• Title/Summary/Keyword: Survey sampling

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Election Forecasting and Exit-poll : The 16th Presidential Election in Korea (선거예측과 출구조사 : 16대 대선을 중심으로)

  • 김정훈
    • Survey Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.87-102
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    • 2003
  • Till now, much progress has been made in election forecasting. But fixed-line telephone survey has limitations, because it has become more and more difficult to get a representative sample, Exit poll has been considered to provide a new solution. From the beginning, exit poll provided more accurate predictions than those based on surveys using fixed-line phone. In 2002 presidential election, prediction based on exit poll was perfect. Its predictive error was zero. This paper describes how the exit poll was done in 2002 presidential elections. Specifically, we are to show the estimating procedures as well as sampling and polling process. Among many factors, sampling procedure has been fond to be the most important factor in exit poll accuracy.

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A survey on the relation between the employees' viewpoint with knowledge management and cultural intelligence among the employees working in Social Security Organization of Ardabil

  • Borjian, Sheyda;Alavi, Soheila
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2017
  • This study has reviewed the "A survey on the relation between the employees' viewpoint with knowledge management and cultural intelligence among the employees working in Social Security Organization of Ardabil". The present study is functional in terms of objective and the method is descriptive and survey. This has asked the others' ideas and viewpoints concerning a specific subject and has analyzed them. About the nature and the method used, the present research is of correlation research. The population applied in this research includes all employees working in Social Security Organization of Ardabil consisting of 400. The method used for sampling is simple random sampling. To collect the information in the first step of the research the library method has been used. In this research the data has been collected through standard questionnaires. Then, via descriptive and inferential statistics the research data has been characterized and regarding the spatial scaling of the measurement to test the hypothesis the, correlation analysis of Pearson has been used and also to specify the reliability of the questionnaire the Chronbach's Alpha has been taken in use and the SPSS software to analyze the data also. The findings resulted from the study showed that there is a significant relation between the factors concerning employees' efficiency with knowledge management and the cultural intelligence and all hypotheses was confirmed.

A Study on the Methodology for Expanding Collected Sampling Data with the RFID System and Applying in National Road Traffic Volume Survey (RFID 표본데이터의 전수화방법 및 '국가도로교통량조사'에 활용방안 연구)

  • Park, Bum-Jin;Lee, Seung-Hun;Moon, Byeong-Sup
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2008
  • In this parer, we purpose for applying the RFID(Radio Frequency IDentification) system in National Road Traffic Volume Survey. Because there is limitation for shipping RFID Tag on every car, we firstly defined Expansion (process of making the number of all cars which passed survey point from sampling data) and determined the best methodology among 3 methodologies (Time factor Model, Fuzzy Model, Artificial Neural Network). As a result of analysis, Time Factor Model was chosen as the best methodology for Expansion. Also, we analyzed to find an application of the RFID system in National Road Traffic Volume Survey and obtained a possibility applying it. It is expected that if the RFID system is used in Traffic Volume Survey, the survey cost is saved than before.

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Design and Implementation of Mobile Survey System (모바일 서베이 시스템의 설계 및 구현)

  • Choi, Won-San;Koo, Yong-Wan
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.2
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2003
  • The possession rate of residential telephones tend to decrease as mobile phones are widely spread. There is also a decrease in the access rate of the qualified respondents due to the low rate of phone book registration and that of house owner's presence at home. Such a change in telephone survey environment calls for another survey-channel which makes good use of new telecommunication services. In this paper, a mobile survey system was designed and performed by the use of SMS (Short Message Service) which is a kind of mobile data communication service. The system draws the sample by using random digit sampling based on 'quota allocation', and sends the SMS to the sample according to the arranged scheduler. Then, the survey-panel which received the SMS connects to the responding server by pressing the 'send' button (which is connected by the callback number), responding to the question. As a result, the responding value is stored in the database and is analyzed in real-time. This system is distinguished from other research methodologies for its simplicity in data collection, its inexpensive research price, and the innovatively low research time.

School child health communication activity needs in Seoul : Focused on school-based health fairs (서울지역 초등학생들의 보건의사소통 요구도 특성 : 학교 건강관련 행사를 중심으로)

  • Park, Kyoung-Ok
    • The Journal of Korean Society for School & Community Health Education
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    • v.6
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to describe elementary school students' health communication needs based on school-based health fairs by students' demographic characteristics and school health education experiences. A self-administered survey was conducted to a total of 851 fifth-grade students in 8 elementary schools in Seoul. For survey participant sampling, Seoul area was divided into four districts: north, south, east, and west, and two elementary schools were selected from each district by the stratified convenient sampling process. Three class 5th-grade students in each selected school finished the survey. Questionnaires and survey instruction letters were delivered to vice-principals in the designated schools and the vice-principals managed the survey process. The survey Questionnaire included demographic characteristics (sex, parent's marital status, parents' educational status, famil financial status, the person whom was with after school, and daily computer hour), health education experiences (health education at school, and school health education satisfaction), and health communication types. The health communication types were reorganized into eight types based on comprehensive literature review on health fairs (or child and adolescence. The health communication types were 'health exam and advice fair,''health promotion advertising and campaign,' 'health-related exhibition and experience fair,' 'profession visit-in-school education,' 'health-related VCR or movie festival,' 'health-related institute visits,' 'internet health counseling,' and 'telephone health counseling.' Regarding demographic characteristics, sex, family financial status, and academic performance were significant factors related to health communication need scores (p <.05). Girl, high level of family financial status, and excellent academic performance score were related to high score of health communication need. In terms of school health education experience, taking regular class for health education and satisfaction with school health education were linked to higher health communication need scores. This result discusses that experience and satisfaction with school health education largely contribute to building participants' health communication concepts and needs.

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software packages for survey data analysis (조사 데이터 분석용 소프트웨어 패키지)

  • 성내경
    • Survey Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2000
  • In order to make statistically valid inferences for survey data based on complex probability sample designs, survey researchers must incorporate the sample design in the data analysis If this in not the case the variance estimates of survey statistics derived under the usual simple random sampling assumptions from an infinite population generally underestimate the true variance, which results in high Type l error level. In this article we introduce new software packages dedicated to analyze complex survey data In particular, we summarize analysis capabilities on SUDAAN Version 7.5 and SAS Version 8.

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A survey on the fluctuation of dissolved solids into the groundwater in Chejudo (제주도 지하수의 증분변화에 대한 고제)

  • 금성홍;신승종;오상실;송가기;오순미
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 1993
  • This survey was carried out to take the status of seawater intrusion into groundwater wells located in the eastern area of Chejudo, to get the elementary data which may evaluate the level of would-be groundwater contamination, and to perform effective the effort that will supply the clear water for the residents. The sampling sites were northeastern districts of Haengwon, Handong, and Sangdo, southeastern districts of Susan, Nansan, and Samdal, and northwestern districts, as reference, of Aewol, Keumnung, Panpo, Kosan, Shindo, and Bosung. We collected the samples from the public tap water by month, and analysed electrical conductivity, sodium(Na), potassium(K), magnesium(Mg), calcium(Ca), bicarbonate($HC0_{3^-}$), and items of the criteria as drinking water. In the northeastern districts we also added the sampling sites to survey the fluctuations of dissolved solids according to distance from seashore, including two private boreholes and one public tap water of Dukchun. The result is as follows 1) In the northeastern district, the concentration of chloride ion showed large fluctations from 40mg/l to 100mg/l, but suitable for the criteria of drinking water. It was thought that the drought influenced. 2) In the Sangdo of the northeastern districts, similar tendancy to Hangwon and Handong was showed only in the concentration of chloride ion, but different tendancy was showed in chloride-bicarbonate ratio, calcium-magnesium ratio, and sodium adsorption ratio(SAR). Considering these facts, it was not thought that seawater intruded. 3) The components of Na and Cl showed rapid slope in the northeastern districts above 3km from seashore. 4) In the northwestern districts as reference, the concentration of chloride ion fluctuated slightly according to the sampling sites and dates, and the concentration of nitrate-nitrogen in some sites exceeded the criteria of drinking water. These were thought that the surface contaminants rather than the intrusion of seawater influenced mainly the groundwater, considering the correlation(r=0.732) of chloride ion and nitrate-nitrogen. 5) Then we must consider the regional characteristies of soil profile in order to prevent the contamination of groundwater, and moniter also the movement of main components within the sol1 profile, not only the research of the intrusion of seawater.

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Coverage Rates for Households by Landline Telephone Frames in Korea (국내 유선 전화조사에서 표본추출틀의 포함률)

  • Hong, Sung-Joon;Park, So-Hyung;Kim, Sun-Woong
    • Survey Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.33-56
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    • 2009
  • Landline telephone surveys of the population of households or individuals in Korea often use telephone directories as sampling frames. Recently, the frequency of unlisted numbers in the directories has been increased and the number of households without landline phones has become larger with a spread of mobile phones. Landline telephone coverage has currently reached to a level that raises concerns about the currently due to a coverage bias on the statistics in question. In this paper, we first present the distribution of telephone ownership in Korea and make a comparison with some selected countries. Second, we describe the characteristics of telephone directories. Next, we directly or indirectly estimate the telephone coverage rates of the frames, and show that it may nationally be lower than 65.6% based on additional information. We conclude with remarks about future studies to reduce coverage bias, including the developments of efficient random digit dialing sampling methods.

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Bayesian logit models with auxiliary mixture sampling for analyzing diabetes diagnosis data (보조 혼합 샘플링을 이용한 베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형 : 당뇨병 자료에 적용 및 분류에서의 성능 비교)

  • Rhee, Eun Hee;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.131-146
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    • 2022
  • Logit models are commonly used to predicting and classifying categorical response variables. Most Bayesian approaches to logit models are implemented based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. However, the algorithm has disadvantages of slow convergence and difficulty in ensuring adequacy for the proposal distribution. Therefore, we use auxiliary mixture sampler proposed by Frühwirth-Schnatter and Frühwirth (2007) to estimate logit models. This method introduces two sequences of auxiliary latent variables to make logit models satisfy normality and linearity. As a result, the method leads that logit model can be easily implemented by Gibbs sampling. We applied the proposed method to diabetes data from the Community Health Survey (2020) of the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency and compared performance with Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. In addition, we showed that the logit model using auxiliary mixture sampling has a great classification performance comparable to that of the machine learning models.

Testing the Representativeness of a Multimode Survey in South Korea: Results from KAMOS

  • Cho, Sung Kyum;LoCascio, Sarah Prusoff;Lee, Kay-O;Jang, Deok-Hyun;Lee, Jong Min
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.73-87
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    • 2017
  • The Korean Academic Multimode Open Survey (KAMOS) is a national survey first conducted in 2016. Stratified cluster random sampling was used in an initial face-to-face survey during which panel members were recruited. The second survey allowed invited panel members to answer online or by phone. KAMOS includes both longitudinal items and omnibus items, i.e., researchers can propose questions to include on KAMOS. This paper seeks to establish that KAMOS is representative of the South Korean adult population. The demographic variables from the first survey were comparable to demographic variables from two well-respected surveys in South Korea: the KOSTAT Social Survey and the Gallup Korea Omnibus Survey. To ensure that there was no substantial difference between those who answered the first survey and those who answered the second survey, we compared the results of 22 items from the first survey. The 2,000 panel members who were invited to participate in the second survey had similar responses to the 1,008 of those who responded to the second survey. Based on our findings, KAMOS can be considered a representative sample.