• Title/Summary/Keyword: Travel demand

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A Network-Based Model for Estimating the Market Share of a High-Speed Rail System in the Korean NW-SE Corridor (네트워크 기반모델을 이용한 서울-부산간 고속철도 개통 후의 교통수단별 시장점유율 예측)

  • Gang-Len Chang
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 2003.02a
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    • pp.127-150
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    • 2003
  • This research presents a novel application of static traffic assignment methods, but with a variable time value, for estimating the market share of a high-speed rail (HSR) in the NW-SE corridor of Korea which is currently served by the airline (AR), conventional rail (CR), and highway (HWY) modes. The proposed model employs the time-space network structure to capture the interrelations among all competing transportation modes, and to reflect their supply- and demand-sides constraints as well as interactions through properly formulated link-node structures. The embedded cost function for each network link offers the flexibility for incorporating all associated factors, such as travel time and fare, in the model computation, and enables the use of a distribution rather than a constant to represent the time-value variation among all transportation mode users. To realistically capture the tripmakers' value-of-time (VOT) along the target area, a novel method for VOT calibration has been developed with aggregate demand information and key system performance data from the target area. Under the assumption that intercity tripmakers often have nearly "perfect" travel information, one can solve the market share of each mode after operations of HSR for each O-D pair under the time-dependent demand with state-of-the-art traffic assignment. Aside from estimating new market share, this paper also investigated the impacts of HSR on other existing transportation modes.

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Weights of Attributes in Creating Transit Malls (대중교통전용지구의 조성목적에 따른 계획요소별 중요도 평가)

  • Park, Jong-Il;Chang, Justin S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.130-138
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    • 2014
  • This paper assessed the weights of attributes in creating transit malls. The aim of the creation was classified as travel demand management and urban revitalization. The attributes were grouped into four aspects, or 4As: attraction, amenity, accessibility, and activity. These dimensions represented land-use, urban design, transport, and socio-cultural characteristics, respectively. The analytical hierarchy process was applied to explore the weights. Accessibility(52.7%), attraction(25.6%), amenity(13.7%), and activity(8.0%) were the order of magnitude in weights for the purpose of travel demand management, while attraction(36.1%), accessibility(30.6%), amenity(17.7%), and activity(15.6%) were that of urban revitalization. The multi criteria analysis also showed different size of weights in the sub planning attributes. These results indicate that the aimin implementingtransit malls should be differentiated and highlight that the combined land-use and transport plan is essential for the successful development. Car accessibility and socio-cultural characteristics are also understood as the important factors.

A Hybrid Genetic Algorithm for Vehicle Routing Problem which Considers Traffic Situations and Stochastic Demands (교통상황과 확률적 수요를 고려한 차량경로문제의 Hybrid 유전자 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Gi-Tae;Jeon, Geon-Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2010
  • The vehicle travel time between locations in a downtown is greatly influenced by both complex road conditions and traffic situation that changes real time according to various external variables. The customer's demands also stochastically change by time period. Most vehicle routing problems suggest a vehicle route considering travel distance, average vehicle speed, and deterministic demand; however, they do not consider the dynamic external environment, including items such as traffic conditions and stochastic demand. A realistic vehicle routing problem which considers traffic (smooth, delaying, and stagnating) and stochastic demands is suggested in this study. A mathematical programming model and hybrid genetic algorithm are suggested to minimize the total travel time. By comparing the results considering traffic and stochastic demands, the suggested algorithm gives a better solution than existing algorithms.

How to Set an Appropriate Scale of Traffic Analysis Zone for Estimating Travel Patterns of E-Scooter in Transporation Planning? (전동킥보드 통행분포모형 추정을 위한 적정 존단위 선정 연구)

  • Kyu hyuk Kim;Sang hoon Kim;Tai jin Song
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2023
  • Travel demand estimation of E-Scooter is the start point of solving the regional demand-supply imbalance problem and plays pivotal role in a linked transportation system such as Mobility-as-a-Service (a.k.a. MaaS). Most focuses on developing trip generation model of shared E-Scooter but it is no study on selection of an appropriate zone scale when it comes to estimating travel demand of E-Scooter. This paper aimed for selecting an optimal TAZ scale for developing trip distribution model for shared E-Scooter. The TAZ scale candidates were selected in 250m, 500m, 750m, 1,000m square grid. The shared E-Scooter usage historical data were utilized for calculating trip distance and time, and then applying to developing gravity model. Mean Squared Error (MSE) is applied for the verification step to select the best suitable gravity model by TAZ scale. As a result, 250m of TAZ scale is the best for describing practical trip distribution of shared E-Scooter among the candidates.

A Comparative Analysis of Oversea's Forecasting Models of the Railway Passenger Demand (철도수송수요 예측시스템의 해외 모형 비교분석 연구)

  • Lee, Hun-Ki;Ko, Yong-Seok;Min, Jae-Hong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.35-39
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    • 2003
  • Effort has been given to improve demand forecast methodology of rail system since it can have great impact on project evaluation of rail system investment. However most of demand forecast softwares developed in western countries where concerns have been provided mostly to private transport and they should be updated in order to reflect our country's situation accurately. Therefore, this paper aims, especially focusing on rail system, to do comparison analysis of oversea's passenger demand forecast softwares and provide some ideas to develop the updated demand forecast system which enables to reflect our country's situation accurately. Main conclusions are that we will need to have well described model for real situation. So we will have to study for these aspects for travel demand forecasting system and develop the package architecture.

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A Study on Improvement of Gravity model Decay Function of Transporting Demand Forecasting Considering Space Syntax (Space Syntax를 이용한 교통수요예측의 중력모형 저항함수의 개선방안)

  • Jang, Jin-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.617-631
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    • 2019
  • In the four-step demand model, a gravity mode is used most commonly at the trip distribution stage. The purpose of this study was to develop a new friction factor that can express the accessibility property as a single friction factor to compensate for the variable limits of the gravity model parameters (travel time, travel cost). To derive a new friction factor, a new friction factor was derived using the space syntax that can quantify the characteristics of the urban space structure, deriving the link-unit integration degree and then using the travel time and travel distance relationship. Calibration of the derived friction factor resulted in a similar level to that of the existing friction factor. As a result of verifying the various indicators, the explanatory power was found to be excellent in the short - and long - distance range. Therefore, it is possible to derive and apply the new friction factor using the integration index, which can complement the accessibility beyond the limit of the existing shortest distance, and it is believed to be more advantageous in future utilization.

Evaluation of Mobile Emissions Reduction Strategies Using Travel Demand Model and Analytic Hierarchy Process (교통수요모형과 의사결정모형을 이용한 자동차 배출저감정책 평가)

  • Lee, Kyu Jin;Park, Kwan Hwee;Shim, Sang Woo;Choi, Keechoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1123-1133
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    • 2015
  • This study proposed an evaluation method of mobile emissions reduction strategies for air quality management. The proposed method was considered Travel Demand Model (TDM) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), while an existing method was focused on quantitative factors. AHP of the evaluation indices of mobile emissions reduction strategies show that quantitative evaluation indices such as air pollutants and greenhouse gas reduction are more important than the political evaluation indices (Consistency with an upper plan, Policy applicability, Technical applicability and feasibility) and each weight of air pollutants and greenhouse gas reduction are found to be 0.373 and 0.218. The early scrapping policy of decrepit diesel vehicle is the best policy in the proposal method using TDM and AHP but this result differs from evaluated result by TDM or AHP respectively. These results are limited to the basic assumption and range of reduction scenarios but are expected to contribute to establish more reasonable and effective mobile emission reduction strategies.

Detour Behavior on the Expressway using Route Travel Data (경로형 통행데이터 기반 고속도로 우회행태 분석)

  • Lee, Sujin;Son, Sanghoon;Kim, Hyungjoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.58-70
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    • 2020
  • Detour behavior on the expressway means that the driver uses the local road by passing the part of the expressway which is stagnant at the time of the traffic demand such as holidays. Since the detour rate was estimated through the survey at toll gate in the past, there was a difficulty in estimating the actual detour rate due to the small sample of the survey. In this study, we use DSRC-based route travel data to conduct empirical studies on detour patterns such as the estimation of actual detour rate, the improvement of travel time using detour road, and the correlation between traffic conditions on the expressway and detour rate. On the day of Chuseok and the day before Chuseok, the analysis of Giheung-DongtanIC→OsanIC and Seopyeongtaek IC→Walgott JC showed that the use of detour roads increased gradually during the congestion of the main line and travel time reduced when using detour roads, However, when the traffic congestion of the main line is not severe, the travel time increases when using the detour roads. The correlation between the traffic condition of the expressway and the actual detour rate has a negative correlation, which is consistent with the congestion pattern of the main line. The results of this study can be used to overcome limitations of detour pattern research based on surveys in the past and to establish a detour strategy for expressway sections where traffic demand is concentrated.

Examining Access Mode Choice Behavior of Local Metropolitan High-Speed Rail Station - A Case Study of Dong-Daegu Station - (고속철도 지방대도시 정차역의 연계교통수단 선택모형 구축에 관한 연구 - 동대구역을 사례로 -)

  • Kim, Sang Hwang;Kim, Kap Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.565-571
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    • 2006
  • This study aimed to analyze access mode choice behavior for KTX Passengers. To fulfill the aims of this study, Dong-Daegu Station was selected as a station for a case study. This study takes place in two stages. These are (i) descriptive statistical analysis of transportation status before and after introduction of the KTX, (ii) empirical model estimation for analyzing access mode choice behavior. This study makes use of the data from travel survey from Daegu metropolitan area. The main part of the survey was carried out in the KTX Dong-Daegu station. The data was collected from a sample of 1,800 individuals. The survey data includes the information on travel from Dong-Daegu station to Seoul. From descriptive statistical analysis of transportation status before and after introduction of the KTX, it is found that revealed demand of the KTX is lower than that expected. Moreover, it is found that the low demand of the KTX stems from high cost for the KTX itself and inconvenience( including travel time and cost) of access mode. In order to analyze mode choice behavior for accessing Dong-Daegu station, multinomial logit model structure is used. For the model specification, a variety of behavioral assumptions about the factors which affect the access mode choice, were considered. From the empirical model estimation, it si found that access travel time and access travel cost are significant in choosing access mode. Given the empirical evidence, we see that improvement of access transportation system for Dong-Daegu station is very important for enhancing the use of KTX.

A development of travel time estimation algorithm fusing GPS probe and loop detector (GPS probe 및 루프 검지기 자료의 융합을 통한 통행시간추정 알고리즘 개발)

  • 정연식;최기주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.97-116
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    • 1999
  • The growing demand for the real time traffic information is bringing about the category and number of traffic collection mechanism in the era of ITS. There are, however, two problems in making data into information using various traffic data. First, the information making process of making data into the representative information, for each traffic collection mechanism, for the specified analysis periods is required. Second, the integration process of fusing each representative information into "the information" for each link out of each source is also required. That is, both data reduction and/or data to information process and information fusion are required. This article is focusing on the development of information fusing algorithm based on voting technique, fuzzy regression, and, Bayesian pooling technique for estimating the dynamic link travel time of networks. The proposed algorithm has been validated using the field experiment data out of GPS probes and detectors over the roadways and the estimated link travel time from the algorithm is proved to be more useful than the mere arithmetic mean from each traffic source.

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