• Title/Summary/Keyword: Survival distributions

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Survival Analysis with Life Span of the Silkworm moth, Bombyx mori (누에나방 수명에 의한 생존분석)

  • 강필돈;류강선;김계명;손봉희;촌상소웅;손흥대
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 1999
  • Survival analysis with life span of silkworm moth was investigated from 277 varieties preserved and maintained in Korea. Ten varieties showed long and short life span were selected for the investigation of the longevity in response to mating and surviving. The density distributions of average life span of female and male in all varieties used was 8.3days about 13%. The frequency of average survival according to life span survived 178 varieties(64.3%)for 5-10 days in male, but the female was survived 147 varieties(53%) for 10-15days. Average longevity of unmated female and male were respectively 9.5days and 9.0 days, and female survived 0.5 days longer than male. On the other hand, average longevity of mated female and male were 8.8 days and 7.7 days, respectively. It was found that mating activities affected significantly to the adult life span, especially to that of males than that of females.

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Lifetime Assessments on 154 kV Transmission Porcelain Insulators with a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 방법론을 적용한 154 kV 송전용 자기애자의 수명 평가 개발)

  • Choi, In-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Yoon, Yong-Beum;Yi, Junsin;Kim, Seong Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.30 no.9
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    • pp.551-557
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    • 2017
  • It is extremely important to improve methodologies for the lifetime assessment of porcelain insulators. While there has been a considerable amount of work regarding the phenomena of lifetime distributions, most of the studies assume that aging distributions follow the Weibull distribution. However, the true underlying distribution is unknown, giving rise to unrealistic inferences, such as parameter estimations. In this article, we review several distributions that are commonly used in reliability and survival analysis, such as the exponential, Weibull, log-normal, and gamma distributions. Some properties, including the characteristics of failure rates of these distributions, are presented. We use a Bayesian approach for model selection and parameter estimation procedures. A well-known measure, called the Bayes factor, is used to find the most plausible model among several contending models. The posterior mean can be used as a parameter estimate for unknown parameters, once a model with the highest posterior probability is selected. Extensive simulation studies are performed to demonstrate our methodologies.

Conservative Neck Dissection in Oral Cancer Patients: a 5 Year Retrospective Study in Malaysia

  • Balasundram, Sathesh;Mustafa, Wan Mahadzir Wan;Ip, Jolene;Adnan, Tassha Hilda;Supramaniam, Premaa
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.4045-4050
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The impact of ablative oral cancer surgery was studied, with particular reference to recurrence and nodal metastasis, to assess survival probability and prognostic indicators and to elucidate if ethnicity influences the survival of patients. Methods: Patients who underwent major ablative surgery of the head and neck region with neck dissection were identified and clinical records were assessed. Inclusion criteria were stage I-IV oral and oropharyngeal malignancies necessitating resection with or without radiotherapy from 2004 to 2009. All individuals had a pre-operative assessment prior to the surgery. The post operative assessment period ranged from 1 year to 5 years. Survival distributions were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: 87 patients (males:38%; females:62%) were included in this study, with an age range of 21-85 years. Some 78% underwent neck dissections while 63% had surgery and radiotherapy. Nodal recurrence was detected in 5.7% while 20.5% had primary site recurrence within the study period. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that the median survival time was 57 months. One year overall survival (OS) rate was 72.7% and three year overall survival rate dropped to 61.5%. On OS analysis, the log-rank test showed a significant difference of survival between Malay and Chinese patients (Bonferroni correction p=0.033). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) analysis revealed that 25% of the patients have reached the event of recurrence at 46 months. One year RFS rate was 85.2% and the three year survival rate was 76.1%. In the RFS analysis, the log-rank test showed a significant difference in the event of recurrence and nodal metastasis (p<0.001). Conclusion: Conservative neck is effective, in conjunction with postoperative radiotherapy, for control of neck metastases. Ethnicity appears to influence the survival of the patients, but a prospective trial is required to validate this.

Testing for Failure Rate Ordering between Survival Distributions

  • Park, Chul-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.349-365
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    • 1994
  • We develop in this paper the likelihood ratio test (LRT) for testing $H_1 : F_1 \preceq F_2$ against $H_2 - H_1$ where $H_2$ imposes no restriction on $F_1$ and $F_2$ and '$\preceq$' means failure rate ordering. Both one and two-sample problems will be considered. In the one-sample case, one of the two distributions is known, while we assume in the other case both are unknown. We derive the asymptotic null distribution of the LRT statistic which will be of chi-bar-square type. The main issue here is to determine the least favorable distribution which is stochastically largest within the class of null distributions.

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A new class of life distributions based on unknown age

  • El-Di, M.M. Mohie;Abu-Youss, S.E.;Al, Nahed S.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2015
  • Based on increasing concave ordering a new class of life distribution is introduced. The new class of life distribution is named used better than aged in increasing concave ordering and is denoted by UBAC(2). The implication of our proposed class of life distribution with other classes is given. The properties of UBAC(2) under convolution, discrete mixture and formation of a coherent system are studied. Finally a characterization of the proposed class of life distributions by Laplace transform is discussed.

Recommendation of Personalized Surveillance Interval of Colonoscopy via Survival Analysis (생존분석을 이용한 맞춤형 대장내시경 검진주기 추천)

  • Gu, Jayeon;Kim, Eun Sun;Kim, Seoung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.129-137
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    • 2016
  • A colonoscopy is important because it detects the presence of polyps in the colon that can lead to colon cancer. How often one needs to repeat a colonoscopy may depend on various factors. The main purpose of this study is to determine personalized surveillance interval of colonoscopy based on characteristics of patients including their clinical information. The clustering analysis using a partitioning around medoids algorithm was conducted on 625 patients who had a medical examination at Korea University Anam Hospital and found several subgroups of patients. For each cluster, we then performed survival analysis that provides the probability of having polyps according to the number of days until next visit. The results of survival analysis indicated that different survival distributions exist among different patients' groups. We believe that the procedure proposed in this study can provide the patients with personalized medical information about how often they need to repeat a colonoscopy.

A MULTIVARIATE JUMP DIFFUSION PROCESS FOR COUNTERPARTY RISK IN CDS RATES

  • Ramli, Siti Norafidah Mohd;Jang, Jiwook
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2015
  • We consider counterparty risk in CDS rates. To do so, we use a multivariate jump diffusion process for obligors' default intensity, where jumps (i.e. magnitude of contribution of primary events to default intensities) occur simultaneously and their sizes are dependent. For these simultaneous jumps and their sizes, a homogeneous Poisson process. We apply copula-dependent default intensities of multivariate Cox process to derive the joint Laplace transform that provides us with joint survival/default probability and other relevant joint probabilities. For that purpose, the piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) theory developed in [7] and the martingale methodology in [6] are used. We compute survival/default probability using three copulas, which are Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM), Gaussian and Student-t copulas, with exponential marginal distributions. We then apply the results to calculate CDS rates assuming deterministic rate of interest and recovery rate. We also conduct sensitivity analysis for the CDS rates by changing the relevant parameters and provide their figures.

A Comparison of Testing Methods for Equality of Survival Distributions with Interval Censored Data

  • Kim, Soo-Hwan;Lee, Shin-Jae;Lee, Jae-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2012
  • A two-sample test for equality of survival distribution is one of the important issues in survival analysis, especially for clinical and epidemiological research. With interval censored data, some testing methods have been developed. This study introduces some testing methods and compares them under various situations through simulation study. Based on simulation result, it provides some useful information on choosing the most appropriate testing method in a given situation.

Lack of Association between an XRCC1 Gene Polymorphism and Colorectal Cancer Survival in Thailand

  • Siewchaisakul, Pallop;Suwanrungruang, Krittika;Poomphakwaen, Kirati;Wiangnon, Surapon;Promthet, Supannee
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.2055-2060
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    • 2016
  • Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common causes of death worldwide and in Thailand. The X-ray repair cross-complementary protein 1 (XRCC1) is required for efficient DNA repair. The effects of this gene on survival in colorectal cancer remain controversial and have not been reported in Thailand. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of the XRCC1 gene with survival of colorectal cancer patients in a Thai population. Materials and Methods: Data and blood samples were collected from 255 newly diagnosed and pathologically confirmed CRC patients who were recruited during the period 2002 to 2006 and whose vital status was followed up until 31 October, 2014. Real-time PCR-HRM was used for genotype identification. The Kaplan-Meier method, the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazard regression were used to estimate cumulative survival curves and compare various survival distributions and adjusted hazard ratios. Results: Most of the cases were males, and the median age was 55 years. The median survival time was 2.43 years. The cumulative 1-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10 year survival rates were 76.70%, 39.25%, 26.50%, 16.60% and 3.56%, respectively. After adjustment, female gender, ages 50-59 and ${\geq}60years$, tumour stage III+IV, a signet-ring cell carcinoma, and poor differentiation had significant associations with increased risk of CRC death. While the XRCC1 Arg/Arg homozygote appeared to be a risk factor for CRC death, the association was not significant. Conclusions: The genetic variant in the XRCC1 may not be associated with the survival of CRC patients in Thailand. Further studies are needed to verify our findings.

Primary Non-Hodgkin's Gastric Lymphoma (원발성 위 림프종)

  • Kwon, Sung-Joon
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.215-220
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    • 2001
  • Purpose: The aim of the study was to obtain data on the anatomic and histologic distributions, the clinical features, and the treatment results for patients with primary gastric non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Materials and Methods: One hundred thirty-two patients who were treated at 8 university hospitals and 2 general hospitals between January 1991 and December 2000 were enrolled to evaluate clinico-pathologic features. Results: The lower one-third of the stomach was the most frequent site ($42\%$), and the most frequent chief complaint was epigastric pain ($54\%$). Gastric resection was performed in 114 cases. Pathologic findings of preoperative endoscopic biopsy specimens from the 114 patients that underwent surgery were a gastric lymphoma in 94 cases ($82\%$), a carcinoma in 15 cases ($13\%$), an ulcer in 4 cases ($4\%$), and a gastrointestinal stromal tumor in 1 case ($1\%$). The stage distributions by Musshoff's criteria were 71 cases ($54\%$) of stage IE, 36 cases ($27\%$) of stage $II_{1}E$, 8 cases ($6\%$) of stage $II_{2}E$, 2 cases ($2\%$) of stage IIIE, and 15 cases ($11\%$) of stage IVE. Histologic gradings by the Working Formulation in were 31 cases ($23\%$) of low grade, 96 cases ($73\%$) of intermediate grade, and 5 cases ($4\%$) of high grade. Chemotherapy-related complications occurred in 25 cases ($22\%$) while operation-related complications occurred in 6 cases ($5\%$). Seventeen patients ($13\%$) only underwent surgery, 19 ($14\%$) had chemotherapy (CTx) and/or radiotherapy (RTx) only, and 96 patients ($73\%$) received surgery and CTx and/or RTx. No substantial differences in survival were found in relation to the different histologic grades and different treatments. The five-year survival was $85\%$ in stage I or II and $47\%$ in stage III or IV (P=0.0000). Conclusion: Pathologic stage appears to be the single most important prognostic indicator. Survival differences according to treatment modalities were not statistically significant. However, the low number of patients treated with various approaches over a long period precludes a firm conclusion.

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