• Title/Summary/Keyword: The loss of opportunity

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The Multi-Period Opportunity Cost Model to Evaluate an Option Value based on a Deferral Option (연기옵션을 고려한 옵션가치의 일반적 기회비용 모델)

  • Kim, Gyu-Tai
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.184-192
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    • 2005
  • In recent research there has been intense interest in understanding how real option valuation (ROV) approaches might usefully complement conventional discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques. However, investment decision makers in a real world have been worried about adopting the ROV approaches mainly because of difficulty in technically understanding the theory of the ROV approaches as indicated by many researchers. With this difficulty in mind, we propose the opportunity cost model as another discrete-time model to value a deferral option. The main advantage of observing a real options value in terms of the opportunity cost concept is to provide a technique for practitioners to estimate a wide range of real options values without sticking to a financial option modelling. The fundamental ground for developing the opportunity cost model proposed in this paper lies in the work of dissecting the structure of the real options value into three categories: capital gain, expected opportunity loss, and expected opportunity gain. At the end of the paper, we will present a short illustrative example to demonstrate the applicability of the model.

Optimum Reserves in Vietnam Based on the Approach of Cost-Benefit for Holding Reserves and Sovereign Risk

  • TRAN, Thinh Vuong;LE, Thao Phan Thi Dieu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2020
  • This paper estimates the optimum level of reserves in Vietnam based on the approach of reserves' cost-benefit and sovereign risk which is one of developing countries' characteristics. The cost of reserves is the opportunity cost when holding reserves. The benefit of reserves is the loss due to country's default in case that there is no reserves to finance external debt payment. The optimum reserves is found out by minimizing the total of opportunity cost and loss due to country's default with the probability of default. Through the usage of HP Filter method for calculating the loss due to country's default, ARDL regression for the risk premium model and lending rate of VND as proxy for opportunity cost together with the Vietnamese economic data in the period of 2005 - 2017, the empirical results show that the optimum reserves in Vietnam is almost higher than the actual reserves during the research period except the point of Q3/2008 and the last point of research period - Q4/2017. Therefore, Vietnam should continue to increase reserves for safety but Vietnam does not need pushing quickly the speed of increasing reserves. In addition, controlling Vietnamese optimum reserves is necessary to help the actual reserves become reasonable.

An Analysis of Adolescents' Perceived Risk on Conformity Behavior of Fashion Brand (의복구매시 청소년의 지각된 위험이 패션브랜드 동조행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Jun, Dae-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2008
  • This study aimed to identify the effects of adolescents' perceived risk on fashion brand conformity behavior. To analyze conformable fashion brand behavior with consideration to their reference group, 6 dimensions of perceived risk were adopted as explanatory variables. Reference group means people that a person refers to when evaluating his values & behaviors. Data were collected from 672 male and female students aged between 14 and 18. Factor analysis on perceived risk resulted in 6 dimensional structures: socio-psychological, time loss, functional, fashionability loss, performance and opportunity loss risk. Fashionability loss risk positively affected adolescent fashion brand conformity behavior according to their favorite celebrities. Performance risk positively affected in consideration to their parents, while opportunity loss risk had a negative effect on the same reference group. However, socio-psychological and fashionability loss risk positively affected adolescent fashion brand conformity behavior in consideration to their friends, while performance loss risk had negative effect on the same reference group. Adolescent groups divided by the 6 dimensions of perceived risk showed meaningful differences in their fashion brand conformable behavior in consideration to their reference groups.

A Study on the effect of Benefits and Sacrifices factors of e-commerce paid membership on the Perceived Value and Intention to contiue using e-commerce (이커머스 유료멤버십의 혜택과 희생요인이 지각된 가치와 이커머스 지속이용의도에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 쿠팡 로켓와우와 네이버 플러스 멤버십의 비교를 중심으로)

  • Park, So Eon;Lee, Sang Woo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.133-157
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    • 2024
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to identify the utility and sacrifice factors of paid membership in domestic e-commerce based on the value-based acceptance model, and to determine its impact on perceived value and intention to continue using e-commerce. Design/methodology/approach This study confirmed the perceived benefits and sacrifice factors of e-commerce paid membership through in-depth interviews, and verified the research model through an online survey. Findings The study identifies seven perceived benefit factors(differentiation, enjoyment, sharing, point benefit, discount benefit, contents benefit, and delivery benefit) and three perceived sacrifice factors(fee, opportunity loss, complexity). Structural model verification reveals that discount benefit, delivery benefit, and opportunity loss significantly impact the perceived value in Coupang Rocket Wow, while discount benefit, point benefit, and fee significantly influence the perceived value in Naver Plus membership. The perceived value of both memberships positively influences the intention to continue using the respective e-commerce platforms. A comparison highlights a significant difference in the impact of opportunity loss on perceived value between Coupang Rocket Wow and Naver Plus memberships.

A Study on Recoverability of Opportunity Profits Loss upon Time-Delay in Construction Contract (건설공사의 공기지연과 기회이익의 손실보전에 관한 연구)

  • Chun Jae-Youl;Lee Kyung-Kook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2003
  • The loss of potential opportunity profit which is consisting in the partial markups of the corporation would taking placed in related with the time-delay deeply, has customarily disregarded in contract adjustment under the principles of denial of cost accounting method, declined conjecture in the point of benefits and protection of the law in scope of compensation and the restricted conditions of constant contract. It is being resulted from that the policies of the general principles of accounting standards which is subjected to ask an objective data and evidence, and the denial system as a debt derived from imperfect legal theory applied by current law. Therefore, it is necessitated to find if any irrationality in the positive system is and further to draw an improved reasonable measures to adopt by review of constant system preparing tile reasonableness with the method of suitable quantification devices provided that any time-delay is induced by the party.

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Application of ArcGIS-based Model Developed to Estimate Monthly Potential Soil Loss (월단위 토양유실가능성 추정을 위해 개발된 ArcGIS 기반의 모형 적용)

  • Yu, Na Young;Shin, Min Hwan;Kim, Jonggun;Park, Youn Shik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.109-126
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    • 2017
  • Universal soil loss equation (USLE) is used to estimate soil loss solely or employed in any hydrologic models. Since soil erosion has been an issue in South Korea for decades, the Ministry of Environment enacted a law to regulate soil erosion in 2012, which is the Notification of topsoil erosion status. The notification is composed of preliminary and field investigations, the preliminary investigation suggests to use USLE and provides USLE factors. However, the USLE factors provided in the notification was prepared at least 10 years ago, therefore it is limited to reflect recent climate changes. Moreover the current yearly USLE approach does not provide an opportunity to consider seasonal variation of soil erosion in South Korea. A GIS-based model was therefore applied to evaluate the yearly USLE approach in the notification. The GIS-based model employs USLE to estimate soil loss, providing an opportunity to estimate monthly soil loss with monthly USLE factor databases. Soil loss was compared in five watersheds, which were Geumgang, Hangang, Nakdonggang, Seomjingang, and Yeongsangang watersheds. The minimum difference was found at Seomjingang watershed, the yearly potential soil loss were 40.15 Mg/ha/yr by the notification approach and 34.42 Mg/ha/yr by the GIS-based model using monthly approach. And, the maximum difference was found at Nakdonggang watershed, the yearly potential soil loss were 27.01 Mg/ha/yr by the notification approach and 10.67 Mg/ha/yr by the GIS-based model using monthly approach. As a part of the study result, it was found that the potential soil loss can be overestimated in the notification approach.

A Study on Education Service Quality's Expected Loss Evaluation Model with Potential Customer Satisfaction Improvement Index (잠재적고객요구개선지수를 이용한 교육서비스품질 기대손실평가 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Yong-Hyuk;Cho, Yu-Jin;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2019
  • Among service industries of knowledge based economic era, the roles of educational service field are becoming more important and standard of educational service makes a direct effect on economic development and social growth. Therefore, accurate measurement of service quality is the most important assignment and the measurement of the service quality remains difficult assignment. So, this researcher classified quality attributes applying weighted value and found potential satisfaction level(PSL) and potential customer demand improvement index(PCDI) for trainees participating in national manpower business so as to suggest measurement of service quality and easiness of use and then, calculated satisfaction position and opportunity cost by quality factor with Taguchi's loss fraction. And, improvable satisfaction level was measured, opportunity cost by degree of customer dissatisfaction was quantitatively measured, and a model that can indicate with economic factors was suggested. In addition, methodology of measuring quality cost that can be reduced by quality improvement and direction of strategic decision-making for deciding items to be improved preferentially were suggested with qualitative index that can indicate the degree of customers' dissatisfaction by loss.

Optimal Dispatch and Reserve Pricing Reflecting Opportunity Cost (기회비용을 반영한 최적급전과 예비력 가격설정)

  • Kim, Jong-Deoc;Bae, In-Su;Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.15 no.4 s.48
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    • pp.229-234
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    • 2006
  • Electric energy is too difficult to manage realtime for irregular change of load because of non-storage. In specially, operation of reserve is ancillary service to supply stably to defend large troubles in electric power system. But whole of electric power system brings to economical loss because of reserve operation. Therefore optimal reserve quantity and optimal reserve price are necessary in order to minimize loss. In this paper, we have presents optimal dispatch and reserve price consideration of opportunity cost.

A Case Study on the Inventory Management Using the Dataminning (데이터마이닝을 이용한 재고관리에 관한 사례연구)

  • Lee, Kyu-Yong;Seo, Jun-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2007
  • A company establishes a sale strategy through the inventory to set the purchasing requisite of the customer in a global company environment. And a sale company can become the reason of a sale opportunity loss because of a customer satisfaction rate if it does not have the all thing to want a purchasing company in a business-to-business. This paper analyzes the association relation of the goods which the customer orders. And we use a datamining technique for an association analysis of goods. The result of such analysis enhances the ability to get the orders of customer and may minimize a sale opportunity loss. We present a case of the 'D' company inventory management system, in order to verify the effect of the proposal system.

The Effect of Fashion Consumer's Browsing Motives and Risk Perception on Purchase Intention in Social Commerce (소셜커머스에서 패션제품 소비자의 브라우징 동기, 위험지각이 구매의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Woo, Seung Hyun;Hwang, Jin Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.772-785
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    • 2013
  • This study investigated the effects of fashion consumer's browsing motives and risk perception on impulse buying and purchase intention in social commerce. The online survey results of 317 customers who experienced using fashion products via social commerce were used for the final analysis. Exploratory factor analysis, reliability analysis, and frequency analysis were conducted using SPSS 18.0, and confirmatory factor analysis and path analysis were performed with AMOS 18.0. Three browsing motives (hedonic motive, rational motive, and informational motive) and three risk perceptions (products-related risk, customer service risk, and opportunity loss risk) were identified. The results from the structure equation model were as follows. 1) It was deducted that the browsing motive did not have a significant effect on risk perception due to the rejection of most of the hypotheses in regards to the browsing motive influence on risk perception. 2) Product-related risk and customer service risk had a significantly negative effect on purchase intention. Opportunity loss risk had significantly positive effect on impulse buying and purchase intention. 3) Hedonic browsing motive had a significant effect on impulse buying, and rational motive had a significant effect on impulse buying and purchase intention. The informational browsing motive had a significant effect only on purchase intention.