• Title/Summary/Keyword: Transportation demand

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Toward the Efficient Integration of Travel Demand Analysis with Transportation Network Design Models (교통수요예칙과 가로망설계의 효율화)

  • 이인원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.28-42
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    • 1983
  • In recent years, significant advances have been made enabling travel demand analysis and network design methods to be used as increasingly realistic evaluation tools. What has been lacking is the integration of travel demand analysis with network design models. This paper reviews some of advanced (integrated) modeling approaches and presents future research directions of integrated modeling system. To design urban transportation networks, it is argued that the travelers' free choice of mode, destination and route should be introduced into transportation network design procedure instead of assuming that trips from a zone to a workplace are fixed or deriving them in a normative procedure to achieve hypothetical system optima.

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A Study on forecasting of the Transportation Demand Mungyeng Line (문경선 운영 재개에 따른 이용수요 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Ick-Hee;Lee, Kyung-Tae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.638-644
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    • 2008
  • Mungyeng line(Jupyung${\sim}$Mungyeng) was closed due to a rapid decrease in demand in 1995. However, as the rail transportation demand is expected to increase with the plan to develop a tourist resort and a traffic network in Mungyeng area, it is required to forecast future demand to meet the change of transportation environment in this region. This study predicts the rail transportation demand and analyzes financial benefit in operator's side in case of reopening this line, based on nation-wide traffic volume data from Korean Transportation Database(KTDB). The results of this research can be applied to not only establishing a train operation plan also improving customer service. Moreover, Korail will have an opportunity to develop new business by linking train service to tourist attractions around the Mungyeng area.

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Forecasting Market Demand of u-Transportation Vehicle Sensor OBU (u-Transportation UVS 단말기 시장수요예측)

  • Jeong, Eon-Su;Kim, Won-Kyu;Kim, Min-Heon;Kim, Byung-Jong;Kim, Song-Ju
    • Journal of The Institute of Information and Telecommunication Facilities Engineering
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2009
  • This study's purpose is to forecast the market demand of UVS (u-Transportation Vehicle Sensor) OBU (On-board Unit) of the ubiquitous Transportation. Bass model, Logistic model, and Gompertz model were used for the forecasting market demand. Firstly, this research focused on the market size for the u-T OBU. All three models were used for the market size prediction and the average values were used. The Bass model were calibrated and the market demand for the UVS OBU of the u-Transportation system were estimated using this model.

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An Analysis of Demand Elasticity to Facilitate the Use of Public Transportation in the Administrative City (행정중심복합도시 대중교통 이용활성화를 위한 수요탄력성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Park, Ji-Eun;Lee, Yun-Sang
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2018
  • Administrative city has been developed step by step aiming to being a public transport-oriented new city. In spite of its primary goal, administrative city is dominated by car-oriented tansportaion system because the supply of public transportation has not been adequately and timely performed. In this study, we investigate the current situation related to (public) transportation use in administrative city. Also, we examine the issues of traffic system through a survey on residents' consciousness about public transportation use. Additionally, the analysis of demand elasticity according to the change of the conditions of using public transportation and passenger car is conducted for passenger car users. As a result, it is analyzed that as the neighborhood is more stabilized after the completion of development the resistance to the abandonment of passenger car is higher when the tide demand control method is introduced. Therefore, it is concluded that pre-emptive public transportation supply and the management of car demand management are necessary for the activation of public transportation in Administrative city.

Forecasting short-term transportation demand at Gangchon Station in Chuncheon-si using time series model (시계열모형을 활용한 춘천시 강촌역 단기수송수요 예측)

  • Chang-Young Jeon;Jia-Qi Liu;Hee-Won Yang
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.343-356
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study attempted to predict short-term transportation demand using trains and getting off at Gangchon Station. Through this, we present numerical data necessary for future tourist inflow policies in the Gangchon area of Chuncheon and present related implications. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected and analyzed transportation demand data from Gangchon Station using the Gyeongchun Line and ITX-Cheongchun Train from January 2014 to August 2023. Winters exponential smoothing model and ARIMA model were used to reflect the trend and seasonality of the raw data. Findings - First, transportation demand using trains to get off at Gangchon Station in Chuncheon City is expected to show a continuous increase from 2020 until the forecast period is 2024. Second, the number of passengers getting off at Gangchon Station was found to be highest in May and October. Research implications or Originality - As transportation networks are improving nationwide and people's leisure culture is changing, the number of tourists visiting the Gangchon area in Chuncheon City is continuously decreasing. Therefore, in this study, a time series model was used to predict short-term transportation demand alighting at Gangchon Station. In order to calculate more accurate forecasts, we compared models to find an appropriate model and presented forecasts.

A Study on Zonal Operation of Buses - 2-Zonal operation Case - (구역분할 버스운영에 관한 연구 - 2-구역분할 운영의 경우 -)

  • 고승영;이양호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 1996
  • In most cities, travel demand is distributed along long corridors and its destinations tend to concentrate in a central business district. For this kind of many-to-one or one-to-many travel demand pattern, a zonal operation of buses can be an efficient bus operation technique in which a long bus-demand corridor is divided into service zones and each service zone is provided with its own bus route connecting the service zone and single destination separately. This paper develops models of the total transportation costs for a single-zone operation and 2-zonal operation of buses for a long demand corridor with single destination in terms of various cost parameters, demand density, bus operation speeds, and location of the boundary between two service zones. In this study the total transportation cost is assumed to consist of the bus operation cost, passenger waiting cost and passenger travel time cost. It was proved that a zonal operation of buses can be more efficient than a single-zone operation for certain circumstances of the system and an boundary condition between two operation techniques was obtained. Also, several case studies were performed for various values of the cost parameters.

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Modeling Domestic Transportation Sector Using Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM을 이용한 국내 수송부문 모델링)

  • JEON, Seungho;KIM, Suduk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we discuss the modeling of domestic transport sector using GCAM(Global Change Assessment Model). The GCAM is one of integrated assessment models widely used in internationally modeling community, and applied for the evaluation of IPCC 5th Report. Nevertheless, it is noted that there are a considerable number of problems in its application to domestic transport sector. First, the base year information of GCAM for detailed transportation service demand is found not consistent with national statistics. Second, the transportation sector simulation results do not properly reflect the past trends of service demand. Thus, the base year service demand is carefully matched with the detailed national statistics. In addition, the existing models were checked and modified so that the simulation results of service demand can accurately reflect past trends of national statistics. As a result, it is reported in detail how the current GCAM simulation results are corrected and how the trend of past transportation sector service demands is properly reflected. This study is expected to be useful as a basic tool for future scenario analysis for transportation policy, technology evaluation and greenhouse gas reduction measures.

The Overseas Research Trends for the On Demand Mobility and Domestic Application Plan Using PAV (PAV를 활용한 공유형 항공 이동수단의 해외 연구 동향 및 국내 적용 방안)

  • Lim, Eunha;Hwang, Hoyon;Cha, Jaeyoung;Kim, Seokbeom;Park, Byungwoon
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.313-324
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    • 2017
  • At present, many countries around the world, as well as Korea, have faced serious social problems due to increased traffic congestion resulting in the social loss. As a result, there is an increasing demand for new transportation which is not exist. This is why many companies around the world are trying to solve this problem with transportation innovation through On Demand Mobility(ODM) which uses Personal Air Vehicle(PAV) that is operated on demand by customer rather than scheduled transportation. This study analyzed the current research trends of the On Demand Mobility projects of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), UBER, and AIRBUS. Also, this study presents the benefit of adopting this On Demand Mobility systems into Korea. Three commuting routes were set up in the metropolitan area in Korea, and the benefit of using the On Demand Mobility method was compared with the current public transportation and private car.

A Study on the Transportation Demand Management Policy Using AHP Analysis - Domestic and Foreign Policy Comparison of Importantance Measurement - (AHP 분석을 이용한 교통수요관리 정책에 관한 연구 - 국내외의 정책 비교 및 중요도 측정 -)

  • Kim, Ki Hyung;Lee, Joo Hyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.907-920
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    • 2015
  • By increase owning vehicle, infrastructure that accept vehicle is very poor on present that People's commuting is rapidly change to vehicle-use-form in metropolitan area. Although Transportation demand management is enforced, traffic is heavy but studies lake in internal and external. This study select Transportation demand management that enforce in internal and external and do a survey. Based on this survey, conduct AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) analvsis, Transportation demand management that enforce internal and external compare, decide superiority and understand every particular items' importance and satisfaction that users think. Also based on importance that collect by AHP analysis compare Transportation demand management character. Finally figure that grasped by this study, analysis present, found future TDM course and applicate future transportation improvement.

Impact Assessment of an Autonomous Demand Responsive Bus in a Microscopic Traffic Simulation (미시적 교통 시뮬레이션을 활용한 실시간 수요대응형 자율주행 버스 영향 평가)

  • Sang ung Park;Joo young Kim
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.70-86
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    • 2022
  • An autonomous demand-responsive bus with mobility-on-demand service is an innovative transport compensating for the disadvantages of an autonomous bus and a demand-responsive bus with mobility-on-demand service. However, less attention has been paid to the quantitative impact assessment of the autonomous demand-responsive bus due to the technological complexity of the autonomous demand-responsive bus. This study simulates autonomous demand-responsive bus trips by reinforcement learning on a microscopic traffic simulation to quantify the impact of the autonomous demand-responsive bus. The Chungju campus of the Korea National University of Transportation is selected as a testbed. Simulation results show that the introduction of the autonomous demand-responsive bus can reduce the wait time of passengers, average control delay, and increase the traffic speed compared to the results with fixed route bus service. This study contributes to the quantitative evaluation of the autonomous demand-responsive bus.