• Title/Summary/Keyword: Transport appraisal

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Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique (Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

A Study on the Development of Evaluation Indicators for the Korea Government-Sponsored Program Fostering Aviation Personnel (우리나라 항공인력양성 사업의 평가지표 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Mi-Seon;Kim, Hyung-Seong
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.167-192
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    • 2012
  • Aviation industry is known as the knowledge-based one and as an advanced nations' exclusive property having a large capacity for creating job and added value. Considering the current status of the aviation industry as aforesaid, it is natural for all countries to turn their attention to such promising aviation industry. At the time of rapid growth in aviation market, the importance of securing managerial experts and technicians is being under the spotlight as the aviation profession is increasingly in demand. To meet such dire needs that have already become an ever-greater part of the industry, collaboration among governmental, educational and industrial parties has formed in preparation for putting us into so-called an era of globalization. Having recognized the significance of the program, carried forward by The Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs, fostering human resources in civil aviation, the objective of this study lies on deloping indicators for the programofficially designed to produce men of expertise in international air transport, the market of which forms nowadays a large part of national economy, and the technology of which develops so quickly. In this paper, an effort is made to develop the appraisal indicators and to set up standards thereof in order for the program to be systematically and expertly assessed on the basis of Quinn and Rohrbaugh's the competing values model. Firstly, this paper designs appraisal indicators, taking into account the peculiarity and environment of air transport industry, for developing human resources in civil aviation by utilizing advanced research on educational assessment in general due to the absence of applicable preceding studies regarding the development of human resources in civil aviation. Secondly, investigations into the necessity and validity of the appraisal are committed by analyzing answers from 100 respondents to questionaires and oral surveys in order to verify appraisal indicators designed in accordance with the competing values model. Lastly, the paper analyzes in a demographical way discrepancy in the recognitions among institutions for which the respondents work, on the basis of the outcome of the survey. As a result, the discrepancy is found not significant, which indicate that the aviation experts favour the indicators as appraisal standards. Prospective studies on the same issue may need an in-depth analysis, empowered by sufficient sampling in balance, of correlation between independent variables, then hopefully serve as a momentum for advancement of study in civil aviation.

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Option and non-use values of rail services (철도의 선택 및 비사용 가치에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Justin Su-Eun;Kang, Ji-Hye;Lee, Beom-Shin;Yun, Suk-Kang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2008
  • This paper considers option and non-use values of rail services. The total economic value of a given transport service can be classified into use, option and non-use values, other grouping rules can be applied though. The use value is the consumer's surplus from the actual rides of a specific mode. The option value, on the other hand, can be defined as a traveler's willingness to pay for reserving a travel mode, which is not his or her main choice, as a standby alternative. Finally, the non-use value represents benefits that are not attributable to the actual use or option use, but to the vicarious, altruistic, functional and existing worth of a transport service. A stated preference survey based on a double-bounded dichotomous choice is conducted. A survival model is applied to the data collected. Calculations of trip makers' willingness to pay for option and non-use values are based on the parameters of the estimated survival model. Some suggestions for transport appraisal are also presented.

Efficiency Plan of Transportation Investment Appraisal System (국내 교통SOC 투자평가체계 효율화 방안)

  • Chung, Sung Bong;Namkung, Baek Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.336-346
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    • 2014
  • Recently interest and concern about the effectiveness of the transportation investment policy have been increasing because lots of transportation projects reflected to the National Transportation Plan are suspended or delayed during pre-feasibility study. For instance, the criticism such as overlap and deficiency in consistency in appraisal system were aroused because of the waste of budget, time and man-power etc. This is because the Korea government adopted pre-feasibility study for the purpose of efficient use of national budget, but the methodology and the appraisal contents are similar to the existing feasibility study. Also, the feasibility appraisal study was adopted in 1999 for the purpose of establishing efficient transport networks but the feasibility study has been substituting the function which should be conducted by feasibility-appraisal study. In this study, by reviewing the current situation and the purport of introducing these policies, the understanding of these policies could be increased. Then, the plans for improving the efficiency of transportation appraisal system are suggested in the context of strengthening the connectivity between these policies. This study is expected to play an important role in increasing the rationality, consistency and efficiency of transportation investment policies.

Development of an Appraisal Model for Petroleum Storage and Transport Policy for a Petroleum Production Company (XX정유사의 석유제품 저유 및 수송정책평가모형의 개발)

  • 노정현;임채욱
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 1993
  • The successful management of logistics in an organization requires the careful coordination and manipulation of both movement and storage. In this study, we can show what is the most efficient and the cheapest method to transport the petroleum products under a few constraints with the model of linear programming. And also, the model can give some important informations so as what is the best coverages of each terminals by types, how many products should be exchanged among each companies and which terminals or complexes are economically prior to the others. Even we can understand that the duality is one of the useful measures to evaluate the economical efficiencies of transportation and storage related elements such as complex and terminal location, transport mode, storage tankage capacity and in/outflow facilities of terminals etc.

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Appraisal of Lands Using Their Availability (농경지 및 임야지의 유용성과 감정평가)

  • You, Seung Dong
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2018
  • This paper shows that the value of land can vary based on the future availability of the land. According to the Korean principles of land appraisal by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport (MOLIT), the value of a piece of land is derived mainly from the latter's fertility level or local environment. In practice, however, the values of lands may vary even though their fertility level is invariant. This paper investigates a fundamental question for many professional appraisers who argue that appraisal practices are different from the principles of appraisal. It highlights the appraisal practices for agricultural and forestry lands, which have similar agricultural productivity levels or environmental conditions. It is shown in this paper that even though the fertility level of lands is invariant, the values of lands may vary based on their locations. Therefore, this can complement the principles of land appraisal. In this paper, real cases in local areas in Gapyeong County, Kyounggi province are investigated. It can be seen from the cases in the local areas that two agricultural lands may have different values based on their locations even though they have almost similar fertility levels (e.g., their physical distance from each other is less than 0.5 km but their values differ by around 19%). This paper thus argues that the value of a piece of land can be determined by its availability.

A Case Study on Energy Consumption and Calibration of Green Remodeling Buildings (그린리모델링 건물에 대한 에너지소비량 및 보정 사례연구)

  • Kim, Dongi;Lee, Byeongho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2020
  • Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport(MOLIT) has increased reduction rate from 18.1% to 32.7% in Building sector compared to BAU of the national greenhouse gas emission according to the 2030 Greenhouse Gas Reduction Road map Amendment. For this purpose, MOLIT has been activating the green remodeling projects for existing buildings. Considering that 15 year old buildings after completion are 74% (5.25 million buildings) among about 7 million existing building stocks in Korea, reduction of building energy consumption by green remodeling is urgently needed, However, it is a major difficulty of activation for green remodeling projects because there are few case studies on Before and After building energy consumption of actual green remodeling projects. Considering that building energy performance and value increase after green remodeling through previous researches, additional studies of the energy consumption assessment on actual green remodeling projects are essential. Therefore, this study aims to propose results on Before and After building energy consumption of actual green remodeling projects.

Freight Transport Demand and Economic Benefit Analysis for Automated Freight Transport System: Focused on GILC in Busan (인터모달 자동화물운송시스템 도입을 위한 화물운송수요 및 사업편익분석 - 부산 국제산업물류도시를 중심으로-)

  • SHIN, Seungjin;ROH, Hong-Seung;HUR, Sung Ho;KIM, Donghyun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.17-34
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to analyze the freight transport demand and benefit for the introduction of an automated freight transport system focusing on the Global Industry and Logistics City (GILC) in Busan. In pursuit of this aim, four alternatives were calculated - using the freight volume estimating methods and included, the number of businesses, the number of employees set up, future estimated cargo volume, and switched volume from other transport modes into the GILC. Economic benefits were analyzed against social benefits and costs accordingly. The result of the freight transport demand forecast found, the cargo volume of "Alternative 2-1" to be the most advantageous, applying the number of employee unit method and proportion of employees in Gangseo-gu, Busan. In addition to the conventional analysis of direct benefit items (reduction of transport time, traffic accidents and environmental costs), this study also considered additional benefit items (congestion costs savings, and road maintenance costs in terms of opportunity cost). It also considered advanced value for money research in guidance on rail appraisal of U.K, Federal Transport Infrastructure Plan 2003 of Germany, and RailDec of the United States. The study aims to further contribute to estimating minimum cargo transport demands and assess the economic feasibility of the introduction of new intermodal automated freight transport systems in the future.