• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertainty modelling

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Adaptive Fuzzy Control of Helicopter (헬리콥터의 적응 퍼지제어)

  • 김종화;장용줄;이원창;강근택
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.144-147
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents adaptive fuzzy controller which is uncertainty or unknown variation in different parameters with nonlinear system of helicopter. The proposed adaptive fuzzy controller applied TSK(Takagi-Sugeno-Kang) fuzzy system which is not only low number of fuzzy rule, and a linear input-output equation with a constant term, but also can represent a large class of nonlinear system with good accuracy. The adaptive law was designed by using Lyapunov stability theory. The adaptive fuzzy controller is a model reference adaptive controller which can adjust the parameter $\theta$ so that the plant output tracks the reference model output. First of all, system of helicopter was considered as stopping state, and design of controller was simulated from dynamics equation with stopping state. Results show that it is controlled more successfully with a model reference adaptive controller than with a non-adaptive fuzzy controller when there is a modelling error between system and model or a continuous added noise in such unstable system.

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A Study on the Torque Ripple Reduction in Brushless DC Motors using Disturbance-Observer Controller (BLDC 모터의 토크리플을 줄이기 위한 외란 관측기 기반 제어기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, So-Hyun;Jo, Nam-Hoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.8
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    • pp.1217-1223
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we study the problem of torque ripple minimization in Brushless DC Motors (BLDC) and proposes a disturbance observer (DOB) based controller in order to efficiently reduce the torque ripple. In the DOB based control system, an equivalent disturbance (plant disturbance and effect of modelling error) is cancelled by its estimate. When the DOB controller is applied to BLDC motors, the effect of inverter switching is considered as an equivalent disturbance and to be cancelled by the DOB controller. Through computer simulations, it is shown that the performance of the proposed DOB controller is superior to that of the conventional PI controller. In the case where the numerical values of resistance and inductance are not known exactly, it is shown that the proposed DOB controller achieves better performance than the PI controller.

$H_\infty$Control Synthesis for Robust Control of a Turbo-Generator (터-빈 발전기의 견실성 제어를 위한$H_\infty$제어 시스템 설계)

  • Chung, Dae-Won;Kim, Kern-Joong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.622-628
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    • 1999
  • This paper presented to design a robust turbo-generator control system using {{{{ { H}_{$\infty$ } }}}} control synthesis for improving small-signal stability. Application study of{{{{ { H}_{$\infty$ } }}}} control synthesis is more appropriate in this system since a turbo-generator system is usually operated under circumstance of unmeasurable modelling uncertainty and external disturbance. The{{{{ { H}_{$\infty$ } }}}} control theory was briefly reviewed for good understanding and the reasonable approach. The design results are simulated for a case study and to check the system performance in comparison with currently operating Lead/Lag filtered PSS performance.

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Risk-based optimum repair planning of corroded reinforced concrete structures

  • Nepal, Jaya;Chen, Hua-Peng
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2015
  • Civil engineering infrastructure is aging and requires cost-effective maintenance strategies to enable infrastructure systems operate reliably and sustainably. This paper presents an approach for determining risk-cost balanced repair strategy of corrosion damaged reinforced concrete structures with consideration of uncertainty in structural resistance deterioration. On the basis of analytical models of cover concrete cracking evolution and bond strength degradation due to reinforcement corrosion, the effect of reinforcement corrosion on residual load carrying capacity of corroded reinforced concrete structures is investigated. A stochastic deterioration model based on gamma process is adopted to evaluate the probability of failure of structural bearing capacity over the lifetime. Optimal repair planning and maintenance strategies during the service life are determined by balancing the cost for maintenance and the risk of structural failure. The method proposed in this study is then demonstrated by numerical investigations for a concrete structure subjected to reinforcement corrosion. The obtained results show that the proposed method can provide a risk cost optimised repair schedule during the service life of corroded concrete structures.

Informational and Methodological Approach to Ensuring the Economic Security of the State in the Banking Sphere

  • Shemayeva, Luidmila;Hladkykh, Dmytro;Mihus, Iryna;Onofriichuk, Andrii;Onofriichuk, Vitalii
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.12spc
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    • pp.477-482
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    • 2021
  • The existing approaches to ensuring the banking security of the state do not take into account the peculiarities of the banking system in the rapid development of the information economy (increasing uncertainty, imbalance and nonlinearity of processes in the banking system under the influence of innovation, institutions, information asymmetry, etc.). A methodological approach to determining the synergetic effect in the implementation of the regulatory influence of the state on the development of innovation processes related to informatization in the banking system, based on the use of differential equations and modelling the sensitivity of innovation processes related to informatization in the banking system, to the regulatory influence of the state to prevent the deployment of risks and threats to economic security of the state in this area has been suggested in the present article.

Different estimation methods for the unit inverse exponentiated weibull distribution

  • Amal S Hassan;Reem S Alharbi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.191-213
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    • 2023
  • Unit distributions are frequently used in probability theory and statistics to depict meaningful variables having values between zero and one. Using convenient transformation, the unit inverse exponentiated weibull (UIEW) distribution, which is equally useful for modelling data on the unit interval, is proposed in this study. Quantile function, moments, incomplete moments, uncertainty measures, stochastic ordering, and stress-strength reliability are among the statistical properties provided for this distribution. To estimate the parameters associated to the recommended distribution, well-known estimation techniques including maximum likelihood, maximum product of spacings, least squares, weighted least squares, Cramer von Mises, Anderson-Darling, and Bayesian are utilised. Using simulated data, we compare how well the various estimators perform. According to the simulated outputs, the maximum product of spacing estimates has lower values of accuracy measures than alternative estimates in majority of situations. For two real datasets, the proposed model outperforms the beta, Kumaraswamy, unit Gompartz, unit Lomax and complementary unit weibull distributions based on various comparative indicators.

Physics-based modelling and validation of inter-granular helium behaviour in SCIANTIX

  • Giorgi, R.;Cechet, A.;Cognini, L.;Magni, A.;Pizzocri, D.;Zullo, G.;Schubert, A.;Van Uffelen, P.;Luzzi, L.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.2367-2375
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    • 2022
  • In this work, we propose a new mechanistic model for the treatment of helium behaviour at the grain boundaries in oxide nuclear fuel. The model provides a rate-theory description of helium inter-granular behaviour, considering diffusion towards grain edges, trapping in lenticular bubbles, and thermal resolution. It is paired with a rate-theory description of helium intra-granular behaviour that includes diffusion towards grain boundaries, trapping in spherical bubbles, and thermal re-solution. The proposed model has been implemented in the meso-scale software designed for coupling with fuel performance codes SCIANTIX. It is validated against thermal desorption experiments performed on doped UO2 samples annealed at different temperatures. The overall agreement of the new model with the experimental data is improved, both in terms of integral helium release and of the helium release rate. By considering the contribution of helium at the grain boundaries in the new model, it is possible to represent the kinetics of helium release rate at high temperature. Given the uncertainties involved in the initial conditions for the inter-granular part of the model and the uncertainties associated to some model parameters for which limited lower-length scale information is available, such as the helium diffusivity at the grain boundaries, the results are complemented by a dedicated uncertainty analysis. This assessment demonstrates that the initial conditions, chosen in a reasonable range, have limited impact on the results, and confirms that it is possible to achieve satisfying results using sound values for the uncertain physical parameters.

Modelling land surface temperature using gamma test coupled wavelet neural network

  • Roshni, Thendiyath;Kumari, Nandini;Renji, Remesan;Drisya, Jayakumar
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.265-279
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    • 2017
  • The climate change has made adverse effects on land surface temperature for many regions of the world. Several climatic studies focused on different downscaling techniques for climatological parameters of different regions. For statistical downscaling of any hydrological parameters, conventional Neural Network Models were used in common. However, it seems that in any modeling study, uncertainty is a vital aspect when making any predictions about the performance. In this paper, Gamma Test is performed to determine the data length selection for training to minimize the uncertainty in model development. Another measure to improve the data quality and model development are wavelet transforms. Hence, Gamma Test with Wavelet decomposed Feedforward Neural Network (GT-WNN) model is developed and tested for downscaled land surface temperature of Patna Urban, Bihar. The results of GT-WNN model are compared with GT-FFNN and conventional Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN) model. The effectiveness of the developed models is illustrated by Root Mean Square Error and Coefficient of Correlation. Results showed that GT-WNN outperformed the GT-FFNN and conventional FFNN in downscaling the land surface temperature. The land surface temperature is forecasted for a period of 2015-2044 with GT-WNN model for Patna Urban in Bihar. In addition, the significance of the probable changes in the land surface temperature is also found through Mann-Kendall (M-K) Test for Summer, Winter, Monsoon and Post Monsoon seasons. Results showed an increasing surface temperature trend for summer and winter seasons and no significant trend for monsoon and post monsoon season over the study area for the period between 2015 and 2044. Overall, the M-K test analysis for the annual data shows an increasing trend in the land surface temperature of Patna Urban.

Lateral Control of High Speed Flight Based on Type-2 Fuzzy Logic (Type-2 Fuzzy logic에 기반 한 고속 항공기의 횡 운동 제어)

  • Song, Jin-Hwan;Jeon, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.479-486
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    • 2013
  • There exist two major difficulties in developing flight control system: nonlinear dynamic characteristics and time-varying properties of parameters of aircraft. Instead of the difficulties, many high reliable and efficient control methodologies have been developed. But, most of the developed control systems are based on the exact mathematical modelling of aircraft and, in the absence of such a model, it is very difficult to derive performance, robustness and nominal stability. From these aspects, recently, some approaches to utilizing the intelligent control theories such as fuzzy logic control, neural network and genetic algorithm have appeared. In this paper, one advanced intelligent lateral control system of a high speed fight has been developed utilizing type-2 fuzzy logic, which can deduce the uncertainty problem of the conventional fuzzy logic. The results will be verified through computer simulation.

Decision based uncertainty model to predict rockburst in underground engineering structures using gradient boosting algorithms

  • Kidega, Richard;Ondiaka, Mary Nelima;Maina, Duncan;Jonah, Kiptanui Arap Too;Kamran, Muhammad
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.259-272
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    • 2022
  • Rockburst is a dynamic, multivariate, and non-linear phenomenon that occurs in underground mining and civil engineering structures. Predicting rockburst is challenging since conventional models are not standardized. Hence, machine learning techniques would improve the prediction accuracies. This study describes decision based uncertainty models to predict rockburst in underground engineering structures using gradient boosting algorithms (GBM). The model input variables were uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), uniaxial tensile strength (UTS), maximum tangential stress (MTS), excavation depth (D), stress ratio (SR), and brittleness coefficient (BC). Several models were trained using different combinations of the input variables and a 3-fold cross-validation resampling procedure. The hyperparameters comprising learning rate, number of boosting iterations, tree depth, and number of minimum observations were tuned to attain the optimum models. The performance of the models was tested using classification accuracy, Cohen's kappa coefficient (k), sensitivity and specificity. The best-performing model showed a classification accuracy, k, sensitivity and specificity values of 98%, 93%, 1.00 and 0.957 respectively by optimizing model ROC metrics. The most and least influential input variables were MTS and BC, respectively. The partial dependence plots revealed the relationship between the changes in the input variables and model predictions. The findings reveal that GBM can be used to anticipate rockburst and guide decisions about support requirements before mining development.