• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trial And Error Method

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Development of Runoff Hydrograph Model for the Derivation of Optimal Design Flood of Agricultural Hydraulic Structures(II) (농업수리구조물의 적정설계홍수량 유도를 위한 유출수문곡선 모형의 개발(II))

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.112-126
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to develop an optimal runoff bydrograph model by comparison of the peak discharge and time to peak between observed and simulated flows derived by four different models, that is, linear time-invariant, linear time-variant, nonlinear time-invariant and nonlinear time-variant models under the conditions of heavy rainfalls with regionally uniform rainfall intensity in short durations at nine small watersheds. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1. Parameters for four models including linear time-invariant, linear time-variant, nonlinear time-invariant and nonlinear time-variant models were calibrated using a trial and error method with rainfall and runoff data for the applied watersheds. Regression analysis among parameters, rainfall and watershed characteristics were established for both linear time-invariant and nonlinear time-invariant models. 2. Correlation coefficients of the simulated peak discharge of calibrated runoff hydrographs by using four models were shown to be a high significant to the peak of observed runoff graphs. Especially, it can be concluded that the simulated peak discharge of a linear time-variant model is approaching more closely to the observed runoff hydrograph in comparison with those of three models in the applied watersheds. 3. Correlation coefficients of the simulated time to peak of calibrated runoff hydrographs by using a linear time-variant model were shown to be a high significant to the time to peak of observed runoff hydrographs than those of the other models. 4. The peak discharge and time to peak of simulated runoff hydrogaphs by using linear time-variant model are verified to be approached more closely to those of observed runoff hydrographs than those of three models in the applied watersheds. 5. It can be generally concluded that the shape of simulated hydrograph based on a linear time-variant model is getting closer to the observed runoff hydrograph than those of three models in the applied watersheds. 6. Simulated hydrographs using the nonlinear time-variant model which is based on more closely to the theoritical background of the natural runoff process are not closer to the observed runoff hydrographs in comparison with those of three models in the applied watersheds. Consequently, it is to be desired that futher study for the nonlinear time-variant model should be continued with verification using rainfall-runoff data of the other watersheds in addition to the review of analyical techniques.

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A Comparison Study with the Vatiation of Isocenter and Collimator in Stereotactic Radiosurgery (방사선 수술시 Isocenter, 콜리메이터 변수에 따른 선량 분포 비교연구)

  • 오승종;박정훈;곽철은;이형구;최보영;이태규;김문찬;서태석
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2002
  • The radiosurgery is planned that prescribed dose was irradiated to tumor for obtaining expected remedial value in stereotactic radiosurgery. The planning for many irregular tumor shape requires long computation time and skilled planners. Due to the rapid development in computer power recently, many optimization methods using computer has been proposed, although the practical method is still trial and error type of plan. In this study, many beam variables were considered and many tumor shapes were assumed cylinderical ideal models. Then, beam variables that covered the target within 50% isodose curve were searched, the result was compared and analysed. The beam variables considered were isocenter separation distance, number of isocenters and collimator size. Dose distributions obtained with these variables were analysed by dose volume histogram(DVH) and dose profile at orthogonal plane. According to the results compared, the use of more isocenters than specified isocenter dosen't improve DVH and dose profile but only increases complexity of plan. The best result of DVH and dose profile are obtainedwhen isocenter separation was 1.0-1.2 in using same number of isocenter.

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A Grounded Theory Approach on the School Dropout of Adolescents in Korea (청소년의 학업중퇴 적응과정에 대한 현실기반이론적 접근)

  • Park, Hyun-Sun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.53
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    • pp.75-104
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    • 2003
  • This study was performed to analyze the process and develop the pattern of school dropout in the context of the Korean educational systems. Participants were 30 adolescents experiencing dropout one more times and their age ranged from 16 to 23. A major category derived and analysed from a grounded theory method of Strauss and Corbin(1990). The qualitative analysis indicated that dropout is contradictory experiences in Korea. Because it is emancipation from various distress of school systems as well as loss of various benefit as students, Main causes of dropout were identity problems, school frustrations(failure in school achievements), environmental disadvantaged and delinquencies. Sometimes these various causes are emerged at the same time. Most important condition of context which was decided was whether dropout was voluntary and considered. After dropout from school, it was important if there were resources such as emotional and informative supports. Especially informative support was critical to adjust after dropout. Dropout experience was divided largely into 4 patterns such as type of 'searching the identity', 'being disorganized', 'escaping' and 'frustration'. In chronological analysis resulted in 4 stages including 'stage I. loss of motivation', 'stage II. escaping from school', 'stage III. trial and error', 'stage IV changing the meaning of dropout in the life.

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Study on the design optimization of injection-molded DVD-Tray parts using CAE Simulation (플라스틱 DVD-Tray의 박막 사출성형을 위한 최적화 설계 Simulation에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Jae-Youp;Kim, Dong-Hak
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.1726-1732
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    • 2008
  • Injection molding is one of plastic forming technology which can easily mass-produce plastic parts with various and even complex shape. The technology has lots of difficulties in making a good part due to phase change of material, high applied pressure, and fast melt flow speed in the cavity. To overcome the problems, they had to make trial and error method until the CAE(Computer Aided Engineering) could be a tool for concurrent engineering. In this paper, we investigate the optimal design for a plastic DVD tray part by systematic approach of the commercial CAE program. In design, we should consider two objectives which are both dimensional stability and cost-down. The dimension of the part is crucial because the tray should carry a DVD correctly, but the part is too thin to injection-mold easily. In order to improve the moldability, the mold is designed in the form of stack mold which is a kind of 4 hot runner system. In first, we changed the stack-mold system with one hot-runner to cost down, and decided the optimal position of the gate. After that, we investigate the effect of both the layout of cooling channels and the cooling temperature on the shrinkage of the DVD tray. A optimal simulation approach, the gate design is 2Gate#3 and the layout is Case2 cooling line as the optimal temperature of $70^{\circ}C$. The Moldflow and PC+ABS are used for the CAE program and material respectively.

A Perception of Beginning Earth Science Teachers on Porphyritic Texture (반상조직에 대한 초임 지구과학교사들의 인식)

  • Kim, Yong-Hwan;Chung, Duk-Ho;Cho, Kyu-Seong;Choi, Jin-A;Park, Kyeong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.32 no.7
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    • pp.860-870
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    • 2011
  • This study is to explore the Pedagogical Content Knowledge of beginning earth science teachers about the porphyritic texture of igneous rocks, and to suggest the teaching device that can prevent a trial and error of students in earth science instruction. We developed an interview guideline concerned with basic perception on the porphyritic texture, formation condition and formation process of porphyritic rocks, teaching and learning on porphyritic rocks for it. And data was collected from 5 beginning earth science teachers (3 high schools, 2 middle schools) through a group discussion method. In result, despite the porphyritic texture can be found at hypabyssal rocks as well as volcano rocks and plutonic rocks, most beginning earth science teachers cognized that it could be found at hypabyssal rocks only by focusing the formation depth of hypabyssal rocks. Also, the formation of porphyritic texture should be considered the factors such as cooling rate, nucleation density, growth rate, growth time, etc. However they mainly reflected the formation temperature and growth rate as it's parameter. Participants have wrongly perceived that a phenocryst necessarily differs from a groundmass on chemical composition. And they are inclined to discriminate phenocryst from groundmass through their chemical differences, instead of grain size.

Rapid Optimization of Multiple Isocenters Using Computer Search for Linear Accelerator-based Stereotactic Radiosurgery (Multiple isocenter를 이용한 뇌정위적 방사선 수술시 컴퓨터 자동 추적 방법에 의한 고속의 선량 최적화)

  • Suh Tae-suk;Park Charn Il;Ha Sung Whan;Yoon Sei Chul;Kim Moon Chan;Bahk Yong Whee;Shinn Kyung Sub
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop an efficient method for the quick determination of multiple isocenters plans to provide optimal dose distribution in sterotactic radiosurgery. A Spherical dose model was developed through the use of fit to the exact dose data calculated in a 18cm diameter of spherical head phantom. It computes dose quickly for each spherical part and is useful to estimate dose distribution for multiple isocenters. An automatic computer search algorithm was developed using the relationship between the isocenter move and the change of dose shape, and adapted with a spherical dose model to determine isocenter separation and cellimator sizes quickly and automatically. A spheric81 dose model shows a comparable isodose distribution with exact dose data and permits rapid calculations of 3-D isodoses. the computer search can provide reasonable isocenter settings more quickly than trial and error types of plans, while producing steep dose gradient around target boundary. A spherical dose model can be used for the quick determination of the multiple isocenter plans with 3 computer automatic search. Our guideline is useful to determine the initial multiple isocenter plans.

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Methodology for Developing a Predictive Model for Highway Traffic Information Using LSTM (LSTM을 활용한 고속도로 교통정보 예측 모델 개발 방법론)

  • Yoseph Lee;Hyoung-suk Jin;Yejin Kim;Sung-ho Park;Ilsoo Yun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2023
  • With the recent developments in big data and deep learning, a variety of traffic information is collected widely and used for traffic operations. In particular, long short-term memory (LSTM) is used in the field of traffic information prediction with time series characteristics. Since trends, seasons, and cycles differ due to the nature of time series data input for an LSTM, a trial-and-error method based on characteristics of the data is essential for prediction models based on time series data in order to find hyperparameters. If a methodology is established to find suitable hyperparameters, it is possible to reduce the time spent in constructing high-accuracy models. Therefore, in this study, a traffic information prediction model is developed based on highway vehicle detection system (VDS) data and LSTM, and an impact assessment is conducted through changes in the LSTM evaluation indicators for each hyperparameter. In addition, a methodology for finding hyperparameters suitable for predicting highway traffic information in the transportation field is presented.

Mobile Presentation using Transcoding Method of Region of Interest (관심 영역의 트랜스코딩 기법을 이용한 모바일 프리젠테이션)

  • Seo, Jung-Hee;Park, Hung-Bog
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.17C no.2
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2010
  • An effective integration of web-based learning environment and mobile device technology is considered as a new challenge to the developers. The screen size, however, of the mobile device is too small, and its performance is too inferior. Due to the foregoing limit of mobile technology, displaying bulk data on the mobile screen, such as a cyber lecture accompanied with real-time image transmission on the web, raises a lot of problems. Users have difficulty in recognizing learning contents exactly by means of a mobile device, and continuous transmission of video stream with bulky information to the mobile device arouses a lot of load for the mobile system. Thus, an application which is developed to be applied in PC is improper to be used for the mobile device as it is, a player which is fitting for the mobile device should be developed. Accordingly, this paper suggests mobile presentation using transcoding techniques of the field concerned. To display continuous video frames of learning image, such as a cyber lecture or remote lecture, by means of a mobile device, the performance difference between high-resolution digital image and mobile device should be surmounted. As the transcoding techniques to settle the performance difference causes damage of image quality, high-quality image may be guaranteed by application of trial and error between transcoding and selected learning resources.

Application of Artificial Neural Network for estimation of daily maximum snow depth in Korea (우리나라에서 일최심신적설의 추정을 위한 인공신경망모형의 활용)

  • Lee, Geon;Lee, Dongryul;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.10
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2017
  • This study estimated the daily maximum snow depth using the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model in Korean Peninsula. First, the optimal ANN model structure was determined through the trial-and-error approach. As a result, daily precipitation, daily mean temperature, and daily minimum temperature were chosen as the input data of the ANN. The number of hidden layer was set to 1 and the number of nodes in the hidden layer was set to 10. In case of using the observed value as the input data of the ANN model, the cross validation correlation coefficient was 0.87, which is higher than that of the case in which the daily maximum snow depth was spatially interpolated using the Ordinary Kriging method (0.40). In order to investigate the performance of the ANN model for estimating the daily maximum snow depth of the ungauged area, the input data of the ANN model was spatially interpolated using Ordinary Kriging. In this case, the correlation coefficient of 0.49 was obtained. The performance of the ANN model in mountainous areas above 200m above sea level was found to be somewhat lower than that in the rest of the study area. This result of this study implies that the ANN model can be used effectively for the accurate and immediate estimation of the maximum snow depth over the whole country.

Confidence Bounds following Adaptive Group Sequential Tests with Repeated Measures in Clinical Trials (반복측정자료를 가지는 적응적 집단축차검정에서의 신뢰구간 추정)

  • Joa, Sook Jung;Lee, Jae Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.581-594
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    • 2013
  • A group sequential design can end a clinical trial early if a confirmed efficacy or a futility of study medication is found during clinical trials. Adaptation can adjust the design of clinical trials based on accumulated data. The key to this methodology is considered to control the overall type 1 error rate while maintaining the integrity of clinical trials. The estimation would be more complex and the sample size calculation will be more difficult if the clinical trials have repeated measurement data. Lee et al. (2002) suggested a repeated observation case by using the independent increments properties of the interim test statistics and investigated the properties of the proposed confidence interval based on the stage-wise ordering. This study extend Lee et al. (2002) to adaptive group sequential design. We suggest test statistics for the adaptation as redesigning the second stage of clinical trials and induce the stage-wise confidence interval of parameter of interests. The simulation will help to confirm the suggested method.