• 대한수학회보
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• 제57권4호
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• pp.891-907
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• 2020

In this paper, we consider the Cauchy problem to the tropical climate model. We establish the global regularity for the 2D tropical climate model with generalized nonlocal dissipation of the barotropic mode and obtain a multi-logarithmical vorticity blow-up criterion for the 2D tropical climate model without any dissipation of the barotropic mode.

• 대한수학회보
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• 제59권6호
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• pp.1439-1470
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• 2022

In this paper, we study the uniform attractor of the 2D nonautonomous tropical climate model in an arbitrary unbounded domain on which the Poincaré inequality holds. We prove that the uniform attractor is compact not only in the L²-spaces but also in the H¹-spaces. Our proof is based on the concept of asymptotical compactness. Finally, for the quasiperiodical external force case, the dimension estimates of such a uniform attractor are also obtained.

• 한국제4기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국제4기학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.37-43
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• 2004

The response of the CCCma coupled climate model to the imposition of LGM conditions is investigated. The global mean SAT and SST decrease by about $10^{\circ}C$ and $5.6^{\circ}C$ in the coupled model. Tropical SST decreases by $6.5^{\circ}C$, whereas CLIMAP reconstructions suggest that the tropics cool by only about $1.7^{\circ}C$, although the larger tropical cooling is consistent with the more recent proxy estimates. With the incorporation of a full ocean component, the coupled model gives a realistic spatial SST pattern, capturing features associated with ocean dynamics that are seen in the CLIMAP reconstructions. The larger decrease of the surface temperature in the model is associated with a reduction in global precipitation rate (about 15%). The tropical Pacific warm pool retreats to the west and a mean La $Ni\tilde{n}a$-like response is simulated with less precipitation over the central Pacific and more in the western tropical Pacific. The more arid ocean climate in the LGM results in an increase in SSS almost everywhere. This is particularly the case in the Arctic Ocean where large SSS increase is due to a decrease in river discharge to the Arctic Ocean associated with the accumulation of snow over the ice sheet, but in the North Atlantic by contrast SSS decreases markedly. This remarkable reduction of SSS in the North Atlantic is attributed to an increase in fresh water supply by an increase in discharges from the Mississippi and Amazon rivers and an increase in P-E over the North Atlantic ocean itself. The discharges increase in association with the wetter LGM climate south of the Laurentide ice sheet and in South America. The fresh water capping of the northern North Atlantic results in a marked reduction of deep convection and consequently a marked weakening of the North Atlantic overturning circulation. In the LGM, the maximum overturning stream function associated with the NADW formation decreases by about 60% relative to the control run, while in the Southern Ocean, oceanic convection is stronger in the LGM due to reduced stratification associated with an increase in SSS and a decrease in SST and the overturning stream function associated with the formation of AABW and the outflow increases substantially.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.189-200
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• 2014

The tropical wet evergreen, tropical semi evergreen and moist deciduous forest types are projected to be impacted by climate change. In the Western Ghats region, a biodiversity hotspot, evergreen forests including semi evergreen account for 30% of the forest area and according to climate change impact model projections, nearly a third of these forest types are likely to undergo vegetation type change. Similarly, tropical moist deciduous forests which account for about 28% of the forest area are likely to experience change in about 20% of the area. Thus climate change could adversely impact forest biodiversity and product flow to the forest dependent households and communities in Uttara Kannada district of the Western Ghats. This study analyses the distribution of non-timber forest product yielding tree species through a network of twelve 1-ha permanent plots established in the district. Further, the extent of dependence of communities on forests is ascertained through questionnaire surveys. On an average 21% and 28% of the tree species in evergreen and deciduous forest types, respectively are, non-timber forest product yielding tree species, indicating potential high levels of supply of products to communities. Community dependence on non-timber forest products is significant, and it contributes to Rs. 1199 and Rs. 3561/household in the evergreen and deciduous zones, respectively. Given that the bulk of the forest grids in Uttara Kannada district are projected to undergo change, bulk of the species which provide multiple forest products are projected to experience die back and even mortality. Incorporation of climate change projections and impacts in forest planning and management is necessary to enable forest ecosystems to enhance resilience.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제33권7호
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• pp.583-595
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• 2012

대기 및 해양의 대규모 환경에서 열대저기압 발생의 잠재적 빈도는 잠재생성지수(GPI; Genesis Potential Index)를 이용하여 예측할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 18개의 CMIP5 기후모델을 이용하여 GPI의 연진동 및 경년변동성이 분석되었다. 비교를 위하여 재분석자료로부터 계산된 GPI의 연진동이 재조명되었다. 특히 CMIP5 기후모델과 재분석자료에 의한 GPI가 비교되었고, 그 차이에 대한 가능한 해석이 논의되었다. ENSO (El Nino and Southern Oscillation)는 열대 저기압 발생 및 경로에 영향을 주는 열대 기후현상이다. 잠재생성지수가 네 개의 대규모 매개변수의 함수임을 이용함으로써 열대저기압발생에 대한 역학적 해석이 제시되었다. 본 연구에서는 엘니뇨 혹은 라니냐 해에 GPI 편차를 논의하였고, 그 편차에 가장 영향을 많이 주는 인자를 찾았다. 또한 여러 대규모 인자를 활용하여 북태평양지역 열대저기압 발생에 대하여 가능한 기작을 논의하였다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제32권5호
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• pp.665-674
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• 2019

Objective: In tropical regions, as in temperate regions where seasonality of forage production occurs, well-preserved forage is necessary for animal production during periods of forage shortage. However, the unique climate conditions (hot and humid) and forage characteristics (high moisture content and low soluble carbohydrate) in the tropics make forage preservation more difficult. The current study used natural ensiling of tropical forage as a model to evaluate silage characteristics under different temperatures ($28^{\circ}C$ and $40^{\circ}C$). Methods: Four tropical forages (king grass, paspalum, white popinac, and stylo) were ensiled under different temperatures ($28^{\circ}C$ and $40^{\circ}C$). After ensiling for 30 and 60 days, samples were collected to examine the fermentation quality, chemical composition and microbial community. Results: High concentrations of acetic acid (ranging from 7.8 to 38.5 g/kg dry matter [DM]) were detected in silages of king grass, paspalum and stylo with relatively low DM (ranging from 23.9% to 30.8% fresh material [FM]) content, acetic acid production was promoted with increased temperature and prolonged ensiling. Small concentrations of organic acid (ranging from 0.3 to 3.1 g/kg DM) were detected in silage of white popinac with high DM content (50.8% FM). The microbial diversity analysis indicated that Cyanobacteria originally dominated the bacterial community for these four tropical forages and was replaced by Lactobacillus and Enterobacter after ensiling. Conclusion: The results suggested that forage silages under tropical climate conditions showed enhanced acetate fermentation, while high DM materials showed limited fermentation. Lactobacillus and Enterobacter were the most probable genera responsible for tropical silage fermentation.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제38권7호
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• pp.469-480
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• 2017

Controversy has surrounded the potential impacts of phytoplankton on the tropical climate, since climate models produce diverse behaviors in terms of the equatorial mean state and El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude. We explored biophysical impacts on the tropical ocean temperature using an ocean general circulation model coupled to a biogeochemistry model in which chlorophyll can modify solar attenuation and in turn feed back to ocean physics. Compared with a control model run excluding biophysical processes, our model with biogeochemistry showed that subsurface chlorophyll concentrations led to an increase in sea surface temperature (particularly in the western Pacific) via horizontal accumulation of heat contents. In the central Pacific, however, a mild cold anomaly appeared, accompanying the strengthened westward currents. The magnitude and skewness of ENSO were also modulated by biophysical feedbacks resulting from the chlorophyll affecting El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and La $Ni{\tilde{n}}a$ in an asymmetric way. That is, El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ conditions were intensified by the higher contribution of the second baroclinic mode to sea surface temperature anomalies, whereas La $Ni{\tilde{n}}a$ conditions were slightly weakened by the absorption of shortwave radiation by phytoplankton. In our model experiments, the intensification of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ was more dominant than the dampening of La $Ni{\tilde{n}}a$, resulting in the amplification of ENSO and higher skewness.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제32권7호
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• pp.770-783
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• 2011

본 연구에서는 ECHAM5 모델을 통하여 생산된 현재 및 A1B 미래 기후 변화 시나리오에 따른 미래기후 자료를 미 환경예측 센터의 분광모델인 RSM을 이용하여 역학적 규모축소를 수행하였다. 현재 기후 모의는 1980-2000년 기간에 대하여 수행되었으며, 미래 기후 모의는 2040-2070 기간에 대하여 CORDEX에서 제시한 동아시아 영역에서 수행되었다. RSM의 현재 기후 모의 검증을 통해 이 모델이 기후 관점에서 대기 상태를 적절히 모의함을 판단할 수 있었다. 미래 기후 모의 결과를 현재 기후 모의 결과와 비교하여 본 결과, 여름철에 열대 해양, 남아시아, 일본 부근에서 강수가 증가하였으며, 겨울철에는 서북 태평양 지역과 열대 인도양에서 강수가 증가하였고 열대 동인도양에서는 감소하였다. 동아시아 강수의 기후장에 있어서는 미래 기후가 현재와 큰 차이를 보이지 않지만 2050년 이후의 여름철 강수는 점차 증가하는 추세를 나타내고 있다. 미래 기후의 지상 온도는 현재와 비교해 볼 때 명확한 상승이 분석되었다. 대기장에 있어서는 미래 기후에서 지구 온난화에 대한 반응으로 전체적으로 온도와 지위고도장이 증가하는 변화를 나타내었으며 이에 따라 상층 기압골이 발달함을 보였다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제59권2호
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• pp.69-79
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• 2017

In this study, we developed real-time urban stream discharge forecasting model using short-term rainfall forecasts data simulated by a regional climate model (RCM). The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecasting System (CFS) data was used as a boundary condition for the RCM, namely the Global/Regional Integrated Model System(GRIMs)-Regional Model Program (RMP). In addition, we make ensemble (ESB) forecast with different lead time from 1-day to 3-day and its accuracy was validated through temporal correlation coefficient (TCC). The simulated rainfall is compared to observed data, which are automatic weather stations (AWS) data and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA 3B43; 3 hourly rainfall with $0.25^{\circ}{\times}0.25^{\circ}$ resolution) data over midland of Korea in July 26-29, 2011. Moreover, we evaluated urban rainfall-runoff relationship using Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). Several statistical measures (e.g., percent error of peak, precent error of volume, and time of peak) are used to validate the rainfall-runoff model's performance. The correlation coefficient (CC) and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are evaluated. The result shows that the high correlation was lead time (LT) 33-hour, LT 27-hour, and ESB forecasts, and the NSE shows positive values in LT 33-hour, and ESB forecasts. Through this study, it can be expected to utilizing the real-time urban flood alert using short-term weather forecast.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.11-19
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• 2017

This study examined the relationship between the initiation timing typhoon season in the Northwestern Pacific and the tropical sea surface temperature (SST) using a numerical simulation. The initiation timing of the typhoon season is closely associated with SSTs over the Indian Ocean (IO) and the eastern Pacific (EP) in the preceding winter and early-spring. The experiment based on the Weather and Research Forecast (WRF) model showed that the start date of the typhoon season is delayed for about one month when the SSTs over the IO and the EP increase in the preceding winter. The forced tropical SST pattern induces anticyclonic anomalies in the Northwestern Pacific, which is an unfavorable condition for typhoon development, and hence it could delay the initiation of the typhoon season.