWAT (SWAT을 이용한 극한 기후변화 시나리오와 유역간 물이동 변화를 고려한 만경강 유역의 미래 수문 및 수질 평가)

  • Woo, So-Young;Lee, Ji-Wan;Kim, Yong-Won;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제53권8호
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the future hydrological and water quality change of Man-gyeong river basin (1,602 ㎢) based on future extreme climate change scenarios and reduction of inter-basin water transfer amount using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). The SWAT was calibrated (2012~2014) and validated (2016~2018) at 2 water level observation stations (DC, JJ) and 2 water quality observation stations (SR, GJ) considering inter-basin water transfer amount, stream water withdrawal, and point source data. For the streamflow, the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.70 and the average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.51 respectively. For the water quality of SS, T-N, and T-P, the R2 was 0.72, 0.80 and 0.72 respectively. The future average streamflow under climate change scenarios increased up to 459 mm/yr, and average SS, T-N and T-P yields also increased up to 19,548 ton/yr, 68,748 kg/yr, and 13,728 kg/yr respectively. When the amount of inter basin water transfer decreased, the streamflow especially decreased in spring and winter periods, and the future water quality yields increased under the influence of precipitation. In order to solve the deterioration of water quality due to decrease in the flow rate and an increase in the load, the amount of inter basin water transfer should be maintained to a certain level.

Analysis of Impacts of Land Cover Change on Runoff Using HSPF Model (HSPF 모형을 이용한 토지피복변화에 따른 유출 변화 분석)

  • Park, Min-Ji;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to estimate the impacts of land cover change on the runoff behavior using Hydrologic Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) model and Landsat images. Land cover maps were prepared using three every ten years from 1980 to 2000 of the upper watershed ($258\;km^2$) of Gyeongan stream. Hydrologic parameters of HSPF were calibrated using observed data (1999 - 2000) and validated using observed data (2001, 2003) at Gyeongan gauge station. The simulation results showed that runoff volume and peak rate increased as $15.0\;km^2$ forest areas decreased and $19.3\;km^2$ urban areas increased for 20 years land use changes. The runoff volume showed a higher rate of increase in wet year (2003, 1709.4 mm) than in dry year (2001, 871.2 mm). The peak runoff increased $13.3\;\%$ in normal year (2000, 1257.3 mm) because the year has the highest rain intensity (241.3 mm/hr) among the test years. The runoff volume of a dry season and a wet season (May - September) in normal year 2000 increased $4.4\;\%$ and decreased $8.1\;\%$, respectively.

Curve Number for a Small Forested Mountainous Catchment (산지 소유역 유출곡선지수)

  • Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Jun, Byong-Ho;Han, Hyung-Geun;Jung, Sung-Won;Cho, Young-Ho;Park, Soo-Yun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제38권8호
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, runoff curve numbers (CN's) for a small forested mountainous catchment are estimated using rainfall-runoff data measured at Sulma experimental catchment every 10 minutes and a new guideline for applying the antecedent rainfall conditions (ARC's) for small mountainous watersheds in Korea is proposed. Sulma experimental catchment is a typical natural mountainous basin with $97\%$ of forested land cover and CN's are estimated to be in the range between 51 and 89 with median value of 72. The test hypothesis stating as 1-day ARC is better than 5-day ARC in determining CN's for a small mountainous watershed is shown to be acceptable. Also, linear regression equations for the estimation of CN's for small mountainous catchments are proposed. As there is no significant investigations available on CN's for small mountainous catchments, the newly proposed relationships between CN's and ARC may be used as a preliminary guideline to assign CN's for the estimation of floods from rainfall data on mountainous regions.

Comparison of Runoff Models for Small River Basins (소하천 유역에서의 유출해석모형 비교)

  • 강인식
    • Water for future
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.209-221
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    • 1996
  • It may be difficult to make exact estimates of peak discharge or runoff depth of a flood and to establish the proper measurement for the flood protection since water stages or discharges have been rarely measured at small river basins in Korea. Three small catchments in the Su-Young river basin in Pusan were selected for the study areas. Various runoff parameters for the study areas were determined, and runoff analyses were performed using three different runoff models available in literatures; the storage function method, the discrete, linear, input-output model, and the linear reservoir model. The hydrographs calculated by three different methods showed good agreement with the observed flood hydrographs, indicating that the models selected are all capable of sucessfully modeling the flood events for small watersheds. The storage function method gave the best results in spite of its weakness that it could not be applicable to small floods, while the linear reservoir model was found to provide relatively good results with less parameters. The capabilities of simulating flood hydrographs were also evaluated based on the effective rainfall from the storage function parameters, the $\Phi$-index method, and the constant percentage method. For the On-Cheon stream watershed, the storage function parameters provided better estimates of effective rainfall for regenerating flood hydrographs than any others considered in the study. The $\Phi$-index method, however, resulted in better estimates of effective rainfall for the other two study areas.

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Evaluation of Basin-Specific Water Use through Development of Water Use Assessment Index (이수평가지수 개발을 통한 유역별 물이용 특성 평가)

  • Baeck, Seung Hyub;Choi, Si Jung
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.367-380
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    • 2013
  • In this study, sub-indicators, and thematic mid-indexes to evaluate the water use characteristics were selected through historical data analysis and factor analysis, and consisted of the subject approach framework. And the integrated index was developed to evaluate water use characteristics of the watershed. Using developed index, the water use characteristics were assessed for 812 standard basins with the exception for North Korea using data of 1990 to 2007 from the relevant agencies. A sensitivity analysis is conducted for this study to determine the proper way through various normalization and weighting methods. To increase the objectivity of developed index, the history of the damage indicators are excluded in the analysis. In addition, in order to ensure its reliability, results from index with and without consideration of the damage history were compared. Also, the index is also applied to real data for 2008 Gangwon region to verify its field applicability. Through the validation process this index confirmed the adequacy for the indicators selection and calculation method. The results of this study were analyzed based on the spatial and time vulnerability of the basin's water use, which can be applied to various parts such as priority decision-making for water business or policy, mitigations for the vulnerable components of the basin, and supporting measures to establishment by providing relevant information about it.

Application of SWAT Model considering Spatial Distribution of Rainfall (강우의 공간분포를 고려한 SWAT 모형의 적용)

  • JANG, Daewon;KIM, Duckgil;KIM, Yonsoo;Choi, Wooil
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2018
  • In general, the rainfall-runoff simulation is performed using rainfall data from meteorological and observational rain gauge stations. However, if we only use rainfall data from meteorological and observational rain gauge stations for runoff simulation of a large watershed, the problem in the reliability of the simulated runoff can be occurred. Therefore, this study examined the influence of the rainfall data on the simulated runoff volume by a Semi-distributed model. For this, we used rainfall data from meteorological stations, meteorological and observational stations, and a spatially distributed rainfall data from hypothetical stations obtained by kriging method. And, we estimated the areal rainfall of each sub-basin. Also the estimated areal rainfall and the observed rainfall were compared and we compared the simulated runoff volumes using SWAT model by the rainfall data from meteorological and observational rain gauge stations and runoff volume from the estimated areal rainfall by Kriging method were analyzed. This study was performed to examine the accuracy of calculated runoff volume by spatially distributed areal rainfall. The analysis result of this study showed that runoff volume using areal rainfall is similar to observed runoff volume than runoff volume using the rainfall data of weather and rain gauging station. this means that spatially distributed rainfall reflect the real rainfall pattern.

Case study: Runoff analysis of a mountain wetland using water balance method (물수지 방법을 이용한 산지습지의 유출 변동성 분석 - 금정산 장군습지를 대상으로 -)

  • Oh, Seunghyun;Kim, Jungwook;Chae, Myung-Byung;Bae, Younghye;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.210-218
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    • 2018
  • It is very important to analyze water balance in the mountain wetland for the sustainable management of the wetland. In this study, the SWAT model was used to analyze the water balance of Janggun wetland located in Geumjeong mountain of Gyungnam province, Korea. The data such as rainfall and water level measured in Janggun wetland were used for water balance analysis and from the analysis we have known that the rainfall of 10mm within 8 days is required for maintaining an appropriate water level in Janggun wetland. Also, water balance analysis in the wetland for the period of 2009 to 2017 was performed by using hydro-meteorological data obtained from Yangsan weather station which is located around Janggun wetland. From the analysis results, we have known that the amount of rainfall was relatively small in 2010, 2012 and 2015 and water shortage was occurred in the wetland. Especially, water shortage was occurred during the summer that we had intensive rainfall for very short time and faster removal of the runoff from the wetland. Therefore, we may need extend water courses from a wetland watershed to the wetland for preventing land-forming of the wetland and also store water by banking up the wetland for preventing the decrease of water level in the wetland.

Evaluation of Groundwater Flow for the Kap-cheon Basin (갑천 유역의 지하수 유동 평가)

  • Hong, Sung-Hun;Kim, Jeong-Kon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제40권6호
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    • pp.431-446
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    • 2007
  • Groundwater flow in a basin is greatly affected by many hydrogeological and hydrological characteristics of the basin. A groundwater flow model for the Kap-cheon basin ($area=648.3km^2$) in the Geum river basin was established using MODFLOW by fully considering major features obtained from observed data of 438 wells and 24 streams. Furthermore, spatial groundwater recharge distribution was estimated employing accurately calibrated watershed model developed using SWAT, a physically semi-distributed hydrological model. Model calibration using observed groundwater head data at 86 observation wells yielded the deterministic coefficient of 0.99 and the water budget discrepancy of 0.57%, indicating that the model well represented the regional groundwater flow in the Kap-cheon basin. Model simulation results showed that groundwater flow in the basin was strongly influenced by such factors as topological features, aquifer characteristics and streams. The streams in mountainous areas were found to alternate gaining and losing steams, while the streams in the vicinity of the mid-stream and down-stream, especially near the junction of Kap-cheon and Yudeong-cheon, areas were mostly appeared as gaining streams. Analysis of water budget showed that streams in mountainous areas except for the mid-stream and up-stream of Yudeong-cheon were mostly fed by groundwater recharge while the streams in the mid and down-stream areas were supplied from groundwater inflows from adjacent sub-basins. Hence, it was concluded that the interactions between surface water-groundwater in the Kap-cheon basin would be strongly inter-connected with not only streams but also groundwater flow system itself.

Characteristics of Nutrient Distribution by the Natural and Artificial Controlling Factors in Small Stream Estuary (소하천 하구(남해 당항포)에서 자연적, 인위적 요인이 영양염 분포에 미치는 영향)

  • KANG, SUNGCHAN;PARK, SOHYUN;AN, SOONMO
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to investigate the nutrient distribution and controlling factors in small stream estuaries. The seasonal variations of nutrient concentration (nitrate, ammonium and phosphate) were observed from 2010 to 2012 in the three streams located in Dang-hang (closed estuary: Go-seong, open estuary: Gu-man and Ma-am). The nutrient concentrations in Go-seong were significantly higher than other estuaries, because Go-seong is relatively large and has large nutrient load from the watershed. The dyke located at the estuary, also, caused the high nutrient concentration by reducing the dilution and increasing residence time. In all three streams, nitrate concentration was high at upstream and decreased toward the downstream, because high load of nutrient input were located at upstream. Dilution and biogeochemical removal toward the downstream also caused the trends. Especially, denitrification, a typical nitrogen removing process showed clear tendency of gradual decreasing from upstream to downstream. However, Ammonium and phosphate concentrations were high at upstream and decreased toward the downstream only when the nutrient loads from the rivers were high. Nutrient concentrations were low in summer and high in winter. Freshwater discharge in summer caused a decrease of the residence time and increase of the transport of nutrients to downstream and reduced the nutrient concentrations in the estuary. Nutrient removal by the biological production during high temperature periods also affected the low nutrient concentrations. Small stream estuaries showed distinct nutrient dynamics. It is necessary to understand these characteristics in order to properly manage the small stream estuary.