• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traditional Statistical

Search Result 924, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Corporate credit rating prediction using support vector machines

  • Lee, Yong-Chan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.11a
    • /
    • pp.571-578
    • /
    • 2005
  • Corporate credit rating analysis has drawn a lot of research interests in previous studies, and recent studies have shown that machine learning techniques achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. This paper applies support vector machines (SVMs) to the corporate credit rating problem in an attempt to suggest a new model with better explanatory power and stability. To serve this purpose, the researcher uses a grid-search technique using 5-fold cross-validation to find out the optimal parameter values of kernel function of SVM. In addition, to evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM, the researcher compares its performance with those of multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), case-based reasoning (CBR), and three-layer fully connected back-propagation neural networks (BPNs). The experiment results show that SVM outperforms the other methods.

  • PDF

Schentific analysis and interpretation of visual structure of feng-shui : Case study of Hahoi and Yangdong villages (풍수지리의 시각적 구조의 과학적 분석파 해석 -하회, 양동 마을의 사례 연구-)

  • 현중영;박찬용
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.124-134
    • /
    • 1997
  • The primary purpose of this research is to scientifically investigate visual structure of Korean feng-shui at the level of village settlement. This study deals with Hahoi and Yangdong villages of which feng-shui is regarded highly fit to traditional feng-shui principles. Methodologically this research utilizes analytical tools of geographical information systems and statistical analysis methods, Visual structures of the villages'feng-shui are analyzed in terms of elevation, orientation, gradient of slope and relative dominance of visibility of major hills. A mathematical model is suggested to quantify facets of the villages'lung-shui with reference to slope trends. The quantitative analysis results indicate that both villages have good feng-shui. Hahoi village has an excellent feng-shui attributable to a near perfect harmony between water and terrain while Yangdong village has an effective feng-shui facet for conserving energy in terms of microclimate. Principles of fang-shui have potentials to be developed as a holistic planning and design language. Further in-depth research on feng-shui needed to accomplish this goal.

  • PDF

A Research of the Reliability Analysis and Application Method Based on Non-parametric Statistics Using Field Data (야전 운용자료를 이용한 비 모수 통계 기반의 신뢰도 분석 기법 및 활용 방안 연구)

  • Na, Il-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.594-600
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we introduced non-parametric statisticals method that could analyse the field data and proposed application ways such as repair-part demand forcasting, MTBF estimation and trend analysis, identity comparison with two populations using the analytical results. In addition, we applied that to real field data which has been collected for about ten years from K series tracked vehicle. After that, we compared the results with those using traditional parametric statistical method, and verified the usability of them.

A Nonmonotonic Inheritance Reasoner with Probabilistic Default Rules (확률적 디폴트 규칙들을 이용한 비단조 상속추론 시스템)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.357-366
    • /
    • 1999
  • Inheritance reasoning has been widely used in the area of common sense reasoning in artificial intelligence. Although many inheritance reasoners have been proposed in artificial intelligence literature, most previous reasoning systems are lack of clear semantics, thus sometimes provide anomalous conclusions. In this paper, we describe a set-oriented inheritance reasoner and propose a method of resolving conflicts with clear semantics of defeasible rules. The semantics of default rule is provided by statistical analysis of $\chi$ method, and likelihood of rule is computed based on the evidence in the past. Two basic rules, specificity and generality, are defined to resolve conflicts effectively in the process of reasoning. We show that the mutual tradeoff between specificity and generality 추 prevent many anomalous results from occurring in traditional inheritance reasoners. An algorithm is provided. and some typical examples are given to show how the specificity/generality rules resolve conflicts effectively in inheritance reasoning.

  • PDF

Evaluation of the Pi-SAR Data for Land Cover Discrimination

  • Amarsaikhan, D.;Sato, M.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.1087-1089
    • /
    • 2003
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the Pi-SAR data for land cover discrimination using a standard method. For this purpose, the original polarization and Pauli components of the Pi-SAR X-band and L-band data are used and the results are compared. As a method for the land cover discrimination, the traditional method of statistical maximum likelihood decision rule is selected. To increase the accuracy of the classification result, different spatial thresholds based on local knowledge are determined and used for the actual classification process. Moreover, to reduce the speckle noise and increase the spatial homogeneity of different classes of objects, a speckle suppression filter is applied to the original Pi-SAR data before applying the classification decision rule. Overall, the research indicated that the original Pi-SAR polarization components can be successfully used for separation of different land cover types without taking taking special polarization transformations.

  • PDF

An Economic Design of the EWMA Control Charts with Variable Sampling Interval (VSI EWIMA 관리도의 경제적 설계)

  • 송서일;정혜진
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 2002
  • Traditional SPC techniques are looking out variation of process by fixed sampling interval and fixed sample size about every hour, the process of in-control or out-of-control couldn't be detected actually when the sample points are plotted near control limits, and it takes no notice of expense concerned with such sample points. In this paper, to overcome that, consider VSI(variable sampling interval) EWMA control charts which VSI method is applied. The VSI control charts use a short sampling internal if previous sample points are plotted near control limits, then the process has high probability of out-of-control. But it uses a long sampling interval if they are plotted near centerline of the control chart, since process has high possibility of in-control. And then a comparison and analysis between FSI(fixed sampling interval) and VSI EWMA in the statistical aspect and economic aspect is studied. Finally, we show that VSI EWMA control chart is more efficient than FSI EWMA control chart in the both aspects.

CUSUM of Squares Chart for the Detection of Variance Change in the Process

  • Lee, Jeong-Hyeong;Cho, Sin-Sup;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.126-142
    • /
    • 1998
  • Traditional statistical process control(SPC) assumes that consective observations from a process are independent. In industrial practice, however, observations are ofter serially correlated. A common a, pp.oach to building control charts for autocorrelatd data is to a, pp.y classical SPC to the residuals from a time series model fitted. Unfortunately, one cannot completely escape the effects of autocorrelation by using charts based on residuals of time series model. For the detection of variance change in the process we propose a CUSUM of squares control chart which does not require the model identification. The proposed CUSUM of squares chart and the conventional control charts are compared by a Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that the CUSUM of squares chart is more effective in the presence of dependency in the processes.

  • PDF

Leveraging artificial intelligence to assess explosive spalling in fire-exposed RC columns

  • Seitllari, A.;Naser, M.Z.
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.271-282
    • /
    • 2019
  • Concrete undergoes a series of thermo-based physio-chemical changes once exposed to elevated temperatures. Such changes adversely alter the composition of concrete and oftentimes lead to fire-induced explosive spalling. Spalling is a multidimensional, complex and most of all sophisticated phenomenon with the potential to cause significant damage to fire-exposed concrete structures. Despite past and recent research efforts, we continue to be short of a systematic methodology that is able of accurately assessing the tendency of concrete to spall under fire conditions. In order to bridge this knowledge gap, this study explores integrating novel artificial intelligence (AI) techniques; namely, artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and genetic algorithm (GA), together with traditional statistical analysis (multilinear regression (MLR)), to arrive at state-of-the-art procedures to predict occurrence of fire-induced spalling. Through a comprehensive datadriven examination of actual fire tests, this study demonstrates that AI techniques provide attractive tools capable of predicting fire-induced spalling phenomenon with high precision.

Structural Equation Modeling Using R: Analysis Procedure and Method (R을 이용한 구조방정식모델링: 분석절차 및 방법)

  • Kwahk, Kee-Young
    • Knowledge Management Research
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-26
    • /
    • 2019
  • This tutorial introduces procedures and methods for performing structural equation modeling using R. For this, we present the whole process of analyzing the structural equations model from the confirmatory factor analysis to the path diagram generation using the lavaan package, which is relatively well evaluated among the R packages supporting the structural equation modeling, together with the R program codes. Considering that research applying structural equation modeling techniques is the mainstream in a variety of social sciences, including business administration, and that there is growing interest in open source R, this tutorial focuses on researchers who are looking for alternatives to traditional commercial statistical packages and is expected that it will be a useful guidebook for them.

A Study on Design and Implementation of a Programming Teaching Model Using Emotional Intelligence

  • Bae, Yesun;Jun, Woochun
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.125-132
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we design a programming education model that uses emotional intelligence and apply the model to programming education in elementary school. In our previous work, we found that there is a meaningful correlation between emotional intelligence and programming ability. In this paper, as a follow-up study, we design a programming education model based on a storytelling model and emotional intelligence. In order to test the performance of the proposed model, we applied our proposed model to the 5th grade elementary school students who have no programming experience. Based on extensive survey work and statistical analysis, we found that the experimental group by the programming education using the emotional intelligence got a statistically significant higher achievement than the comparative group by the traditional programming education. We hope that our model will be helpful in programming education in schools.