• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time Dependent Loss Model

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Risk Evaluation Based on the Time Dependent Expected Loss Model in FMEA (FMEA에서 시간을 고려한 기대손실모형에 기초한 위험 평가)

  • Kwon, Hyuck-Moo;Hong, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Min-Koo;Sutrisno, Agung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2011
  • In FMEA, the risk priority number(RPN) is used for risk evaluation on each failure mode. It is obtained by multiplying three components, i.e., severity, occurrence, and detectability of the corresponding failure mode. Each of the three components are usually determined on the basis of the past experience and technical knowledge. But this approach is not strictly objective in evaluating risk of a given failure mode and thus provide somewhat less scientific measure of risk. Assuming a homogeneous Poisson process for occurrence of the failures and causes, we propose a more scientific approach to evaluation of risk in FMEA. To quantify severity of each failure mode, the mission period is taken into consideration for the system. If the system faces no failure during its mission period, there are no losses. If any failure occurs during its mission period, the losses corresponding to the failure mode incurs. A longer remaining mission period is assumed to incur a larger loss. Detectability of each failure mode is then incorporated into the model assuming an exponential probability law for detection time of each failure cause. Based on the proposed model, an illustrative example and numerical analyses are provided.

Experimental study on long-term behavior of prestressed steel I-beam-concrete composite beams

  • Sung, Deokyong;Hong, Seongwon
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.671-683
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    • 2022
  • To investigate and predict the long-term time-dependent behavior, such as creep, shrinkage, and relaxation of PS strands, and prestress loss in prestressed steel-concrete composite beams, named Precom, full-scale tests were conducted and the collected data were compared with those obtained from the two proposed analytical models. The combined effective modulus method (EMM)-empirical model proposed with a flowchart considered the creep effect to determine the prestress loss. Conversely, the age-adjusted effective modulus method (AEMM) with CEB-FIP equation was developed to account for the concrete aging. The results indicated that the AEMM with CEB-FIP model predicts the long-term behavior of Precom effectively.

A New Approach to Performance Evaluation of Cellular Systems Considering Mixed Platforms Environment (이질적인 이동성 모델링을 통한 셀룰러 이동통신 시스템의 새로운 성능평가)

  • Yeo, Kun-Min;Ryu, Ji-Hyun;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 1999
  • We present a new approach to the analysis of mobile cellular communication systems under the environment of mixed platforms adopting a guard channel scheme. We assume general cell residence time distributions according to platform-types. Our system model is based on a heterogeneous M/G/c loss system with customer-dependent guard channels, where heterogeneous customers with different service time distributions have different numbers of their own guard channels. We develop the general formula of steady state probabilities for the heterogeneous M/G/c loss system with customer-dependent guard channels. The mean channel occupancy times of new and handoff calls are rigorously derived under a general setting. Finally, our numerical results show that the blocking probability and the forced termination probability are sensitive to the cell residence time distributions.

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Buckling capacity of uniformly corroded steel members in terms of exposure time

  • Rahgozar, Reza;Sharifi, Yasser;Malekinejad, Mohsen
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.475-487
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    • 2010
  • Most of steel structures in various industries are subjected to corrosion due to environmental exposure. Corrosion damage is a serious problem for these structures which may reduce their carrying capacity. These aging structures require maintenance and in many cases, replacement. The goal of this research is to consider the effects of corrosion by developing a model that estimates corrosion loss as a function of exposure time. The model is formulated based on average measured thickness data collected from three severely corroded I-beams (nearly 30 years old). Since corrosion is a time-dependent parameter. Analyses were performed to calculate the lateral buckling capacity of steel beam in terms of exposure time. Minimum curves have been developed for assessment of the remaining lateral buckling capacity of ordinary I-beams based on the loss of thicknesses in terms of exposure time. These minimum curves can be used by practicing engineers for better estimates on the service life of corrosion damaged steel beams.

A Condition Based Maintenance Model for Systems with Weibull Distributed Deterioration (와이블 분포로 열화하는 시스템의 상태에 기초한 정비모형)

  • Kong, Myung Bock;Park, Il Gwang
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 2007
  • This paper discusses condition based preventive replacement for deteriorating systems. The system continuouslydeteriorates in time and fails at any deterioration level which is always monitored, It is replaced at failure or atsome deteriorated level preventively before failure. The deterioration process is represented by a Weibulldistribution with a time-linear scale parameter. The cost rate function is formed considering replacement costand opportunity loss cost and deterioration dependent failure distribution, If the system has an increasingdeterioration dependent failure rate, the optimal deterioration level for preventive replacement can be determinedfrom minimizing the cost rate. An illustrative example is given for a Weibull deterioration dependent failuredistribution.

An Expected Loss Model for FMEA under Periodic Monitoring of Failure Causes (FMEA에서 주기적인 고장원인 감시 하의 기대손실 모형)

  • Kwon, Hyuck Moo;Hong, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Min Koo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2013
  • In FMEA, occurrence and detectability are not related to only failure modes itself but also their causes. It is assumed that any failure occurs after at least one cause corresponding to failure occurs in advance. Occurrence of the failure mode is described by occurrence time of its cause and elapsed time to the actual failure. Under the periodic monitoring plan, the monitoring interval is another factor to determine the detectability and occurrence of each failure mode. When a failure cause occurs, the failure does not occur if the cause is identified and remedied before it actually occurs. Under this situation, we construct an economic model for prioritizing failure modes. The loss function is based on the unfulfilled mission period. We also provide an optimal monitoring plan with an illustrative example.

On the use of time-dependent success criteria within risk-informed analyses. Application to LONF-ATWS sequences in PWR reactors

  • Jorge Sanchez-Torrijos;Cesar Queral;Carlos Paris;Maria Jose Rebollo;Miguel Sanchez-Perea;Jose Maria Posada
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.4601-4619
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    • 2022
  • The classical Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA) does not include any time dependence explicitly. However, the success criteria (SC) could evolve during the cycle for some initiating events. In that sense, there is a type of sequence in which this time-dependency is quite important, the family of Anticipated Transient without Scram (ATWS) sequences in Pressurized Water Reactors. Therefore, a new risk-informed approach is proposed in this paper, which makes it possible to obtain the time-dependent SC evolution of the safety functions affected by the Moderator Temperature Coefficient (MTC) value. Then, the evolution of the ATWS conditional core damage probability (CCDP) could be obtained using a PSA model. To quantify the CCDP, the average values of the time-dependent failure probabilities must be computed. Finally, the comparison between the CCDP obtained through the application of the classical PSA approach and the new one makes it possible to quantify the impact of time-dependence on the SC of the headers that this new risk-informed ATWS approach can provide.

Optimal Man-machine Assignment for Sequential Dependent Multi Different Machines Under Deterministic Cycle Time (확정적 주기시간을 갖는 다기종 Line설비의 최적담당 기계대수 결정)

  • 이근희;김홍국
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.17
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 1988
  • This Paper is concerned with a man-multi machine assignment problem to minimize idle time. Assuming different types of semi-automatic machines with deterministic service-processing time, the problem approaches by sequential dependent one operator can handle several machines, where determine optimal range the cost of idle labor and machine time is to be minimized in preparing a work schedule. The Procedure, to establish man-machine assignment model, and it's results are: (1) Objective function to minimize opportunity loss cost, which is happened by idle time, is verified recursive process through heuristic method. (2) The algorithm, is programmed by BASIC language for personal computer, and a numerical example is given to illustrate the heuristic algorithm. This study will be helpful to enhance productivity of Shopflooras a result of increasing the efficiencies of both operator and machine.

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Numerical Simulation of Flame Propagation in a Micro Combustor (초소형 연소기내 화염전파의 수치모사)

  • Choi, Kwon-Hyoung;Lee, Dae-Hoon;Kwon, Se-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2003
  • A numerical simulation of flame propagation in a micro combustor was carried out. Combustor has a sub -millimeter depth cylindrical internal volume and axisymmetric one-dimensional was used to simplify the geometry. Semi-empirical heat transfer model was used to account for the heat loss to the walls during the flame propagation. A detailed chemical kinetics model of $H_2/Air$ with 10 species and 16 reaction steps was used to calculate the combustion. An operator-splitting PISO scheme that is non-iterative, time-dependent, and implicit was used to solve the system of transport equations. The computation was validated for adiabatic flame propagation and showed good agreement with existing results of adiabatic flame propagation. A full simulation including the heat loss model was carried out and results were compared with measurements made at corresponding test conditions. The heat loss that adds its significance at smaller value of combust or height obviously affected the flame propagation speed as final temperature of the burnt gas inside the combustor. Also, the distribution of gas properties such as temperature and species concentration showed wide variation inside the combustor, which affected the evaluation of total work available of the gases.

Hydration and time-dependent rheology changes of cement paste containing ground fly ash

  • Chen, Wei;Huang, Hao
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2013
  • The use of ground fly ash in concrete can increase the risk of slump loss due to the drastic surface change of the particles after the grinding treatment and the accelerated reaction compared to the untreated ash. This study is aimed at the early age hydration and time-dependent rheology changes of cement paste containing ground fly ash. An original fly ash is ground into different fineness and the hydration of cement paste containing the ground fly ash is monitored with the ultrasound propagation method. The zeta potentials of the solid particles are measured and the changes of rheological parameters of the cement pastes with time are analyzed with a rheometer. A particle packing model is used to probe packing of the solid particles. The results show that the early age hydration of the paste is strongly promoted by replacing Portland cement with fly ash up to 30 percent (by mass), causing increase of the yield stress of the paste. The viscosity of a paste containing ground fly ash is lower than that containing the untreated ash, which is explained by the denser packing of the solid particles.