• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.299-310
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• 1996

A two-step approach has been used to obtain a new criterion for the onset of slug formation : (1) In the first step, a more general expression than the existing models for the onset of slug flow criterion has been derived from the analysis of singular points and neutral stability conditions of the transient one-dimensional two-phase flow equations of two-fluid model. (2) In the second step, introducing simplifications and incorporating a parameter into the general expression obtained in the first step to satisfy a number of physical conditions a priori specified, a new simple criterion for the onset of slug flow has been derived. Comparisons of the present model with existing models and experimental data show that the present model agrees very closely with Taitel & Dukler's model and experimental data in horizontal pipes. In an inclined pipe ($\theta$ =50$^{\circ}$), however, the difference between the predictions of the present model and those of existing models is appreciably large and the present model gives the best agreement with Ohnuki et al.'s data.

• International Journal of Human Ecology
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.77-87
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• 2003

This paper tried to construct statistical and econometric models on the basis of economic theory in order to discuss the issue of statistical efficiency and unbiasedness including the sample selection bias correcting problem. Comparative analytical tool were one stage Tobit of Maximum Likelihood estimation and Heckman's two-step Tobit of Ordinary Least Squares. The results showed that the adequacy of model for the analysis on demand and choice, we believe that there is no big difference in explanatory variables between the first selection model and the second linear probability model. Since the Lambda, the self- selectivity correction factor, in the Type II Tobit is not statistically significant, there is no self-selectivity in the Type II Tobit model, indicating that Type I Tobit model would give us better explanation in the demand for and choice which is less complicated statistical method rather than type II model.

• 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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• 제24권10호
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• pp.1358-1368
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• 2021

A research on agricultural automation is a main issues to overcome the shortage of labor in Korea. A sweet persimmon farmers need much time and labors for classifying profitable sweet persimmon and ill profitable products. In this paper, we propose a mixed two-step synthetic neural network model for efficiently classifying sweet persimmon images. In this model, we suggested a surface direction classification model and a quality screening model which constructed from image data sets. Also we studied Class Activation Mapping(CAM) for visualization to easily inspect the quality of the classified products. The proposed mixed two-step model showed high performance compared to the simple binary classification model and the multi-class classification model, and it was possible to easily identify the weak parts of the classification in a dataset.

• 연구논문집
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• 통권31호
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• pp.65-75
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• 2001

A dynamic model of pump having one step gearbox and two step gearbox is developed by the lumped parameter method. The model accounts for shafts, ball bearings and journal bearings flexibilities, gyroscopic effects and the force couplings among the transverse and torsion motions due to gearing. Excitation forces of pump having one step gearbox and two step gearbox are considered as the mass unbalance of the rotors and gear transmission error which comes from the modified tooth surface. A Campbell diagram, in which the excitation sources caused by the mass unbalance of the rotors and the transmitted errors of the gearing are considered, shows that there are no critical speeds at the operating speeds. One step and two step gearboxes are manufactured and are estimated for vibration/noise, lubrication and performance.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.239-254
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• 2021

이 논문에서는, 2개의 혼합된 t-분포(TP-T)의 오차과정을 따르는 이질적 자기회귀 (HAR) 모형을 이용하여, 한국 코로나 (COVID-19) 확진자 수 데이터에 대한 시계열 분석, 즉 추정과 예측에 대하여 연구한다. HAR-TP-T 시계열 모형을 고려하여 HAR 모형의 계수 뿐 아니라 TP-T 오차과정의 모수를 추정하고자 단계별 추정법을 제안한다. 본 연구에서 제안하고 있는 단계별 추정법은, HAR 계수 추정을 위해서는 통상적 최소제곱추정법을 채택하고, TP-T 모수 추정을 위해서는 최대우도추정법을 이용한다. 단계별 추정법에 대한 모의실험을 수행하여, 성능이 우수함을 입증한다. 한국 코로나 확진자 수에 대한 실증적 데이터 분석에서, HAR 모형에서의 차수 p = 2, 3, 4에 대해, 모형의 평균제곱오차가 최소가 되도록 하는 최적화 시간간격(optimal lag)을 포함하여, 여러가지 시간간격을 고려한 HAR-TP-T 모형의 모수 추정값을 계산한다. 제안된 단계별 추정방법과 기존의 MLE만의 방법을, 추정 결과를 제시함으로 함께 비교한다. 본 연구에서 제안하고 있는 추정은 두 가지의 오차 측면, 즉 HAR 모형의 평균제곱오차와 잔차분포에 대한 밀도함수 추정의 평균제곱오차, 두 측면에서 모두 우수함을 입증하였다. 나아가, 추정 결과를 활용한 코로나 확진자 수 예측을 수행하였고, 예측정확도의 한 측도로서 mean absolute percentage error (MAPE)를 계산하여 0.0953%의 매우 작은 오차값을 얻었다. 본 연구에서 선택한 최적화 시간간격을 고려한 HAR-TP-T 시계열 모형 및 단계별 추정 방법은, 정확한 한국 코로나 확진자 수 예측 성능을 제공한다고 할 수 있다.

• 인지과학
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.297-310
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• 2008

화행은 화자의 의도를 내포하기 때문에 지능형 대화 시스템을 구현할 때 화행 분석은 필수적이다. 본 논문에서는 효과적인 화행 분석을 위한 2단계 모델을 제안한다. 첫 번째 단계에서 기계 학습 기반의 신경망 모델과 확률 기반의 예측도 모델을 이용하여 개별적으로 화행 후보를 생성한다. 두 번째 단계에서는 신경망 모델이 출력한 화행 후보들을 예측도 모델이 출력한 화행 후보들로 필터링한 후, 남겨진 후보들 중에서 최대값을 가지는 화행을 선택한다. 일정관리 영역에서의 실험 결과, 제안한 2단계 모델링 방법이 기계 학습 모델이나 확률 모델만을 사용하는 기존의 방법들보다 좋은 성능을 보였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.377-385
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• 2013

We consider a compound Poisson risk model in which the premium rate changes when the surplus exceeds a threshold. The explicit form of the ruin probability for the risk model is obtained by deriving and using the overflow probability of the workload process in the corresponding M/G/1 queueing model.

• 한국CDE학회논문집
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• 제11권6호
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• pp.429-439
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• 2006

The purpose of this study is to support the integration from current 2D drawing-based design to future 3D model-based design. In this paper, an important theme is the combination between the STEP-based 2D drawing standards (i.e., AP202) and the IFC-based 3D building model standards. To achieve the purpose, two methodologies are proposed as follows: the development of IFC extension model for the 2D shape data representation by harmonizing ISO/STEP AP202; and the development of mapping solution between IFC 2D extension model and KOSDIC by constructing the exchange scenario for 2D shape data representation. It is expected that the proposed IFC2X2 2D extension model and mapping solution will offer the basis of development of the integrated standards model in AEC industry.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.79-95
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• 2020

The globalization of financial markets has broadened investment opportunities. International investors' investment portfolios consist of financial instruments from various countries; consequently, the risks associated with economic dependence among countries should be carefully considered. Step-down equity-linked securities (ELS) are a structured financial product that have recently become popular among Korean investors. Payoffs are based on two or three stock indices from different regions; therefore, dependence between the indices should be reflected in the risk analysis. In this study, we consider a regime-switching copula model to describe the joint behavior of two stock indices- the Eurostoxx50 and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI). These indices are commonly used as underlying assets of step-down ELS. Using historical data, we analyze the risk associated with step-down ELS through the probabilities of early redemption. A regime-switching copula model can accommodate complicated dependence. Thus, it should be considered in the risk analysis of step-down ELS.

• 한국CDE학회논문집
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• 제4권4호
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• pp.371-380
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• 1999

This study proposes a process information model which can integrate various activities during the product development process, the system which can manage the process. Development process information will allow designers and managers to access previous tasks readily and utilize the information in making decisions at hand. While developing products in heterogeneous and distributed environments, concurrent and collaborative designs can be achieved by STEP. The process model in this study divides the task of product development into two fundamental parts, Specific Process(SP) and Normal Process(NP). SP includes the specific information and refer to those defined by prior STEP. NP is routine process excluded from being defined as SP. Due data information can be added to manage development pace and to show delayed tasks. As two or more different processes can be linked to show the entire development flow, Static STEP information can be dynamically interlaced. Remote location operations can be incorporated on the Internet using STEP, and information can be shared. The system has been built upon a process model schema so that task stage, design history, and different development style can be managed and accessed for each component. The system has been proven efficient in information management and exchange by several scenario testings.