• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trend change

Search Result 2,600, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

A Study on the Change of Humidity by City Size in South Korea (한국의 도시 규모별 습도 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Myungchan;Lee, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.48 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-36
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study aimed to investigate the change of humidity by city size in South Korea. Using daily mean relative humidity and water vapor pressure during the period of 1954~2011 for 14 weather stations in South Korea, the change of humidity by city size was analyzed. The change of relative humidity had a continuous decreasing trend for the period of 1954~2011. The decreasing trend in large city was bigger than these of rural one. The seasonal relative humidity was significantly changed in spring and winter. The change of water vapor pressure was rarely changed significance of the results by city size. It was not shown the result to constant trend by city size. There was a negative correlation between relative humidity and mean temperature. And change of relative humidity was correlated with city size. Moreover, there was not correlation between relative humidity and water vapor pressure by city size. The decreasing trend of relative humidity was similar to increasing trend of temperature by urbanization. However, there was not shown significant result of water vapor pressure.

  • PDF

A Study on the Test for Trend Change in Mean Residual Life (평균잔여수명의 경향 변화에 대한 검정에 관한 연구)

  • 나명환;이현우;김재주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.101-110
    • /
    • 1998
  • The mean residual life function is the expected remaining life of an item at age $\chi$. The problem of trend change in the mean residual life is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper we develop a new test statistic for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend based on a complete sample. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the perfor mance of our test statistic with that of previously known tests.

  • PDF

A Family of Tests for Trend Change in Mean Residual Life using Censored Data

  • Na, Myung-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.39-47
    • /
    • 2000
  • In a resent paper, Na and Kim(2000) develop a family of test statistics for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend based on complete data and show that the new tests perform better than previously known tests. In this paper, we extend their tests to the randomly censored data. The asymptotic normality of the test statistics is established. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare our tests with a previously known test by the power of tests.

  • PDF

A Test For Trend Change in Failure Rate Using Censored Data

  • Kim, Jae-Joo;Jeong, Hai-Sung;Na, Myung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
    • /
    • 2000.11a
    • /
    • pp.365-371
    • /
    • 2000
  • The problem of trend change in the failure rate is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper we develop a test statistic for testing whether or not the failure rate changes its trend using random censored data. The asymptotic normality of the test statistic is established. We discuss the efficiency values of loss due to censoring.

  • PDF

A Test For Trend Change in Failure Rate Using Censored Data

  • Kim, Jae Joo;Jeong, Hai Sung;Na, Myung Hwan
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.58-63
    • /
    • 2000
  • The problem of trend change in the failure rate is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper we develop a test statistic for testing whether or not the failure rate changes its trend using random censored data. The asymptotic normality of the test statistic is established. The efficiency values of loss due to censoring are discussed.

  • PDF

The Application of Various Non-parametric Trend Tests to Observed and Future Rainfall Data in the Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역의 과거 및 미래 강우자료에 대한 다양한 비모수적 경향성 검정 기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.3
    • /
    • pp.223-235
    • /
    • 2014
  • In recent, the various methods to predict the hydrological impacts due to climate change have been developed and applied. Especially the trend analysis using observed and future hydrological data has been performed than ever. Parametric or non-parametric tests can be applied for a trend analysis. However, the non-parametric tests have been commonly used in the case of trend analysis using hydrological data. Therefore, the two types of non-parametric tests, Mann-Kendall (MK) test and Spearman Rho (SR) test, were used to detect the trend in the observed and future rainfall data that were collected from the Nakdong River basin. Also, the Pre-Whitening (PW) and the Trend Free Pre-Whitening (TFPW) as the pre-process of the trend analysis were performed. Also, the result of trend analysis suggest that those pre-processes have a statistically significant effect. Additionally, the Sequential Mann-Kendall (SMK) was used to reveal the beginning point of a trend in the observed and future rainfall data in the Nakdong River basin. The rainfall patterns in most rainfall gauges using the observed rainfall show the increasing trend and the abrupt changes in the specific months (from April to May and September to October). Also, the beginning point of the trend is brought forward by several months when climate change is accelerated. Finally, the results of this study can provide the useful background for the research related to climate change and water resources planning in the Nakdong River basin.

Factors associated with the weight change trend in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: the case of Turkey

  • Onal, Hulya Yilmaz;Bayram, Banu;Yuksel, Aysun
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
    • /
    • v.15 no.sup1
    • /
    • pp.53-69
    • /
    • 2021
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: To determine the weight change trend among the adult Turkish population after 1 yr of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and factors associated with weight change. MATERIALS/METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted between 26 February and 6 March 2021 using an online questionnaire that included questions for sociodemographic variables, eating habits, stress level, and the Three-Factor Eating Questionnaire-R18. Those who weighed themselves 1-2 weeks before the pandemic was declared in Turkey and remembered their weight were invited to participate in the study. Trends in weight and body mass index (BMI) change were calculated. The variables associated with a 1% change in BMI were assessed using hierarchical regression analysis. RESULTS: The study was conducted with 1,630 adults (70.25% female) with a mean age of 32.09 (11.62) yrs. The trend of weight change was found to increase by an average of 1.15 ± 6.10 kg (female +0.72 ± 5.51, male +2.16 ± 7.22 kg) for the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. The rate of participants with a normal BMI (18.50-24.99 kg/m2) decreased to 51.91% from 55.75%. Consuming an "Increased amount of food compared to before the pandemic" was found to be the independent variable that had the strongest association with a 1% increase in BMI (β = 0.23 P < 0.001). The average change in the BMI was higher in older individuals than in those who were younger. A high stress level was associated with a decrease in BMI (β = -0.04 P = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the factors associated with weight change after 1 yr of the pandemic in the Turkish population was reported for the first time. A high stress level and increased weight gain trend still occur in Turkey after 1 yr of the pandemic.

Estimation of Future Trend for Solar Radiation Data Management (일사량 데이터 관리를 위한 미래 변화 추이 예측)

  • Oh, In-Bae;Lee, Bong-Keun;Ahn, Yoon-Ae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.7 no.12
    • /
    • pp.218-230
    • /
    • 2007
  • Measured values of solar radiation data have a characteristic that they change almost by the minute, so original data can be massive. Therefore, we need to construct a database which stores and manages history data of solar radiation data systematically. A study of an estimation method of the future change trend is also required. In this paper, we present a data structure in order to store history data of solar radiation data and propose an estimation method for the change trend of solar radiation that applies to a time-series decomposition method. Also, we present the results of experiments based on measured data from 20 domestic cities in Korea.

A Study on the Trend Change Point of NBUE-property

  • Kim, Dae-Kyung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.275-282
    • /
    • 1996
  • A life distribution F with survival function $\overline{F}$=1-F, finite mean $\mu$ and mean residual life m(t) is said to be NBUE(NWUE) if m(t)$\leq$($\geq$) .$\mu$ for t$\geq$0. This NBUE property can equivalently be characterized by the fact that $\varphi$(u)$\geq$($\leq$)u for 0$\leq$u$\leq$1, where $\varphi$(u) is the scaled total-time-on test transform of F. A generalization of the NBUE properties is that there is a value of p such that $\varphi$(u)\geq.u$ for 0$\leq$u$\leq$p and $\varphi$(u)\leq$$\leq$u$\leq$1, or vice versa. This means that we have a trend change in the NBUE property. In this paper we point out an error of Klefsjo's paper (1988). He erroneously takes advantage of trend change point of failure rate to calculate the empirical test size and power in lognormal distribution. We solves the trend change point of mean residual lifetime and recalculate the empirical test size and power of Klefsjo (1988) in mocensoring case.

  • PDF

Long-term pattern changes of sea surface temperature during summer and winter due to climate change in the Korea Waters

  • In-Seong Han;Joon-Soo Lee;Hae-Kun Jung
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.26 no.11
    • /
    • pp.639-648
    • /
    • 2023
  • The sea surface temperature (SST) and ocean heat content in the Korea Waters are gradually increased. Especially the increasing trend of annual mean SST in the Korea Water is higher about 2.6 times than the global mean during past 55 years (1968-2022). Before 2010s, the increasing trend of SST was led by winter season in the Korea Waters. However, this pattern was clearly changed after 2010s. The increasing trend of SST during summer is higher about 3.9 times than during winter after 2010s. We examine the long-term variations of several ocean and climate factors to understand the reasons for the long-term pattern changes of SST between summer and winter in recent. Tsushima warm current was significantly strengthened in summer compare to winter during past 33 years (1986-2018). The long-term patterns of Siberian High and East Asian Winter Monsoon were definitely changed before and after early- or mid-2000s. The intensities of those two climate factors was changed to the increasing trend or weakened decreasing trend from the distinctive decreasing trend. In addition, the extreme weather condition like the heatwave days and cold spell days in the Korea significantly increased since mid- or late-2000s. From these results, we can consider that the occurrences of frequent and intensified marine heatwaves during summer and marine cold spells during winter in the Korea Waters might be related with the long-term pattern change of SST, which should be caused by the long-term change of climate factors and advection heat, in a few decade.