• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time Estimator

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Multi-Level Rotation Designs for Unbiased Generalized Composite Estimator

  • Park, You-Sung;Choi, Jai-Won;Kim, Kee-Whan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2003
  • We define a broad class of rotation designs whose monthly sample is balanced in interview time, level of recall, and rotation group, and whose rotation scheme is time-invariant. The necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained for such designs. Using these conditions, we derive a minimum variance unbiased generalized composite estimator (MVUGCE). To examine the existence of time-in-sample bias and recall bias, we also propose unbiased estimators and their variances. Numerical examples investigate the impacts of design gap, non-sampling error sources, and two types of correlations on the variance of MVUGCE.

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Design and Analysis of a Robust State Estimator Combining Perturbation Observer (섭동관측기를 연합한 강인 상태추정기 설계 및 해석)

  • Kwon SangJoo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2005
  • This article describes a robust state estimation method which enables to produce reliable estimates in spite of heavy perturbation including plant uncertainty and external disturbances. The main idea is to combine the standard state estimator with the perturbation observer in the estimator frame. The perturbation observer reflects equivalent quantity of plant uncertainty and external disturbances during the estimation process so that the state estimator dynamics gets as close as possible to the real plant dynamics. The robust state estimator proposed in this paper is given in a recursive discrete-time form which is very useful fur implementation purpose. In terms of the error dynamics derived for the robust state estimator, we discuss the stability issue and noise sensitivity. The effectiveness and practicality of the robust state estimator are verified through numerical examples and experimental results.

A composite estimator for stratified two stage cluster sampling

  • Lee, Sang Eun;Lee, Pu Reum;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2016
  • Stratified cluster sampling has been widely used for effective parameter estimations due to reductions in time and cost. The probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling method is used when the number of cluster element are significantly different. However, simple random sampling (SRS) is commonly used for simplicity if the number of cluster elements are almost the same. Also it is known that the ratio estimator produces a good performance when the total number of population elements is known. However, the two stage cluster estimator should be used if the total number of elements in population is neither known nor accurate. In this study we suggest a composite estimator by combining the ratio estimator and the two stage cluster estimator to obtain a better estimate under a certain population circumstance. Simulation studies are conducted to compare the superiority of the suggested estimator with two other estimators.

Partially Parametric Estimation of Lifetime Distribution from a Record of Failures and Follow-Ups

  • Yoon, Byoung Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.59-78
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    • 1994
  • In some observational studies, we have often random censoring model. However, the data available may be partially observable censored data consisting of the observed failure times and only those nonfailure times which are subject to follow up. In this paper, we present an extension of the problem of partially parametric estimation of the survival function to such partially observable censored data. The proposed estimator treats the observed failure times nonparametrically and uses a parametric model only for those nonfailure times which are subject to follow-up. We discuss the motivation and construction of the proposed estimator and investigate the limiting properties of the proposed estimator such as asymptotic normality. Also, when the assumed parametric model is exponential, the asymptotic variance of the estimator is obtained. Furthermore, an example is given to compare the proposed estimator with the modified Kaplan Meier(MKM) estimator. From the results, it is shown that the relative efficiency of the proposed estimator is higher than that of the MKM estimator in the follow-up study with increasing time.

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Pooling shrinkage estimator of reliability for exponential failure model using the sampling plan (n, C, T)

  • Al-Hemyari, Z.A.;Jehel, A.K.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.61-77
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    • 2011
  • One of the most important problems in the estimation of the parameter of the failure model, is the cost of experimental sampling units, which can be reduced by using any prior information available about ${\theta}$, and devising a two-stage pooling shrunken estimation procedure. We have proposed an estimator of the reliability function (R(t)) of the exponential model using two-stage time censored data when a prior value about the unknown parameter (${\theta}$) is available from the past. To compare the performance of the proposed estimator with the classical estimator, computer intensive calculations for bias, mean squared error, relative efficiency, expected sample size and percentage of the overall sample size saved expressions, were done for varying the constants involved in the proposed estimator (${\tilde{R}}$(t)).

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A Study on the Design of Estimator for Velocity Control of Electro-hydraulic Servo System (유압 서보시스템의 속도제어를 위한 관측기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Chang-Seop;Yun, Jang-Sang;Shin, Dae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 1991
  • This paper deals with the state estimator and controller. All state variables' feedback in the system were used to improve electro hydraulic servo sysem were used to improve electro hydraulic servo system's responese charact- eristics. Many gains of the state variables'and estimator's are produced by the algebraic Riccati equation, and every state variables'optimal gain and estimator gain is selected by trial and error method. For the designed estimator performance's examination, this paper simulate the time response for the step input, the reduced velocity output in subjected to load torque, and the time response for the step input in changing the inertiamoment.

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Maximum penalized likelihood estimation for a stress-strength reliability model using complete and incomplete data

  • Hassan, Marwa Khalil
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.355-371
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    • 2018
  • The two parameter negative exponential distribution has many practical applications in queuing theory such as the service times of agents in system, the time it takes before your next telephone call, the time until a radioactive practical decays, the distance between mutations on a DNA strand, and the extreme values of annual snowfall or rainfall; consequently, has many applications in reliability systems. This paper considers an estimation problem of stress-strength model with two parameter negative parameter exponential distribution. We introduce a maximum penalized likelihood method, Bayes estimator using Lindley approximation to estimate stress-strength model and compare the proposed estimators with regular maximum likelihood estimator for complete data. We also introduce a maximum penalized likelihood method, Bayes estimator using a Markov chain Mote Carlo technique for incomplete data. A Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to compare stress-strength model estimates. Real data is used as a practical application of the proposed model.

Development of Fuzzy Travel Time Estimator for Interrupted Traffic Flow (단속류 퍼지 통행시간 추정기의 개발)

  • 오기도;김영찬
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2000
  • Two fuzzy travel time estimators for interrupted traffic flow were developed based on field survey data and simulation data 7hat is collected from DETSIM, which is microscopic traffic simulation model that car-following theory is applied. One is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Time using Occupancy and Spot speed) and the other is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Speed using Volume and Occupancy). Fuzzy logic controller was applied to the estimators to deal with non-linear relationship between traffic variables and travel time. According to results of simulation and field survey. estimation of travel time can be modeled by using percent occupancy better than any other traffic variables. Detector location from storyline and signal timing Plan of intersection are affected to estimate travel time. With a few findings, the estimator was constructed and its performance was tested for observed travel time data and simulated data. FETTOS which needs signal timing plan and detector location estimates travel time with accurate better than FETSVO does. However. FETSVO has excellent transferability because the estimator needs set of input data only; volume and time mean speed.

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Efficient Quasi-likelihood Estimation for Nonlinear Time Series Models and Its Application

  • Kim, Sahmyeong;Cha, Kyungyup;Lee, Sungduck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2003
  • Quasi likelihood estimators defined by Wedderburn are derived for several nonlinear time series models. And also, the least squared estimator and Quasi-likelihood estimator are compared in sense of asymptotic relative efficiency at those models. Finally, we apply these estimations to a real data on exchanging rate and stock market prices.

A Note on Estimation Under Discrete Time Observations in the Simple Stochastic Epidemic Model

  • Oh, Chang-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.133-138
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    • 1993
  • We consider two estimators of the infection rate in the simple stochastic epidemic model. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator of teh infection rate under the discrete time observation does not have the moment of any positive order. Some properties of the Choi-Severo estimator, an approximation to the maximum likelihood estimator, are also investigated.

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