• 제목/요약/키워드: Technology Growth Curve

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기술 성장 및 대체 곡선 관점에서의 CES 출품 Digital TV의 특성 분석 (An Analysis for the Characteristics of Digital TVs in CES in the View of Technology Growth and Substitution Curves)

  • 김도관;신성윤;진찬용
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2013년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.96-98
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 역대 CES에 출품된 디지털 TV의 특성을 기술의 수요곡선과 대체곡선의 관점에서 분류하여 살펴봄으로써 스마트 환경으로 진화하는 차세대 멀티미디어에 대한 예측을 제공하고자 하였다. 분석결과 초기 디지털 TV의 형태에서 기기 간 연결성(connected)을 키워드로 하는 2013년 등장한 스마트 형 디지털 TV에 이르기까지 디지털 TV는 기술 수요 곡선을 따라 진화를 거듭해왔으며, 현재 상품으로서의 수명주기의 성숙기에 이르는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 2013년 출품된 디지털 TV는 TV라는 단일 제품의 범위를 넘어서 다기능 멀티미디어 환경을 지원, 곡선형 또는 flexible 디스플레이 형태로 이미 과거의 디지털 TV의 기술 수요곡선을 넘어서 대체곡선의 도입기에 이르고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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기술성장곡선을 활용한 생존모형 개발 (Development of Survivor Models Using Technological Growth Models)

  • 오현승;조진형
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2010
  • Recent competitive and technological changes during the past decade have accelerated the need for better capital recovery methods. Competition and technology have together shortened the expected lives of property which could not have been forecasted several years ago. Since the usage of technological growth models has been prevalent in various technological forecasting environments, the various forms of growth models have become numerous. Of six such models studied, some models do significantly better than others, especially at low penetration levels in predicting future levels of growth. A set of criteria for choosing an appropriate model for technological growth models was developed. Two major characteristics of an S-shaped curve were elected which differentiate the various models; they are the skewness of the curve and underlying assumptions regarding the variance of error structure of the model.

The Impact of Globalization on CO2 Emissions in Malaysia

  • CHUAH, Soo Cheng;CHEAM, Chai Li;SULAIMAN, Saliza
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the impact of globalization, coal consumption, and economic growth on CO2 emissions in Malaysia by applying the Kuznets Environmental Curve model. The study employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag modeling technique on time series data over the period of 1970-2018 to determine the short and long-run relationship between CO2 emissions and a number of variables, including globalization, coal consumption, and economic growth. The results show that globalization increase CO2 emissions in both the short and long run in Malaysia. Furthermore, the results reveal that economic growth and coal consumption degrade the environmental quality by accelerating the CO2 emissions in the short-run and long run. As a result, the findings validate the Kuznets Environmental Curve hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions in the long run for Malaysia. The findings of this study suggest that higher globalization levels and usage of coal consumption degrade the environmental quality in Malaysia. The findings also indicate the effect of economic growth on environmental degradation is positive at the initial stage but improves after the economy achieves a threshold level of income per capita in the economic development process with an inverted U-shaped pattern in the long run.

성장곡선 모형 적용을 통한 기술수준평가 사례 연구 : 특정 수산과학기술 분야를 중심으로 (Case Study on Measuring Technology Level Applying Growth Curve Model: Three Core Areas of Fishery Science and Technology)

  • 김완민;박주찬;박병무
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to discuss possibilities of applying growth curve models, such as Logistic, Log-Logistic, Log-Normal, Gompertz and Weibull, to three specific technology areas of Fishery Science and Technology in the process of measuring their technology level between Korea and countries with the state-of-the art level. Technology areas of hazard control of organism, environment restoration, and fish cluster detect were selected for this study. Expert panel survey was conducted to construct relevant panel data for years of 2013, 2016, and a future time of approaching the theoretical maximum technology level. The size of data was 70, 70 and 40 respectively. First finding is that estimation of shape and location parameters of each model was statistically significant, and lack-of-fit test using estimated parameters was statistically rejected for each model, meaning all models were good enough to apply for measuring technology levels. Second, three models other than Pearl and Gompertz seemed very appropriate to apply despite the fact that previous case studies have used only Gompertz and Pearl. This study suggests that Weibull model would be a very valid candidate for the purpose. Third, fish cluster detect technology level is relatively higher for both Korea and a country with the state-of-the-art among three areas as of 2013. However, all three areas seem to be approaching their limits(highest technology level point) until 2020 for countries with the state-of-the-art. This implies that Korea might have to speed up her research activities in order to catch up them prior to 2020. Final suggestion is that future study may better apply various and more appropriate models respectively considering each technology characteristics and other factors.

정부지원 연구비의 대학 기술이전 수입료에 대한 영향에 관한 연구: 잠재성장곡선모형을 이용한 종단 연구 (The impacts of government research funds on technology transfers from universities: A longitudinal study on Korean universities)

  • 박근주;이규태
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2020
  • 정부는 대학 연구비 지원에 기반하여, 기술사업화 정책을 추진해 왔다. 본 논문에서는 신제도주의 이론을 바탕으로 정부의 연구비 지원의 변화율이 기술사업화 성과의 변화율에 미치는 영향과 대학 소재지에 의한 조절효과를 분석하였다. 시간적 변화 분석에 통용되는 잠재성장곡선모형(Latent Growth Curve Model, 이하 LGM)을 활용하여, 2009년~2017년 9년 간 전국 4년제 138개 대학의 데이터를 분석하였다. 그 결과 정부지원 연구비의 증가율은 기술이전 수입료 증가율에 정(+)의 영향을 미치며, 비수도권 대학보다 수도권 대학에 더 큰 영향을 미친다는 것을 확인하였다. 이러한 관계는 시간 지연효과를 고려한 분석에서도 동일하다는 것을 확인하였다. 이를 바탕으로 대학의 기술사업화를 촉진하기 위한 정부의 연구비 지원 정책의 효과성에 대해서 대학의 소재지에 따라 차별적 이해가 필요함을 강조하였다.

작은 표면균열의 성장특성에 의한 수명예측 (A Fatigue Life Prediction by Growth Characteristics of a Small Surface Crack)

  • 서창민;임창순;강용구
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.617-617
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    • 1989
  • This paper deals with a fatigue life prediction of a surface crack based on the experimentally obtained relationship between surface crack length ratio $a/a_{f}$ and cycle ratio $N/N_{f}$ using micro computer. Firstly $a/a_{f}$-$N/N_{f}$ curves obtained from experimental tests, were assumed as three curves UC(the upper limit curve), LC(the lower limit curve) and MC(the middle curve), and these were utilized to predict the fatigue life. Comparing the calculated values which represent the characteristics of crack growth behaviors from the three assumed curves with the experimental ones, it has been found that in the stable crack growth region, they coincide reasonably well each other. And the differences between the fatigue lives obtained from the assumed curves and the experimental fatigue life did not exceed 20%. Using the characteristics of $a/a_{f}$-$N/N_{f}$ curves, it is possible to predict the da/dN-Kmax curves and the S-$N_{f}$ curves.

Fracture Toughness and Crack Growth Resistance of the Fine Grain Isotropic Graphite

  • Kim, Dae-Jong;Oh, Seung-Jin;Jang, Chang-Heui;Kim, In-Sup;Chi, Se-Hwan
    • Carbon letters
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2006
  • Three point bending tests of single edge notched beam (SENB) specimens were carried out to evaluate the fracture behavior of the fine-grain isotropic nuclear grade graphite, IG-11. To measure the crack initiation point and the subsequent crack growth, the direct current potential drop (DCPD) method and a traveling microscope were used. The effects of test variables like initial crack length, specimen thickness, notch type and loading rate on the measured fracture toughness, $K_Q$, were investigated. Based on the test results, the ranges of the test variables to measure the reliable fracture toughness value were proposed. During the crack growth, the rising R-curve behavior was observed in IG-11 graphite when the superficial crack length measured on the specimen surface was used. The increase of crack growth resistance was discussed in terms of crack bridging, crack meandering, crack branching, microcracking and crack deflection, which increase the surface energy and friction force.

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돼지의 Leptin receptor 유전자내 초위성체 다형성에 따른 개체별 성장곡선 특성 (Characteristics of Individual Growth Curve by Porcine LEPR-derived Microsatellite Polymorphisms)

  • 조용민;최봉환;김태헌;이지웅;정일정
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.885-890
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구는 재래돼지와 랜드레이스 품종을 기초축으로 조성한 F2 집단의 일령별 체중 자료를 이용하여 비선형 회귀에 의해 추정한 개체별 성장곡선 모수 및 성장 특성치에 대한 LEPR 관련 초위성체 표지인자의 다형성에 따른 효과를 추정함으로써 Leptine 수준에 따른 성장 형질의 특성을 규명하고자 실시하였다. 조사된 F2 집단에 대해 개체별 성숙체중(A)과 성숙률(k)의 평균은 각각 179.69${\pm}$4.40kg 및 0.3103${\pm}$0.0043으로 추정되었으며, 성장 특성에 대한 성의 효과는 통계적 유의성이 없었으며 (p〉.05), 성숙체중(A) 및 최대 증체 속도($\partial$W$_{t1}$/$\partial$t)는 분만 그룹에 따른 유의적인 차이를 보였다(p〈.05). 조사된 모든 성장특성에 대해 LEPR 표지인자의 다형성 효과는 유의적으로 나타났으며(p〈.05), AA 유전자형을 가지는 개체는 만숙성이며, 반면 유전자형이 DD인 경우, 조사된 유전자형들 가운데 초기 성장이 빠른 조숙성의 성장 특성으로 가지지만, 성장률의 증가추세가 일찍 감소하며, 성숙체중의 최대치는 낮을 것을 추정되었다. 따라서 조사된 LEPR 관련 표지인자 유전자형의 다형성에 따른 성장 특성의 해석 및 예측이 가능하며, 그 범위는 생애 전반에 걸쳐 적용해야 할 것으로 사료된다.

표면결함재에 관한 탄소성 파괴역학에 의한 피로수명 예측 (Fatigue Life Prediction by Elastic-Plastic Fracture mechanics for Surface Flaw Steel)

  • 강용구;서창민;이종식
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.112-122
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    • 1995
  • In this work, prediction of fatigue life and fatigue crack growth are studied. 4th order polynominal function is presented to describe the crack growth behaviors from artifical pit of SM45C steel. Crack growth curves obtained from 4th order polyminal growth equations are in good agreement with experimental data The crack growth behaviors at arbitrary stress levels and investigated by the concept of elastic-plastic fracture mechanics using ${\Delta}J$. Fatigue life prediction are carried out by numerical integral method. Prediction lives obtained by proposed method in this study, is in good agreement with the experimental ones. Life prediction results calculated by using of ${\Delta}J$ better than those of ${\Delta}K$.

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주조 프레임을 강 구조물로의 대체에 관한 연구 (A Study on Substitution of Steel structure for Casting Frame)

  • 홍민성
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.142-149
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    • 1999
  • A machine frame has been manufactured by casting. However, due to the development of the industrial society, 3-D duties was refused. Especially, the declination of the casting industry makes it difficult to produce the frame. Many companies still manufacture the small casting products. The large casting products are extremely limited and manufactured for their own use. Therefore, it is difficult to keep the term of order. In this study, the characteristics of steel structure which is produced by welding were identified in the view of mechanical strength of steel structure which is produced by welding were identified in the view of mechanical strength to substitute steel structure for casting frame. But welding structure has the residual stress, HAZ and welding deformation. Residual stress and HAZ especially cause crack growth. The proposed steel structure, based on the simulation and experiment(tensile curve and S-N curve), can reduce not only the producting term but also the weight of the frame.

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