• Title/Summary/Keyword: Vulnerability Index

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Evaluation of Basin-Specific Water Use through Development of Water Use Assessment Index (이수평가지수 개발을 통한 유역별 물이용 특성 평가)

  • Baeck, Seung Hyub;Choi, Si Jung
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.367-380
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    • 2013
  • In this study, sub-indicators, and thematic mid-indexes to evaluate the water use characteristics were selected through historical data analysis and factor analysis, and consisted of the subject approach framework. And the integrated index was developed to evaluate water use characteristics of the watershed. Using developed index, the water use characteristics were assessed for 812 standard basins with the exception for North Korea using data of 1990 to 2007 from the relevant agencies. A sensitivity analysis is conducted for this study to determine the proper way through various normalization and weighting methods. To increase the objectivity of developed index, the history of the damage indicators are excluded in the analysis. In addition, in order to ensure its reliability, results from index with and without consideration of the damage history were compared. Also, the index is also applied to real data for 2008 Gangwon region to verify its field applicability. Through the validation process this index confirmed the adequacy for the indicators selection and calculation method. The results of this study were analyzed based on the spatial and time vulnerability of the basin's water use, which can be applied to various parts such as priority decision-making for water business or policy, mitigations for the vulnerable components of the basin, and supporting measures to establishment by providing relevant information about it.

Evaluation of Future Hydrologic Risk of Drought in Nakdong River Basin Using Bayesian Classification-Based Composite Drought Index (베이지안 분류 기반 통합가뭄지수를 활용한 낙동강 유역의 미래 가뭄에 대한 수문학적 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Hyeok;Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Jiyoung;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of meteorological disasters have increased due to climate change. In South Korea, there are regional differences in vulnerability and response capability to cope with climate change because of regional climate characteristics. In particular, drought results from various factors and is linked to extensive meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural impacts. Therefore, in order to effectively cope with drought, it is necessary to use a composite drought index that can take into account various factors, and to evaluate future droughts comprehensively considering climate change. This study evaluated hydrologic risk(${\bar{R}}$) of future drought in the Nakdong River basin based on the Dynamic Naive Bayesian Classification (DNBC)-based composite drought index, which was calculated by applying Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Evaporate Stress Index (ESI) and Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) to the DNBC. The indices used in the DNBC were calculated using observation data and climate scenario data. A bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the severity and duration of the composite drought. Then using the estimated bivariate return periods, hydrologic risks of drought were calculated for observation and future periods. The overall results indicated that there were the highest risks during the future period (2021-2040) (${\bar{R}}$=0.572), and Miryang River (#2021) had the highest risk (${\bar{R}}$=0.940) on average. The hydrologic risk of the Nakdong River basin will increase highly in the near future (2021-2040). During the far future (2041-2099), the hydrologic risk decreased in the northern basins, and increased in the southern basins.

An Assessment of Flooding Risk Using Flash Flood Index in North Korea - Focus on Imjin Basin - (돌발홍수 지수를 이용한 북한 홍수 위험도 평가 - 임진강 유역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwak, Chang Jae;Choi, Woo Jung;Cho, Jae Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1037-1049
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    • 2015
  • The most of natural disasters that occur in North Korea are flood, typhoon and damage from heavy rain. The damage caused by those disasters since the mid-1990s is aggravating North Korea's economic difficulties every year. By recognizing the seriousness of the damages from the floods, the North Korean government has carried out the river maintenance, farmland restoration, land readjustment and afforestation projects since the last-1990s, but it has failed preventing the damages. In order to estimate the degree of flood risk regarding damage from chronic floods that occur inveterately in North Korea, this research conducted an additional simulation for rainfall-runoff analysis to reflect the characteristics of the ungauged area that make foreign countries hard to obtain the hydrological data and do not open the topographical data to public. In addition, this research estimates the degree of flood risk by selecting the factors of the hazard, exposure and vulnerability by following the standards of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

An Assessment of Ecological Risk by Landslide Susceptibility in Bukhansan National Park (산사태취약성 분석을 통한 북한산국립공원의 생태적 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tae;Jung, Sung-Gwan;You, Ju-Han;Jang, Gab-Sue
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2008
  • This research managed to establish the space information on incidence factors of landslide targeting Bukhansan National Park and aimed at suggesting a basic data for disaster prevention of a landslide for the period to come in Bukhansan National Park through drawing up the map indicating vulnerability to a landslide and ecological risks by the use of overlay analysis and adding-up estimation matrix analysis methods. This research selected slope angle, slope aspect, slope length, drainage, vegetation index(NDVI) and land use as an assessment factor of a landslide and constructed the spatial database at a level of '$30m\times30m$' resolution. The analysis result was that there existed high vulnerability to a landslide almost all over Uidong and Dobong valleys. As for ecological risks, Dobong valley, Yongueocheon valley, Jeongneung valley and Pyeongchang valley were analyzed to be higher, so it is judged that the impact on a landslide risk should be also considered in time of establishing a management plan for these districts for the time to come.

A Study on Algorithm for Determining Seismic Improvement Priority of Highway Bridges (도로교 내진보강 우선순위 결정을 위한 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Gyu;Jang, Il-Young
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.138-147
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    • 2018
  • With the recent series of damage caused by earthquakes in Korea, such as Gyeongju and Pohang, we know that Korea is no longer a safe zone for earthquakes and that we need to be prepared for them. In addition, bridges built prior to the introduction of seismic design concepts remain without adequate seismic reinforcement measures, and earthquake reinforcement should be performed efficiently considering economic and structural safety. Preliminary assessment of seismic performance of existing bridges is divided into four seismic groups, taking into account seismicity, vulnerability and Impact, considering the magnitude of the existing bridge's seismic, and prioritization for further evaluation of seismic performance. In this study, unlike the existing anti-seismic reinforcement priority method, scores are calculated based on the seismic design criteria applied to bridges, importance coefficient of the bridge including the zone coefficient and the Importance, vulnerability index of the bridge including the soil condition and the elapsed years, detail coefficient of the bridge including the superstructure form, the span length, the width, the height, the design load, and the daily traffic volume. The calculated score items will be weighted and grouped according to the results. Using this, a simpler and more efficient algorithm was proposed to determine the priority of seismic reinforcement on a bridge.

Assessment of Drought Vulnerability Using Bayesian Network Model (베이지안 네트워크 모델을 활용한 가뭄 취약성 평가)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Shin, Ji Yae;Chung, Gunhui;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.126-126
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    • 2018
  • 최근 우리나라는 기후변화로 인한 이상기후 현상 중 가뭄에 대한 발생빈도가 증가하고 있다. 가뭄은 다른 자연재해에 비해 지속기간이 길고 규모가 광범위하여, 사회 경제적인 피해가 크게 발생한다. 이러한 가뭄에 대비하기 위해서는 지역적으로 적합한 가뭄 대책을 수립해야 하며, 이를 위해서는 가뭄 위험도 평가가 선행되어야 한다. 지역적 가뭄 위험도를 평가하기 위해서는 기상학적 요인뿐만 아니라 사회 경제적인 요인에 의한 영향을 고려하는 가뭄 취약성 평가가 수반되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 지역별 가뭄 취약성 평가를 수행하기 위해, 지역별 용수 수요 및 공급관련 인자와 선행연구에서 정의된 가뭄 위험인자들 중 8개(생활 농업 공업 용수공급량, 인구밀도, 1인당 가용수자원량, 물 자급률, 취수율, 물 이용 공평성)를 선택하였다. 베이지안 네트워크(Bayesian Network) 기법을 통해 선정된 사회 경제적 요인들과 가뭄과의 상관관계를 분석하여 각 지역의 특성을 고려한 가뭄 위험요인별 확률을 산정하였다. 최종적으로 산정된 주요 가뭄 위험요인별 확률을 우선순위에 따른 가중치를 적용하여 지역별 가뭄 취약성지수(Drought Vulnerability Index, DVI)를 산정하였고, 이를 이용하여 우리나라의 행정구역별로 취약성 평가를 수행하고 지도로 표시하였다. 지역별 가뭄 취약성 평가를 수행한 결과 익산, 상주, 완주 순으로 높게 나타났으며, 계룡, 과천, 종로순으로 가장 낮게 산정되었다. 또한 광역자치단체의 평균 가뭄 취약성지수를 산정한 결과 전라북도 지역이 가장 높게 나타났으며, 대구 및 대전광역시가 가장 낮게 나타났다.

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Vulnerability Evaluation by Road Link Based on Clustering Analysis for Disaster Situation (재난·재해 상황을 대비한 클러스터링 분석 기반의 도로링크별 취약성 평가 연구)

  • Jihoon Tak;Jungyeol Hong;Dongjoo Park
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2023
  • It is necessary to grasp the characteristics of traffic flow passing through a specific road section and the topological structure of the road in advance in order to quickly prepare a movement management strategy in the event of a disaster or disaster. It is because it can be an essential basis for road managers to assess vulnerabilities by microscopic road units and then establish appropriate monitoring and management measures for disasters or disaster situations. Therefore, this study presented spatial density, time occupancy, and betweenness centrality index to evaluate vulnerabilities by road link in the city department and defined spatial-temporal and topological vulnerabilities by clustering analysis based on distance and density. From the results of this study, road administrators can manage vulnerabilities by characterizing each road link group. It is expected to be used as primary data for selecting priority control points and presenting optimal routes in the event of a disaster or disaster.

Exploring the Complexities of Dams' Impact on Transboundary Flow: A Meta-Analysis of Climate and Basin Factors

  • Abubaker Omer;Hyungjun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.177-177
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    • 2023
  • The impacts of dams on transboundary flow are complex and challenging to project and manage, given the potential moderating influence of a broad range of anthropogenic and natural factors. This study presents a global meta-analysis of 168 studies that examines the effect magnitude of dams on downstream seasonal, annual flow, and hydrological extremes risk on 39 hotspot transboundary river basins. The study also evaluates the impact of 13 factors, such as climate, basin characteristics, dams' design and types, level of transboundary cooperation, and socioeconomic indicators, on the heterogeneity of outcomes. The findings reveal that moderators significantly influence the impact of dams on downstream flow, leading to considerable heterogeneity in outcomes. Transboundary cooperation emerges as the key factor that determines the severity of dams' effect on both dry and wet season's flows at a significance level of 0.01 to 0.05, respectively. Specifically, the presence of water-supply and irrigation dams has a significant (0.01) moderating effect on dry-season flow across basins with high transboundary cooperation. In contrast, for wet-season flow, the basin's vulnerability to climate extremes is associated with a large negative effect size. The various moderators have varying degrees of influence on the heterogeneity of outcomes, with the aridity index, population density, GDP, and risk level of hydro-political tension being the most significant factors for dry-season flow, and the risk level of hydro-political tension and basin vulnerability to climate extremes being the most significant for wet-season flow. The results suggest that transboundary cooperation is crucial for managing the impacts of dams on downstream flow, and that various other factors, such as climate, basin characteristics, and socioeconomic indicators, have significant moderating effects on the outcomes. Thus, context-specific approaches are necessary when predicting and managing the impacts of dams on transboundary flow.

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Landscape Information Visualization of Landscape Potential Index in Hilly Openspace Conservation of Urban Fringe Area (도시주변 녹지경관의 보전.관리에 있어 경관잠재력 지표의 경관정보화와 가시화 연구)

  • Cho, Tong-Buhm
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.7 no.1 s.13
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the landscape potential index for visualizing landscape information in the conservation of hilly landscape in urban fringe. For the visual and quantitative approach to topological landscape assessment, numerical entity data of DEM(digital elevation model) were processed with CAD-based utilities that we developed and were mainly focused on analysis of visibility and visual sensitivity. Some results, with reference in assessing greenbelt area of Eodeung Mt. in Gwangju, proved to be considerable in the landscape assessment of suburban hilly landscapes. 1) Since the viewpoints and viewpoint fields were critical to landscape structure, randomized 194 points(spatially 500m interval) were applied to assessing the generalized visual sensitivity, we called. Because there were similar patterns of distribution comparing to those by 56 points and 18 Points given appropriately, it could be more efficient by a few viewpoints which located widely. 2) Regressional function was derived to represent the relationships between probabilities of visibility frequency and the topological factors(topological dominance, landform complexity and relational aspect) of target field. 3) Visibility scores of each viewpoint were be calculated by summing the visual sensitivity indices within a scene. The scores to the upper part including ridge line have been more representative to overall distributions of visual sensitivities. Also, with sum of deviations of sensitivity indices from each single point's specific index to the weighting values of view points could be estimated rotationally. 4) The deviational distributions of visual sensitivity classes in the topological unit of target field were proved to represent the visual vulnerability of the landform. 5) Landscape potential indices combined with the visual sensitivity and the DGN(degree of green naturality) were proposed as visualized landscape information distributed by topological unit.

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Return Period Estimation of Droughts Using Drought Variables from Standardized Precipitation Index (표준강수지수 시계열의 가뭄특성치를 이용한 가뭄 재현기간 산정)

  • Kwak, Jae Won;Lee, Sung Dae;Kim, Yon Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.8
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    • pp.795-805
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    • 2013
  • Drought is one of the severe natural disasters and it can profoundly affect our society and ecosystem. Also, it is a very important variable for water resources planning and management. Therefore, the drought is analyzed in this study to understand the drought distribution and trend. The Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) is estimated using precipitation data obtained from 55 rain gauge stations in South Korea and the SPI based drought variables such as drought duration and drought severity were defined. Drought occurrence and joint probabilistic analysis for SPI based drought variables were performed with run theory and copula functions. And then the return period and spatial distribution of droughts on the South Korea was estimated. As the results, we have shown that Gongju and Chungju in Chungcheong-do and Wonju, Inje, Jeongseon, Taebeak in Gangwon-do have vulnerability to droughts.