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http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2013.46.8.795

Return Period Estimation of Droughts Using Drought Variables from Standardized Precipitation Index  

Kwak, Jae Won (Dept. of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Lee, Sung Dae (Dept. of Civil Engineering, Halla University)
Kim, Yon Soo (Dept. of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Kim, Hung Soo (Dept. of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.46, no.8, 2013 , pp. 795-805 More about this Journal
Abstract
Drought is one of the severe natural disasters and it can profoundly affect our society and ecosystem. Also, it is a very important variable for water resources planning and management. Therefore, the drought is analyzed in this study to understand the drought distribution and trend. The Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) is estimated using precipitation data obtained from 55 rain gauge stations in South Korea and the SPI based drought variables such as drought duration and drought severity were defined. Drought occurrence and joint probabilistic analysis for SPI based drought variables were performed with run theory and copula functions. And then the return period and spatial distribution of droughts on the South Korea was estimated. As the results, we have shown that Gongju and Chungju in Chungcheong-do and Wonju, Inje, Jeongseon, Taebeak in Gangwon-do have vulnerability to droughts.
Keywords
drought; SPI index; joint probability; copula theory;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 7  (Citation Analysis)
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